xgEdge

RC Sporting Charleroi's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 7 of 7 matching results

7 played this season

7 available results · Last 10 requested

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
6 wins, 0 draws, 1 loss

18 pts 15–7 goals +8 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
13.39 – 7.39
1.91 – 1.06 per match
xGD
+6.00
+0.86 per match
xG record
6 with the chances, 1 with even chances, 0 against them

Comparable xG: 7 of 7 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

18 pts 14.2 xPts

+3.8 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 7 of 7 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 10 · All competitions · All venues

RC Sporting Charleroi's winning record is broadly supported by the chances at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 6 of 7 matches, for +6.00 xG difference overall on 13.39–7.39. Their points total of 18 sits 3.8 above the model's 14.2 xPts, so the results have clearly outrun the chances.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 7 results RC Sporting Charleroi are 3.84 points above their xPts.

Points
18
xPts
14.16
Gap
+3.84
Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sat 22/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 05/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +0.53 +1.32 +1.87 +3.12 +1.07 +2.19 +3.84 +0.53 +0.79 +0.55 +1.25 -2.05 +1.12 +1.65 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
RC Sporting Charleroi: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 Oud-Heverlee Leuven 3 2.47 +0.53 +0.53
Sun 16/08 Lommel SK 3 2.21 +0.79 +1.32
Sat 22/08 KV Mechelen 3 2.45 +0.55 +1.87
Sat 29/08 KV Kortrijk 3 1.75 +1.25 +3.12
Sat 05/09 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0 2.05 -2.05 +1.07
Sun 13/09 SV Zulte Waregem 3 1.88 +1.12 +2.19
Sat 19/09 Cercle Brugge 3 1.35 +1.65 +3.84

Scores and xG

RC Sporting Charleroi first

  • Home Jupiler Pro League Win with even chances

    xG 2.04

    xGA 2.08

    xGD -0.04

    3:2 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Cercle Brugge, Sat 19/09

    The team won, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was stronger than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.35
    Points minus xPts
    +1.65

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.64

    xGA 1.00

    xGD +0.64

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · SV Zulte Waregem, Sun 13/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.88
    Points minus xPts
    +1.12

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Loss against the chances

    xG 2.18

    xGA 1.24

    xGD +0.94

    2:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, Sat 05/09

    The team lost despite recording a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    2.04
    Points minus xPts
    -2.04

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.69

    xGA 1.20

    xGD +0.49

    3:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KV Kortrijk, Sat 29/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.75
    Points minus xPts
    +1.25

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.44

    xGA 0.23

    xGD +1.21

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KV Mechelen, Sat 22/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.45
    Points minus xPts
    +0.55

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.25

    xGA 0.34

    xGD +0.91

    1:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Lommel SK, Sun 16/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.20
    Points minus xPts
    +0.80

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Win backed by the chances

    xG 3.15

    xGA 1.30

    xGD +1.85

    3:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Oud-Heverlee Leuven, Sun 09/08

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    2.47
    Points minus xPts
    +0.53

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

KV Kortrijk 3:1

· Away xG / xGA 1.69 – 1.20

Goal difference
+2
xGD
+0.49
GD minus xGD
+1.51

Among 7 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 2:3

· Home xG / xGA 2.18 – 1.24

Goal difference
-1
xGD
+0.94
GD minus xGD
-1.94

Among 7 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →