xgEdge

Expected goals

FK Železničar Pančevo expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

SuperLiga (Serbia) · after 5 matches · updated 1 Oct

FK Železničar Pančevo's attacking and defensive expected goals in SuperLiga (Serbia) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FK Železničar Pančevo xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
2.13 xG per match
#5/14
Attack (xG per match) across SuperLiga (Serbia), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 FK Crvena zvezda 2.78
#2 FK Vojvodina 2.77
#3 FK Partizan 2.36
#4 FK Radnički 1923 2.14
#5 FK Železničar Pančevo 2.13
#6 FK Novi Pazar 2.00
#7 FK IMT Beograd 1.85
#8 FK Radnik Surdulica 1.62
#9 FK Čukarički 1.50
#10 FK Radnički Niš 1.48
#11 OFK Beograd 1.29
#12 FK Mladost Lučani 1.08
#13 FK Mačva Šabac 0.80
#14 FK Zemun 0.73
League avg
1.76
Total
10.64 5 matches
Defence
1.26 xGA per match
#3/14
Defence (xGA per match) across SuperLiga (Serbia), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FK Crvena zvezda 0.98
#2 FK IMT Beograd 1.13
#3 FK Železničar Pančevo 1.26
#4 FK Radnički 1923 1.35
#5 FK Radnički Niš 1.42
#6 FK Radnik Surdulica 1.46
#7 FK Vojvodina 1.49
#8 FK Partizan 1.55
#9 FK Čukarički 1.67
#10 FK Novi Pazar 2.04
#11 OFK Beograd 2.09
#12 FK Mladost Lučani 2.11
#13 FK Mačva Šabac 2.46
#14 FK Zemun 3.60
League avg
1.76
Total
6.30 5 matches
xG difference
+0.87 xGD per match
#3/14
xG difference (xGD per match) across SuperLiga (Serbia), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 FK Crvena zvezda +1.80
#2 FK Vojvodina +1.28
#3 FK Železničar Pančevo +0.87
#4 FK Partizan +0.81
#5 FK Radnički 1923 +0.79
#6 FK IMT Beograd +0.72
#7 FK Radnik Surdulica +0.16
#8 FK Radnički Niš +0.06
#9 FK Novi Pazar -0.04
#10 FK Čukarički -0.16
#11 OFK Beograd -0.80
#12 FK Mladost Lučani -1.03
#13 FK Mačva Šabac -1.66
#14 FK Zemun -2.86
League avg
0.00
Total
+4.34 5 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.78 xPts per match
#5/14
Expected points (xPts per match) across SuperLiga (Serbia), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 FK Crvena zvezda 2.36
#2 FK Vojvodina 1.93
#3 FK Radnički 1923 1.92
#4 FK Partizan 1.81
#5 FK Železničar Pančevo 1.78
#6 FK IMT Beograd 1.67
#7 FK Radnički Niš 1.51
#8 FK Novi Pazar 1.44
#9 FK Radnik Surdulica 1.39
#10 FK Čukarički 1.32
#11 OFK Beograd 0.86
#12 FK Mladost Lučani 0.69
#13 FK Mačva Šabac 0.68
#14 FK Zemun 0.17
League avg
1.41
Total
8.88 vs 14 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 5 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 5 of 9 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

FK Železničar Pančevo's underlying numbers are among the best in SuperLiga (Serbia). They rank #3 for xG difference at +0.87 per match, driven by elite shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 6 goals are 4.64 below 10.64 xG, while 10 points are 1.12 above 8.88 xPts — both over the 5 matches with xG. After only 5 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
6 10.64 -4.64 scored 4.64 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
3 6.30 -3.30 conceded 3.30 fewer than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
10 8.88 +1.12 1.12 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FK Železničar Pančevo are 4.64 goals below their xG after 5 matches.

Goals
6
xG
10.64
Gap
-4.64
Fri 17/07 Mon 03/08 Sun 23/08 Fri 11/09 Sun 20/09 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +1.08 -0.79 -1.12 -3.75 -4.64 +1.08 -1.87 -0.33 -2.63 -0.89 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FK Železničar Pančevo: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 17/07 FK Radnički Niš 2 0.92 +1.08 +1.08
Mon 03/08 FK Mladost Lučani 0 1.87 -1.87 -0.79
Sun 23/08 FK Vojvodina 0 0.33 -0.33 -1.12
Fri 11/09 FK Mačva Šabac 2 4.63 -2.63 -3.75
Sun 20/09 FK Čukarički 2 2.89 -0.89 -4.64

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

FK Železničar Pančevo xG trend

Current form +0.87 npxGD per match

All 5 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 5 matches. The worst was against FK Vojvodina on Sun 23/08 (-3.08).

npxG · last 5
2.13
npxGA · last 5
1.26
-4 -2 0 +2 +4 -0.13 Fri 17/07 +0.67 Mon 03/08 -3.08 Sun 23/08 +4.52 Fri 11/09 +2.36 Sun 20/09 +0.87 season avg
FK Železničar Pančevo: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 17/07 FK Radnički Niš 0.92 1.05 -0.13 -0.13
Mon 03/08 FK Mladost Lučani 1.87 1.20 +0.67 +0.27
Sun 23/08 FK Vojvodina 0.33 3.41 -3.08 -0.85
Fri 11/09 FK Mačva Šabac 4.63 0.11 +4.52 +0.49
Sun 20/09 FK Čukarički 2.89 0.53 +2.36 +0.87

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.13 npxG and 1.26 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 6 hardest of 14 in SuperLiga (Serbia)
−0.04 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 9 hardest of 14 in SuperLiga (Serbia)
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.04 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · number 6 hardest of 14

  1. FK Čukarički Home −0.12
  2. FK Crvena zvezda Home +1.02
  3. FK Mačva Šabac Home −0.77
  4. FK Novi Pazar Away −0.09
  5. FK Radnik Surdulica Home −0.03
  6. FK Vojvodina Away +0.47
  7. OFK Beograd Away −0.10
  8. FK Mladost Lučani Home −0.72
  9. FK Radnički Niš Home −0.02

Last 5

0.00 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 9 hardest of 14

  1. FK Čukarički Home −0.12
  2. FK Crvena zvezda Home +1.02
  3. FK Mačva Šabac Home −0.77
  4. FK Novi Pazar Away −0.09
  5. FK Radnik Surdulica Home −0.03

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FK Železničar Pančevo shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. FK Železničar Pančevo take 18.8 shots a match (league 14.2) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #3 in SuperLiga (Serbia) for volume and #10 for quality. 57% of their shots come from inside the box (league 59%).

Attack

Shot volume
18.8 shots per match
#3/14
Shot volume (shots per match) across SuperLiga (Serbia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FK Partizan 20.0
#2 FK Crvena zvezda 19.3
#3 FK Železničar Pančevo 18.8
#4 FK Vojvodina 17.3
#5 FK Radnik Surdulica 16.3
#6 FK Radnički 1923 16.2
=7 FK IMT Beograd 14.0
=7 FK Novi Pazar 14.0
#9 FK Radnički Niš 13.7
#10 FK Čukarički 12.0
#11 OFK Beograd 11.3
#12 FK Mladost Lučani 9.0
#13 FK Mačva Šabac 8.6
#14 FK Zemun 8.3
League avg
14.2
Total
94 shots from 5 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#10/14
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across SuperLiga (Serbia), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FK Vojvodina 0.16
#2 FK Crvena zvezda 0.14
#3 FK Novi Pazar 0.14
#4 FK Radnički 1923 0.13
#5 FK IMT Beograd 0.13
#6 FK Čukarički 0.12
#7 FK Mladost Lučani 0.12
#8 FK Partizan 0.12
#9 OFK Beograd 0.11
#10 FK Železničar Pančevo 0.11
#11 FK Radnički Niš 0.11
#12 FK Radnik Surdulica 0.10
#13 FK Mačva Šabac 0.09
#14 FK Zemun 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
10.64 npxG from 94 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
9.8 shots per match
#3/14
Shots allowed (shots per match) across SuperLiga (Serbia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FK Crvena zvezda 8.9
#2 FK IMT Beograd 9.7
#3 FK Železničar Pančevo 9.8
#4 FK Vojvodina 11.6
#5 FK Partizan 11.9
#6 FK Radnički 1923 11.9
#7 FK Radnik Surdulica 12.9
#8 OFK Beograd 13.9
#9 FK Radnički Niš 13.9
#10 FK Novi Pazar 15.3
#11 FK Čukarički 15.7
#12 FK Mačva Šabac 19.1
#13 FK Mladost Lučani 19.4
#14 FK Zemun 24.4
League avg
14.2
Total
49 shots allowed from 5 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.13 npxGA per shot
#9/14
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across SuperLiga (Serbia), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FK Radnički Niš 0.10
#2 FK Čukarički 0.11
#3 FK Mladost Lučani 0.11
#4 FK Radnik Surdulica 0.11
#5 FK Crvena zvezda 0.11
#6 FK Radnički 1923 0.11
#7 FK IMT Beograd 0.12
#8 FK Mačva Šabac 0.13
#9 FK Železničar Pančevo 0.13
#10 FK Vojvodina 0.13
#11 FK Novi Pazar 0.13
#12 FK Partizan 0.13
#13 FK Zemun 0.15
#14 OFK Beograd 0.15
League avg
0.12
Total
6.30 npxGA from 49 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

57% inside the box

League avg 59%

From 54 of 94 shots over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

53% allowed inside the box

League avg 59%

From 26 of 49 shots allowed over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

FK Železničar Pančevo home and away xG

FK Železničar Pančevo per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away only 1 match with xG
Matches 6 4 with xG 3 1 with xG
xG / match 2.58 0.33
xGA / match 0.72 3.41
xGD / match +1.86 -3.08
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.21 0.05

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FK Železničar Pančevo match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9 5 with xG
xG / match
2.13
xGA / match
1.26
xGD / match
+0.87
Points
14 of 27
  1. Sun 20/09 FK Čukarički H xG 2.89 xGA 0.53 xGD +2.36
  2. Thu 17/09 FK Crvena zvezda H
  3. Fri 11/09 FK Mačva Šabac H Best underlying xG 4.63 xGA 0.11 xGD +4.52
  4. Fri 04/09 FK Novi Pazar A
  5. Sat 29/08 FK Radnik Surdulica H
  6. Sun 23/08 FK Vojvodina A Weakest underlying xG 0.33 xGA 3.41 xGD -3.08
  7. Sun 09/08 OFK Beograd A
  8. Mon 03/08 FK Mladost Lučani H xG 1.87 xGA 1.20 xGD +0.67
  9. Fri 17/07 FK Radnički Niš H xG 0.92 xGA 1.05 xGD -0.13

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.63. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FK Železničar Pančevo in SuperLiga (Serbia)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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