xgEdge

Expected goals

Santa Clara expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Liga Portugal · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Santa Clara's attacking and defensive expected goals in Liga Portugal 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Santa Clara xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.35 xG per match
#6/18
Attack (xG per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Benfica 2.32
#2 FC Porto 2.26
#3 Sporting 2.01
#4 Vitória SC 1.77
#5 FC Alverca 1.40
#6 Santa Clara 1.35
#7 Gil Vicente 1.31
#8 Académico Viseu FC 1.30
#9 Sporting Braga 1.25
#10 FC Arouca 1.24
#11 CF Estrela Amadora 1.23
#12 CD Nacional 1.15
#13 Famalicão 0.99
#14 Marítimo 0.94
#15 Casa Pia 0.89
#16 Estoril Praia 0.85
#17 Moreirense 0.68
#18 Rio Ave 0.54
League avg
1.31
Total
9.47 7 matches
Defence
0.69 xGA per match
#3/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Sporting Braga 0.65
#2 Benfica 0.65
#3 Santa Clara 0.69
#4 Vitória SC 0.77
#5 Sporting 0.79
#6 Gil Vicente 0.88
#7 FC Porto 0.98
#8 Famalicão 1.25
#9 Marítimo 1.32
#10 FC Arouca 1.38
#11 Estoril Praia 1.62
#12 CF Estrela Amadora 1.63
#13 Académico Viseu FC 1.71
#14 Moreirense 1.73
#15 FC Alverca 1.74
#16 Casa Pia 1.77
#17 CD Nacional 1.87
#18 Rio Ave 1.92
League avg
1.31
Total
4.81 7 matches
xG difference
+0.67 xGD per match
#5/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Benfica +1.66
#2 FC Porto +1.28
#3 Sporting +1.22
#4 Vitória SC +0.99
#5 Santa Clara +0.67
#6 Sporting Braga +0.60
#7 Gil Vicente +0.43
#8 FC Arouca -0.14
#9 Famalicão -0.26
#10 FC Alverca -0.34
#11 Marítimo -0.38
#12 CF Estrela Amadora -0.40
#13 Académico Viseu FC -0.41
#14 CD Nacional -0.72
#15 Estoril Praia -0.76
#16 Casa Pia -0.87
#17 Moreirense -1.06
#18 Rio Ave -1.38
League avg
0.00
Total
+4.66 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.93 xPts per match
#5/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Benfica 2.40
#2 FC Porto 2.22
#3 Sporting 2.17
#4 Vitória SC 1.96
#5 Santa Clara 1.93
#6 Sporting Braga 1.83
#7 Gil Vicente 1.76
#8 FC Arouca 1.37
#9 Famalicão 1.18
#10 CF Estrela Amadora 1.13
#11 Académico Viseu FC 1.08
#12 Marítimo 1.07
#13 CD Nacional 1.06
#14 FC Alverca 1.06
#15 Casa Pia 0.91
#16 Estoril Praia 0.82
#17 Moreirense 0.68
#18 Rio Ave 0.46
League avg
1.39
Total
13.54 vs 15 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Santa Clara's underlying numbers are among the best in Liga Portugal. They rank #5 for xG difference at +0.67 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 11 goals are 1.53 above 9.47 xG, while 15 points are 1.46 above 13.54 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.63 xG from penalties
11 9.47 +1.53 scored 1.53 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
4 4.81 -0.81 conceded 0.81 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
15 13.54 +1.46 1.46 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Santa Clara are 1.53 goals above their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at +2.57, against FC Arouca on Sun 13/09.

Goals
11
xG
9.47
Gap
+1.53
Mon 10/08 Sat 15/08 Sun 23/08 Sat 29/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.57 +0.30 -0.06 -0.47 +1.73 +2.57 +1.53 +0.57 -0.27 -0.36 -0.41 +2.20 +0.84 -1.04 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Santa Clara: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Mon 10/08 CD Nacional 2 1.43 +0.57 +0.57
Sat 15/08 Académico Viseu FC 1 1.27 -0.27 +0.30
Sun 23/08 Famalicão 1 1.36 -0.36 -0.06
Sat 29/08 FC Alverca 1 1.41 -0.41 -0.47
Sun 06/09 Rio Ave 4 1.80 +2.20 +1.73
Sun 13/09 FC Arouca 2 1.16 +0.84 +2.57
Sun 20/09 Sporting Braga 0 1.04 -1.04 +1.53

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Santa Clara xG trend

Current form +0.61 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 7 matches. The only negative was against Académico Viseu FC on Sat 15/08 (-0.21).

npxG · last 6
1.23
npxGA · last 6
0.62
-1 0 +1 +2 +1.02 Mon 10/08 -0.21 Sat 15/08 +0.31 Sun 23/08 +1.00 Sat 29/08 +1.58 Sun 06/09 +0.43 Sun 13/09 +0.54 Sun 20/09 +0.67 season avg
Santa Clara: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Mon 10/08 CD Nacional 1.47 0.45 +1.02 +1.02
Sat 15/08 Académico Viseu FC 0.48 0.69 -0.21 +0.41
Sun 23/08 Famalicão 1.36 1.05 +0.31 +0.37
Sat 29/08 FC Alverca 1.41 0.41 +1.00 +0.53
Sun 06/09 Rio Ave 1.90 0.32 +1.58 +0.74
Sun 13/09 FC Arouca 1.16 0.73 +0.43 +0.69
Sun 20/09 Sporting Braga 1.06 0.52 +0.54 +0.67

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.26 npxG and 0.60 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 16 hardest of 18 in Liga Portugal
−0.13 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 14 hardest of 18 in Liga Portugal
−0.11 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.13 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · tied number 16 hardest of 18

  1. Sporting Braga Home +0.15
  2. FC Arouca Away −0.08
  3. Rio Ave Home −0.55
  4. FC Alverca Away −0.10
  5. Famalicão Home +0.02
  6. Académico Viseu FC Away −0.07
  7. CD Nacional Home −0.27

Last 5

−0.11 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 14 hardest of 18

  1. Sporting Braga Home +0.15
  2. FC Arouca Away −0.08
  3. Rio Ave Home −0.55
  4. FC Alverca Away −0.10
  5. Famalicão Home +0.02

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Santa Clara shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Santa Clara take 13.1 shots a match (league 12.2) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), =6 in Liga Portugal for volume and #9 for quality. 65% of their shots come from inside the box (league 63%), and set pieces produce 16% of their npxG (league 22%).

Attack

Shot volume
13.1 shots per match
=6/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club shots per match
=1 Benfica 19.1
=1 Vitória SC 19.1
#3 FC Porto 16.0
#4 Gil Vicente 14.0
#5 Sporting 13.4
=6 CF Estrela Amadora 13.1
=6 Santa Clara 13.1
#8 Estoril Praia 12.7
#9 Sporting Braga 12.5
#10 FC Alverca 11.9
#11 FC Arouca 10.9
#12 CD Nacional 10.7
#13 Marítimo 10.4
#14 Casa Pia 10.3
#15 Famalicão 9.6
#16 Académico Viseu FC 9.3
#17 Moreirense 7.3
#18 Rio Ave 7.1
League avg
12.2
Total
92 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#9/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Académico Viseu FC 0.15
#2 Sporting 0.14
#3 FC Porto 0.12
#4 Benfica 0.11
#5 FC Alverca 0.11
#6 FC Arouca 0.11
#7 CD Nacional 0.10
#8 Sporting Braga 0.10
#9 Santa Clara 0.10
#10 Famalicão 0.09
#11 CF Estrela Amadora 0.09
#12 Vitória SC 0.09
#13 Marítimo 0.08
#14 Moreirense 0.08
#15 Gil Vicente 0.07
#16 Casa Pia 0.07
#17 Estoril Praia 0.06
#18 Rio Ave 0.06
League avg
0.10
Total
8.84 npxG from 92 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
8.1 shots per match
#3/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Vitória SC 7.1
#2 Benfica 7.6
#3 Santa Clara 8.1
#4 Sporting 8.6
#5 Sporting Braga 8.7
#6 Gil Vicente 9.8
#7 FC Porto 10.7
#8 CF Estrela Amadora 11.6
#9 Famalicão 12.0
#10 FC Alverca 12.1
#11 Marítimo 13.4
#12 Estoril Praia 13.9
#13 FC Arouca 14.9
#14 CD Nacional 15.1
=15 Casa Pia 15.7
=15 Moreirense 15.7
#17 Rio Ave 16.9
#18 Académico Viseu FC 17.6
League avg
12.2
Total
57 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.07 npxGA per shot
#2/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Liga Portugal, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Sporting Braga 0.06
#2 Santa Clara 0.07
#3 Gil Vicente 0.08
#4 Sporting 0.08
#5 FC Porto 0.08
#6 Académico Viseu FC 0.08
#7 Benfica 0.09
#8 Marítimo 0.09
#9 FC Arouca 0.09
#10 Famalicão 0.10
#11 Casa Pia 0.10
#12 Moreirense 0.10
#13 CD Nacional 0.10
#14 Estoril Praia 0.11
#15 Rio Ave 0.11
#16 Vitória SC 0.11
#17 CF Estrela Amadora 0.12
#18 FC Alverca 0.13
League avg
0.10
Total
4.17 npxGA from 57 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

65% inside the box

League avg 63%

From 60 of 92 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

60% allowed inside the box

League avg 63%

From 34 of 57 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

84% open play · 16% set pieces

League avg 22% set pieces

From 1.4 of 8.8 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

75% open play · 25% set pieces

League avg 22% set pieces

From 1.1 of 4.1 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Santa Clara home and away xG

Santa Clara per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 1.41 1.28
xGA / match 0.78 0.57
xGD / match +0.63 +0.71
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.89 1.99

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Santa Clara match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
1.35
xGA / match
0.69
xGD / match
+0.67
Points
15 of 21
  1. Sun 20/09 Sporting Braga H xG 1.04 xGA 0.50 xGD +0.54
  2. Sun 13/09 FC Arouca A xG 1.16 xGA 0.72 xGD +0.44
  3. Sun 06/09 Rio Ave H Best underlying xG 1.80 xGA 0.32 xGD +1.48
  4. Sat 29/08 FC Alverca A xG 1.41 xGA 0.41 xGD +1.00
  5. Sun 23/08 Famalicão H xG 1.36 xGA 1.05 xGD +0.31
  6. Sat 15/08 Académico Viseu FC A xG 1.27 P xGA 0.58 xGD +0.69
  7. Mon 10/08 CD Nacional H Weakest underlying xG 1.43 xGA 1.23 P xGD +0.20

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Santa Clara in Liga Portugal

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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