xgEdge

Expected goals

FC Spartak Trnava expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Niké Liga (Slovakia) · after 4 matches · updated 1 Oct

FC Spartak Trnava's attacking and defensive expected goals in Niké Liga (Slovakia) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FC Spartak Trnava xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
2.57 xG per match
#1/12
Attack (xG per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 2.57
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2.40
#3 DAC 1904 2.10
#4 MŠK Žilina 1.88
#5 MFK Ružomberok 1.78
#6 AS Trenčín 1.72
#7 FC Košice 1.69
#8 KFC Komárno 1.66
#9 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 1.61
#10 MFK Skalica 1.28
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 1.11
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.97
League avg
1.72
Total
10.29 4 matches
Defence
0.96 xGA per match
#1/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 0.96
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1.12
#3 KFC Komárno 1.32
#4 DAC 1904 1.38
#5 MŠK Žilina 1.44
#6 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 1.84
#7 MFK Ružomberok 1.84
#8 MFK Skalica 1.98
#9 Dukla Banská Bystrica 2.09
#10 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 2.16
#11 AS Trenčín 2.23
#12 FC Košice 2.48
League avg
1.72
Total
3.85 4 matches
xG difference
+1.61 xGD per match
#1/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava +1.61
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava +1.28
#3 DAC 1904 +0.73
#4 MŠK Žilina +0.45
#5 KFC Komárno +0.34
#6 MFK Ružomberok -0.06
#7 AS Trenčín -0.50
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová -0.54
#9 MFK Skalica -0.71
#10 MFK Zemplín Michalovce -0.73
#11 FC Košice -0.79
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica -1.11
League avg
0.00
Total
+6.44 4 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
2.25 xPts per match
#1/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 2.25
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2.08
#3 DAC 1904 1.91
#4 MŠK Žilina 1.64
#5 KFC Komárno 1.59
#6 MFK Ružomberok 1.38
#7 FC Košice 1.16
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 1.11
#9 AS Trenčín 1.09
#10 MFK Skalica 0.98
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 0.97
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.79
League avg
1.41
Total
9.00 vs 18 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 4 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 4 of 9 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

FC Spartak Trnava's underlying numbers are league-leading. They rank #1 for xG difference at +1.61 per match, driven by both elite shot volume and the league's best chance quality. After only 4 matches, treat every figure here as provisional.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
11 10.29 +0.71 Too early to read
Goals conceded vs xGA
1 3.85 -2.85 Too early to read
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
12 9.00 +3.00 Too early to read

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FC Spartak Trnava are 0.71 goals above their xG after 4 matches.

Goals
11
xG
10.29
Gap
+0.71
Sun 02/08 Sat 08/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 23/08 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.08 -0.74 -1.47 +0.71 +0.08 -0.82 -0.73 +2.18 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FC Spartak Trnava: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 02/08 KFC Komárno 2 1.92 +0.08 +0.08
Sat 08/08 Dukla Banská Bystrica 3 3.82 -0.82 -0.74
Sun 16/08 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 2 2.73 -0.73 -1.47
Sun 23/08 AS Trenčín 4 1.82 +2.18 +0.71

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

FC Spartak Trnava xG trend

Current form +1.61 npxGD per match

All 4 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 4 of 4 matches.

npxG · last 4
2.57
npxGA · last 4
0.96
-1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +0.33 Sun 02/08 +3.26 Sat 08/08 +2.47 Sun 16/08 +0.38 Sun 23/08 +1.61 season avg
FC Spartak Trnava: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 02/08 KFC Komárno 1.92 1.59 +0.33 +0.33
Sat 08/08 Dukla Banská Bystrica 3.82 0.56 +3.26 +1.80
Sun 16/08 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 2.73 0.26 +2.47 +2.02
Sun 23/08 AS Trenčín 1.82 1.44 +0.38 +1.61

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.57 npxG and 0.96 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 12 hardest of 12 in Niké Liga (Slovakia)
−0.12 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 7 hardest of 12 in Niké Liga (Slovakia)
+0.01 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.12 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · number 12 hardest of 12

  1. DAC 1904 Away +0.51
  2. FC Košice Home −0.14
  3. MFK Ružomberok Away −0.22
  4. MŠK Žilina Home +0.16
  5. AS Trenčín Away −0.26
  6. MFK Zemplín Michalovce Home −0.30
  7. Dukla Banská Bystrica Home −0.38
  8. KFC Komárno Away −0.01
  9. MFK Skalica Home −0.44

Last 5

+0.01 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 7 hardest of 12

  1. DAC 1904 Away +0.51
  2. FC Košice Home −0.14
  3. MFK Ružomberok Away −0.22
  4. MŠK Žilina Home +0.16
  5. AS Trenčín Away −0.26

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FC Spartak Trnava shots and chance quality

High volume, high quality. FC Spartak Trnava take 17.5 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.15 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #3 in Niké Liga (Slovakia) for volume and #1 for quality. 74% of their shots come from inside the box (league 65%).

Attack

Shot volume
17.5 shots per match
#3/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
=1 DAC 1904 17.6
=1 MŠK Žilina 17.6
#3 FC Spartak Trnava 17.5
#4 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 16.9
#5 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 15.0
#6 MFK Ružomberok 14.2
#7 AS Trenčín 13.4
#8 MFK Skalica 12.2
#9 FC Košice 12.0
#10 KFC Komárno 11.9
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 11.3
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 11.2
League avg
14.1
Total
70 shots from 4 matches
Chance quality
0.15 npxG per shot
#1/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 0.15
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 0.14
#3 FC Košice 0.14
#4 KFC Komárno 0.14
#5 AS Trenčín 0.13
#6 MFK Ružomberok 0.13
#7 DAC 1904 0.12
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 0.11
#9 MŠK Žilina 0.11
#10 MFK Skalica 0.11
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 0.10
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
10.29 npxG from 70 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
9.5 shots per match
#1/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 9.5
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 10.9
#3 DAC 1904 12.8
#4 MFK Ružomberok 13.2
#5 MŠK Žilina 13.6
#6 FC Košice 14.0
#7 Dukla Banská Bystrica 14.5
#8 KFC Komárno 14.7
#9 MFK Skalica 15.5
#10 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 16.3
#11 AS Trenčín 16.6
#12 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 16.8
League avg
14.1
Total
38 shots allowed from 4 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#2/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KFC Komárno 0.09
#2 FC Spartak Trnava 0.10
#3 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 0.10
#4 MŠK Žilina 0.11
#5 DAC 1904 0.11
#6 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 0.11
#7 MFK Skalica 0.13
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 0.13
#9 AS Trenčín 0.13
#10 MFK Ružomberok 0.14
#11 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.14
#12 FC Košice 0.18
League avg
0.12
Total
3.85 npxGA from 38 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

74% inside the box

League avg 65%

From 52 of 70 shots over 4 matches

Early-season figure: after 4 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

68% allowed inside the box

League avg 65%

From 26 of 38 shots allowed over 4 matches

Early-season figure: after 4 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

FC Spartak Trnava home and away xG

FC Spartak Trnava per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home only 2 matches with xG Away only 2 matches with xG
Matches 5 2 with xG 4 2 with xG
xG / match 3.28 1.87
xGA / match 0.41 1.52
xGD / match +2.86 +0.36
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.87 1.63

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FC Spartak Trnava match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9 4 with xG
xG / match
2.57
xGA / match
0.96
xGD / match
+1.61
Points
18 of 27
  1. Sun 20/09 DAC 1904 A
  2. Sat 12/09 FC Košice H
  3. Sun 06/09 MFK Ružomberok A
  4. Sun 30/08 MŠK Žilina H
  5. Sun 23/08 AS Trenčín A xG 1.82 xGA 1.44 xGD +0.38
  6. Sun 16/08 MFK Zemplín Michalovce H xG 2.73 xGA 0.26 xGD +2.47
  7. Sat 08/08 Dukla Banská Bystrica H xG 3.82 xGA 0.56 xGD +3.26
  8. Sun 02/08 KFC Komárno A xG 1.92 xGA 1.59 xGD +0.33
  9. Sat 25/07 MFK Skalica H

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.82. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FC Spartak Trnava in Niké Liga (Slovakia)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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