xgEdge

Expected goals

BK Häcken expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Allsvenskan · after 17 matches · updated 1 Oct

BK Häcken's attacking and defensive expected goals in Allsvenskan 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

BK Häcken xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.84 xG per match
#6/16
Attack (xG per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.66
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.30
#3 IK Sirius 2.13
#4 Malmö FF 2.04
#5 IFK Göteborg 1.95
#6 BK Häcken 1.84
#7 GAIS 1.75
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.65
#9 Västerås SK 1.64
#10 Mjällby AIF 1.59
#11 AIK 1.57
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 1.45
#13 Kalmar FF 1.31
#14 Örgryte IS 1.26
#15 Degerfors IF 1.26
#16 Halmstads BK 1.10
League avg
1.71
Total
31.22 17 matches
Defence
1.38 xGA per match
#5/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Hammarby IF 1.11
#2 Djurgårdens IF 1.15
#3 IK Sirius 1.34
#4 GAIS 1.34
#5 BK Häcken 1.38
#6 Malmö FF 1.50
#7 IF Elfsborg 1.51
#8 IFK Göteborg 1.63
#9 Kalmar FF 1.74
#10 Degerfors IF 1.76
#11 IF Brommapojkarna 1.80
#12 Västerås SK 1.91
#13 Mjällby AIF 2.07
#14 Örgryte IS 2.26
#15 AIK 2.29
#16 Halmstads BK 2.41
League avg
1.71
Total
23.38 17 matches
xG difference
+0.46 xGD per match
#5/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Hammarby IF +1.54
#2 Djurgårdens IF +1.16
#3 IK Sirius +0.79
#4 Malmö FF +0.54
#5 BK Häcken +0.46
#6 GAIS +0.41
#7 IFK Göteborg +0.32
#8 IF Elfsborg +0.15
#9 Västerås SK -0.27
#10 IF Brommapojkarna -0.35
#11 Kalmar FF -0.43
#12 Mjällby AIF -0.48
#13 Degerfors IF -0.51
#14 AIK -0.72
#15 Örgryte IS -0.99
#16 Halmstads BK -1.31
League avg
0.00
Total
+7.84 17 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.70 xPts per match
#4/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.24
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.05
#3 IK Sirius 1.84
#4 BK Häcken 1.70
#5 Malmö FF 1.67
#6 GAIS 1.61
#7 IFK Göteborg 1.60
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.49
#9 IF Brommapojkarna 1.23
#10 Kalmar FF 1.21
#11 Västerås SK 1.21
#12 Degerfors IF 1.09
#13 Mjällby AIF 1.08
#14 AIK 1.00
#15 Örgryte IS 0.87
#16 Halmstads BK 0.61
League avg
1.40
Total
28.94 vs 36 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 17 of 22 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

BK Häcken's underlying numbers are among the best in Allsvenskan. They rank #5 for xG difference at +0.46 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 29 goals are 2.22 below 31.22 xG, while 30 points are 1.06 above 28.94 xPts — both over the 17 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
29 31.22 -2.22 scored 2.22 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
19 23.38 -4.38 conceded 4.38 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
30 28.94 +1.06 1.06 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

BK Häcken are 2.22 goals below their xG after 17 matches. The gap was widest at -3.99, against Mjällby AIF on Fri 11/09.

Goals
29
xG
31.22
Gap
-2.22
Sat 11/04 Sun 19/04 Wed 22/04 Sat 02/05 Sun 10/05 Sun 17/05 Sat 11/07 Sun 19/07 Mon 27/07 Sat 01/08 Sun 09/08 Mon 17/08 Fri 21/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 05/09 Fri 11/09 Sun 20/09 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +0.36 +1.23 +2.81 +2.03 +2.66 +1.79 +3.01 +3.61 +0.65 +0.73 +0.35 -1.43 +0.00 -1.15 -3.29 -3.99 -2.22 +0.36 +0.87 +1.58 -0.78 +0.63 -0.87 +1.22 +0.60 -2.96 +0.08 -0.38 -1.78 +1.43 -1.15 -2.14 -0.70 +1.77 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
BK Häcken: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 11/04 IFK Göteborg 2 1.64 +0.36 +0.36
Sun 19/04 GAIS 2 1.13 +0.87 +1.23
Wed 22/04 Västerås SK 3 1.42 +1.58 +2.81
Sat 02/05 Degerfors IF 1 1.78 -0.78 +2.03
Sun 10/05 Malmö FF 3 2.37 +0.63 +2.66
Sun 17/05 Mjällby AIF 1 1.87 -0.87 +1.79
Sat 11/07 Örgryte IS 3 1.78 +1.22 +3.01
Sun 19/07 Halmstads BK 2 1.40 +0.60 +3.61
Mon 27/07 AIK 0 2.96 -2.96 +0.65
Sat 01/08 Kalmar FF 1 0.92 +0.08 +0.73
Sun 09/08 Hammarby IF 0 0.38 -0.38 +0.35
Mon 17/08 Halmstads BK 1 2.78 -1.78 -1.43
Fri 21/08 IK Sirius 3 1.57 +1.43 +0.00
Sat 29/08 Västerås SK 1 2.15 -1.15 -1.15
Sat 05/09 GAIS 0 2.14 -2.14 -3.29
Fri 11/09 Mjällby AIF 1 1.70 -0.70 -3.99
Sun 20/09 Kalmar FF 5 3.23 +1.77 -2.22

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

BK Häcken xG trend

Current form +1.01 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 12 of 17 matches. The worst was against Hammarby IF on Sun 09/08 (-2.79).

npxG · last 6
2.26
npxGA · last 6
1.25
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 -0.49 Sat 11/04 +0.08 Sun 19/04 -0.01 Wed 22/04 +0.80 Sat 02/05 +0.95 Sun 10/05 +0.70 Sun 17/05 +0.30 Sat 11/07 +0.28 Sun 19/07 +2.67 Mon 27/07 -0.70 Sat 01/08 -2.79 Sun 09/08 +1.57 Mon 17/08 +0.93 Fri 21/08 -0.08 Sat 29/08 +0.60 Sat 05/09 +0.68 Fri 11/09 +2.35 Sun 20/09 +0.46 season avg
BK Häcken: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 11/04 IFK Göteborg 1.64 2.13 -0.49 -0.49
Sun 19/04 GAIS 1.13 1.05 +0.08 -0.21
Wed 22/04 Västerås SK 1.42 1.43 -0.01 -0.14
Sat 02/05 Degerfors IF 1.78 0.98 +0.80 +0.09
Sun 10/05 Malmö FF 2.37 1.42 +0.95 +0.27
Sun 17/05 Mjällby AIF 1.87 1.17 +0.70 +0.34
Sat 11/07 Örgryte IS 1.78 1.48 +0.30 +0.33
Sun 19/07 Halmstads BK 1.40 1.12 +0.28 +0.33
Mon 27/07 AIK 2.96 0.29 +2.67 +0.59
Sat 01/08 Kalmar FF 0.92 1.62 -0.70 +0.46
Sun 09/08 Hammarby IF 0.38 3.17 -2.79 +0.16
Mon 17/08 Halmstads BK 2.78 1.21 +1.57 +0.28
Fri 21/08 IK Sirius 1.57 0.64 +0.93 +0.33
Sat 29/08 Västerås SK 2.15 2.23 -0.08 +0.30
Sat 05/09 GAIS 2.14 1.54 +0.60 +0.32
Fri 11/09 Mjällby AIF 1.70 1.02 +0.68 +0.34
Sun 20/09 Kalmar FF 3.23 0.88 +2.35 +0.46

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.84 npxG and 1.38 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 9 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 22 league matches
Last 5
number 10 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
−0.05 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

0.00 xG vs league average · over 22 matches · tied number 9 hardest of 16

  1. Kalmar FF Away −0.15
  2. Mjällby AIF Home −0.36
  3. GAIS Away +0.23
  4. Västerås SK Home −0.18
  5. IK Sirius Away +0.19
  6. Halmstads BK Home −0.78
  7. Hammarby IF Away +1.29
  8. Kalmar FF Home −0.15
  9. AIK Home −0.44
  10. Halmstads BK Away −0.78
  11. Örgryte IS Away −0.67
  12. Djurgårdens IF Home +0.46
  13. Hammarby IF Home +1.29
  14. IF Elfsborg Away +0.10
  15. Mjällby AIF Away −0.36
  16. Malmö FF Home +0.42
  17. Degerfors IF Away −0.27
  18. IK Sirius Home +0.19
  19. Västerås SK Away −0.18
  20. GAIS Home +0.23
  21. IFK Göteborg Away +0.20
  22. IF Brommapojkarna Home −0.32

Last 5

−0.05 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 10 hardest of 16

  1. Kalmar FF Away −0.15
  2. Mjällby AIF Home −0.36
  3. GAIS Away +0.23
  4. Västerås SK Home −0.18
  5. IK Sirius Away +0.19

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

BK Häcken shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. BK Häcken take 14.2 shots a match (league 13.9) at 0.13 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #7 in Allsvenskan for volume and #6 for quality. 65% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
14.2 shots per match
#7/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 21.9
#2 IFK Göteborg 17.1
#3 Djurgårdens IF 15.7
#4 Malmö FF 14.9
#5 IK Sirius 14.9
#6 GAIS 14.5
#7 BK Häcken 14.2
#8 Kalmar FF 13.4
#9 Mjällby AIF 13.0
#10 AIK 12.9
#11 IF Elfsborg 12.8
#12 Halmstads BK 12.5
#13 Västerås SK 12.1
#14 IF Brommapojkarna 11.7
#15 Degerfors IF 11.1
#16 Örgryte IS 10.5
League avg
13.9
Total
242 shots from 17 matches
Chance quality
0.13 npxG per shot
#6/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Djurgårdens IF 0.15
#2 IK Sirius 0.14
#3 Malmö FF 0.14
#4 Västerås SK 0.14
#5 IF Elfsborg 0.13
#6 BK Häcken 0.13
#7 IF Brommapojkarna 0.12
#8 Mjällby AIF 0.12
#9 AIK 0.12
#10 Hammarby IF 0.12
#11 GAIS 0.12
#12 Örgryte IS 0.12
#13 IFK Göteborg 0.11
#14 Degerfors IF 0.11
#15 Kalmar FF 0.10
#16 Halmstads BK 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
31.22 npxG from 242 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
11.5 shots per match
#3/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 8.6
#2 Djurgårdens IF 10.9
#3 BK Häcken 11.5
#4 IFK Göteborg 12.4
#5 GAIS 12.4
#6 IF Elfsborg 12.5
#7 Malmö FF 12.9
#8 IK Sirius 13.8
#9 Degerfors IF 13.9
#10 Kalmar FF 14.3
#11 Västerås SK 14.8
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 15.7
#13 Mjällby AIF 16.2
#14 AIK 16.5
#15 Halmstads BK 17.5
#16 Örgryte IS 17.9
League avg
13.9
Total
196 shots allowed from 17 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#6/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 IK Sirius 0.10
#2 Djurgårdens IF 0.11
#3 GAIS 0.11
#4 IF Brommapojkarna 0.11
#5 Malmö FF 0.12
#6 BK Häcken 0.12
#7 IF Elfsborg 0.12
#8 Kalmar FF 0.12
#9 Örgryte IS 0.13
#10 Degerfors IF 0.13
#11 Mjällby AIF 0.13
#12 Hammarby IF 0.13
#13 Västerås SK 0.13
#14 IFK Göteborg 0.13
#15 Halmstads BK 0.14
#16 AIK 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
23.38 npxGA from 196 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

65% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 158 of 242 shots over 17 matches

Shots allowed, location

68% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 133 of 196 shots allowed over 17 matches

How the shot figures are made →

BK Häcken home and away xG

BK Häcken per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 11 7 with xG 11 10 with xG
xG / match 2.00 1.72
xGA / match 1.26 1.45
xGD / match +0.74 +0.27
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.82 1.62

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every BK Häcken match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
22 17 with xG
xG / match
1.84
xGA / match
1.38
xGD / match
+0.46
Points
36 of 66
  1. Sun 20/09 Kalmar FF A xG 3.23 xGA 0.88 xGD +2.35
  2. Fri 11/09 Mjällby AIF H xG 1.70 xGA 1.02 xGD +0.68
  3. Sat 05/09 GAIS A xG 2.14 xGA 1.54 xGD +0.60
  4. Sat 29/08 Västerås SK H xG 2.15 xGA 2.23 xGD -0.08
  5. Fri 21/08 IK Sirius A xG 1.57 xGA 0.64 xGD +0.93
  6. Mon 17/08 Halmstads BK H xG 2.78 xGA 1.21 xGD +1.57
  7. Sun 09/08 Hammarby IF A Weakest underlying xG 0.38 xGA 3.17 xGD -2.79
  8. Sat 01/08 Kalmar FF H xG 0.92 xGA 1.62 xGD -0.70
  9. Mon 27/07 AIK H Best underlying xG 2.96 xGA 0.29 xGD +2.67
  10. Sun 19/07 Halmstads BK A xG 1.40 xGA 1.12 xGD +0.28
  11. Sat 11/07 Örgryte IS A xG 1.78 xGA 1.48 xGD +0.30
  12. Mon 06/07 Djurgårdens IF H
  13. Sun 31/05 Hammarby IF H
  14. Mon 25/05 IF Elfsborg A
  15. Sun 17/05 Mjällby AIF A xG 1.87 xGA 1.17 xGD +0.70
  16. Sun 10/05 Malmö FF H xG 2.37 xGA 1.42 xGD +0.95
  17. Sat 02/05 Degerfors IF A xG 1.78 xGA 0.98 xGD +0.80
  18. Mon 27/04 IK Sirius H
  19. Wed 22/04 Västerås SK A xG 1.42 xGA 1.43 xGD -0.01
  20. Sun 19/04 GAIS H xG 1.13 xGA 1.05 xGD +0.08
  21. Sat 11/04 IFK Göteborg A xG 1.64 xGA 2.13 xGD -0.49
  22. Mon 06/04 IF Brommapojkarna H

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.23. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

BK Häcken in Allsvenskan

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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