xgEdge

Expected goals

SJK expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Veikkausliiga · after 23 matches · updated 1 Oct

SJK's attacking and defensive expected goals in Veikkausliiga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

SJK xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.71 xG per match
#6/12
Attack (xG per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 KuPS 1.96
#2 FC Lahti 1.80
#3 Inter Turku 1.78
#4 HJK 1.77
#5 Ilves 1.72
#6 SJK 1.71
#7 IF Gnistan 1.61
#8 VPS 1.56
#9 TPS 1.50
#10 FF Jaro 1.21
#11 AC Oulu 1.20
#12 IFK Mariehamn 1.10
League avg
1.57
Total
39.28 23 matches
Defence
1.67 xGA per match
#9/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Inter Turku 0.93
#2 KuPS 1.26
#3 HJK 1.32
#4 FC Lahti 1.42
#5 IF Gnistan 1.43
#6 VPS 1.44
#7 AC Oulu 1.58
#8 TPS 1.58
#9 SJK 1.67
#10 FF Jaro 1.71
#11 Ilves 1.94
#12 IFK Mariehamn 2.50
League avg
1.57
Total
38.45 23 matches
xG difference
+0.04 xGD per match
#7/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Inter Turku +0.86
#2 KuPS +0.70
#3 HJK +0.45
#4 FC Lahti +0.38
#5 IF Gnistan +0.18
#6 VPS +0.12
#7 SJK +0.04
#8 TPS -0.08
#9 Ilves -0.21
#10 AC Oulu -0.37
#11 FF Jaro -0.50
#12 IFK Mariehamn -1.41
League avg
0.00
Total
+0.83 23 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.42 xPts per match
#6/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Inter Turku 1.96
#2 KuPS 1.78
#3 HJK 1.74
#4 FC Lahti 1.51
#5 IF Gnistan 1.43
#6 SJK 1.42
#7 VPS 1.36
#8 Ilves 1.35
#9 TPS 1.32
#10 AC Oulu 1.13
#11 FF Jaro 1.05
#12 IFK Mariehamn 0.69
League avg
1.39
Total
32.69 vs 24 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 23 of 25 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

SJK's underlying numbers sit close to the Veikkausliiga average. They rank #7 for xG difference at +0.04 per match, built on the league's best chance quality rather than about average shot volume. Their 25 goals are 14.28 below 39.28 xG, while 23 points are 9.69 below 32.69 xPts — both over the 23 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
25 39.28 -14.28 scored 14.28 fewer than xG far outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
31 38.45 -7.45 conceded 7.45 fewer than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
23 32.69 -9.69 9.69 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

SJK are 14.28 goals below their xG after 23 matches. The gap was widest at -14.40, against TPS on Tue 08/09.

Goals
25
xG
39.28
Gap
-14.28
Sat 04/04 Fri 10/04 Sat 18/04 Fri 24/04 Sat 02/05 Fri 08/05 Sat 16/05 Sat 23/05 Sat 13/06 Wed 17/06 Tue 23/06 Sat 27/06 Sat 04/07 Fri 10/07 Sat 18/07 Fri 24/07 Mon 03/08 Fri 07/08 Sat 15/08 Fri 21/08 Mon 31/08 Tue 08/09 Fri 18/09 -15 -13 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 +1 -0.90 +0.41 -0.59 -1.21 -2.66 -3.58 -6.22 -8.53 -8.14 -9.39 -9.14 -10.16 -9.36 -10.37 -11.17 -11.59 -10.00 -10.63 -11.48 -12.67 -13.04 -14.40 -14.28 -0.90 +1.31 -1.00 -0.62 -1.45 -0.92 -2.64 -2.31 +0.39 -1.25 +0.25 -1.02 +0.80 -1.01 -0.80 -0.42 +1.59 -0.63 -0.85 -1.19 -0.37 -1.36 +0.12 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
SJK: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 04/04 HJK 0 0.90 -0.90 -0.90
Fri 10/04 IFK Mariehamn 3 1.69 +1.31 +0.41
Sat 18/04 TPS 0 1.00 -1.00 -0.59
Fri 24/04 FF Jaro 1 1.62 -0.62 -1.21
Sat 02/05 Ilves 1 2.45 -1.45 -2.66
Fri 08/05 KuPS 0 0.92 -0.92 -3.58
Sat 16/05 Inter Turku 1 3.64 -2.64 -6.22
Sat 23/05 AC Oulu 0 2.31 -2.31 -8.53
Sat 13/06 FC Lahti 3 2.61 +0.39 -8.14
Wed 17/06 VPS 1 2.25 -1.25 -9.39
Tue 23/06 Inter Turku 1 0.75 +0.25 -9.14
Sat 27/06 Ilves 2 3.02 -1.02 -10.16
Sat 04/07 TPS 3 2.20 +0.80 -9.36
Fri 10/07 VPS 0 1.01 -1.01 -10.37
Sat 18/07 KuPS 0 0.80 -0.80 -11.17
Fri 24/07 FF Jaro 1 1.42 -0.42 -11.59
Mon 03/08 HJK 3 1.41 +1.59 -10.00
Fri 07/08 IF Gnistan 2 2.63 -0.63 -10.63
Sat 15/08 IFK Mariehamn 0 0.85 -0.85 -11.48
Fri 21/08 FC Lahti 1 2.19 -1.19 -12.67
Mon 31/08 AC Oulu 0 0.37 -0.37 -13.04
Tue 08/09 TPS 0 1.36 -1.36 -14.40
Fri 18/09 IFK Mariehamn 2 1.88 +0.12 -14.28

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

SJK xG trend

Current form +0.17 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 13 of 23 matches. The worst was against KuPS on Sat 18/07 (-2.51).

npxG · last 6
1.55
npxGA · last 6
1.38
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 -2.47 Sat 04/04 +1.29 Fri 10/04 -1.35 Sat 18/04 +0.31 Fri 24/04 +1.52 Sat 02/05 -0.66 Fri 08/05 +2.15 Sat 16/05 +0.93 Sat 23/05 +0.35 Sat 13/06 +0.89 Wed 17/06 -0.20 Tue 23/06 +0.40 Sat 27/06 -0.15 Sat 04/07 +0.17 Fri 10/07 -2.51 Sat 18/07 +0.58 Fri 24/07 -0.51 Mon 03/08 +1.61 Fri 07/08 -1.43 Sat 15/08 -0.36 Fri 21/08 -0.39 Mon 31/08 +0.66 Tue 08/09 +0.92 Fri 18/09 +0.08 season avg
SJK: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 04/04 HJK 0.91 3.38 -2.47 -2.47
Fri 10/04 IFK Mariehamn 1.69 0.40 +1.29 -0.59
Sat 18/04 TPS 0.96 2.31 -1.35 -0.84
Fri 24/04 FF Jaro 1.62 1.31 +0.31 -0.56
Sat 02/05 Ilves 2.45 0.93 +1.52 -0.14
Fri 08/05 KuPS 0.92 1.58 -0.66 -0.23
Sat 16/05 Inter Turku 3.28 1.13 +2.15 +0.11
Sat 23/05 AC Oulu 2.31 1.38 +0.93 +0.22
Sat 13/06 FC Lahti 2.61 2.26 +0.35 +0.23
Wed 17/06 VPS 2.25 1.36 +0.89 +0.30
Tue 23/06 Inter Turku 0.75 0.95 -0.20 +0.25
Sat 27/06 Ilves 3.03 2.63 +0.40 +0.26
Sat 04/07 TPS 2.20 2.35 -0.15 +0.23
Fri 10/07 VPS 1.01 0.84 +0.17 +0.23
Sat 18/07 KuPS 0.80 3.31 -2.51 +0.04
Fri 24/07 FF Jaro 1.43 0.85 +0.58 +0.08
Mon 03/08 HJK 1.41 1.92 -0.51 +0.04
Fri 07/08 IF Gnistan 2.63 1.02 +1.61 +0.13
Sat 15/08 IFK Mariehamn 0.85 2.28 -1.43 +0.05
Fri 21/08 FC Lahti 2.19 2.55 -0.36 +0.03
Mon 31/08 AC Oulu 0.38 0.77 -0.39 +0.01
Tue 08/09 TPS 1.36 0.70 +0.66 +0.04
Fri 18/09 IFK Mariehamn 1.88 0.96 +0.92 +0.08

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.69 npxG and 1.62 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 11 hardest of 12 in Veikkausliiga
−0.05 xG vs league average
Over 25 league matches
Last 5
number 12 hardest of 12 in Veikkausliiga
−0.25 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.05 xG vs league average · over 25 matches · number 11 hardest of 12

  1. IFK Mariehamn Home −0.75
  2. FF Jaro Away −0.38
  3. TPS Away −0.08
  4. AC Oulu Away −0.28
  5. FC Lahti Home +0.22
  6. IFK Mariehamn Away −0.75
  7. IF Gnistan Home +0.06
  8. HJK Home +0.27
  9. FF Jaro Away −0.38
  10. KuPS Home +0.50
  11. VPS Away +0.10
  12. TPS Home −0.08
  13. Ilves Away −0.22
  14. Inter Turku Away +0.53
  15. VPS Home +0.10
  16. FC Lahti Away +0.22
  17. IF Gnistan Away +0.06
  18. AC Oulu Home −0.28
  19. Inter Turku Home +0.53
  20. KuPS Away +0.50
  21. Ilves Home −0.22
  22. FF Jaro Home −0.38
  23. TPS Away −0.08
  24. IFK Mariehamn Home −0.75
  25. HJK Away +0.27

Last 5

−0.25 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 12 hardest of 12

  1. IFK Mariehamn Home −0.75
  2. FF Jaro Away −0.38
  3. TPS Away −0.08
  4. AC Oulu Away −0.28
  5. FC Lahti Home +0.22

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

SJK shots and chance quality

Average volume, high quality. SJK take 12.4 shots a match (league 12.0) at 0.14 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #6 in Veikkausliiga for volume and #1 for quality. 64% of their shots come from inside the box (league 61%).

Attack

Shot volume
12.4 shots per match
#6/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 KuPS 15.2
#2 FC Lahti 13.3
#3 Inter Turku 13.1
#4 TPS 13.0
#5 HJK 12.6
#6 SJK 12.4
#7 IF Gnistan 11.8
#8 FF Jaro 11.6
#9 Ilves 11.5
#10 VPS 11.0
#11 AC Oulu 10.2
#12 IFK Mariehamn 8.9
League avg
12.0
Total
285 shots from 23 matches
Chance quality
0.14 npxG per shot
#1/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SJK 0.14
#2 HJK 0.14
#3 KuPS 0.13
#4 VPS 0.13
#5 Ilves 0.13
#6 Inter Turku 0.13
#7 IF Gnistan 0.13
#8 FC Lahti 0.13
#9 IFK Mariehamn 0.11
#10 TPS 0.11
#11 AC Oulu 0.10
#12 FF Jaro 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
38.92 npxG from 285 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
11.7 shots per match
#6/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Inter Turku 8.5
#2 KuPS 9.7
#3 FC Lahti 9.8
#4 VPS 11.4
#5 AC Oulu 11.4
#6 SJK 11.7
#7 HJK 12.0
#8 TPS 12.6
#9 IF Gnistan 12.9
#10 FF Jaro 13.6
#11 Ilves 13.9
#12 IFK Mariehamn 16.3
League avg
12.0
Total
269 shots allowed from 23 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.14 npxGA per shot
#11/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Inter Turku 0.10
#2 IF Gnistan 0.10
#3 HJK 0.11
#4 TPS 0.11
#5 VPS 0.11
#6 KuPS 0.12
#7 FF Jaro 0.12
#8 AC Oulu 0.13
#9 Ilves 0.13
#10 FC Lahti 0.13
#11 SJK 0.14
#12 IFK Mariehamn 0.15
League avg
0.12
Total
37.17 npxGA from 269 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

64% inside the box

League avg 61%

From 182 of 285 shots over 23 matches

Shots allowed, location

65% allowed inside the box

League avg 61%

From 175 of 269 shots allowed over 23 matches

How the shot figures are made →

SJK home and away xG

SJK per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 12 13 11 with xG
xG / match 2.09 1.29
xGA / match 1.55 1.80
xGD / match +0.54 -0.51
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.78 1.03

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every SJK match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
25 23 with xG
xG / match
1.71
xGA / match
1.67
xGD / match
+0.04
Points
24 of 75
  1. Fri 18/09 IFK Mariehamn H xG 1.88 xGA 0.96 xGD +0.92
  2. Sat 12/09 FF Jaro A
  3. Tue 08/09 TPS A xG 1.36 xGA 0.70 xGD +0.66
  4. Mon 31/08 AC Oulu A xG 0.37 xGA 0.77 xGD -0.40
  5. Fri 21/08 FC Lahti H xG 2.19 xGA 2.54 xGD -0.35
  6. Sat 15/08 IFK Mariehamn A xG 0.85 xGA 2.28 xGD -1.43
  7. Fri 07/08 IF Gnistan H xG 2.63 xGA 1.02 xGD +1.61
  8. Mon 03/08 HJK H xG 1.41 xGA 1.92 xGD -0.51
  9. Fri 24/07 FF Jaro A xG 1.42 xGA 1.61 P xGD -0.19
  10. Sat 18/07 KuPS H Weakest underlying xG 0.80 xGA 3.31 xGD -2.51
  11. Fri 10/07 VPS A xG 1.01 xGA 1.60 P xGD -0.59
  12. Sat 04/07 TPS H xG 2.20 xGA 2.35 xGD -0.15
  13. Sat 27/06 Ilves A xG 3.02 xGA 2.63 xGD +0.39
  14. Tue 23/06 Inter Turku A xG 0.75 xGA 0.95 xGD -0.20
  15. Wed 17/06 VPS H xG 2.25 xGA 1.36 xGD +0.89
  16. Sat 13/06 FC Lahti A xG 2.61 xGA 2.26 xGD +0.35
  17. Sat 30/05 IF Gnistan A
  18. Sat 23/05 AC Oulu H xG 2.31 xGA 1.38 xGD +0.93
  19. Sat 16/05 Inter Turku H Against the chances xG 3.64 xGA 1.12 xGD +2.52
  20. Fri 08/05 KuPS A xG 0.92 xGA 1.36 xGD -0.44
  21. Sat 02/05 Ilves H xG 2.45 xGA 0.93 xGD +1.52
  22. Fri 24/04 FF Jaro H xG 1.62 xGA 1.31 xGD +0.31
  23. Sat 18/04 TPS A xG 1.00 xGA 2.31 xGD -1.31
  24. Fri 10/04 IFK Mariehamn H xG 1.69 xGA 0.40 xGD +1.29
  25. Sat 04/04 HJK A xG 0.90 xGA 3.38 xGD -2.48

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.64. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

SJK in Veikkausliiga

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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