xgEdge

Expected goals

Gil Vicente expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Liga Portugal · after 6 matches · updated 1 Oct

Gil Vicente's attacking and defensive expected goals in Liga Portugal 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Gil Vicente xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.31 xG per match
#7/18
Attack (xG per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Benfica 2.32
#2 FC Porto 2.26
#3 Sporting 2.01
#4 Vitória SC 1.77
#5 FC Alverca 1.40
#6 Santa Clara 1.35
#7 Gil Vicente 1.31
#8 Académico Viseu FC 1.30
#9 Sporting Braga 1.25
#10 FC Arouca 1.24
#11 CF Estrela Amadora 1.23
#12 CD Nacional 1.15
#13 Famalicão 0.99
#14 Marítimo 0.94
#15 Casa Pia 0.89
#16 Estoril Praia 0.85
#17 Moreirense 0.68
#18 Rio Ave 0.54
League avg
1.31
Total
7.87 6 matches
Defence
0.88 xGA per match
#6/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Sporting Braga 0.65
#2 Benfica 0.65
#3 Santa Clara 0.69
#4 Vitória SC 0.77
#5 Sporting 0.79
#6 Gil Vicente 0.88
#7 FC Porto 0.98
#8 Famalicão 1.25
#9 Marítimo 1.32
#10 FC Arouca 1.38
#11 Estoril Praia 1.62
#12 CF Estrela Amadora 1.63
#13 Académico Viseu FC 1.71
#14 Moreirense 1.73
#15 FC Alverca 1.74
#16 Casa Pia 1.77
#17 CD Nacional 1.87
#18 Rio Ave 1.92
League avg
1.31
Total
5.27 6 matches
xG difference
+0.43 xGD per match
#7/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Benfica +1.66
#2 FC Porto +1.28
#3 Sporting +1.22
#4 Vitória SC +0.99
#5 Santa Clara +0.67
#6 Sporting Braga +0.60
#7 Gil Vicente +0.43
#8 FC Arouca -0.14
#9 Famalicão -0.26
#10 FC Alverca -0.34
#11 Marítimo -0.38
#12 CF Estrela Amadora -0.40
#13 Académico Viseu FC -0.41
#14 CD Nacional -0.72
#15 Estoril Praia -0.76
#16 Casa Pia -0.87
#17 Moreirense -1.06
#18 Rio Ave -1.38
League avg
0.00
Total
+2.60 6 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.76 xPts per match
#7/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Benfica 2.40
#2 FC Porto 2.22
#3 Sporting 2.17
#4 Vitória SC 1.96
#5 Santa Clara 1.93
#6 Sporting Braga 1.83
#7 Gil Vicente 1.76
#8 FC Arouca 1.37
#9 Famalicão 1.18
#10 CF Estrela Amadora 1.13
#11 Académico Viseu FC 1.08
#12 Marítimo 1.07
#13 CD Nacional 1.06
#14 FC Alverca 1.06
#15 Casa Pia 0.91
#16 Estoril Praia 0.82
#17 Moreirense 0.68
#18 Rio Ave 0.46
League avg
1.39
Total
10.59 vs 8 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 6 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Gil Vicente's underlying numbers sit close to the Liga Portugal average. They rank #7 for xG difference at +0.43 per match, built on high shot volume rather than low chance quality. Their 5 goals are 2.87 below 7.87 xG, while 8 points are 2.59 below 10.59 xPts. After only 6 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.76 xG from penalties
5 7.87 -2.87 scored 2.87 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
5 5.27 -0.27 conceded 0.27 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
8 10.59 -2.59 2.59 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Gil Vicente are 2.87 goals below their xG after 6 matches.

Goals
5
xG
7.87
Gap
-2.87
Sun 09/08 Mon 24/08 Sun 30/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.66 -0.40 -0.68 -2.56 -2.67 -2.87 -0.66 +0.26 -0.28 -1.88 -0.11 -0.20 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Gil Vicente: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 Rio Ave 1 1.66 -0.66 -0.66
Mon 24/08 Casa Pia 2 1.74 +0.26 -0.40
Sun 30/08 Famalicão 0 0.28 -0.28 -0.68
Sun 06/09 Académico Viseu FC 0 1.88 -1.88 -2.56
Sun 13/09 Benfica 1 1.11 -0.11 -2.67
Sat 19/09 Marítimo 1 1.20 -0.20 -2.87

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Gil Vicente xG trend

Current form +0.25 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 5 of 6 matches. The only negative was against Benfica on Sun 13/09 (-1.00).

npxG · last 6
1.02
npxGA · last 6
0.77
-1 0 +1 +2 +0.38 Sun 09/08 +0.19 Mon 24/08 +0.05 Sun 30/08 +1.55 Sun 06/09 -1.00 Sun 13/09 +0.34 Sat 19/09 +0.25 season avg
Gil Vicente: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 09/08 Rio Ave 0.69 0.31 +0.38 +0.38
Mon 24/08 Casa Pia 0.95 0.76 +0.19 +0.28
Sun 30/08 Famalicão 0.28 0.23 +0.05 +0.21
Sun 06/09 Académico Viseu FC 1.88 0.33 +1.55 +0.54
Sun 13/09 Benfica 1.11 2.11 -1.00 +0.23
Sat 19/09 Marítimo 1.20 0.86 +0.34 +0.25

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.02 npxG and 0.77 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 12 hardest of 18 in Liga Portugal
−0.06 xG vs league average
Over 6 league matches
Last 5
tied number 7 hardest of 18 in Liga Portugal
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.06 xG vs league average · over 6 matches · number 12 hardest of 18

  1. Marítimo Home −0.23
  2. Benfica Away +0.79
  3. Académico Viseu FC Home −0.07
  4. Famalicão Away +0.02
  5. Casa Pia Home −0.35
  6. Rio Ave Home −0.55

Last 5

+0.03 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 7 hardest of 18

  1. Marítimo Home −0.23
  2. Benfica Away +0.79
  3. Académico Viseu FC Home −0.07
  4. Famalicão Away +0.02
  5. Casa Pia Home −0.35

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Gil Vicente shots and chance quality

High volume, low quality. Gil Vicente take 14.0 shots a match (league 12.2) at 0.07 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #4 in Liga Portugal for volume and #15 for quality. 65% of their shots come from inside the box (league 63%), and set pieces produce 12% of their npxG (league 22%).

Attack

Shot volume
14.0 shots per match
#4/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club shots per match
=1 Benfica 19.1
=1 Vitória SC 19.1
#3 FC Porto 16.0
#4 Gil Vicente 14.0
#5 Sporting 13.4
=6 CF Estrela Amadora 13.1
=6 Santa Clara 13.1
#8 Estoril Praia 12.7
#9 Sporting Braga 12.5
#10 FC Alverca 11.9
#11 FC Arouca 10.9
#12 CD Nacional 10.7
#13 Marítimo 10.4
#14 Casa Pia 10.3
#15 Famalicão 9.6
#16 Académico Viseu FC 9.3
#17 Moreirense 7.3
#18 Rio Ave 7.1
League avg
12.2
Total
84 shots from 6 matches
Chance quality
0.07 npxG per shot
#15/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Académico Viseu FC 0.15
#2 Sporting 0.14
#3 FC Porto 0.12
#4 Benfica 0.11
#5 FC Alverca 0.11
#6 FC Arouca 0.11
#7 CD Nacional 0.10
#8 Sporting Braga 0.10
#9 Santa Clara 0.10
#10 Famalicão 0.09
#11 CF Estrela Amadora 0.09
#12 Vitória SC 0.09
#13 Marítimo 0.08
#14 Moreirense 0.08
#15 Gil Vicente 0.07
#16 Casa Pia 0.07
#17 Estoril Praia 0.06
#18 Rio Ave 0.06
League avg
0.10
Total
6.11 npxG from 84 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
9.8 shots per match
#6/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Vitória SC 7.1
#2 Benfica 7.6
#3 Santa Clara 8.1
#4 Sporting 8.6
#5 Sporting Braga 8.7
#6 Gil Vicente 9.8
#7 FC Porto 10.7
#8 CF Estrela Amadora 11.6
#9 Famalicão 12.0
#10 FC Alverca 12.1
#11 Marítimo 13.4
#12 Estoril Praia 13.9
#13 FC Arouca 14.9
#14 CD Nacional 15.1
=15 Casa Pia 15.7
=15 Moreirense 15.7
#17 Rio Ave 16.9
#18 Académico Viseu FC 17.6
League avg
12.2
Total
59 shots allowed from 6 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.08 npxGA per shot
#3/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Sporting Braga 0.06
#2 Santa Clara 0.07
#3 Gil Vicente 0.08
#4 Sporting 0.08
#5 FC Porto 0.08
#6 Académico Viseu FC 0.08
#7 Benfica 0.09
#8 Marítimo 0.09
#9 FC Arouca 0.09
#10 Famalicão 0.10
#11 Casa Pia 0.10
#12 Moreirense 0.10
#13 CD Nacional 0.10
#14 Estoril Praia 0.11
#15 Rio Ave 0.11
#16 Vitória SC 0.11
#17 CF Estrela Amadora 0.12
#18 FC Alverca 0.13
League avg
0.10
Total
4.60 npxGA from 59 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

65% inside the box

League avg 63%

From 55 of 84 shots over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

53% allowed inside the box

League avg 63%

From 31 of 59 shots allowed over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

88% open play · 12% set pieces

League avg 22% set pieces

From 0.7 of 6.2 npxG over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

88% open play · 12% set pieces

League avg 22% set pieces

From 0.5 of 4.6 npxG allowed over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Gil Vicente home and away xG

Gil Vicente per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away only 2 matches with xG
Matches 4 2
xG / match 1.62 0.70
xGA / match 0.54 1.57
xGD / match +1.09 -0.87
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.24 0.82

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Gil Vicente match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
6
xG / match
1.31
xGA / match
0.88
xGD / match
+0.43
Points
8 of 18
  1. Sat 19/09 Marítimo H xG 1.20 xGA 0.86 xGD +0.34
  2. Sun 13/09 Benfica A Weakest underlying xG 1.11 xGA 2.90 P xGD -1.79
  3. Sun 06/09 Académico Viseu FC H Against the chances xG 1.88 xGA 0.33 xGD +1.55
  4. Sun 30/08 Famalicão A xG 0.28 xGA 0.23 xGD +0.05
  5. Mon 24/08 Casa Pia H xG 1.74 P xGA 0.76 xGD +0.98
  6. Sun 09/08 Rio Ave H xG 1.66 P xGA 0.19 xGD +1.47

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Gil Vicente in Liga Portugal

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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