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Expected goals

FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

SuperLiga (Romania) · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc's attacking and defensive expected goals in SuperLiga (Romania) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.74 xG per match
#16/16
Attack (xG per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 2.45
#2 FCSB 2.18
#3 FC Dinamo București 2.17
#4 CFR 1907 Cluj 1.99
#5 FC Botoșani 1.99
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.98
#7 UTA Arad 1.87
#8 FC Rapid București 1.79
#9 FC Farul Constanța 1.63
#10 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.61
#11 FC Voluntari 1.53
#12 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1.34
#13 SC Oțelul Galați 1.33
#14 Sepsi OSK 1.19
#15 FC Argeș Pitești 1.18
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.74
League avg
1.69
Total
6.63 9 matches
Defence
1.95 xGA per match
#12/16
Defence (xGA per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 1.11
#2 FC Rapid București 1.12
#3 FC Dinamo București 1.15
#4 FC Argeș Pitești 1.21
#5 UTA Arad 1.24
#6 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.49
#7 FC Farul Constanța 1.68
#8 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.70
#9 FCSB 1.70
#10 Sepsi OSK 1.73
#11 SC Oțelul Galați 1.78
#12 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1.95
#13 CFR 1907 Cluj 2.04
#14 FC Botoșani 2.10
#15 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 2.38
#16 FC Voluntari 2.61
League avg
1.69
Total
17.57 9 matches
xG difference
-1.22 xGD per match
#16/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova +1.34
#2 FC Dinamo București +1.02
#3 FC Rapid București +0.67
#4 UTA Arad +0.63
#5 FCSB +0.48
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj +0.28
#7 FC Corvinul Hunedoara +0.11
#8 FC Argeș Pitești -0.03
#9 CFR 1907 Cluj -0.05
#10 FC Farul Constanța -0.05
#11 FC Botoșani -0.11
#12 SC Oțelul Galați -0.45
#13 Sepsi OSK -0.54
#14 FC Petrolul Ploieşti -1.04
#15 FC Voluntari -1.08
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc -1.22
League avg
0.00
Total
-10.94 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.55 xPts per match
#16/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 FC Dinamo București 2.04
#2 Universitatea Craiova 2.03
#3 FC Rapid București 1.78
#4 UTA Arad 1.78
#5 FCSB 1.59
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.55
#7 FC Farul Constanța 1.45
#8 CFR 1907 Cluj 1.43
#9 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.39
#10 FC Argeș Pitești 1.37
#11 FC Botoșani 1.34
#12 Sepsi OSK 1.10
#13 SC Oțelul Galați 1.09
#14 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1.06
#15 FC Voluntari 0.81
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.55
League avg
1.40
Total
4.98 vs 1 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 9 of 10 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc's underlying numbers are among the weakest in SuperLiga (Romania). They rank #16 for xG difference at -1.22 per match, from the league's lowest shot volume and the league's lowest chance quality. Their 6 goals are 0.63 below 6.63 xG, while 1 point is 3.98 below 4.98 xPts — both over the 9 matches with xG. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
6 6.63 -0.63 scored 0.63 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
20 17.57 +2.43 conceded 2.43 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1 4.98 -3.98 3.98 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc are 0.63 goals below their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at -1.16, against FC Botoșani on Mon 24/08.

Goals
6
xG
6.63
Gap
-0.63
Sun 26/07 Fri 31/07 Sat 08/08 Sat 15/08 Mon 24/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 05/09 Fri 11/09 Mon 21/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.26 -0.26 +1.19 -0.15 -1.16 -0.12 -0.28 -0.06 -0.63 -0.26 +0.00 +1.45 -1.34 -1.01 +1.04 -0.16 +0.22 -0.57 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 FCSB 0 0.26 -0.26 -0.26
Fri 31/07 FC Argeș Pitești 0 0.00 +0.00 -0.26
Sat 08/08 FC Farul Constanța 2 0.55 +1.45 +1.19
Sat 15/08 Sepsi OSK 0 1.34 -1.34 -0.15
Mon 24/08 FC Botoșani 0 1.01 -1.01 -1.16
Sat 29/08 CFR 1907 Cluj 2 0.96 +1.04 -0.12
Sat 05/09 UTA Arad 1 1.16 -0.16 -0.28
Fri 11/09 FC Dinamo București 1 0.78 +0.22 -0.06
Mon 21/09 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 0 0.57 -0.57 -0.63

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc xG trend

Current form -1.10 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 1 of 9 matches. The worst was against FC Argeș Pitești on Fri 31/07 (-2.20).

npxG · last 6
0.97
npxGA · last 6
2.07
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.50 Sun 26/07 -2.20 Fri 31/07 -0.66 Sat 08/08 +0.03 Sat 15/08 -0.80 Mon 24/08 -1.06 Sat 29/08 -1.70 Sat 05/09 -1.47 Fri 11/09 -1.58 Mon 21/09 -1.22 season avg
FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 26/07 FCSB 0.26 1.76 -1.50 -1.50
Fri 31/07 FC Argeș Pitești 0.00 2.20 -2.20 -1.85
Sat 08/08 FC Farul Constanța 0.55 1.21 -0.66 -1.45
Sat 15/08 Sepsi OSK 1.34 1.31 +0.03 -1.08
Mon 24/08 FC Botoșani 1.01 1.81 -0.80 -1.03
Sat 29/08 CFR 1907 Cluj 0.96 2.02 -1.06 -1.03
Sat 05/09 UTA Arad 1.16 2.86 -1.70 -1.13
Fri 11/09 FC Dinamo București 0.78 2.25 -1.47 -1.17
Mon 21/09 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 0.57 2.15 -1.58 -1.22

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.74 npxG and 1.95 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 5 hardest of 16 in SuperLiga (Romania)
+0.01 xG vs league average
Over 10 league matches
Last 5
number 6 hardest of 16 in SuperLiga (Romania)
+0.06 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.01 xG vs league average · over 10 matches · tied number 5 hardest of 16

  1. FC Petrolul Ploieşti Away −0.46
  2. FC Dinamo București Home +0.64
  3. UTA Arad Away +0.18
  4. CFR 1907 Cluj Home +0.13
  5. FC Botoșani Away −0.20
  6. Sepsi OSK Home −0.35
  7. FC Farul Constanța Away −0.05
  8. FC Argeș Pitești Away −0.15
  9. FCSB Home +0.29
  10. FC Corvinul Hunedoara Away +0.06

Last 5

+0.06 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 6 hardest of 16

  1. FC Petrolul Ploieşti Away −0.46
  2. FC Dinamo București Home +0.64
  3. UTA Arad Away +0.18
  4. CFR 1907 Cluj Home +0.13
  5. FC Botoșani Away −0.20

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc take 8.3 shots a match (league 14.5) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #16 in SuperLiga (Romania) for volume and #16 for quality. 49% of their shots come from inside the box (league 60%).

Attack

Shot volume
8.3 shots per match
#16/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 19.2
#2 FC Dinamo București 17.7
#3 UTA Arad 17.4
#4 FCSB 17.2
#5 FC Rapid București 17.1
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj 15.2
#7 CFR 1907 Cluj 15.0
#8 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 14.8
#9 FC Farul Constanța 14.6
#10 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 13.2
#11 FC Argeș Pitești 13.1
#12 FC Botoșani 13.1
#13 FC Voluntari 12.9
#14 SC Oțelul Galați 12.7
#15 Sepsi OSK 11.3
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 8.3
League avg
14.5
Total
75 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#16/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC Botoșani 0.15
#2 CFR 1907 Cluj 0.13
#3 FC Universitatea Cluj 0.13
#4 Universitatea Craiova 0.13
#5 FCSB 0.13
#6 FC Dinamo București 0.12
#7 FC Voluntari 0.12
#8 FC Farul Constanța 0.11
#9 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 0.11
#10 UTA Arad 0.11
#11 Sepsi OSK 0.11
#12 SC Oțelul Galați 0.11
#13 FC Rapid București 0.10
#14 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 0.10
#15 FC Argeș Pitești 0.09
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
6.63 npxG from 75 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
16.3 shots per match
#12/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC Dinamo București 10.4
#2 Universitatea Craiova 10.7
#3 UTA Arad 11.0
#4 FC Argeș Pitești 11.5
#5 FC Rapid București 12.8
#6 FC Farul Constanța 13.6
#7 CFR 1907 Cluj 14.3
#8 FC Universitatea Cluj 14.6
#9 FCSB 14.6
#10 SC Oțelul Galați 15.8
#11 FC Botoșani 15.9
#12 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 16.3
#13 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 16.6
#14 Sepsi OSK 16.9
#15 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 18.4
#16 FC Voluntari 18.8
League avg
14.5
Total
147 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#11/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Rapid București 0.09
#2 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 0.09
#3 Sepsi OSK 0.10
#4 Universitatea Craiova 0.10
#5 FC Argeș Pitești 0.11
#6 FC Dinamo București 0.11
#7 SC Oțelul Galați 0.11
#8 UTA Arad 0.11
#9 FCSB 0.12
#10 FC Universitatea Cluj 0.12
#11 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.12
#12 FC Farul Constanța 0.12
#13 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 0.13
#14 FC Botoșani 0.13
#15 FC Voluntari 0.14
#16 CFR 1907 Cluj 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
17.57 npxGA from 147 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

49% inside the box

League avg 60%

From 37 of 75 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

62% allowed inside the box

League avg 60%

From 91 of 147 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc home and away xG

FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 6 5 with xG
xG / match 0.84 0.66
xGA / match 1.84 2.05
xGD / match -1.00 -1.39
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.66 0.47

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
10 9 with xG
xG / match
0.74
xGA / match
1.95
xGD / match
-1.22
Points
1 of 30
  1. Mon 21/09 FC Petrolul Ploieşti A xG 0.57 xGA 2.15 xGD -1.58
  2. Fri 11/09 FC Dinamo București H xG 0.78 xGA 2.25 xGD -1.47
  3. Sat 05/09 UTA Arad A xG 1.16 xGA 2.86 xGD -1.70
  4. Sat 29/08 CFR 1907 Cluj H xG 0.96 xGA 2.02 xGD -1.06
  5. Mon 24/08 FC Botoșani A xG 1.01 xGA 1.81 xGD -0.80
  6. Sat 15/08 Sepsi OSK H Best underlying xG 1.34 xGA 1.31 xGD +0.03
  7. Sat 08/08 FC Farul Constanța A xG 0.55 xGA 1.21 xGD -0.66
  8. Fri 31/07 FC Argeș Pitești A Weakest underlying xG 0.00 xGA 2.20 xGD -2.20
  9. Sun 26/07 FCSB H xG 0.26 xGA 1.76 xGD -1.50
  10. Mon 20/07 FC Corvinul Hunedoara A

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc in SuperLiga (Romania)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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