xgEdge

Expected goals

IF Elfsborg expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Allsvenskan · after 17 matches · updated 1 Oct

IF Elfsborg's attacking and defensive expected goals in Allsvenskan 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

IF Elfsborg xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.65 xG per match
#8/16
Attack (xG per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.66
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.30
#3 IK Sirius 2.13
#4 Malmö FF 2.04
#5 IFK Göteborg 1.95
#6 BK Häcken 1.84
#7 GAIS 1.75
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.65
#9 Västerås SK 1.64
#10 Mjällby AIF 1.59
#11 AIK 1.57
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 1.45
#13 Kalmar FF 1.31
#14 Örgryte IS 1.26
#15 Degerfors IF 1.26
#16 Halmstads BK 1.10
League avg
1.71
Total
28.13 17 matches
Defence
1.51 xGA per match
#7/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Hammarby IF 1.11
#2 Djurgårdens IF 1.15
#3 IK Sirius 1.34
#4 GAIS 1.34
#5 BK Häcken 1.38
#6 Malmö FF 1.50
#7 IF Elfsborg 1.51
#8 IFK Göteborg 1.63
#9 Kalmar FF 1.74
#10 Degerfors IF 1.76
#11 IF Brommapojkarna 1.80
#12 Västerås SK 1.91
#13 Mjällby AIF 2.07
#14 Örgryte IS 2.26
#15 AIK 2.29
#16 Halmstads BK 2.41
League avg
1.71
Total
25.63 17 matches
xG difference
+0.15 xGD per match
#8/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Hammarby IF +1.54
#2 Djurgårdens IF +1.16
#3 IK Sirius +0.79
#4 Malmö FF +0.54
#5 BK Häcken +0.46
#6 GAIS +0.41
#7 IFK Göteborg +0.32
#8 IF Elfsborg +0.15
#9 Västerås SK -0.27
#10 IF Brommapojkarna -0.35
#11 Kalmar FF -0.43
#12 Mjällby AIF -0.48
#13 Degerfors IF -0.51
#14 AIK -0.72
#15 Örgryte IS -0.99
#16 Halmstads BK -1.31
League avg
0.00
Total
+2.50 17 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.49 xPts per match
#8/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.24
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.05
#3 IK Sirius 1.84
#4 BK Häcken 1.70
#5 Malmö FF 1.67
#6 GAIS 1.61
#7 IFK Göteborg 1.60
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.49
#9 IF Brommapojkarna 1.23
#10 Kalmar FF 1.21
#11 Västerås SK 1.21
#12 Degerfors IF 1.09
#13 Mjällby AIF 1.08
#14 AIK 1.00
#15 Örgryte IS 0.87
#16 Halmstads BK 0.61
League avg
1.40
Total
25.32 vs 37 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 17 of 22 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

IF Elfsborg's underlying numbers sit close to the Allsvenskan average. They rank #8 for xG difference at +0.15 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 25 goals are 3.13 below 28.13 xG, while 31 points are 5.68 above 25.32 xPts — both over the 17 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
25 28.13 -3.13 scored 3.13 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
17 25.63 -8.63 conceded 8.63 fewer than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
31 25.32 +5.68 5.68 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

IF Elfsborg are 3.13 goals below their xG after 17 matches. The gap was widest at -3.54, against Mjällby AIF on Sat 08/08.

Goals
25
xG
28.13
Gap
-3.13
Sat 11/04 Fri 17/04 Wed 22/04 Sun 03/05 Fri 08/05 Sat 16/05 Fri 29/05 Sun 05/07 Sun 12/07 Sun 19/07 Sun 26/07 Sat 08/08 Fri 14/08 Sat 29/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.49 +1.01 +1.02 +0.90 +1.91 +1.15 +1.52 +1.50 -0.71 -2.15 -1.07 -3.54 -2.73 -2.36 -2.34 -3.45 -3.13 +0.49 +0.52 +0.01 -0.12 +1.01 -0.76 +0.37 -0.02 -2.21 -1.44 +1.08 -2.47 +0.81 +0.37 +0.02 -1.11 +0.32 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
IF Elfsborg: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 11/04 Västerås SK 2 1.51 +0.49 +0.49
Fri 17/04 Degerfors IF 1 0.48 +0.52 +1.01
Wed 22/04 Djurgårdens IF 2 1.99 +0.01 +1.02
Sun 03/05 AIK 1 1.12 -0.12 +0.90
Fri 08/05 IF Brommapojkarna 2 0.99 +1.01 +1.91
Sat 16/05 Halmstads BK 1 1.76 -0.76 +1.15
Fri 29/05 Örgryte IS 2 1.63 +0.37 +1.52
Sun 05/07 Hammarby IF 1 1.02 -0.02 +1.50
Sun 12/07 GAIS 0 2.21 -2.21 -0.71
Sun 19/07 IK Sirius 1 2.44 -1.44 -2.15
Sun 26/07 Malmö FF 2 0.92 +1.08 -1.07
Sat 08/08 Mjällby AIF 1 3.47 -2.47 -3.54
Fri 14/08 Västerås SK 3 2.19 +0.81 -2.73
Sat 29/08 Degerfors IF 2 1.63 +0.37 -2.36
Sun 06/09 IF Brommapojkarna 1 0.98 +0.02 -2.34
Sun 13/09 Kalmar FF 1 2.11 -1.11 -3.45
Sun 20/09 Djurgårdens IF 2 1.68 +0.32 -3.13

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

IF Elfsborg xG trend

Current form +0.70 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 10 of 17 matches. The worst was against Hammarby IF on Sun 05/07 (-1.46).

npxG · last 6
2.01
npxGA · last 6
1.31
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.92 Sat 11/04 -0.55 Fri 17/04 -0.03 Wed 22/04 +0.21 Sun 03/05 -0.87 Fri 08/05 +0.93 Sat 16/05 +0.33 Fri 29/05 -1.46 Sun 05/07 +0.38 Sun 12/07 -1.23 Sun 19/07 -0.36 Sun 26/07 +1.60 Sat 08/08 +1.20 Fri 14/08 +1.45 Sat 29/08 -0.53 Sun 06/09 +0.23 Sun 13/09 +0.28 Sun 20/09 +0.15 season avg
IF Elfsborg: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 11/04 Västerås SK 1.51 0.59 +0.92 +0.92
Fri 17/04 Degerfors IF 0.48 1.03 -0.55 +0.18
Wed 22/04 Djurgårdens IF 1.99 2.02 -0.03 +0.11
Sun 03/05 AIK 1.12 0.91 +0.21 +0.14
Fri 08/05 IF Brommapojkarna 0.99 1.86 -0.87 -0.06
Sat 16/05 Halmstads BK 1.76 0.83 +0.93 +0.10
Fri 29/05 Örgryte IS 1.63 1.30 +0.33 +0.13
Sun 05/07 Hammarby IF 1.02 2.48 -1.46 -0.07
Sun 12/07 GAIS 2.21 1.83 +0.38 -0.02
Sun 19/07 IK Sirius 2.44 3.67 -1.23 -0.14
Sun 26/07 Malmö FF 0.92 1.28 -0.36 -0.16
Sat 08/08 Mjällby AIF 3.47 1.87 +1.60 -0.01
Fri 14/08 Västerås SK 2.19 0.99 +1.20 +0.08
Sat 29/08 Degerfors IF 1.63 0.18 +1.45 +0.18
Sun 06/09 IF Brommapojkarna 0.98 1.51 -0.53 +0.13
Sun 13/09 Kalmar FF 2.11 1.88 +0.23 +0.14
Sun 20/09 Djurgårdens IF 1.68 1.40 +0.28 +0.15

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.65 npxG and 1.51 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 11 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
−0.03 xG vs league average
Over 22 league matches
Last 5
number 8 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
−0.01 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.03 xG vs league average · over 22 matches · number 11 hardest of 16

  1. Djurgårdens IF Away +0.46
  2. Kalmar FF Home −0.15
  3. IF Brommapojkarna Away −0.32
  4. Degerfors IF Home −0.27
  5. IFK Göteborg Away +0.20
  6. Västerås SK Home −0.18
  7. Mjällby AIF Away −0.36
  8. Malmö FF Away +0.42
  9. IK Sirius Home +0.19
  10. GAIS Away +0.23
  11. Hammarby IF Home +1.29
  12. Örgryte IS Away −0.67
  13. BK Häcken Home +0.26
  14. Mjällby AIF Home −0.36
  15. Halmstads BK Away −0.78
  16. IF Brommapojkarna Home −0.32
  17. AIK Home −0.44
  18. Kalmar FF Away −0.15
  19. Djurgårdens IF Home +0.46
  20. Degerfors IF Away −0.27
  21. Västerås SK Away −0.18
  22. IFK Göteborg Home +0.20

Last 5

−0.01 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 8 hardest of 16

  1. Djurgårdens IF Away +0.46
  2. Kalmar FF Home −0.15
  3. IF Brommapojkarna Away −0.32
  4. Degerfors IF Home −0.27
  5. IFK Göteborg Away +0.20

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

IF Elfsborg shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. IF Elfsborg take 12.8 shots a match (league 13.9) at 0.13 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #11 in Allsvenskan for volume and #5 for quality. 65% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
12.8 shots per match
#11/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 21.9
#2 IFK Göteborg 17.1
#3 Djurgårdens IF 15.7
#4 Malmö FF 14.9
#5 IK Sirius 14.9
#6 GAIS 14.5
#7 BK Häcken 14.2
#8 Kalmar FF 13.4
#9 Mjällby AIF 13.0
#10 AIK 12.9
#11 IF Elfsborg 12.8
#12 Halmstads BK 12.5
#13 Västerås SK 12.1
#14 IF Brommapojkarna 11.7
#15 Degerfors IF 11.1
#16 Örgryte IS 10.5
League avg
13.9
Total
218 shots from 17 matches
Chance quality
0.13 npxG per shot
#5/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Djurgårdens IF 0.15
#2 IK Sirius 0.14
#3 Malmö FF 0.14
#4 Västerås SK 0.14
#5 IF Elfsborg 0.13
#6 BK Häcken 0.13
#7 IF Brommapojkarna 0.12
#8 Mjällby AIF 0.12
#9 AIK 0.12
#10 Hammarby IF 0.12
#11 GAIS 0.12
#12 Örgryte IS 0.12
#13 IFK Göteborg 0.11
#14 Degerfors IF 0.11
#15 Kalmar FF 0.10
#16 Halmstads BK 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
28.13 npxG from 218 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.5 shots per match
#6/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 8.6
#2 Djurgårdens IF 10.9
#3 BK Häcken 11.5
#4 IFK Göteborg 12.4
#5 GAIS 12.4
#6 IF Elfsborg 12.5
#7 Malmö FF 12.9
#8 IK Sirius 13.8
#9 Degerfors IF 13.9
#10 Kalmar FF 14.3
#11 Västerås SK 14.8
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 15.7
#13 Mjällby AIF 16.2
#14 AIK 16.5
#15 Halmstads BK 17.5
#16 Örgryte IS 17.9
League avg
13.9
Total
213 shots allowed from 17 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#7/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 IK Sirius 0.10
#2 Djurgårdens IF 0.11
#3 GAIS 0.11
#4 IF Brommapojkarna 0.11
#5 Malmö FF 0.12
#6 BK Häcken 0.12
#7 IF Elfsborg 0.12
#8 Kalmar FF 0.12
#9 Örgryte IS 0.13
#10 Degerfors IF 0.13
#11 Mjällby AIF 0.13
#12 Hammarby IF 0.13
#13 Västerås SK 0.13
#14 IFK Göteborg 0.13
#15 Halmstads BK 0.14
#16 AIK 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
25.63 npxGA from 213 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

65% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 141 of 218 shots over 17 matches

Shots allowed, location

65% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 140 of 214 shots allowed over 17 matches

How the shot figures are made →

IF Elfsborg home and away xG

IF Elfsborg per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 11 8 with xG 11 9 with xG
xG / match 1.69 1.63
xGA / match 1.75 1.29
xGD / match -0.06 +0.33
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.40 1.57

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every IF Elfsborg match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
22 17 with xG
xG / match
1.65
xGA / match
1.51
xGD / match
+0.15
Points
37 of 66
  1. Sun 20/09 Djurgårdens IF A xG 1.68 xGA 1.40 xGD +0.28
  2. Sun 13/09 Kalmar FF H xG 2.11 xGA 1.88 xGD +0.23
  3. Sun 06/09 IF Brommapojkarna A xG 0.98 xGA 1.51 xGD -0.53
  4. Sat 29/08 Degerfors IF H xG 1.63 xGA 0.18 xGD +1.45
  5. Sun 23/08 IFK Göteborg A
  6. Fri 14/08 Västerås SK H xG 2.19 xGA 0.99 xGD +1.20
  7. Sat 08/08 Mjällby AIF A Best underlying xG 3.47 xGA 1.87 xGD +1.60
  8. Sun 26/07 Malmö FF A xG 0.92 xGA 1.28 xGD -0.36
  9. Sun 19/07 IK Sirius H xG 2.44 xGA 3.67 xGD -1.23
  10. Sun 12/07 GAIS A xG 2.21 xGA 1.83 xGD +0.38
  11. Sun 05/07 Hammarby IF H Weakest underlying xG 1.02 xGA 2.48 xGD -1.46
  12. Fri 29/05 Örgryte IS A xG 1.63 xGA 1.30 xGD +0.33
  13. Mon 25/05 BK Häcken H
  14. Thu 21/05 Mjällby AIF H
  15. Sat 16/05 Halmstads BK A xG 1.76 xGA 0.83 xGD +0.93
  16. Fri 08/05 IF Brommapojkarna H xG 0.99 xGA 1.86 xGD -0.87
  17. Sun 03/05 AIK H xG 1.12 xGA 0.91 xGD +0.21
  18. Mon 27/04 Kalmar FF A
  19. Wed 22/04 Djurgårdens IF H xG 1.99 xGA 2.02 xGD -0.03
  20. Fri 17/04 Degerfors IF A xG 0.48 xGA 1.03 xGD -0.55
  21. Sat 11/04 Västerås SK A xG 1.51 xGA 0.59 xGD +0.92
  22. Mon 06/04 IFK Göteborg H

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.67. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

IF Elfsborg in Allsvenskan

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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