xgEdge

Expected goals

Göztepe expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Süper Lig · after 6 matches · updated 1 Oct

Göztepe's attacking and defensive expected goals in Süper Lig 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Göztepe xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.99 xG per match
#3/18
Attack (xG per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Galatasaray 2.36
#2 Fenerbahçe 2.32
#3 Göztepe 1.99
#4 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 1.95
#5 Beşiktaş 1.85
#6 Trabzonspor 1.71
#7 Başakşehir FK 1.63
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 1.43
#9 Çorum FK 1.30
#10 Alanyaspor 1.24
#11 Konyaspor 1.24
#12 Samsunspor 1.15
#13 Kasımpaşa 1.14
#14 Gaziantep FK 1.11
#15 Kocaelispor 1.04
#16 Gençlerbirliği 1.01
#17 Eyüpspor 0.82
#18 Erzurumspor FK 0.67
League avg
1.44
Total
11.96 6 matches
Defence
1.92 xGA per match
#16/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Beşiktaş 0.66
#2 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.99
#3 Kasımpaşa 1.04
#4 Galatasaray 1.12
#5 Fenerbahçe 1.13
#6 Konyaspor 1.22
#7 Alanyaspor 1.28
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 1.31
#9 Kocaelispor 1.41
#10 Gaziantep FK 1.47
#11 Samsunspor 1.53
=12 Trabzonspor 1.56
=12 Çorum FK 1.56
#14 Erzurumspor FK 1.59
#15 Başakşehir FK 1.88
#16 Göztepe 1.92
#17 Eyüpspor 2.15
#18 Gençlerbirliği 2.16
League avg
1.44
Total
11.53 6 matches
xG difference
+0.07 xGD per match
#8/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Galatasaray +1.24
#2 Beşiktaş +1.19
#3 Fenerbahçe +1.19
#4 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler +0.96
#5 Trabzonspor +0.16
#6 Çaykur Rizespor +0.11
#7 Kasımpaşa +0.10
#8 Göztepe +0.07
#9 Konyaspor +0.02
#10 Alanyaspor -0.04
#11 Başakşehir FK -0.25
#12 Çorum FK -0.25
#13 Gaziantep FK -0.36
#14 Kocaelispor -0.37
#15 Samsunspor -0.37
#16 Erzurumspor FK -0.92
#17 Gençlerbirliği -1.15
#18 Eyüpspor -1.32
League avg
0.00
Total
+0.43 6 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.47 xPts per match
#6/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Beşiktaş 2.23
#2 Galatasaray 2.12
#3 Fenerbahçe 1.97
#4 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 1.84
#5 Çaykur Rizespor 1.54
#6 Göztepe 1.47
#7 Trabzonspor 1.45
#8 Başakşehir FK 1.40
#9 Kasımpaşa 1.39
#10 Konyaspor 1.38
#11 Çorum FK 1.36
#12 Alanyaspor 1.29
#13 Kocaelispor 1.13
#14 Gaziantep FK 1.11
#15 Samsunspor 1.02
#16 Erzurumspor FK 0.82
#17 Gençlerbirliği 0.72
#18 Eyüpspor 0.71
League avg
1.39
Total
8.81 vs 3 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 6 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Göztepe's underlying numbers sit close to the Süper Lig average. They rank #8 for xG difference at +0.07 per match, built on high shot volume rather than low chance quality. Their 11 goals are 0.96 below 11.96 xG, while 3 points are 5.81 below 8.81 xPts. After only 6 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 4.07 xG from penalties
11 11.96 -0.96 scored 0.96 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
15 11.53 +3.47 conceded 3.47 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
3 8.81 -5.81 5.81 points below xPts far outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Göztepe are 0.96 goals below their xG after 6 matches.

Goals
11
xG
11.96
Gap
-0.96
Mon 17/08 Sun 23/08 Sat 29/08 Mon 07/09 Sat 12/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +1.29 -0.63 +0.74 -0.52 -0.31 -0.96 +1.29 -1.92 +1.37 -1.26 +0.21 -0.65 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Göztepe: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Mon 17/08 Samsunspor 3 1.71 +1.29 +1.29
Sun 23/08 Gençlerbirliği 0 1.92 -1.92 -0.63
Sat 29/08 Galatasaray 2 0.63 +1.37 +0.74
Mon 07/09 Gaziantep FK 2 3.26 -1.26 -0.52
Sat 12/09 Alanyaspor 2 1.79 +0.21 -0.31
Sun 20/09 Çaykur Rizespor 2 2.65 -0.65 -0.96

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Göztepe xG trend

Current form -0.10 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 6 matches. The worst was against Galatasaray on Sat 29/08 (-1.58).

npxG · last 6
1.32
npxGA · last 6
1.42
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.73 Mon 17/08 -0.41 Sun 23/08 -1.58 Sat 29/08 +0.20 Mon 07/09 -0.75 Sat 12/09 +1.18 Sun 20/09 -0.10 season avg
Göztepe: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Mon 17/08 Samsunspor 1.90 1.17 +0.73 +0.73
Sun 23/08 Gençlerbirliği 1.11 1.52 -0.41 +0.16
Sat 29/08 Galatasaray 0.61 2.19 -1.58 -0.42
Mon 07/09 Gaziantep FK 1.43 1.23 +0.20 -0.26
Sat 12/09 Alanyaspor 0.95 1.70 -0.75 -0.36
Sun 20/09 Çaykur Rizespor 1.89 0.71 +1.18 -0.10

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.32 npxG and 1.42 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 14 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
−0.04 xG vs league average
Over 6 league matches
Last 5
tied number 9 hardest of 18 in Süper Lig
−0.01 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.04 xG vs league average · over 6 matches · tied number 14 hardest of 18

  1. Çaykur Rizespor Home −0.02
  2. Alanyaspor Away −0.10
  3. Gaziantep FK Home −0.18
  4. Galatasaray Away +0.67
  5. Gençlerbirliği Home −0.40
  6. Samsunspor Away −0.22

Last 5

−0.01 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 9 hardest of 18

  1. Çaykur Rizespor Home −0.02
  2. Alanyaspor Away −0.10
  3. Gaziantep FK Home −0.18
  4. Galatasaray Away +0.67
  5. Gençlerbirliği Home −0.40

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Göztepe shots and chance quality

High volume, low quality. Göztepe take 17.2 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.08 npxG a shot (league 0.09), #4 in Süper Lig for volume and #14 for quality. 76% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 37% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume
17.2 shots per match
#4/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Galatasaray 22.7
#2 Fenerbahçe 18.3
#3 Beşiktaş 17.8
#4 Göztepe 17.2
#5 Çaykur Rizespor 15.5
#6 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 14.7
#7 Trabzonspor 14.2
#8 Samsunspor 13.2
=9 Başakşehir FK 13.0
=9 Eyüpspor 13.0
=9 Gaziantep FK 13.0
=9 Çorum FK 13.0
#13 Kocaelispor 12.3
#14 Gençlerbirliği 12.0
#15 Kasımpaşa 11.8
#16 Konyaspor 11.7
#17 Alanyaspor 10.8
#18 Erzurumspor FK 9.0
League avg
14.1
Total
103 shots from 6 matches
Chance quality
0.08 npxG per shot
#14/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Fenerbahçe 0.12
#2 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.12
#3 Alanyaspor 0.11
#4 Trabzonspor 0.11
#5 Konyaspor 0.10
#6 Galatasaray 0.10
#7 Başakşehir FK 0.09
#8 Beşiktaş 0.09
#9 Çorum FK 0.08
#10 Gençlerbirliği 0.08
#11 Kasımpaşa 0.08
#12 Erzurumspor FK 0.08
#13 Çaykur Rizespor 0.08
#14 Göztepe 0.08
#15 Kocaelispor 0.08
#16 Gaziantep FK 0.07
#17 Samsunspor 0.06
#18 Eyüpspor 0.06
League avg
0.09
Total
7.89 npxG from 103 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
18.2 shots per match
=17/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Beşiktaş 8.5
#2 Galatasaray 10.0
#3 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 11.0
#4 Fenerbahçe 12.5
#5 Trabzonspor 12.7
=6 Başakşehir FK 13.5
=6 Kasımpaşa 13.5
#8 Erzurumspor FK 13.7
#9 Alanyaspor 14.2
#10 Gaziantep FK 14.3
#11 Eyüpspor 14.5
#12 Çaykur Rizespor 14.8
#13 Konyaspor 15.0
#14 Samsunspor 15.3
#15 Çorum FK 16.2
#16 Kocaelispor 17.2
=17 Gençlerbirliği 18.2
=17 Göztepe 18.2
League avg
14.1
Total
109 shots allowed from 6 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.08 npxGA per shot
#7/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Süper Lig, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Konyaspor 0.07
#2 Beşiktaş 0.07
#3 Kasımpaşa 0.07
#4 Gaziantep FK 0.08
#5 Alanyaspor 0.08
#6 Amed Sportif Faaliyetler 0.08
#7 Göztepe 0.08
#8 Çaykur Rizespor 0.08
#9 Kocaelispor 0.08
#10 Çorum FK 0.08
#11 Fenerbahçe 0.09
#12 Trabzonspor 0.09
#13 Samsunspor 0.09
#14 Galatasaray 0.10
#15 Gençlerbirliği 0.10
#16 Erzurumspor FK 0.11
#17 Eyüpspor 0.12
#18 Başakşehir FK 0.13
League avg
0.09
Total
8.52 npxGA from 109 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

76% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 78 of 103 shots over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

72% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 78 of 109 shots allowed over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

63% open play · 37% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 2.9 of 7.9 npxG over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

80% open play · 20% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.7 of 8.5 npxG allowed over 6 matches

Early-season figure: after 6 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Göztepe home and away xG

Göztepe per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 3
xG / match 2.61 1.38
xGA / match 1.38 2.46
xGD / match +1.23 -1.09
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.16 0.78

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Göztepe match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
6
xG / match
1.99
xGA / match
1.92
xGD / match
+0.07
Points
3 of 18
  1. Sun 20/09 Çaykur Rizespor H Best underlying xG 2.65 P xGA 0.70 xGD +1.95
  2. Sat 12/09 Alanyaspor A xG 1.79 P xGA 1.72 xGD +0.07
  3. Mon 07/09 Gaziantep FK H Against the chances xG 3.26 P xGA 1.88 P xGD +1.38
  4. Sat 29/08 Galatasaray A Weakest underlying xG 0.63 xGA 2.87 P xGD -2.24
  5. Sun 23/08 Gençlerbirliği H xG 1.92 P xGA 1.56 xGD +0.36
  6. Mon 17/08 Samsunspor A xG 1.71 xGA 2.80 P xGD -1.09

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.26. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Göztepe in Süper Lig

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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