xgEdge

FC St. Gallen 1879's recorded results for 2026/2027, newest first, with the available xG behind each score. Compare outcomes with the chances created and conceded, then open a match for more detail.

Showing 9 of 9 matching results

9 played this season

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Results

Wins – draws – losses (W–D–L)
4 wins, 1 draw, 4 losses

13 pts 16–19 goals −3 GD

Chances

Provider xG / xGA
17.52 – 12.91
1.95 – 1.43 per match
xGD
+4.61
+0.51 per match
xG record
5 with the chances, 2 with even chances, 2 against them

Comparable xG: 9 of 9 completed results.

Points vs xPts Model

13 pts 15.4 xPts

−2.4 vs xPts

Matched xPts: 9 of 9 selected results.

Model · How xPts works →

Match points use 3 for a win, 1 for a draw and 0 for a loss, before deductions or sanctions.

Points vs xPts uses only matches with available xPts on both sides of the comparison.

What the results say

Season · Swiss Super League · All venues

FC St. Gallen 1879's mixed record sits behind chances that argue for more. They out-created the opponent in 7 of 9 matches, for +4.61 xG difference overall on 17.52–12.91. Their points total of 13 sits 2.4 below the model's 15.4 xPts, so the chances have slightly outrun the results. The loss against FC Thun came with +1.62 xGD.

Points minus xPts, match by match

Over these 9 results FC St. Gallen 1879 are 2.36 points below their xPts. The gap was widest at -3.41, against FC Lugano on Wed 16/09.

Points
13
xPts
15.36
Gap
-2.36
Sun 26/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Sun 30/08 Wed 02/09 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Wed 16/09 Sun 20/09 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +1.22 +2.74 +1.34 -1.05 -2.15 -0.91 -2.29 -3.41 -2.36 +1.22 +1.52 -1.40 -2.39 -1.10 +1.24 -1.38 -1.12 +1.05 Running gap points − xPts Each match points − xPts
FC St. Gallen 1879: Points vs xPts, the gap after every selected result
Date Opponent Points xPts Match gap Running gap
Sun 26/07 FC Zürich 3 1.78 +1.22 +1.22
Sun 02/08 FC Vaduz 3 1.48 +1.52 +2.74
Sun 09/08 FC Luzern 1 2.40 -1.40 +1.34
Sun 30/08 FC Thun 0 2.39 -2.39 -1.05
Wed 02/09 Grasshopper Club Zürich 0 1.10 -1.10 -2.15
Sun 06/09 Servette FC 3 1.76 +1.24 -0.91
Sat 12/09 FC Sion 0 1.38 -1.38 -2.29
Wed 16/09 FC Lugano 0 1.12 -1.12 -3.41
Sun 20/09 Basel 3 1.95 +1.05 -2.36

Scores and xG

FC St. Gallen 1879 first

  • Away Swiss Super League Win backed by the chances

    xG 2.00

    xGA 1.22

    xGD +0.78

    3:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Basel, Sun 20/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.95
    Points minus xPts
    +1.05

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.14

    xGA 1.41

    xGD -0.27

    1:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Lugano, Wed 16/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.12
    Points minus xPts
    -1.12

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Loss with even chances

    xG 1.29

    xGA 1.26

    xGD +0.03

    0:3 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Sion, Sat 12/09

    The team lost, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was weaker than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.38
    Points minus xPts
    -1.38

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.37

    xGA 0.90

    xGD +0.47

    2:0 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Servette FC, Sun 06/09

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.76
    Points minus xPts
    +1.24

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Loss backed by the chances

    xG 1.80

    xGA 2.23

    xGD -0.43

    0:2 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · Grasshopper Club Zürich, Wed 02/09

    The team lost and recorded less xG than its opponent. The direction of the result aligns with the chance difference.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    1.09
    Points minus xPts
    -1.09

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Loss against the chances

    xG 2.88

    xGA 1.26

    xGD +1.62

    3:4 Loss
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Thun, Sun 30/08

    The team lost despite recording a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    0
    Post-match model xPts
    2.39
    Points minus xPts
    -2.39

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Draw against the chances

    xG 3.24

    xGA 1.51

    xGD +1.73

    2:2 Draw
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Luzern, Sun 09/08

    The match was drawn although the team recorded a positive xG difference. The outcome was weaker than that chance advantage suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    1
    Post-match model xPts
    2.40
    Points minus xPts
    -1.40

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Away Swiss Super League Win with even chances

    xG 2.17

    xGA 2.01

    xGD +0.16

    3:2 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Vaduz, Sun 02/08

    The team won, while the chance difference was approximately even. The outcome was stronger than that difference alone suggests.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.49
    Points minus xPts
    +1.51

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →
  • Home Swiss Super League Win backed by the chances

    xG 1.63

    xGA 1.11

    xGD +0.52

    2:1 Win
    Match analysis →
    Why this label · FC Zürich, Sun 26/07

    The team won and had a positive xG difference. The chances support the direction of the result, without making a judgment about fairness.

    An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

    Points
    3
    Post-match model xPts
    1.78
    Points minus xPts
    +1.22

    xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

    Learn how xG and xPts are calculated →

Biggest overperformance

Servette FC 2:0

· Away xG / xGA 1.37 – 0.90

Goal difference
+2
xGD
+0.47
GD minus xGD
+1.53

Among 9 comparable results.

Open match →

Biggest underperformance

FC Sion 0:3

· Home xG / xGA 1.29 – 1.26

Goal difference
-3
xGD
+0.03
GD minus xGD
-3.03

Among 9 comparable results.

Open match →

Reading these results

xG is the provider's estimate of chances created; xGA is the opponent's xG. xGD is the difference. Labels compare the recorded outcome with those chances; they are interpretations, not judgments about fairness.

xPts is our post-match model's 3 × win probability + draw probability using the match's provider xG, not a pre-match forecast.

How each figure on this page is read

Every xG bar is drawn on one fixed scale: full width is 7.20 xG, the same on every card and in every window, so two cards can be compared by eye. A rarer match above that is capped with a hatched end, and the figure beside the bar still gives its value.

An xGD of at least +0.25 is positive; at most −0.25 is negative; between them is approximately even. The band uses unrounded figures and is an editorial guide, not a statistical confidence threshold. The chip on each result reads one of three ways: backed by the chances, with even chances, or against them. Counted over the selection, those three are the xG record on the Chances card — 5–1–0 reads as five results with the chances, one even and none against them.

Goal difference minus xGD says how far a scoreline finished from the chances behind it: a 4:2 won off level chances ran nearly two goals ahead of them. The two callouts under the list name the match that ran furthest each way, and a direction with no result a full goal clear of the chances gets no card rather than a card built from a rounding.

Windows count back from the most recent recorded match, and only matches attached to this club record are included. Home and away mean the provider-designated side, not a verified physical venue. Scores describe recorded play, not shootout advancement. Unverified periods receive no chance comparison.

1 non-result notice

How the model works →