xgEdge

Expected goals

Degerfors IF expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Allsvenskan · after 20 matches · updated 1 Oct

Degerfors IF's attacking and defensive expected goals in Allsvenskan 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Degerfors IF xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.26 xG per match
#15/16
Attack (xG per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.66
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.30
#3 IK Sirius 2.13
#4 Malmö FF 2.04
#5 IFK Göteborg 1.95
#6 BK Häcken 1.84
#7 GAIS 1.75
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.65
#9 Västerås SK 1.64
#10 Mjällby AIF 1.59
#11 AIK 1.57
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 1.45
#13 Kalmar FF 1.31
#14 Örgryte IS 1.26
#15 Degerfors IF 1.26
#16 Halmstads BK 1.10
League avg
1.71
Total
25.13 20 matches
Defence
1.76 xGA per match
#10/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Hammarby IF 1.11
#2 Djurgårdens IF 1.15
#3 IK Sirius 1.34
#4 GAIS 1.34
#5 BK Häcken 1.38
#6 Malmö FF 1.50
#7 IF Elfsborg 1.51
#8 IFK Göteborg 1.63
#9 Kalmar FF 1.74
#10 Degerfors IF 1.76
#11 IF Brommapojkarna 1.80
#12 Västerås SK 1.91
#13 Mjällby AIF 2.07
#14 Örgryte IS 2.26
#15 AIK 2.29
#16 Halmstads BK 2.41
League avg
1.71
Total
35.23 20 matches
xG difference
-0.51 xGD per match
#13/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Hammarby IF +1.54
#2 Djurgårdens IF +1.16
#3 IK Sirius +0.79
#4 Malmö FF +0.54
#5 BK Häcken +0.46
#6 GAIS +0.41
#7 IFK Göteborg +0.32
#8 IF Elfsborg +0.15
#9 Västerås SK -0.27
#10 IF Brommapojkarna -0.35
#11 Kalmar FF -0.43
#12 Mjällby AIF -0.48
#13 Degerfors IF -0.51
#14 AIK -0.72
#15 Örgryte IS -0.99
#16 Halmstads BK -1.31
League avg
0.00
Total
-10.10 20 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.09 xPts per match
#12/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.24
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.05
#3 IK Sirius 1.84
#4 BK Häcken 1.70
#5 Malmö FF 1.67
#6 GAIS 1.61
#7 IFK Göteborg 1.60
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.49
#9 IF Brommapojkarna 1.23
#10 Kalmar FF 1.21
#11 Västerås SK 1.21
#12 Degerfors IF 1.09
#13 Mjällby AIF 1.08
#14 AIK 1.00
#15 Örgryte IS 0.87
#16 Halmstads BK 0.61
League avg
1.40
Total
21.88 vs 19 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 20 of 22 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Degerfors IF's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Allsvenskan. They rank #13 for xG difference at -0.51 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 19 goals are 6.13 below 25.13 xG, while 19 points are 2.88 below 21.88 xPts — both over the 20 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
19 25.13 -6.13 scored 6.13 fewer than xG outside normal variance
29 35.23 -6.23 conceded 6.23 fewer than xGA outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Degerfors IF are 6.13 goals below their xG after 20 matches.

Goals
19
xG
25.13
Gap
-6.13
Sun 12/04 Fri 17/04 Thu 23/04 Mon 27/04 Sat 02/05 Sat 09/05 Sat 16/05 Sat 23/05 Sun 31/05 Sat 04/07 Sun 19/07 Sat 25/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 23/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 05/09 Mon 14/09 Sun 20/09 -7 -5 -3 -1 +1 +1.30 +0.27 +1.65 +1.98 +2.00 +1.64 +1.63 +0.95 +1.78 +0.85 +0.14 -1.04 -2.96 -1.66 -0.35 -1.43 -1.61 -2.44 -4.15 -6.13 +1.30 -1.03 +1.38 +0.33 +0.02 -0.36 -0.01 -0.68 +0.83 -0.93 -0.71 -1.18 -1.92 +1.30 +1.31 -1.08 -0.18 -0.83 -1.71 -1.98 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Degerfors IF: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 12/04 Halmstads BK 3 1.70 +1.30 +1.30
Fri 17/04 IF Elfsborg 0 1.03 -1.03 +0.27
Thu 23/04 AIK 2 0.62 +1.38 +1.65
Mon 27/04 Örgryte IS 1 0.67 +0.33 +1.98
Sat 02/05 BK Häcken 1 0.98 +0.02 +2.00
Sat 09/05 Mjällby AIF 1 1.36 -0.36 +1.64
Sat 16/05 GAIS 1 1.01 -0.01 +1.63
Sat 23/05 Kalmar FF 1 1.68 -0.68 +0.95
Sun 31/05 IF Brommapojkarna 2 1.17 +0.83 +1.78
Sat 04/07 Malmö FF 0 0.93 -0.93 +0.85
Sun 19/07 Hammarby IF 0 0.71 -0.71 +0.14
Sat 25/07 Djurgårdens IF 0 1.18 -1.18 -1.04
Sun 02/08 IFK Göteborg 0 1.92 -1.92 -2.96
Sun 09/08 Malmö FF 2 0.70 +1.30 -1.66
Sun 16/08 IFK Göteborg 3 1.69 +1.31 -0.35
Sun 23/08 IF Brommapojkarna 0 1.08 -1.08 -1.43
Sat 29/08 IF Elfsborg 0 0.18 -0.18 -1.61
Sat 05/09 Halmstads BK 2 2.83 -0.83 -2.44
Mon 14/09 IK Sirius 0 1.71 -1.71 -4.15
Sun 20/09 Hammarby IF 0 1.98 -1.98 -6.13

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Degerfors IF xG trend

Current form -0.06 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 7 of 20 matches. The worst was against Malmö FF on Sat 04/07 (-2.88).

npxG · last 6
1.58
npxGA · last 6
1.64
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +1.39 Sun 12/04 +0.55 Fri 17/04 +0.07 Thu 23/04 -1.22 Mon 27/04 -0.80 Sat 02/05 -0.46 Sat 09/05 +0.14 Sat 16/05 +0.15 Sat 23/05 -0.98 Sun 31/05 -2.88 Sat 04/07 -2.61 Sun 19/07 -0.95 Sat 25/07 -0.29 Sun 02/08 -1.83 Sun 09/08 +0.56 Sun 16/08 -0.97 Sun 23/08 -1.45 Sat 29/08 +2.03 Sat 05/09 -0.15 Mon 14/09 -0.40 Sun 20/09 -0.51 season avg
Degerfors IF: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 12/04 Halmstads BK 1.70 0.31 +1.39 +1.39
Fri 17/04 IF Elfsborg 1.03 0.48 +0.55 +0.97
Thu 23/04 AIK 0.62 0.55 +0.07 +0.67
Mon 27/04 Örgryte IS 0.67 1.89 -1.22 +0.20
Sat 02/05 BK Häcken 0.98 1.78 -0.80 +0.00
Sat 09/05 Mjällby AIF 1.36 1.82 -0.46 -0.08
Sat 16/05 GAIS 1.01 0.87 +0.14 -0.05
Sat 23/05 Kalmar FF 1.68 1.53 +0.15 -0.02
Sun 31/05 IF Brommapojkarna 1.17 2.15 -0.98 -0.13
Sat 04/07 Malmö FF 0.93 3.81 -2.88 -0.40
Sun 19/07 Hammarby IF 0.71 3.32 -2.61 -0.60
Sat 25/07 Djurgårdens IF 1.18 2.13 -0.95 -0.63
Sun 02/08 IFK Göteborg 1.92 2.21 -0.29 -0.61
Sun 09/08 Malmö FF 0.70 2.53 -1.83 -0.69
Sun 16/08 IFK Göteborg 1.69 1.13 +0.56 -0.61
Sun 23/08 IF Brommapojkarna 1.08 2.05 -0.97 -0.63
Sat 29/08 IF Elfsborg 0.18 1.63 -1.45 -0.68
Sat 05/09 Halmstads BK 2.83 0.80 +2.03 -0.53
Mon 14/09 IK Sirius 1.71 1.86 -0.15 -0.51
Sun 20/09 Hammarby IF 1.98 2.38 -0.40 -0.51

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.26 npxG and 1.76 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 2 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
+0.06 xG vs league average
Over 22 league matches
Last 5
number 5 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
+0.09 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.06 xG vs league average · over 22 matches · tied number 2 hardest of 16

  1. Hammarby IF Home +1.29
  2. IK Sirius Away +0.19
  3. Halmstads BK Home −0.78
  4. IF Elfsborg Away +0.10
  5. IF Brommapojkarna Away −0.32
  6. IFK Göteborg Home +0.20
  7. Malmö FF Away +0.42
  8. IFK Göteborg Away +0.20
  9. Djurgårdens IF Home +0.46
  10. Hammarby IF Away +1.29
  11. Västerås SK Away −0.18
  12. Malmö FF Home +0.42
  13. IF Brommapojkarna Home −0.32
  14. Kalmar FF Away −0.15
  15. GAIS Away +0.23
  16. Mjällby AIF Home −0.36
  17. BK Häcken Home +0.26
  18. Örgryte IS Away −0.67
  19. AIK Home −0.44
  20. IF Elfsborg Home +0.10
  21. Halmstads BK Away −0.78
  22. IK Sirius Home +0.19

Last 5

+0.09 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 5 hardest of 16

  1. Hammarby IF Home +1.29
  2. IK Sirius Away +0.19
  3. Halmstads BK Home −0.78
  4. IF Elfsborg Away +0.10
  5. IF Brommapojkarna Away −0.32

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Degerfors IF shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Degerfors IF take 11.1 shots a match (league 13.9) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #15 in Allsvenskan for volume and #14 for quality. 58% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.1 shots per match
#15/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 21.9
#2 IFK Göteborg 17.1
#3 Djurgårdens IF 15.7
#4 Malmö FF 14.9
#5 IK Sirius 14.9
#6 GAIS 14.5
#7 BK Häcken 14.2
#8 Kalmar FF 13.4
#9 Mjällby AIF 13.0
#10 AIK 12.9
#11 IF Elfsborg 12.8
#12 Halmstads BK 12.5
#13 Västerås SK 12.1
#14 IF Brommapojkarna 11.7
#15 Degerfors IF 11.1
#16 Örgryte IS 10.5
League avg
13.9
Total
221 shots from 20 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#14/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Djurgårdens IF 0.15
#2 IK Sirius 0.14
#3 Malmö FF 0.14
#4 Västerås SK 0.14
#5 IF Elfsborg 0.13
#6 BK Häcken 0.13
#7 IF Brommapojkarna 0.12
#8 Mjällby AIF 0.12
#9 AIK 0.12
#10 Hammarby IF 0.12
#11 GAIS 0.12
#12 Örgryte IS 0.12
#13 IFK Göteborg 0.11
#14 Degerfors IF 0.11
#15 Kalmar FF 0.10
#16 Halmstads BK 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
25.13 npxG from 221 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
13.9 shots per match
#9/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 8.6
#2 Djurgårdens IF 10.9
#3 BK Häcken 11.5
#4 IFK Göteborg 12.4
#5 GAIS 12.4
#6 IF Elfsborg 12.5
#7 Malmö FF 12.9
#8 IK Sirius 13.8
#9 Degerfors IF 13.9
#10 Kalmar FF 14.3
#11 Västerås SK 14.8
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 15.7
#13 Mjällby AIF 16.2
#14 AIK 16.5
#15 Halmstads BK 17.5
#16 Örgryte IS 17.9
League avg
13.9
Total
277 shots allowed from 20 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.13 npxGA per shot
#10/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 IK Sirius 0.10
#2 Djurgårdens IF 0.11
#3 GAIS 0.11
#4 IF Brommapojkarna 0.11
#5 Malmö FF 0.12
#6 BK Häcken 0.12
#7 IF Elfsborg 0.12
#8 Kalmar FF 0.12
#9 Örgryte IS 0.13
#10 Degerfors IF 0.13
#11 Mjällby AIF 0.13
#12 Hammarby IF 0.13
#13 Västerås SK 0.13
#14 IFK Göteborg 0.13
#15 Halmstads BK 0.14
#16 AIK 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
35.23 npxGA from 277 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

58% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 129 of 221 shots over 20 matches

Shots allowed, location

62% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 173 of 277 shots allowed over 20 matches

Degerfors IF home and away xG

Degerfors IF per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 11 10 with xG 11 10 with xG
xG / match 1.38 1.14
xGA / match 1.70 1.82
xGD / match -0.33 -0.68
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.21 0.97

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Degerfors IF match by xG

Venue

This season

Matches
22 20 with xG
xG / match
1.26
xGA / match
1.76
xGD / match
-0.50
Points
19 of 66
  1. Sun 20/09 Hammarby IF H xG 1.98 xGA 2.38 xGD -0.40
  2. Mon 14/09 IK Sirius A xG 1.71 xGA 1.86 xGD -0.15
  3. Sat 05/09 Halmstads BK H Best underlying xG 2.83 xGA 0.80 xGD +2.03
  4. Sat 29/08 IF Elfsborg A xG 0.18 xGA 1.63 xGD -1.45
  5. Sun 23/08 IF Brommapojkarna A xG 1.08 xGA 2.05 xGD -0.97
  6. Sun 16/08 IFK Göteborg H xG 1.69 xGA 1.13 xGD +0.56
  7. Sun 09/08 Malmö FF A Against the chances xG 0.70 xGA 2.53 xGD -1.83
  8. Sun 02/08 IFK Göteborg A xG 1.92 xGA 2.21 xGD -0.29
  9. Sat 25/07 Djurgårdens IF H xG 1.18 xGA 2.13 xGD -0.95
  10. Sun 19/07 Hammarby IF A xG 0.71 xGA 3.32 xGD -2.61
  11. Sun 12/07 Västerås SK A
  12. Sat 04/07 Malmö FF H Weakest underlying xG 0.93 xGA 3.81 xGD -2.88
  13. Sun 31/05 IF Brommapojkarna H xG 1.17 xGA 2.15 xGD -0.98
  14. Sat 23/05 Kalmar FF A xG 1.68 xGA 1.53 xGD +0.15
  15. Sat 16/05 GAIS A xG 1.01 xGA 0.87 xGD +0.14
  16. Sat 09/05 Mjällby AIF H xG 1.36 xGA 1.82 xGD -0.46
  17. Sat 02/05 BK Häcken H xG 0.98 xGA 1.78 xGD -0.80
  18. Mon 27/04 Örgryte IS A xG 0.67 xGA 1.89 xGD -1.22
  19. Thu 23/04 AIK H xG 0.62 xGA 0.55 xGD +0.07
  20. Fri 17/04 IF Elfsborg H xG 1.03 xGA 0.48 xGD +0.55
  21. Sun 12/04 Halmstads BK A xG 1.70 xGA 0.31 xGD +1.39
  22. Sat 04/04 IK Sirius H

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.81. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Degerfors IF in Allsvenskan

Attack

Defence

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →