xgEdge

Expected goals

AE Kifisia expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Super League Greece · after 4 matches · updated 1 Oct

AE Kifisia's attacking and defensive expected goals in Super League Greece 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

AE Kifisia xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.33 xG per match
#6/14
Attack (xG per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Panathinaikos 2.13
#2 AEK Athens 2.02
#3 PAOK 1.85
#4 Olympiacos FC 1.81
#5 Aris Thessaloniki 1.52
#6 AE Kifisia 1.33
#7 PS Kalamata 1.26
#8 Asteras Aktor 1.04
#9 OFI Crete 1.04
#10 NPS Volos 0.93
#11 Atromitos Athens 0.91
#12 Panetolikos 0.89
#13 APO Levadiakos 0.62
#14 Iraklis 1908 0.57
League avg
1.27
Total
5.31 4 matches
Defence
0.70 xGA per match
#2/14
Defence (xGA per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Olympiacos FC 0.56
#2 AE Kifisia 0.70
#3 Panathinaikos 0.81
#4 AEK Athens 0.95
#5 OFI Crete 1.18
#6 PAOK 1.20
#7 Asteras Aktor 1.24
#8 APO Levadiakos 1.41
#9 Iraklis 1908 1.45
#10 Atromitos Athens 1.53
#11 NPS Volos 1.53
#12 PS Kalamata 1.57
#13 Panetolikos 1.59
#14 Aris Thessaloniki 1.81
League avg
1.27
Total
2.81 4 matches
xG difference
+0.63 xGD per match
#5/14
xG difference (xGD per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Panathinaikos +1.31
#2 Olympiacos FC +1.25
#3 AEK Athens +1.07
#4 PAOK +0.65
#5 AE Kifisia +0.63
#6 OFI Crete -0.14
#7 Asteras Aktor -0.20
#8 Aris Thessaloniki -0.28
#9 PS Kalamata -0.31
#10 NPS Volos -0.60
#11 Atromitos Athens -0.62
#12 Panetolikos -0.70
#13 APO Levadiakos -0.79
#14 Iraklis 1908 -0.88
League avg
0.00
Total
+2.50 4 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.92 xPts per match
#4/14
Expected points (xPts per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Olympiacos FC 2.25
#2 Panathinaikos 2.17
#3 AEK Athens 1.96
#4 AE Kifisia 1.92
#5 PAOK 1.88
#6 Aris Thessaloniki 1.39
#7 Asteras Aktor 1.22
#8 OFI Crete 1.22
#9 PS Kalamata 1.20
#10 Atromitos Athens 1.02
#11 Panetolikos 1.02
#12 NPS Volos 0.94
#13 APO Levadiakos 0.71
#14 Iraklis 1908 0.65
League avg
1.38
Total
7.68 vs 5 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 4 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 4 of 5 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

AE Kifisia's underlying numbers are among the best in Super League Greece. They rank #5 for xG difference at +0.63 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. After only 4 matches, treat every figure here as provisional.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.79 xG from penalties
3 5.31 -2.31 Too early to read
Goals conceded vs xGA
4 2.81 +1.19 Too early to read
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
5 7.68 -2.68 Too early to read

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

AE Kifisia are 2.31 goals below their xG after 4 matches. The gap was widest at -2.59, against APO Levadiakos on Sun 13/09.

Goals
3
xG
5.31
Gap
-2.31
Sun 30/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.11 -1.21 -2.59 -2.31 -0.11 -1.10 -1.38 +0.28 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
AE Kifisia: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 30/08 AEK Athens 1 1.11 -0.11 -0.11
Sun 06/09 OFI Crete 0 1.10 -1.10 -1.21
Sun 13/09 APO Levadiakos 0 1.38 -1.38 -2.59
Sat 19/09 Atromitos Athens 2 1.72 +0.28 -2.31

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

AE Kifisia xG trend

Current form +0.43 npxGD per match

All 4 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 4 matches. The only negative was against Atromitos Athens on Sat 19/09 (-0.26).

npxG · last 4
1.13
npxGA · last 4
0.70
-1 0 +1 +0.69 Sun 30/08 +0.43 Sun 06/09 +0.85 Sun 13/09 -0.26 Sat 19/09 +0.43 season avg
AE Kifisia: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 30/08 AEK Athens 1.11 0.42 +0.69 +0.69
Sun 06/09 OFI Crete 1.10 0.67 +0.43 +0.56
Sun 13/09 APO Levadiakos 1.38 0.53 +0.85 +0.66
Sat 19/09 Atromitos Athens 0.93 1.19 -0.26 +0.43

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.13 npxG and 0.70 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 3 hardest of 14 in Super League Greece
+0.09 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.09 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 3 hardest of 14

  1. Atromitos Athens Away −0.10
  2. APO Levadiakos Home −0.21
  3. Panathinaikos Away +0.39
  4. OFI Crete Away −0.22
  5. AEK Athens Home +0.61

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

AE Kifisia shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. AE Kifisia take 11.5 shots a match (league 12.5) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.09), #9 in Super League Greece for volume and #5 for quality. 65% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 23% of their npxG (league 23%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.5 shots per match
#9/14
Shot volume (shots per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Olympiacos FC 19.2
#2 Panathinaikos 18.0
#3 AEK Athens 17.2
#4 Aris Thessaloniki 16.2
#5 PAOK 12.2
=6 Asteras Aktor 11.6
=6 Atromitos Athens 11.6
=6 PS Kalamata 11.6
#9 AE Kifisia 11.5
#10 NPS Volos 11.2
#11 OFI Crete 10.8
#12 APO Levadiakos 9.2
#13 Panetolikos 8.8
#14 Iraklis 1908 7.8
League avg
12.5
Total
46 shots from 4 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#5/14
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Panetolikos 0.13
#2 PAOK 0.13
#3 PS Kalamata 0.11
#4 AEK Athens 0.11
#5 AE Kifisia 0.10
#6 Panathinaikos 0.09
#7 OFI Crete 0.08
#8 NPS Volos 0.08
#9 Olympiacos FC 0.08
#10 Asteras Aktor 0.08
#11 Aris Thessaloniki 0.08
#12 Atromitos Athens 0.07
#13 Iraklis 1908 0.07
#14 APO Levadiakos 0.07
League avg
0.09
Total
4.52 npxG from 46 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
8.3 shots per match
#1/14
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 AE Kifisia 8.3
#2 Panathinaikos 8.7
#3 Olympiacos FC 9.0
#4 AEK Athens 10.6
#5 Aris Thessaloniki 11.4
#6 NPS Volos 12.4
#7 Asteras Aktor 12.6
#8 APO Levadiakos 13.0
#9 PAOK 13.2
#10 Atromitos Athens 13.6
#11 OFI Crete 14.0
#12 Panetolikos 14.5
#13 PS Kalamata 14.8
#14 Iraklis 1908 17.6
League avg
12.5
Total
33 shots allowed from 4 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#5/14
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Olympiacos FC 0.06
#2 OFI Crete 0.07
#3 Iraklis 1908 0.07
#4 PAOK 0.07
#5 AE Kifisia 0.09
#6 Panetolikos 0.09
#7 NPS Volos 0.09
#8 Atromitos Athens 0.09
#9 AEK Athens 0.09
#10 PS Kalamata 0.10
#11 Asteras Aktor 0.10
#12 APO Levadiakos 0.10
#13 Panathinaikos 0.13
#14 Aris Thessaloniki 0.15
League avg
0.09
Total
2.81 npxGA from 33 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

65% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 30 of 46 shots over 4 matches

Early-season figure: after 4 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

55% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 18 of 33 shots allowed over 4 matches

Early-season figure: after 4 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

77% open play · 23% set pieces

League avg 23% set pieces

From 1.0 of 4.5 npxG over 4 matches

Early-season figure: after 4 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

88% open play · 12% set pieces

League avg 23% set pieces

From 0.3 of 2.8 npxG allowed over 4 matches

Early-season figure: after 4 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

AE Kifisia home and away xG

AE Kifisia per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home only 2 matches with xG Away only 2 matches with xG
Matches 2 3 2 with xG
xG / match 1.25 1.41
xGA / match 0.48 0.93
xGD / match +0.77 +0.48
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.07 1.77

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every AE Kifisia match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
5 4 with xG
xG / match
1.33
xGA / match
0.70
xGD / match
+0.63
Points
5 of 15
  1. Sat 19/09 Atromitos Athens A xG 1.72 P xGA 1.19 xGD +0.53
  2. Sun 13/09 APO Levadiakos H xG 1.38 xGA 0.53 xGD +0.85
  3. Thu 10/09 Panathinaikos A
  4. Sun 06/09 OFI Crete A xG 1.10 xGA 0.67 xGD +0.43
  5. Sun 30/08 AEK Athens H xG 1.11 xGA 0.42 xGD +0.69

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

AE Kifisia in Super League Greece

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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