Sunday, 01/11/2026 at 17:00
25d 10h to kick-offFK Radnički Niš – FK Železničar Pančevo
Model updated 7 October, 06:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- FK Radnički Niš
- 37%
- Draw
- 30%
- FK Železničar Pančevo
- 33%
| FK Radnički Niš | Draw | FK Železničar Pančevo | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 2.68 | 3.37 | 3.04 |
- Total goals
- 2.80
- Over 2.5 goals
- 54%
- Both teams to score
- 62%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model can't separate them
37% FK Radnički Niš to win
- Attack
- 8th vs 3rd
- FK Radnički Niš attack v FK Železničar Pančevo defence
- Defence
- 8th vs 5th
- FK Radnički Niš defence v FK Železničar Pančevo attack
- Recent xG form
- -0.39 vs +0.63
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 1.44 – 1.35
- FK Radnički Niš v FK Železničar Pančevo
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | FK Radnički Niš | FK Železničar Pančevo |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | 1.48 · 10th | (better) 2.13 · 5th |
| xGA / match | 1.42 · 5th | (better) 1.26 · 3rd |
| xGD / match | +0.06 · 8th | (better) +0.87 · 3rd |
| xPts / match | 1.51 · 7th | (better) 1.78 · 5th |
| Last 6 xGD / match | -0.39 | (better) +0.63 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 34% of the model's distribution.
- FK Radnički Niš clean sheet
- 23%
- FK Radnički Niš 2+ goals
- 44%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 46%
- Both teams to score: no
- 38%
Most likely scorelines
- 1:1
- 14.7%
- 2:1
- 9.9%
- 1:2
- 9.2%
Check your bookmaker's price
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How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- FK Radnički Niš sample
- 20 matches
- FK Železničar Pančevo sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · FK Radnički Niš
- 3 matches
- Away xG sample · FK Železničar Pančevo
- 1 match
- Computed
- Wednesday, 07/10/2026 at 06:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.