xgEdge

Every Eredivisie match still to be played this season, soonest first, with the xG the model projects for each side and its home, draw and away probabilities.

  • Home
  • Draw
  • Away
Tight Within 3 points either way Clear favourite 55% or more Form, oldest → newest: W D L

Saturday, 24/04/2027

7 matches
  • Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.80 – 1.22
    →
  • Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.87 – 1.68
    →
  • AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.18 – 1.07
    Clear favourite
    →
  • PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.47 – 1.26
    →
  • Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.36 – 1.75
    →
  • Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.52 – 0.99
    Clear favourite
    →
  • PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 2.11 – 1.58
    →

Saturday, 01/05/2027

9 matches
  • Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.48 – 2.23
    →
  • SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.74 – 1.61
    →
  • Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.21 – 2.03
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.72 – 1.23
    →
  • NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.05 – 1.14
    Clear favourite
    →
  • AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 2.69 – 1.04
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.63 – 1.29
    →
  • SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.03 – 1.82
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.64 – 0.91
    Clear favourite
    →

Saturday, 08/05/2027

9 matches
  • PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 2.23 – 1.05
    Clear favourite
    →
  • FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.26 – 1.95
    →
  • FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 2.07 – 1.08
    Clear favourite
    →
  • PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.58 – 1.57
    Tight
    →
  • Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.50 – 1.84
    →
  • SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.69 – 1.57
    →
  • AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.78 – 1.50
    →
  • ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.40 – 1.58
    →
  • Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.61 – 1.36
    →

Sunday, 16/05/2027

9 matches
  • AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.22 – 0.92
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.90 – 1.58
    →
  • FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.47 – 1.38
    →
  • AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 2.58 – 1.26
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.50 – 1.17
    →
  • PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 2.27 – 1.29
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Projected xG 1.64 – 1.54
    →
  • FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Projected xG 1.90 – 1.17
    →
  • FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.88 – 1.37
    →

Sunday, 23/05/2027

9 matches
  • NEC Nijmegen NEC Nijmegen, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw
    FC Utrecht FC Utrecht, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.91 – 1.47
    →
  • SC Heerenveen SC Heerenveen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Win
    PSV Eindhoven PSV Eindhoven, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Win, Loss
    Projected xG 1.38 – 2.13
    →
  • Sparta Rotterdam Sparta Rotterdam, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Fortuna Sittard Fortuna Sittard, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Win, Win, Loss, Win
    Projected xG 1.96 – 1.33
    →
  • SC Cambuur SC Cambuur, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Win, Draw
    AFC Ajax AFC Ajax, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Win, Win, Draw
    Projected xG 1.43 – 2.11
    →
  • PEC Zwolle PEC Zwolle, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    FC Twente FC Twente, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    Projected xG 1.02 – 1.98
    Clear favourite
    →
  • Feyenoord Feyenoord, last league results, oldest first: Win, Draw, Win, Win, Win
    FC Groningen FC Groningen, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Loss, Draw, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 2.19 – 1.04
    Clear favourite
    →
  • ADO Den Haag ADO Den Haag, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss, Draw
    AZ Alkmaar AZ Alkmaar, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Win, Draw, Win
    Projected xG 1.13 – 1.71
    →
  • SC Telstar SC Telstar, last league results, oldest first: Loss, Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss
    Excelsior Excelsior, last league results, oldest first: Win, Win, Draw, Loss, Draw
    Projected xG 1.25 – 1.36
    →
  • Willem II Tilburg Willem II Tilburg, last league results, oldest first: Draw, Loss, Draw, Loss, Loss
    Go Ahead Eagles Go Ahead Eagles, last league results, oldest first: Win, Loss, Draw, Draw, Draw
    Projected xG 1.67 – 1.85
    →

Probabilities and projected xG are model estimates, rounded so the three add to 100. They read shot quality over recent matches and know nothing about injuries, suspensions or motivation.