xgEdge

Royal Antwerp FC's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 5 of 7 matching results

7 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
0 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses

1 pts 6–14 goals −8 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
5.96 – 14.38
1.19 – 2.88 per match
xGD
-8.42
-1.68 per match
xG record
1 with the chances, 0 with even chances, 4 against them

Comparable xG: 5 of 5 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

1 pts 3.0 xPts

−2.0 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 5 of 5 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Last 5 · All competitions · All venues

Royal Antwerp FC's winless run follows chances that have gone against them at both ends. They out-created the opponent in 1 of 5 matches, for −8.42 xG difference overall on 5.96–14.38. Their points total of 1 sits 2.0 below the model's 3.0 xPts, so the chances have clearly outrun the results.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 5 results Royal Antwerp FC are 2.04 points below their xPts.

Points
1
xPts
3.04
Gap
-2.04
Sat 22/08 Sun 30/08 Sat 05/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.79 -0.93 -1.09 -1.98 -2.04 -0.79 -0.14 -0.16 -0.89 -0.06 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
Royal Antwerp FC: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sat 22/08 KRC Genk 1 1.79 -0.79 -0.79
Sun 30/08 Sint-Truidense VV 0 0.14 -0.14 -0.93
Sat 05/09 Standard Liège 0 0.16 -0.16 -1.09
Sun 13/09 Club Brugge KV 0 0.89 -0.89 -1.98
Sun 20/09 Royale Union Saint-Gilloise 0 0.06 -0.06 -2.04

Scores and xG

Royal Antwerp FC first

  • Home Jupiler Pro League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.41

    xGA 3.34

    xGD -2.93

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Royale Union Saint-Gilloise, Sun 20/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.07
    Points minus xPts
    -0.07

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 2.09

    xGA 2.94

    xGD -0.85

    1:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Club Brugge KV, Sun 13/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.89
    Points minus xPts
    -0.89

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Jupiler Pro League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.83

    xGA 3.42

    xGD -2.59

    0:1 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Standard Liège, Sat 05/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.16
    Points minus xPts
    -0.16

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 0.77

    xGA 3.38

    xGD -2.61

    1:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Sint-Truidense VV, Sun 30/08

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    0.14
    Points minus xPts
    -0.14

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Jupiler Pro League Draw against the chances

    xG 1.86

    xGA 1.30

    xGD +0.56

    4:4 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · KRC Genk, Sat 22/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    1.79
    Points minus xPts
    -0.79

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

Standard Liège 0:1

· Away xG / xGA 0.83 – 3.42

Goal difference
-1
xGD
-2.59
GD minus xGD
+1.59

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

Club Brugge KV 1:3

· Away xG / xGA 2.09 – 2.94

Goal difference
-2
xGD
-0.85
GD minus xGD
-1.15

Among 5 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

How the model works →