Expected goals
Degerfors IF expected goals (xG) 2026/2027
Allsvenskan · after 20 matches · updated 1 Oct
Degerfors IF's attacking and defensive expected goals in Allsvenskan 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
Degerfors IF xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Hammarby IF | 2.66 |
| #2 | Djurgårdens IF | 2.30 |
| #3 | IK Sirius | 2.13 |
| #4 | Malmö FF | 2.04 |
| #5 | IFK Göteborg | 1.95 |
| #6 | BK Häcken | 1.84 |
| #7 | GAIS | 1.75 |
| #8 | IF Elfsborg | 1.65 |
| #9 | Västerås SK | 1.64 |
| #10 | Mjällby AIF | 1.59 |
| #11 | AIK | 1.57 |
| #12 | IF Brommapojkarna | 1.45 |
| #13 | Kalmar FF | 1.31 |
| #14 | Örgryte IS | 1.26 |
| #15 | Degerfors IF | 1.26 |
| #16 | Halmstads BK | 1.10 |
- League avg
- 1.71
- Total
- 25.13 20 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Hammarby IF | 1.11 |
| #2 | Djurgårdens IF | 1.15 |
| #3 | IK Sirius | 1.34 |
| #4 | GAIS | 1.34 |
| #5 | BK Häcken | 1.38 |
| #6 | Malmö FF | 1.50 |
| #7 | IF Elfsborg | 1.51 |
| #8 | IFK Göteborg | 1.63 |
| #9 | Kalmar FF | 1.74 |
| #10 | Degerfors IF | 1.76 |
| #11 | IF Brommapojkarna | 1.80 |
| #12 | Västerås SK | 1.91 |
| #13 | Mjällby AIF | 2.07 |
| #14 | Örgryte IS | 2.26 |
| #15 | AIK | 2.29 |
| #16 | Halmstads BK | 2.41 |
- League avg
- 1.71
- Total
- 35.23 20 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Hammarby IF | +1.54 |
| #2 | Djurgårdens IF | +1.16 |
| #3 | IK Sirius | +0.79 |
| #4 | Malmö FF | +0.54 |
| #5 | BK Häcken | +0.46 |
| #6 | GAIS | +0.41 |
| #7 | IFK Göteborg | +0.32 |
| #8 | IF Elfsborg | +0.15 |
| #9 | Västerås SK | -0.27 |
| #10 | IF Brommapojkarna | -0.35 |
| #11 | Kalmar FF | -0.43 |
| #12 | Mjällby AIF | -0.48 |
| #13 | Degerfors IF | -0.51 |
| #14 | AIK | -0.72 |
| #15 | Örgryte IS | -0.99 |
| #16 | Halmstads BK | -1.31 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- -10.10 20 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Hammarby IF | 2.24 |
| #2 | Djurgårdens IF | 2.05 |
| #3 | IK Sirius | 1.84 |
| #4 | BK Häcken | 1.70 |
| #5 | Malmö FF | 1.67 |
| #6 | GAIS | 1.61 |
| #7 | IFK Göteborg | 1.60 |
| #8 | IF Elfsborg | 1.49 |
| #9 | IF Brommapojkarna | 1.23 |
| #10 | Kalmar FF | 1.21 |
| #11 | Västerås SK | 1.21 |
| #12 | Degerfors IF | 1.09 |
| #13 | Mjällby AIF | 1.08 |
| #14 | AIK | 1.00 |
| #15 | Örgryte IS | 0.87 |
| #16 | Halmstads BK | 0.61 |
- League avg
- 1.40
- Total
- 21.88 vs 19 actual pts
Expected goals here are summed over 20 of 22 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.
What the xG says
Degerfors IF's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Allsvenskan. They rank #13 for xG difference at -0.51 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 19 goals are 6.13 below 25.13 xG, while 19 points are 2.88 below 21.88 xPts — both over the 20 matches with xG.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
Degerfors IF are 6.13 goals below their xG after 20 matches.
- Goals
- 19
- xG
- 25.13
- Gap
- -6.13
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 12/04 | Halmstads BK | 3 | 1.70 | +1.30 | +1.30 |
| Fri 17/04 | IF Elfsborg | 0 | 1.03 | -1.03 | +0.27 |
| Thu 23/04 | AIK | 2 | 0.62 | +1.38 | +1.65 |
| Mon 27/04 | Örgryte IS | 1 | 0.67 | +0.33 | +1.98 |
| Sat 02/05 | BK Häcken | 1 | 0.98 | +0.02 | +2.00 |
| Sat 09/05 | Mjällby AIF | 1 | 1.36 | -0.36 | +1.64 |
| Sat 16/05 | GAIS | 1 | 1.01 | -0.01 | +1.63 |
| Sat 23/05 | Kalmar FF | 1 | 1.68 | -0.68 | +0.95 |
| Sun 31/05 | IF Brommapojkarna | 2 | 1.17 | +0.83 | +1.78 |
| Sat 04/07 | Malmö FF | 0 | 0.93 | -0.93 | +0.85 |
| Sun 19/07 | Hammarby IF | 0 | 0.71 | -0.71 | +0.14 |
| Sat 25/07 | Djurgårdens IF | 0 | 1.18 | -1.18 | -1.04 |
| Sun 02/08 | IFK Göteborg | 0 | 1.92 | -1.92 | -2.96 |
| Sun 09/08 | Malmö FF | 2 | 0.70 | +1.30 | -1.66 |
| Sun 16/08 | IFK Göteborg | 3 | 1.69 | +1.31 | -0.35 |
| Sun 23/08 | IF Brommapojkarna | 0 | 1.08 | -1.08 | -1.43 |
| Sat 29/08 | IF Elfsborg | 0 | 0.18 | -0.18 | -1.61 |
| Sat 05/09 | Halmstads BK | 2 | 2.83 | -0.83 | -2.44 |
| Mon 14/09 | IK Sirius | 0 | 1.71 | -1.71 | -4.15 |
| Sun 20/09 | Hammarby IF | 0 | 1.98 | -1.98 | -6.13 |
Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →
Degerfors IF xG trend
Current form -0.06 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 7 of 20 matches. The worst was against Malmö FF on Sat 04/07 (-2.88).
- npxG · last 6
- 1.58
- npxGA · last 6
- 1.64
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Sun 12/04 | Halmstads BK | 1.70 | 0.31 | +1.39 | +1.39 |
| Fri 17/04 | IF Elfsborg | 1.03 | 0.48 | +0.55 | +0.97 |
| Thu 23/04 | AIK | 0.62 | 0.55 | +0.07 | +0.67 |
| Mon 27/04 | Örgryte IS | 0.67 | 1.89 | -1.22 | +0.20 |
| Sat 02/05 | BK Häcken | 0.98 | 1.78 | -0.80 | +0.00 |
| Sat 09/05 | Mjällby AIF | 1.36 | 1.82 | -0.46 | -0.08 |
| Sat 16/05 | GAIS | 1.01 | 0.87 | +0.14 | -0.05 |
| Sat 23/05 | Kalmar FF | 1.68 | 1.53 | +0.15 | -0.02 |
| Sun 31/05 | IF Brommapojkarna | 1.17 | 2.15 | -0.98 | -0.13 |
| Sat 04/07 | Malmö FF | 0.93 | 3.81 | -2.88 | -0.40 |
| Sun 19/07 | Hammarby IF | 0.71 | 3.32 | -2.61 | -0.60 |
| Sat 25/07 | Djurgårdens IF | 1.18 | 2.13 | -0.95 | -0.63 |
| Sun 02/08 | IFK Göteborg | 1.92 | 2.21 | -0.29 | -0.61 |
| Sun 09/08 | Malmö FF | 0.70 | 2.53 | -1.83 | -0.69 |
| Sun 16/08 | IFK Göteborg | 1.69 | 1.13 | +0.56 | -0.61 |
| Sun 23/08 | IF Brommapojkarna | 1.08 | 2.05 | -0.97 | -0.63 |
| Sat 29/08 | IF Elfsborg | 0.18 | 1.63 | -1.45 | -0.68 |
| Sat 05/09 | Halmstads BK | 2.83 | 0.80 | +2.03 | -0.53 |
| Mon 14/09 | IK Sirius | 1.71 | 1.86 | -0.15 | -0.51 |
| Sun 20/09 | Hammarby IF | 1.98 | 2.38 | -0.40 | -0.51 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.26 npxG and 1.76 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- tied number 2 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
- +0.06 xG vs league average
- Over 22 league matches
- Last 5
- number 5 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
- +0.09 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
+0.06 xG vs league average · over 22 matches · tied number 2 hardest of 16
- Hammarby IF Home +1.29
- IK Sirius Away +0.19
- Halmstads BK Home −0.78
- IF Elfsborg Away +0.10
- IF Brommapojkarna Away −0.32
- IFK Göteborg Home +0.20
- Malmö FF Away +0.42
- IFK Göteborg Away +0.20
- Djurgårdens IF Home +0.46
- Hammarby IF Away +1.29
- Västerås SK Away −0.18
- Malmö FF Home +0.42
- IF Brommapojkarna Home −0.32
- Kalmar FF Away −0.15
- GAIS Away +0.23
- Mjällby AIF Home −0.36
- BK Häcken Home +0.26
- Örgryte IS Away −0.67
- AIK Home −0.44
- IF Elfsborg Home +0.10
- Halmstads BK Away −0.78
- IK Sirius Home +0.19
Last 5
+0.09 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 5 hardest of 16
- Hammarby IF Home +1.29
- IK Sirius Away +0.19
- Halmstads BK Home −0.78
- IF Elfsborg Away +0.10
- IF Brommapojkarna Away −0.32
Degerfors IF shots and chance quality
Low volume, average quality. Degerfors IF take 11.1 shots a match (league 13.9) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #15 in Allsvenskan for volume and #14 for quality. 58% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Hammarby IF | 21.9 |
| #2 | IFK Göteborg | 17.1 |
| #3 | Djurgårdens IF | 15.7 |
| #4 | Malmö FF | 14.9 |
| #5 | IK Sirius | 14.9 |
| #6 | GAIS | 14.5 |
| #7 | BK Häcken | 14.2 |
| #8 | Kalmar FF | 13.4 |
| #9 | Mjällby AIF | 13.0 |
| #10 | AIK | 12.9 |
| #11 | IF Elfsborg | 12.8 |
| #12 | Halmstads BK | 12.5 |
| #13 | Västerås SK | 12.1 |
| #14 | IF Brommapojkarna | 11.7 |
| #15 | Degerfors IF | 11.1 |
| #16 | Örgryte IS | 10.5 |
- League avg
- 13.9
- Total
- 221 shots from 20 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Djurgårdens IF | 0.15 |
| #2 | IK Sirius | 0.14 |
| #3 | Malmö FF | 0.14 |
| #4 | Västerås SK | 0.14 |
| #5 | IF Elfsborg | 0.13 |
| #6 | BK Häcken | 0.13 |
| #7 | IF Brommapojkarna | 0.12 |
| #8 | Mjällby AIF | 0.12 |
| #9 | AIK | 0.12 |
| #10 | Hammarby IF | 0.12 |
| #11 | GAIS | 0.12 |
| #12 | Örgryte IS | 0.12 |
| #13 | IFK Göteborg | 0.11 |
| #14 | Degerfors IF | 0.11 |
| #15 | Kalmar FF | 0.10 |
| #16 | Halmstads BK | 0.09 |
- League avg
- 0.12
- Total
- 25.13 npxG from 221 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Hammarby IF | 8.6 |
| #2 | Djurgårdens IF | 10.9 |
| #3 | BK Häcken | 11.5 |
| #4 | IFK Göteborg | 12.4 |
| #5 | GAIS | 12.4 |
| #6 | IF Elfsborg | 12.5 |
| #7 | Malmö FF | 12.9 |
| #8 | IK Sirius | 13.8 |
| #9 | Degerfors IF | 13.9 |
| #10 | Kalmar FF | 14.3 |
| #11 | Västerås SK | 14.8 |
| #12 | IF Brommapojkarna | 15.7 |
| #13 | Mjällby AIF | 16.2 |
| #14 | AIK | 16.5 |
| #15 | Halmstads BK | 17.5 |
| #16 | Örgryte IS | 17.9 |
- League avg
- 13.9
- Total
- 277 shots allowed from 20 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | IK Sirius | 0.10 |
| #2 | Djurgårdens IF | 0.11 |
| #3 | GAIS | 0.11 |
| #4 | IF Brommapojkarna | 0.11 |
| #5 | Malmö FF | 0.12 |
| #6 | BK Häcken | 0.12 |
| #7 | IF Elfsborg | 0.12 |
| #8 | Kalmar FF | 0.12 |
| #9 | Örgryte IS | 0.13 |
| #10 | Degerfors IF | 0.13 |
| #11 | Mjällby AIF | 0.13 |
| #12 | Hammarby IF | 0.13 |
| #13 | Västerås SK | 0.13 |
| #14 | IFK Göteborg | 0.13 |
| #15 | Halmstads BK | 0.14 |
| #16 | AIK | 0.14 |
- League avg
- 0.12
- Total
- 35.23 npxGA from 277 shots
Shot profile
58% inside the box
League avg 64%
From 129 of 221 shots over 20 matches
62% allowed inside the box
League avg 64%
From 173 of 277 shots allowed over 20 matches
Degerfors IF home and away xG
| Measure | Home | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 11 10 with xG | 11 10 with xG |
| xG / match | 1.38 | 1.14 |
| xGA / match | 1.70 | 1.82 |
| xGD / match | -0.33 | -0.68 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 1.21 | 0.97 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every Degerfors IF match by xG
This season
- Matches
- 22 20 with xG
- xG / match
- 1.26
- xGA / match
- 1.76
- xGD / match
- -0.50
- Points
- 19 of 66
- Sun 20/09 Hammarby IF H xG 1.98 xGA 2.38 xGD -0.40 xPts 1.12
- Mon 14/09 IK Sirius A xG 1.71 xGA 1.86 xGD -0.15 xPts 1.27
- Sat 05/09 Halmstads BK H Best underlying xG 2.83 xGA 0.80 xGD +2.03 xPts 2.63
- Sat 29/08 IF Elfsborg A xG 0.18 xGA 1.63 xGD -1.45 xPts 0.25
- Sun 23/08 IF Brommapojkarna A xG 1.08 xGA 2.05 xGD -0.97 xPts 0.68
- Sun 16/08 IFK Göteborg H xG 1.69 xGA 1.13 xGD +0.56 xPts 1.81
- Sun 09/08 Malmö FF A Against the chances xG 0.70 xGA 2.53 xGD -1.83 xPts 0.28
- Sun 02/08 IFK Göteborg A xG 1.92 xGA 2.21 xGD -0.29 xPts 1.19
- Sat 25/07 Djurgårdens IF H xG 1.18 xGA 2.13 xGD -0.95 xPts 0.71
- Sun 19/07 Hammarby IF A xG 0.71 xGA 3.32 xGD -2.61 xPts 0.14
- Sun 12/07 Västerås SK A
- Sat 04/07 Malmö FF H Weakest underlying xG 0.93 xGA 3.81 xGD -2.88 xPts 0.14
- Sun 31/05 IF Brommapojkarna H xG 1.17 xGA 2.15 xGD -0.98 xPts 0.71
- Sat 23/05 Kalmar FF A xG 1.68 xGA 1.53 xGD +0.15 xPts 1.49
- Sat 16/05 GAIS A xG 1.01 xGA 0.87 xGD +0.14 xPts 1.47
- Sat 09/05 Mjällby AIF H xG 1.36 xGA 1.82 xGD -0.46 xPts 1.03
- Sat 02/05 BK Häcken H xG 0.98 xGA 1.78 xGD -0.80 xPts 0.75
- Mon 27/04 Örgryte IS A xG 0.67 xGA 1.89 xGD -1.22 xPts 0.48
- Thu 23/04 AIK H xG 0.62 xGA 0.55 xGD +0.07 xPts 1.37
- Fri 17/04 IF Elfsborg H xG 1.03 xGA 0.48 xGD +0.55 xPts 1.87
- Sun 12/04 Halmstads BK A xG 1.70 xGA 0.31 xGD +1.39 xPts 2.51
- Sat 04/04 IK Sirius H
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.81. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
Degerfors IF in Allsvenskan
Attack
- xG / match #15 of 16
- Shots / match #15 of 16
- Chance quality #14 of 16
- Home xG #13 of 16
- Away xG #13 of 16
Defence
- xGA / match #10 of 16
- Shots allowed #9 of 16
- Chance quality allowed #10 of 16
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.