Goals vs xG
Who is scoring above and below their chances?
xG measures the quality of a player's chances. +3.8 means 3.8 more goals than chances like those usually produce.
Current season · 450+ min · 2.0+ xG · Data to 21 September 2026
Eligibility
- Minutes
- At least 450 minutes this season, so one hot week can't top the list.
- Chances
- At least 2.0 xG, and a gap of at least one goal either way. Including penalties, in the goals and in the xG.
- Competitions
- Only competitions with per-player shot data, once their median club has played 6 matches; see Coverage below. European leagues are at different stages of their seasons, so each competition's current season is used, whether it runs by the calendar year or across two.
Sergio Camello has scored 6 goals from 2.1 xG over their last five appearances, 3.9 above their chances: the largest qualifying gap across 12 competitions.
| # | Player | Last 5G − xG | Last 5G | Last 5xG | Shots | Min | Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 48 | Ilyes Hamache SC Cambuur · Eredivisie 3 goals from 1.8 xG | +1.2 | 3 | 1.8 | 11 | 478 | 3 G · 2.04 xG+0.96 |
| 48 | Daniel Adu-Adjei HNK Rijeka · HNL 3 goals from 1.8 xG | +1.2 | 3 | 1.8 | 17 | 481 | 4 G · 3.15 xG+0.85 |
| 48 | Guus Til PSV Eindhoven · Eredivisie 4 goals from 2.8 xG | +1.2 | 4 | 2.8 | 15 | 578 | 4 G · 3.22 xG+0.78 |
| 54 | Carl Lange Vålerenga IF · Eliteserien 2 goals from 0.9 xG | +1.1 | 2 | 0.9 | 43 | 1,771 | 6 G · 2.30 xG+3.70 |
| 54 | Jesús Ramírez Çorum FK · Süper Lig 3 goals from 1.9 xG | +1.1 | 3 | 1.9 | 18 | 502 | 4 G · 2.28 xG+1.72 |
| 54 | Kelvin Ehibhatiomhan AC Horsens · Superliga (Denmark) 3 goals from 1.9 xG | +1.1 | 3 | 1.9 | 19 | 615 | 4 G · 2.65 xG+1.35 |
| 54 | Simen Nordli Rosenborg BK · Eliteserien 2 goals from 0.9 xG | +1.1 | 2 | 0.9 | 19 | 760 | 4 G · 2.83 xG+1.17 |
| 54 | Kasper Høgh Bodø/Glimt · Eliteserien 4 goals from 2.9 xG | +1.1 | 4 | 2.9 | 35 | 938 | 7 G · 5.84 xG+1.16 |
| 54 | Camilo Durán Celtic · Scottish Premiership 3 goals from 1.9 xG | +1.1 | 3 | 1.9 | 19 | 458 | 3 G · 2.22 xG+0.78 |
| 54 | Ante Budimir Osasuna · La Liga 4 goals from 2.9 xG | +1.1 | 4 | 2.9 | 18 | 502 | 5 G · 4.59 xG+0.41 |
| 61 | Mame Alassane Niang HamKam · Eliteserien 2 goals from 1.0 xG | +1.0 | 2 | 1.0 | 20 | 900 | 6 G · 2.79 xG+3.21 |
| 61 | Friday Etim FC Midtjylland · Superliga (Denmark) 3 goals from 2.0 xG | +1.0 | 3 | 2.0 | 21 | 521 | 4 G · 2.47 xG+1.53 |
| 61 | Winsley Boteli Mokango FC Sion · Swiss Super League 3 goals from 2.0 xG | +1.0 | 3 | 2.0 | 28 | 575 | 6 G · 4.51 xG+1.49 |
- Above xG
- Below xG
- Last 5 gap of 2 or more
- under 600
Over a season, most finishing gaps of this size shrink. Shot quality, shot selection and finishing skill all move this number; so does chance.
Coverage 19 competitions feed this list. Which ones, and which cannot yet. Show Hide
- On this list
- Allsvenskan Austrian Bundesliga Czech First League Ekstraklasa Eliteserien Eredivisie HNL Jupiler Pro League La Liga Liga Portugal NB I (Hungary) Niké Liga (Slovakia) Russian Premier League Scottish Premiership Süper Lig Superliga (Denmark) SuperLiga (Romania) SuperLiga (Serbia) Swiss Super League
- Lists open after 6 matches
- Bundesliga Ligue 1 Premier League Serie A Super League Greece
- Team figures only
- Cypriot First Division Parva Liga (Bulgaria) Premier Division (Ireland) PrvaLiga (Slovenia) Ukrainian Premier League Veikkausliiga See the teams list