xgEdge

Expected goals

Halmstads BK expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Allsvenskan · after 19 matches · updated 1 Oct

Halmstads BK's attacking and defensive expected goals in Allsvenskan 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Halmstads BK xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.10 xG per match
#16/16
Attack (xG per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.66
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.30
#3 IK Sirius 2.13
#4 Malmö FF 2.04
#5 IFK Göteborg 1.95
#6 BK Häcken 1.84
#7 GAIS 1.75
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.65
#9 Västerås SK 1.64
#10 Mjällby AIF 1.59
#11 AIK 1.57
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 1.45
#13 Kalmar FF 1.31
#14 Örgryte IS 1.26
#15 Degerfors IF 1.26
#16 Halmstads BK 1.10
League avg
1.71
Total
20.82 19 matches
Defence
2.41 xGA per match
#16/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Hammarby IF 1.11
#2 Djurgårdens IF 1.15
#3 IK Sirius 1.34
#4 GAIS 1.34
#5 BK Häcken 1.38
#6 Malmö FF 1.50
#7 IF Elfsborg 1.51
#8 IFK Göteborg 1.63
#9 Kalmar FF 1.74
#10 Degerfors IF 1.76
#11 IF Brommapojkarna 1.80
#12 Västerås SK 1.91
#13 Mjällby AIF 2.07
#14 Örgryte IS 2.26
#15 AIK 2.29
#16 Halmstads BK 2.41
League avg
1.71
Total
45.75 19 matches
xG difference
-1.31 xGD per match
#16/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Hammarby IF +1.54
#2 Djurgårdens IF +1.16
#3 IK Sirius +0.79
#4 Malmö FF +0.54
#5 BK Häcken +0.46
#6 GAIS +0.41
#7 IFK Göteborg +0.32
#8 IF Elfsborg +0.15
#9 Västerås SK -0.27
#10 IF Brommapojkarna -0.35
#11 Kalmar FF -0.43
#12 Mjällby AIF -0.48
#13 Degerfors IF -0.51
#14 AIK -0.72
#15 Örgryte IS -0.99
#16 Halmstads BK -1.31
League avg
0.00
Total
-24.93 19 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.61 xPts per match
#16/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.24
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.05
#3 IK Sirius 1.84
#4 BK Häcken 1.70
#5 Malmö FF 1.67
#6 GAIS 1.61
#7 IFK Göteborg 1.60
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.49
#9 IF Brommapojkarna 1.23
#10 Kalmar FF 1.21
#11 Västerås SK 1.21
#12 Degerfors IF 1.09
#13 Mjällby AIF 1.08
#14 AIK 1.00
#15 Örgryte IS 0.87
#16 Halmstads BK 0.61
League avg
1.40
Total
11.58 vs 14 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 19 of 22 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Halmstads BK's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Allsvenskan. They rank #16 for xG difference at -1.31 per match, from low shot volume and the league's lowest chance quality. Their 12 goals are 8.82 below 20.82 xG, while 10 points are 1.58 below 11.58 xPts — both over the 19 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
12 20.82 -8.82 scored 8.82 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
37 45.75 -8.75 conceded 8.75 fewer than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
10 11.58 -1.58 1.58 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Halmstads BK are 8.82 goals below their xG after 19 matches. The gap was widest at -8.91, against IFK Göteborg on Sat 12/09.

Goals
12
xG
20.82
Gap
-8.82
Sun 12/04 Sat 18/04 Mon 27/04 Mon 04/05 Sun 10/05 Sat 16/05 Sat 30/05 Sat 04/07 Mon 13/07 Sun 19/07 Sun 26/07 Mon 03/08 Sun 09/08 Mon 17/08 Sat 22/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 05/09 Sat 12/09 Sun 20/09 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 +1 -0.31 +0.35 -0.68 -0.52 -0.74 -0.57 -0.22 -0.13 -1.02 -2.14 -2.63 -3.60 -4.50 -5.71 -7.38 -7.69 -8.49 -8.91 -8.82 -0.31 +0.66 -1.03 +0.16 -0.22 +0.17 +0.35 +0.09 -0.89 -1.12 -0.49 -0.97 -0.90 -1.21 -1.67 -0.31 -0.80 -0.42 +0.09 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Halmstads BK: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 12/04 Degerfors IF 0 0.31 -0.31 -0.31
Sat 18/04 IFK Göteborg 1 0.34 +0.66 +0.35
Mon 27/04 Mjällby AIF 0 1.03 -1.03 -0.68
Mon 04/05 IF Brommapojkarna 1 0.84 +0.16 -0.52
Sun 10/05 Kalmar FF 0 0.22 -0.22 -0.74
Sat 16/05 IF Elfsborg 1 0.83 +0.17 -0.57
Sat 30/05 Malmö FF 2 1.65 +0.35 -0.22
Sat 04/07 Västerås SK 1 0.91 +0.09 -0.13
Mon 13/07 Djurgårdens IF 0 0.89 -0.89 -1.02
Sun 19/07 BK Häcken 0 1.12 -1.12 -2.14
Sun 26/07 GAIS 1 1.49 -0.49 -2.63
Mon 03/08 IK Sirius 0 0.97 -0.97 -3.60
Sun 09/08 GAIS 0 0.90 -0.90 -4.50
Mon 17/08 BK Häcken 0 1.21 -1.21 -5.71
Sat 22/08 Örgryte IS 1 2.67 -1.67 -7.38
Sat 29/08 Kalmar FF 1 1.31 -0.31 -7.69
Sat 05/09 Degerfors IF 0 0.80 -0.80 -8.49
Sat 12/09 IFK Göteborg 1 1.42 -0.42 -8.91
Sun 20/09 AIK 2 1.91 +0.09 -8.82

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Halmstads BK xG trend

Current form -0.78 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 1 of 19 matches. The worst was against Västerås SK on Sat 04/07 (-3.30).

npxG · last 6
1.55
npxGA · last 6
2.33
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.39 Sun 12/04 -1.82 Sat 18/04 -0.49 Mon 27/04 -0.84 Mon 04/05 -1.14 Sun 10/05 -0.93 Sat 16/05 -1.59 Sat 30/05 -3.30 Sat 04/07 -1.98 Mon 13/07 -0.28 Sun 19/07 -1.48 Sun 26/07 -2.13 Mon 03/08 -2.91 Sun 09/08 -1.57 Mon 17/08 +0.58 Sat 22/08 -0.63 Sat 29/08 -2.03 Sat 05/09 -0.34 Sat 12/09 -0.66 Sun 20/09 -1.31 season avg
Halmstads BK: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 12/04 Degerfors IF 0.31 1.70 -1.39 -1.39
Sat 18/04 IFK Göteborg 0.34 2.16 -1.82 -1.61
Mon 27/04 Mjällby AIF 1.03 1.52 -0.49 -1.23
Mon 04/05 IF Brommapojkarna 0.84 1.68 -0.84 -1.14
Sun 10/05 Kalmar FF 0.22 1.36 -1.14 -1.14
Sat 16/05 IF Elfsborg 0.83 1.76 -0.93 -1.10
Sat 30/05 Malmö FF 1.65 3.24 -1.59 -1.17
Sat 04/07 Västerås SK 0.91 4.21 -3.30 -1.44
Mon 13/07 Djurgårdens IF 0.89 2.87 -1.98 -1.50
Sun 19/07 BK Häcken 1.12 1.40 -0.28 -1.38
Sun 26/07 GAIS 1.49 2.97 -1.48 -1.39
Mon 03/08 IK Sirius 0.97 3.10 -2.13 -1.45
Sun 09/08 GAIS 0.90 3.81 -2.91 -1.56
Mon 17/08 BK Häcken 1.21 2.78 -1.57 -1.56
Sat 22/08 Örgryte IS 2.67 2.09 +0.58 -1.42
Sat 29/08 Kalmar FF 1.31 1.94 -0.63 -1.37
Sat 05/09 Degerfors IF 0.80 2.83 -2.03 -1.41
Sat 12/09 IFK Göteborg 1.42 1.76 -0.34 -1.35
Sun 20/09 AIK 1.91 2.57 -0.66 -1.31

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.10 npxG and 2.41 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 9 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 22 league matches
Last 5
number 14 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
−0.26 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

0.00 xG vs league average · over 22 matches · tied number 9 hardest of 16

  1. AIK Home −0.44
  2. IFK Göteborg Away +0.20
  3. Degerfors IF Away −0.27
  4. Kalmar FF Home −0.15
  5. Örgryte IS Away −0.67
  6. BK Häcken Away +0.26
  7. GAIS Home +0.23
  8. IK Sirius Home +0.19
  9. GAIS Away +0.23
  10. BK Häcken Home +0.26
  11. Djurgårdens IF Away +0.46
  12. Västerås SK Home −0.18
  13. Malmö FF Away +0.42
  14. Örgryte IS Home −0.67
  15. IF Elfsborg Home +0.10
  16. Kalmar FF Away −0.15
  17. IF Brommapojkarna Home −0.32
  18. Mjällby AIF Away −0.36
  19. Hammarby IF Away +1.29
  20. IFK Göteborg Home +0.20
  21. Degerfors IF Home −0.27
  22. AIK Away −0.44

Last 5

−0.26 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 14 hardest of 16

  1. AIK Home −0.44
  2. IFK Göteborg Away +0.20
  3. Degerfors IF Away −0.27
  4. Kalmar FF Home −0.15
  5. Örgryte IS Away −0.67

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Halmstads BK shots and chance quality

Low volume, low quality. Halmstads BK take 12.5 shots a match (league 13.9) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #12 in Allsvenskan for volume and #16 for quality. 58% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
12.5 shots per match
#12/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 21.9
#2 IFK Göteborg 17.1
#3 Djurgårdens IF 15.7
#4 Malmö FF 14.9
#5 IK Sirius 14.9
#6 GAIS 14.5
#7 BK Häcken 14.2
#8 Kalmar FF 13.4
#9 Mjällby AIF 13.0
#10 AIK 12.9
#11 IF Elfsborg 12.8
#12 Halmstads BK 12.5
#13 Västerås SK 12.1
#14 IF Brommapojkarna 11.7
#15 Degerfors IF 11.1
#16 Örgryte IS 10.5
League avg
13.9
Total
238 shots from 19 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#16/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Djurgårdens IF 0.15
#2 IK Sirius 0.14
#3 Malmö FF 0.14
#4 Västerås SK 0.14
#5 IF Elfsborg 0.13
#6 BK Häcken 0.13
#7 IF Brommapojkarna 0.12
#8 Mjällby AIF 0.12
#9 AIK 0.12
#10 Hammarby IF 0.12
#11 GAIS 0.12
#12 Örgryte IS 0.12
#13 IFK Göteborg 0.11
#14 Degerfors IF 0.11
#15 Kalmar FF 0.10
#16 Halmstads BK 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
20.82 npxG from 238 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
17.5 shots per match
#15/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 8.6
#2 Djurgårdens IF 10.9
#3 BK Häcken 11.5
#4 IFK Göteborg 12.4
#5 GAIS 12.4
#6 IF Elfsborg 12.5
#7 Malmö FF 12.9
#8 IK Sirius 13.8
#9 Degerfors IF 13.9
#10 Kalmar FF 14.3
#11 Västerås SK 14.8
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 15.7
#13 Mjällby AIF 16.2
#14 AIK 16.5
#15 Halmstads BK 17.5
#16 Örgryte IS 17.9
League avg
13.9
Total
332 shots allowed from 19 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.14 npxGA per shot
#15/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 IK Sirius 0.10
#2 Djurgårdens IF 0.11
#3 GAIS 0.11
#4 IF Brommapojkarna 0.11
#5 Malmö FF 0.12
#6 BK Häcken 0.12
#7 IF Elfsborg 0.12
#8 Kalmar FF 0.12
#9 Örgryte IS 0.13
#10 Degerfors IF 0.13
#11 Mjällby AIF 0.13
#12 Hammarby IF 0.13
#13 Västerås SK 0.13
#14 IFK Göteborg 0.13
#15 Halmstads BK 0.14
#16 AIK 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
45.75 npxGA from 332 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

58% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 137 of 238 shots over 19 matches

Shots allowed, location

68% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 226 of 332 shots allowed over 19 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Halmstads BK home and away xG

Halmstads BK per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 11 10 with xG 11 9 with xG
xG / match 0.94 1.26
xGA / match 2.43 2.38
xGD / match -1.49 -1.12
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.53 0.69

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Halmstads BK match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
22 19 with xG
xG / match
1.10
xGA / match
2.41
xGD / match
-1.31
Points
14 of 66
  1. Sun 20/09 AIK H xG 1.91 xGA 2.57 xGD -0.66
  2. Sat 12/09 IFK Göteborg A xG 1.42 xGA 1.76 xGD -0.34
  3. Sat 05/09 Degerfors IF A xG 0.80 xGA 2.83 xGD -2.03
  4. Sat 29/08 Kalmar FF H xG 1.31 xGA 1.94 xGD -0.63
  5. Sat 22/08 Örgryte IS A Best underlying xG 2.67 xGA 2.09 xGD +0.58
  6. Mon 17/08 BK Häcken A xG 1.21 xGA 2.78 xGD -1.57
  7. Sun 09/08 GAIS H xG 0.90 xGA 3.81 xGD -2.91
  8. Mon 03/08 IK Sirius H xG 0.97 xGA 3.10 xGD -2.13
  9. Sun 26/07 GAIS A xG 1.49 xGA 2.97 xGD -1.48
  10. Sun 19/07 BK Häcken H xG 1.12 xGA 1.40 xGD -0.28
  11. Mon 13/07 Djurgårdens IF A xG 0.89 xGA 2.87 xGD -1.98
  12. Sat 04/07 Västerås SK H Weakest underlying xG 0.91 xGA 4.21 xGD -3.30
  13. Sat 30/05 Malmö FF A xG 1.65 xGA 3.24 xGD -1.59
  14. Sat 23/05 Örgryte IS H
  15. Sat 16/05 IF Elfsborg H xG 0.83 xGA 1.76 xGD -0.93
  16. Sun 10/05 Kalmar FF A xG 0.22 xGA 1.36 xGD -1.14
  17. Mon 04/05 IF Brommapojkarna H xG 0.84 xGA 1.68 xGD -0.84
  18. Mon 27/04 Mjällby AIF A xG 1.03 xGA 1.52 xGD -0.49
  19. Wed 22/04 Hammarby IF A
  20. Sat 18/04 IFK Göteborg H xG 0.34 xGA 2.16 xGD -1.82
  21. Sun 12/04 Degerfors IF H xG 0.31 xGA 1.70 xGD -1.39
  22. Sun 05/04 AIK A

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.21. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Halmstads BK in Allsvenskan

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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