xgEdge

Expected goals

Kalmar FF expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Allsvenskan · after 17 matches · updated 1 Oct

Kalmar FF's attacking and defensive expected goals in Allsvenskan 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Kalmar FF xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.31 xG per match
#13/16
Attack (xG per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.66
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.30
#3 IK Sirius 2.13
#4 Malmö FF 2.04
#5 IFK Göteborg 1.95
#6 BK Häcken 1.84
#7 GAIS 1.75
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.65
#9 Västerås SK 1.64
#10 Mjällby AIF 1.59
#11 AIK 1.57
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 1.45
#13 Kalmar FF 1.31
#14 Örgryte IS 1.26
#15 Degerfors IF 1.26
#16 Halmstads BK 1.10
League avg
1.71
Total
22.29 17 matches
Defence
1.74 xGA per match
#9/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Hammarby IF 1.11
#2 Djurgårdens IF 1.15
#3 IK Sirius 1.34
#4 GAIS 1.34
#5 BK Häcken 1.38
#6 Malmö FF 1.50
#7 IF Elfsborg 1.51
#8 IFK Göteborg 1.63
#9 Kalmar FF 1.74
#10 Degerfors IF 1.76
#11 IF Brommapojkarna 1.80
#12 Västerås SK 1.91
#13 Mjällby AIF 2.07
#14 Örgryte IS 2.26
#15 AIK 2.29
#16 Halmstads BK 2.41
League avg
1.71
Total
29.61 17 matches
xG difference
-0.43 xGD per match
#11/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Hammarby IF +1.54
#2 Djurgårdens IF +1.16
#3 IK Sirius +0.79
#4 Malmö FF +0.54
#5 BK Häcken +0.46
#6 GAIS +0.41
#7 IFK Göteborg +0.32
#8 IF Elfsborg +0.15
#9 Västerås SK -0.27
#10 IF Brommapojkarna -0.35
#11 Kalmar FF -0.43
#12 Mjällby AIF -0.48
#13 Degerfors IF -0.51
#14 AIK -0.72
#15 Örgryte IS -0.99
#16 Halmstads BK -1.31
League avg
0.00
Total
-7.32 17 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.21 xPts per match
#10/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.24
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.05
#3 IK Sirius 1.84
#4 BK Häcken 1.70
#5 Malmö FF 1.67
#6 GAIS 1.61
#7 IFK Göteborg 1.60
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.49
#9 IF Brommapojkarna 1.23
#10 Kalmar FF 1.21
#11 Västerås SK 1.21
#12 Degerfors IF 1.09
#13 Mjällby AIF 1.08
#14 AIK 1.00
#15 Örgryte IS 0.87
#16 Halmstads BK 0.61
League avg
1.40
Total
20.58 vs 19 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 17 of 22 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Kalmar FF's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Allsvenskan. They rank #11 for xG difference at -0.43 per match, from about average shot volume at low chance quality. Their 15 goals are 7.29 below 22.29 xG, while 12 points are 8.58 below 20.58 xPts — both over the 17 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
15 22.29 -7.29 scored 7.29 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
32 29.61 +2.39 conceded 2.39 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
12 20.58 -8.58 8.58 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Kalmar FF are 7.29 goals below their xG after 17 matches.

Goals
15
xG
22.29
Gap
-7.29
Sun 12/04 Sun 19/04 Sat 02/05 Sun 10/05 Sun 17/05 Sat 23/05 Sat 30/05 Sun 12/07 Mon 20/07 Sat 25/07 Sat 01/08 Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 23/08 Sat 29/08 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +0.87 -0.45 +0.39 +1.03 -1.67 -1.20 -2.42 -3.54 -2.77 -1.45 -2.07 -1.06 -1.48 -2.59 -4.53 -6.41 -7.29 +0.87 -1.32 +0.84 +0.64 -2.70 +0.47 -1.22 -1.12 +0.77 +1.32 -0.62 +1.01 -0.42 -1.11 -1.94 -1.88 -0.88 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Kalmar FF: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 12/04 Djurgårdens IF 2 1.13 +0.87 +0.87
Sun 19/04 AIK 0 1.32 -1.32 -0.45
Sat 02/05 IK Sirius 2 1.16 +0.84 +0.39
Sun 10/05 Halmstads BK 2 1.36 +0.64 +1.03
Sun 17/05 IF Brommapojkarna 0 2.70 -2.70 -1.67
Sat 23/05 Degerfors IF 2 1.53 +0.47 -1.20
Sat 30/05 GAIS 0 1.22 -1.22 -2.42
Sun 12/07 Hammarby IF 0 1.12 -1.12 -3.54
Mon 20/07 Malmö FF 2 1.23 +0.77 -2.77
Sat 25/07 Mjällby AIF 2 0.68 +1.32 -1.45
Sat 01/08 BK Häcken 1 1.62 -0.62 -2.07
Sun 09/08 IFK Göteborg 2 0.99 +1.01 -1.06
Sun 16/08 Hammarby IF 0 0.42 -0.42 -1.48
Sun 23/08 Västerås SK 0 1.11 -1.11 -2.59
Sat 29/08 Halmstads BK 0 1.94 -1.94 -4.53
Sun 13/09 IF Elfsborg 0 1.88 -1.88 -6.41
Sun 20/09 BK Häcken 0 0.88 -0.88 -7.29

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Kalmar FF xG trend

Current form -1.15 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 7 of 17 matches. The worst was against Hammarby IF on Sun 16/08 (-3.36).

npxG · last 6
1.20
npxGA · last 6
2.35
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 -2.73 Sun 12/04 -0.32 Sun 19/04 -0.83 Sat 02/05 +1.14 Sun 10/05 +2.24 Sun 17/05 -0.15 Sat 23/05 +0.06 Sat 30/05 -0.40 Sun 12/07 -0.32 Mon 20/07 +0.19 Sat 25/07 +0.70 Sat 01/08 -1.72 Sun 09/08 -3.36 Sun 16/08 +0.13 Sun 23/08 +0.63 Sat 29/08 -0.23 Sun 13/09 -2.35 Sun 20/09 -0.43 season avg
Kalmar FF: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 12/04 Djurgårdens IF 1.13 3.86 -2.73 -2.73
Sun 19/04 AIK 1.32 1.64 -0.32 -1.53
Sat 02/05 IK Sirius 1.16 1.99 -0.83 -1.29
Sun 10/05 Halmstads BK 1.36 0.22 +1.14 -0.68
Sun 17/05 IF Brommapojkarna 2.70 0.46 +2.24 -0.10
Sat 23/05 Degerfors IF 1.53 1.68 -0.15 -0.11
Sat 30/05 GAIS 1.22 1.16 +0.06 -0.08
Sun 12/07 Hammarby IF 1.12 1.52 -0.40 -0.12
Mon 20/07 Malmö FF 1.23 1.55 -0.32 -0.15
Sat 25/07 Mjällby AIF 0.68 0.49 +0.19 -0.11
Sat 01/08 BK Häcken 1.62 0.92 +0.70 -0.04
Sun 09/08 IFK Göteborg 0.99 2.71 -1.72 -0.18
Sun 16/08 Hammarby IF 0.42 3.78 -3.36 -0.42
Sun 23/08 Västerås SK 1.11 0.98 +0.13 -0.38
Sat 29/08 Halmstads BK 1.94 1.31 +0.63 -0.32
Sun 13/09 IF Elfsborg 1.88 2.11 -0.23 -0.31
Sun 20/09 BK Häcken 0.88 3.23 -2.35 -0.43

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.31 npxG and 1.74 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 1 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
+0.07 xG vs league average
Over 22 league matches
Last 5
number 9 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
−0.03 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.07 xG vs league average · over 22 matches · number 1 hardest of 16

  1. BK Häcken Home +0.26
  2. IF Elfsborg Away +0.10
  3. Djurgårdens IF Home +0.46
  4. Halmstads BK Away −0.78
  5. Västerås SK Away −0.18
  6. Hammarby IF Home +1.29
  7. IFK Göteborg Away +0.20
  8. BK Häcken Away +0.26
  9. Mjällby AIF Home −0.36
  10. Malmö FF Home +0.42
  11. Hammarby IF Away +1.29
  12. Örgryte IS Home −0.67
  13. GAIS Away +0.23
  14. Degerfors IF Home −0.27
  15. IF Brommapojkarna Away −0.32
  16. Halmstads BK Home −0.78
  17. IK Sirius Away +0.19
  18. IF Elfsborg Home +0.10
  19. IFK Göteborg Home +0.20
  20. AIK Away −0.44
  21. Djurgårdens IF Away +0.46
  22. Västerås SK Home −0.18

Last 5

−0.03 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 9 hardest of 16

  1. BK Häcken Home +0.26
  2. IF Elfsborg Away +0.10
  3. Djurgårdens IF Home +0.46
  4. Halmstads BK Away −0.78
  5. Västerås SK Away −0.18

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Kalmar FF shots and chance quality

Average volume, low quality. Kalmar FF take 13.4 shots a match (league 13.9) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #8 in Allsvenskan for volume and #15 for quality. 61% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
13.4 shots per match
#8/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 21.9
#2 IFK Göteborg 17.1
#3 Djurgårdens IF 15.7
#4 Malmö FF 14.9
#5 IK Sirius 14.9
#6 GAIS 14.5
#7 BK Häcken 14.2
#8 Kalmar FF 13.4
#9 Mjällby AIF 13.0
#10 AIK 12.9
#11 IF Elfsborg 12.8
#12 Halmstads BK 12.5
#13 Västerås SK 12.1
#14 IF Brommapojkarna 11.7
#15 Degerfors IF 11.1
#16 Örgryte IS 10.5
League avg
13.9
Total
228 shots from 17 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#15/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Djurgårdens IF 0.15
#2 IK Sirius 0.14
#3 Malmö FF 0.14
#4 Västerås SK 0.14
#5 IF Elfsborg 0.13
#6 BK Häcken 0.13
#7 IF Brommapojkarna 0.12
#8 Mjällby AIF 0.12
#9 AIK 0.12
#10 Hammarby IF 0.12
#11 GAIS 0.12
#12 Örgryte IS 0.12
#13 IFK Göteborg 0.11
#14 Degerfors IF 0.11
#15 Kalmar FF 0.10
#16 Halmstads BK 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
22.29 npxG from 228 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.3 shots per match
#10/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 8.6
#2 Djurgårdens IF 10.9
#3 BK Häcken 11.5
#4 IFK Göteborg 12.4
#5 GAIS 12.4
#6 IF Elfsborg 12.5
#7 Malmö FF 12.9
#8 IK Sirius 13.8
#9 Degerfors IF 13.9
#10 Kalmar FF 14.3
#11 Västerås SK 14.8
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 15.7
#13 Mjällby AIF 16.2
#14 AIK 16.5
#15 Halmstads BK 17.5
#16 Örgryte IS 17.9
League avg
13.9
Total
243 shots allowed from 17 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#8/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 IK Sirius 0.10
#2 Djurgårdens IF 0.11
#3 GAIS 0.11
#4 IF Brommapojkarna 0.11
#5 Malmö FF 0.12
#6 BK Häcken 0.12
#7 IF Elfsborg 0.12
#8 Kalmar FF 0.12
#9 Örgryte IS 0.13
#10 Degerfors IF 0.13
#11 Mjällby AIF 0.13
#12 Hammarby IF 0.13
#13 Västerås SK 0.13
#14 IFK Göteborg 0.13
#15 Halmstads BK 0.14
#16 AIK 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
29.61 npxGA from 243 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

61% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 139 of 228 shots over 17 matches

Shots allowed, location

59% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 144 of 243 shots allowed over 17 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Kalmar FF home and away xG

Kalmar FF per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 11 6 with xG 11
xG / match 1.02 1.47
xGA / match 1.83 1.70
xGD / match -0.81 -0.22
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.08 1.28

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Kalmar FF match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
22 17 with xG
xG / match
1.31
xGA / match
1.74
xGD / match
-0.43
Points
19 of 66
  1. Sun 20/09 BK Häcken H xG 0.88 xGA 3.23 xGD -2.35
  2. Sun 13/09 IF Elfsborg A xG 1.88 xGA 2.11 xGD -0.23
  3. Mon 07/09 Djurgårdens IF H
  4. Sat 29/08 Halmstads BK A xG 1.94 xGA 1.31 xGD +0.63
  5. Sun 23/08 Västerås SK A xG 1.11 xGA 0.98 xGD +0.13
  6. Sun 16/08 Hammarby IF H Weakest underlying xG 0.42 xGA 3.78 xGD -3.36
  7. Sun 09/08 IFK Göteborg A xG 0.99 xGA 2.71 xGD -1.72
  8. Sat 01/08 BK Häcken A xG 1.62 xGA 0.92 xGD +0.70
  9. Sat 25/07 Mjällby AIF H xG 0.68 xGA 0.49 xGD +0.19
  10. Mon 20/07 Malmö FF H xG 1.23 xGA 1.55 xGD -0.32
  11. Sun 12/07 Hammarby IF A xG 1.12 xGA 1.52 xGD -0.40
  12. Sun 05/07 Örgryte IS H
  13. Sat 30/05 GAIS A xG 1.22 xGA 1.16 xGD +0.06
  14. Sat 23/05 Degerfors IF H xG 1.53 xGA 1.68 xGD -0.15
  15. Sun 17/05 IF Brommapojkarna A Against the chances xG 2.70 xGA 0.46 xGD +2.24
  16. Sun 10/05 Halmstads BK H xG 1.36 xGA 0.22 xGD +1.14
  17. Sat 02/05 IK Sirius A xG 1.16 xGA 1.99 xGD -0.83
  18. Mon 27/04 IF Elfsborg H
  19. Thu 23/04 IFK Göteborg H
  20. Sun 19/04 AIK A xG 1.32 xGA 1.64 xGD -0.32
  21. Sun 12/04 Djurgårdens IF A xG 1.13 xGA 3.86 xGD -2.73
  22. Sun 05/04 Västerås SK H

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.86. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Kalmar FF in Allsvenskan

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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