xgEdge

Expected goals

Brinje Grosuplje expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

PrvaLiga (Slovenia) · after 10 matches · updated 1 Oct

Brinje Grosuplje's attacking and defensive expected goals in PrvaLiga (Slovenia) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Brinje Grosuplje xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.25 xG per match
#10/10
Attack (xG per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 1.76
#2 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 1.66
#3 NK Celje 1.59
#4 FC Koper 1.53
#5 NK Bravo 1.48
#6 NK Maribor 1.48
#7 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 1.44
#8 Kalcer Radomlje 1.31
#9 NŠ Mura 1.26
#10 Brinje Grosuplje 1.25
League avg
1.48
Total
12.54 10 matches
Defence
1.77 xGA per match
#8/10
Defence (xGA per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 NK Maribor 0.84
#2 NK Celje 1.05
#3 FC Koper 1.28
#4 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 1.32
#5 NŠ Mura 1.39
#6 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 1.48
#7 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 1.70
#8 Brinje Grosuplje 1.77
#9 NK Bravo 1.92
#10 Kalcer Radomlje 1.96
League avg
1.48
Total
17.73 10 matches
xG difference
-0.52 xGD per match
#9/10
xG difference (xGD per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 NK Maribor +0.64
#2 NK Celje +0.54
#3 NK Olimpija Ljubljana +0.34
#4 FC Koper +0.25
#5 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 +0.05
#6 NK Aluminij Kidričevo -0.05
#7 NŠ Mura -0.13
#8 NK Bravo -0.44
#9 Brinje Grosuplje -0.52
#10 Kalcer Radomlje -0.65
League avg
0.00
Total
-5.19 10 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.06 xPts per match
#9/10
Expected points (xPts per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 NK Maribor 1.84
#2 NK Celje 1.78
#3 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 1.61
#4 FC Koper 1.55
#5 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 1.37
#6 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 1.29
#7 NŠ Mura 1.22
#8 NK Bravo 1.06
#9 Brinje Grosuplje 1.06
#10 Kalcer Radomlje 0.99
League avg
1.37
Total
10.61 vs 11 actual pts

What the xG says

Brinje Grosuplje's underlying numbers are among the weakest in PrvaLiga (Slovenia). They rank #9 for xG difference at -0.52 per match, built on elite chance quality rather than the league's lowest shot volume. Their 14 goals are 1.46 above 12.54 xG, while 11 points are 0.39 above 10.61 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
14 12.54 +1.46 scored 1.46 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
18 17.73 +0.27 conceded 0.27 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
11 10.61 +0.39 0.39 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Brinje Grosuplje are 1.46 goals above their xG after 10 matches. The gap was widest at +2.51, against NK Celje on Sun 30/08.

Goals
14
xG
12.54
Gap
+1.46
Sat 18/07 Sat 25/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Fri 21/08 Sun 30/08 Sat 05/09 Fri 11/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.86 +0.51 +0.82 -0.25 -0.73 +0.07 +2.51 +1.61 +1.52 +1.46 +0.86 -0.35 +0.31 -1.07 -0.48 +0.80 +2.44 -0.90 -0.09 -0.06 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Brinje Grosuplje: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 18/07 Kalcer Radomlje 2 1.14 +0.86 +0.86
Sat 25/07 NK Maribor 0 0.35 -0.35 +0.51
Sun 02/08 FC Koper 1 0.69 +0.31 +0.82
Sun 09/08 NK Bravo 1 2.07 -1.07 -0.25
Sun 16/08 NŠ Mura 1 1.48 -0.48 -0.73
Fri 21/08 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 2 1.20 +0.80 +0.07
Sun 30/08 NK Celje 4 1.56 +2.44 +2.51
Sat 05/09 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 0 0.90 -0.90 +1.61
Fri 11/09 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 1 1.09 -0.09 +1.52
Sun 20/09 Kalcer Radomlje 2 2.06 -0.06 +1.46

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Brinje Grosuplje xG trend

Current form -0.71 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 4 of 10 matches. The worst was against NK Aluminij Kidričevo on Fri 21/08 (-2.33).

npxG · last 6
1.39
npxGA · last 6
2.09
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.30 Sat 18/07 -1.03 Sat 25/07 -0.32 Sun 02/08 +0.90 Sun 09/08 -0.23 Sun 16/08 -2.33 Fri 21/08 +0.08 Sun 30/08 -1.97 Sat 05/09 -0.37 Fri 11/09 +0.57 Sun 20/09 -0.44 season avg
Brinje Grosuplje: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 18/07 Kalcer Radomlje 1.14 0.84 +0.30 +0.30
Sat 25/07 NK Maribor 0.35 1.38 -1.03 -0.37
Sun 02/08 FC Koper 0.69 1.01 -0.32 -0.35
Sun 09/08 NK Bravo 2.18 1.28 +0.90 -0.04
Sun 16/08 NŠ Mura 1.49 1.72 -0.23 -0.08
Fri 21/08 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 1.20 3.53 -2.33 -0.45
Sun 30/08 NK Celje 1.56 1.48 +0.08 -0.38
Sat 05/09 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 0.90 2.87 -1.97 -0.58
Fri 11/09 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 1.09 1.46 -0.37 -0.55
Sun 20/09 Kalcer Radomlje 2.07 1.50 +0.57 -0.44

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.27 npxG and 1.71 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 7 hardest of 10 in PrvaLiga (Slovenia)
−0.02 xG vs league average
Over 10 league matches
Last 5
number 8 hardest of 10 in PrvaLiga (Slovenia)
−0.08 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.02 xG vs league average · over 10 matches · number 7 hardest of 10

  1. Kalcer Radomlje Home −0.52
  2. NK Nafta Lendava 1903 Home −0.20
  3. NK Olimpija Ljubljana Away +0.25
  4. NK Celje Home +0.35
  5. NK Aluminij Kidričevo Away −0.28
  6. NŠ Mura Home +0.23
  7. NK Bravo Away −0.09
  8. FC Koper Home +0.15
  9. NK Maribor Away +0.38
  10. Kalcer Radomlje Away −0.52

Last 5

−0.08 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 8 hardest of 10

  1. Kalcer Radomlje Home −0.52
  2. NK Nafta Lendava 1903 Home −0.20
  3. NK Olimpija Ljubljana Away +0.25
  4. NK Celje Home +0.35
  5. NK Aluminij Kidričevo Away −0.28

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Brinje Grosuplje shots and chance quality

Low volume, high quality. Brinje Grosuplje take 8.8 shots a match (league 11.8) at 0.14 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #10 in PrvaLiga (Slovenia) for volume and #2 for quality. 61% of their shots come from inside the box (league 60%).

Attack

Shot volume
8.8 shots per match
#10/10
Shot volume (shots per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 14.9
#2 NK Maribor 13.8
#3 NK Celje 12.1
#4 NŠ Mura 12.1
#5 FC Koper 12.0
#6 NK Bravo 11.9
#7 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 11.4
#8 Kalcer Radomlje 10.9
#9 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 10.0
#10 Brinje Grosuplje 8.8
League avg
11.8
Total
88 shots from 10 matches
Chance quality
0.14 npxG per shot
#2/10
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 0.15
#2 Brinje Grosuplje 0.14
#3 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 0.14
#4 NK Celje 0.12
#5 FC Koper 0.12
#6 Kalcer Radomlje 0.11
#7 NK Bravo 0.11
#8 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 0.11
#9 NŠ Mura 0.10
#10 NK Maribor 0.10
League avg
0.12
Total
12.67 npxG from 88 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
10.8 shots per match
=4/10
Shots allowed (shots per match) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 NK Maribor 8.7
#2 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 9.6
#3 NK Celje 9.9
=4 Brinje Grosuplje 10.8
=4 NŠ Mura 10.8
#6 FC Koper 11.5
#7 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 12.1
#8 Kalcer Radomlje 12.8
#9 NK Bravo 14.6
#10 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 17.1
League avg
11.8
Total
108 shots allowed from 10 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.16 npxGA per shot
#10/10
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across PrvaLiga (Slovenia), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 NK Maribor 0.10
#2 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 0.10
#3 NK Celje 0.11
#4 FC Koper 0.11
#5 NK Aluminij Kidričevo 0.11
#6 NŠ Mura 0.12
#7 NK Olimpija Ljubljana 0.12
#8 NK Bravo 0.13
#9 Kalcer Radomlje 0.15
#10 Brinje Grosuplje 0.16
League avg
0.12
Total
17.07 npxGA from 108 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

61% inside the box

League avg 60%

From 54 of 88 shots over 10 matches

Shots allowed, location

70% allowed inside the box

League avg 60%

From 76 of 108 shots allowed over 10 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Brinje Grosuplje home and away xG

Brinje Grosuplje per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 5 5
xG / match 1.38 1.13
xGA / match 1.57 1.98
xGD / match -0.19 -0.85
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.20 0.92

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Brinje Grosuplje match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
10
xG / match
1.25
xGA / match
1.77
xGD / match
-0.52
Points
11 of 30
  1. Sun 20/09 Kalcer Radomlje H xG 2.06 xGA 1.50 xGD +0.56
  2. Fri 11/09 NK Nafta Lendava 1903 H xG 1.09 xGA 1.46 xGD -0.37
  3. Sat 05/09 NK Olimpija Ljubljana A xG 0.90 xGA 2.87 xGD -1.97
  4. Sun 30/08 NK Celje H xG 1.56 xGA 1.48 xGD +0.08
  5. Fri 21/08 NK Aluminij Kidričevo A Weakest underlying xG 1.20 xGA 3.53 xGD -2.33
  6. Sun 16/08 NŠ Mura H xG 1.48 xGA 1.72 xGD -0.24
  7. Sun 09/08 NK Bravo A Best underlying xG 2.07 xGA 1.28 xGD +0.79
  8. Sun 02/08 FC Koper H xG 0.69 xGA 1.67 P xGD -0.98
  9. Sat 25/07 NK Maribor A xG 0.35 xGA 1.38 xGD -1.03
  10. Sat 18/07 Kalcer Radomlje A xG 1.14 xGA 0.84 xGD +0.30

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.53. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Brinje Grosuplje in PrvaLiga (Slovenia)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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