xgEdge

Friday, 20/03/2026 at 20:00

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Match report · Eredivisie

Heracles Almelo 1:1 Excelsior

Heracles Almelo Home 1.52 xG
Excelsior Away 1.06 xG
11 Heracles Almelo had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

Heracles Almelo Excelsior
Shots
13
15
On target
4
4
Inside the box
8
8
xG per shot
0.12
0.07

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Heracles Almelo

0.88 xG created 2.52 xGA

  • L 1.16 created, 2.55 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
  • L 1.12 created, 1.26 conceded against NAC Breda
  • L 0.80 created, 2.60 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
  • L 1.22 created, 3.26 conceded against PSV Eindhoven
  • D 0.31 created, 2.17 conceded against FC Utrecht
  • L 0.66 created, 3.28 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
Excelsior

1.35 xG created 1.75 xGA

  • W 0.86 created, 1.08 conceded against NAC Breda
  • L 0.75 created, 2.01 conceded against AZ Alkmaar
  • L 1.23 created, 1.93 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
  • L 1.86 created, 0.43 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
  • L 2.56 created, 1.69 conceded against SC Heerenveen
  • L 0.84 created, 3.36 conceded against Feyenoord

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Heracles Almelo: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.