xgEdge

Expected goals

Moreirense expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Liga Portugal · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Moreirense's attacking and defensive expected goals in Liga Portugal 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Moreirense xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.68 xG per match
#17/18
Attack (xG per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Benfica 2.32
#2 FC Porto 2.26
#3 Sporting 2.01
#4 Vitória SC 1.77
#5 FC Alverca 1.40
#6 Santa Clara 1.35
#7 Gil Vicente 1.31
#8 Académico Viseu FC 1.30
#9 Sporting Braga 1.25
#10 FC Arouca 1.24
#11 CF Estrela Amadora 1.23
#12 CD Nacional 1.15
#13 Famalicão 0.99
#14 Marítimo 0.94
#15 Casa Pia 0.89
#16 Estoril Praia 0.85
#17 Moreirense 0.68
#18 Rio Ave 0.54
League avg
1.31
Total
4.74 7 matches
Defence
1.73 xGA per match
#14/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Sporting Braga 0.65
#2 Benfica 0.65
#3 Santa Clara 0.69
#4 Vitória SC 0.77
#5 Sporting 0.79
#6 Gil Vicente 0.88
#7 FC Porto 0.98
#8 Famalicão 1.25
#9 Marítimo 1.32
#10 FC Arouca 1.38
#11 Estoril Praia 1.62
#12 CF Estrela Amadora 1.63
#13 Académico Viseu FC 1.71
#14 Moreirense 1.73
#15 FC Alverca 1.74
#16 Casa Pia 1.77
#17 CD Nacional 1.87
#18 Rio Ave 1.92
League avg
1.31
Total
12.13 7 matches
xG difference
-1.06 xGD per match
#17/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Benfica +1.66
#2 FC Porto +1.28
#3 Sporting +1.22
#4 Vitória SC +0.99
#5 Santa Clara +0.67
#6 Sporting Braga +0.60
#7 Gil Vicente +0.43
#8 FC Arouca -0.14
#9 Famalicão -0.26
#10 FC Alverca -0.34
#11 Marítimo -0.38
#12 CF Estrela Amadora -0.40
#13 Académico Viseu FC -0.41
#14 CD Nacional -0.72
#15 Estoril Praia -0.76
#16 Casa Pia -0.87
#17 Moreirense -1.06
#18 Rio Ave -1.38
League avg
0.00
Total
-7.39 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.68 xPts per match
#17/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Benfica 2.40
#2 FC Porto 2.22
#3 Sporting 2.17
#4 Vitória SC 1.96
#5 Santa Clara 1.93
#6 Sporting Braga 1.83
#7 Gil Vicente 1.76
#8 FC Arouca 1.37
#9 Famalicão 1.18
#10 CF Estrela Amadora 1.13
#11 Académico Viseu FC 1.08
#12 Marítimo 1.07
#13 CD Nacional 1.06
#14 FC Alverca 1.06
#15 Casa Pia 0.91
#16 Estoril Praia 0.82
#17 Moreirense 0.68
#18 Rio Ave 0.46
League avg
1.39
Total
4.76 vs 8 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Moreirense's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Liga Portugal. They rank #17 for xG difference at -1.06 per match, from low shot volume and low chance quality. Their 8 goals are 3.26 above 4.74 xG, while 8 points are 3.24 above 4.76 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.76 xG from penalties
8 4.74 +3.26 scored 3.26 more than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
14 12.13 +1.87 conceded 1.87 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
8 4.76 +3.24 3.24 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Moreirense are 3.26 goals above their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
8
xG
4.74
Gap
+3.26
Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 30/08 Fri 04/09 Wed 09/09 Mon 14/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +1.79 +1.30 +2.02 +2.17 +1.78 +2.78 +3.26 +1.79 -0.49 +0.72 +0.15 -0.39 +1.00 +0.48 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Moreirense: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 Sporting Braga 2 0.21 +1.79 +1.79
Sun 16/08 FC Arouca 0 0.49 -0.49 +1.30
Sun 30/08 Casa Pia 1 0.28 +0.72 +2.02
Fri 04/09 FC Porto 1 0.85 +0.15 +2.17
Wed 09/09 Benfica 0 0.39 -0.39 +1.78
Mon 14/09 Marítimo 3 2.00 +1.00 +2.78
Sun 20/09 Vitória SC 1 0.52 +0.48 +3.26

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Moreirense xG trend

Current form -1.04 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 1 of 7 matches. The worst was against FC Porto on Fri 04/09 (-2.02).

npxG · last 6
0.63
npxGA · last 6
1.67
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.73 Sun 09/08 -1.80 Sun 16/08 -0.50 Sun 30/08 -2.02 Fri 04/09 -1.83 Wed 09/09 +0.45 Mon 14/09 -0.54 Sun 20/09 -1.00 season avg
Moreirense: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 09/08 Sporting Braga 0.21 0.94 -0.73 -0.73
Sun 16/08 FC Arouca 0.49 2.29 -1.80 -1.27
Sun 30/08 Casa Pia 0.28 0.78 -0.50 -1.01
Fri 04/09 FC Porto 0.88 2.90 -2.02 -1.26
Wed 09/09 Benfica 0.39 2.22 -1.83 -1.38
Mon 14/09 Marítimo 1.21 0.76 +0.45 -1.07
Sun 20/09 Vitória SC 0.52 1.06 -0.54 -1.00

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.57 npxG and 1.56 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 2 hardest of 18 in Liga Portugal
+0.17 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 1 hardest of 18 in Liga Portugal
+0.22 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.17 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 2 hardest of 18

  1. Vitória SC Away +0.40
  2. Marítimo Home −0.23
  3. Benfica Home +0.79
  4. FC Porto Away +0.47
  5. Casa Pia Away −0.35
  6. FC Arouca Away −0.08
  7. Sporting Braga Home +0.15

Last 5

+0.22 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 1 hardest of 18

  1. Vitória SC Away +0.40
  2. Marítimo Home −0.23
  3. Benfica Home +0.79
  4. FC Porto Away +0.47
  5. Casa Pia Away −0.35

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Moreirense shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. Moreirense take 7.3 shots a match (league 12.2) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #17 in Liga Portugal for volume and #14 for quality. 57% of their shots come from inside the box (league 63%), and set pieces produce 26% of their npxG (league 22%).

Attack

Shot volume
7.3 shots per match
#17/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club shots per match
=1 Benfica 19.1
=1 Vitória SC 19.1
#3 FC Porto 16.0
#4 Gil Vicente 14.0
#5 Sporting 13.4
=6 CF Estrela Amadora 13.1
=6 Santa Clara 13.1
#8 Estoril Praia 12.7
#9 Sporting Braga 12.5
#10 FC Alverca 11.9
#11 FC Arouca 10.9
#12 CD Nacional 10.7
#13 Marítimo 10.4
#14 Casa Pia 10.3
#15 Famalicão 9.6
#16 Académico Viseu FC 9.3
#17 Moreirense 7.3
#18 Rio Ave 7.1
League avg
12.2
Total
51 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#14/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Académico Viseu FC 0.15
#2 Sporting 0.14
#3 FC Porto 0.12
#4 Benfica 0.11
#5 FC Alverca 0.11
#6 FC Arouca 0.11
#7 CD Nacional 0.10
#8 Sporting Braga 0.10
#9 Santa Clara 0.10
#10 Famalicão 0.09
#11 CF Estrela Amadora 0.09
#12 Vitória SC 0.09
#13 Marítimo 0.08
#14 Moreirense 0.08
#15 Gil Vicente 0.07
#16 Casa Pia 0.07
#17 Estoril Praia 0.06
#18 Rio Ave 0.06
League avg
0.10
Total
3.98 npxG from 51 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.7 shots per match
=15/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Vitória SC 7.1
#2 Benfica 7.6
#3 Santa Clara 8.1
#4 Sporting 8.6
#5 Sporting Braga 8.7
#6 Gil Vicente 9.8
#7 FC Porto 10.7
#8 CF Estrela Amadora 11.6
#9 Famalicão 12.0
#10 FC Alverca 12.1
#11 Marítimo 13.4
#12 Estoril Praia 13.9
#13 FC Arouca 14.9
#14 CD Nacional 15.1
=15 Casa Pia 15.7
=15 Moreirense 15.7
#17 Rio Ave 16.9
#18 Académico Viseu FC 17.6
League avg
12.2
Total
110 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#12/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Sporting Braga 0.06
#2 Santa Clara 0.07
#3 Gil Vicente 0.08
#4 Sporting 0.08
#5 FC Porto 0.08
#6 Académico Viseu FC 0.08
#7 Benfica 0.09
#8 Marítimo 0.09
#9 FC Arouca 0.09
#10 Famalicão 0.10
#11 Casa Pia 0.10
#12 Moreirense 0.10
#13 CD Nacional 0.10
#14 Estoril Praia 0.11
#15 Rio Ave 0.11
#16 Vitória SC 0.11
#17 CF Estrela Amadora 0.12
#18 FC Alverca 0.13
League avg
0.10
Total
10.95 npxGA from 110 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

57% inside the box

League avg 63%

From 29 of 51 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

69% allowed inside the box

League avg 63%

From 76 of 110 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

74% open play · 26% set pieces

League avg 22% set pieces

From 1.0 of 4.0 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

64% open play · 36% set pieces

League avg 22% set pieces

From 3.9 of 10.9 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Moreirense home and away xG

Moreirense per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 4
xG / match 0.87 0.54
xGA / match 1.75 1.72
xGD / match -0.88 -1.19
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.91 0.51

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Moreirense match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
0.68
xGA / match
1.73
xGD / match
-1.06
Points
8 of 21
  1. Sun 20/09 Vitória SC A xG 0.52 xGA 1.07 xGD -0.55
  2. Mon 14/09 Marítimo H Best underlying xG 2.00 P xGA 0.76 xGD +1.24
  3. Wed 09/09 Benfica H Weakest underlying xG 0.39 xGA 2.99 P xGD -2.60
  4. Fri 04/09 FC Porto A xG 0.85 xGA 2.90 xGD -2.05
  5. Sun 30/08 Casa Pia A xG 0.28 xGA 0.77 xGD -0.49
  6. Sun 16/08 FC Arouca A xG 0.49 xGA 2.14 xGD -1.65
  7. Sun 09/08 Sporting Braga H xG 0.21 xGA 1.50 P xGD -1.29

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Moreirense in Liga Portugal

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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