Heracles Almelo 0:0 FC Utrecht: xG & match report · Eredivisie

Friday, 06/03/2026 at 20:00

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Match report · Eredivisie

Heracles Almelo Home 0.31 xG

FC Utrecht Away 2.17 xG

00 FC Utrecht had the better chances, but it finished level

The shots behind it

Heracles Almelo FC Utrecht

Shots: 10; 16
On target: 3; 3
Inside the box: 4; 14
xG per shot: 0.03; 0.14

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match

Heracles Almelo

1.39 xG created 1.96 xGA

L 2.05 created, 1.48 conceded against Feyenoord
W 2.01 created, 0.60 conceded against Fortuna Sittard
L 1.16 created, 2.55 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
L 1.12 created, 1.26 conceded against NAC Breda
L 0.80 created, 2.60 conceded against Go Ahead Eagles
L 1.22 created, 3.26 conceded against PSV Eindhoven

FC Utrecht

1.58 xG created 1.16 xGA

D 0.83 created, 1.64 conceded against SC Heerenveen
L 1.06 created, 0.95 conceded against Feyenoord
W 1.78 created, 1.99 conceded against NEC Nijmegen
W 2.44 created, 0.78 conceded against FC Groningen
D 2.11 created, 0.85 conceded against PEC Zwolle
W 1.27 created, 0.73 conceded against AZ Alkmaar

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Heracles Almelo: 0 won · 0 drawn · 1 lost

FC Utrecht 4:0 Heracles Almelo 10/08/2025 xG 1.98 – 0.82

Model details

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The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.