Expected goals
Wieczysta Kraków expected goals (xG) 2026/2027
Ekstraklasa · after 8 matches · updated 1 Oct
Wieczysta Kraków's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ekstraklasa 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.
Wieczysta Kraków xG and xGA per match
Every match ↓| Rank | Club | xG per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Lech Poznań | 2.07 |
| #2 | Wisła Kraków | 1.99 |
| #3 | GKS Katowice | 1.77 |
| #4 | Legia Warszawa | 1.71 |
| #5 | Górnik Zabrze | 1.58 |
| #6 | Widzew Łódź | 1.57 |
| #7 | Wieczysta Kraków | 1.57 |
| #8 | Cracovia | 1.53 |
| #9 | Wisła Płock | 1.52 |
| #10 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 1.50 |
| #11 | Pogoń Szczecin | 1.48 |
| #12 | Raków Częstochowa | 1.42 |
| #13 | Radomiak Radom | 1.41 |
| #14 | MKS Korona Kielce | 1.40 |
| #15 | Śląsk Wrocław | 1.40 |
| #16 | Motor Lublin | 1.39 |
| #17 | Zagłębie Lubin | 1.35 |
| #18 | Piast Gliwice | 1.22 |
- League avg
- 1.54
- Total
- 12.52 8 matches
| Rank | Club | xGA per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Lech Poznań | 0.89 |
| #2 | Górnik Zabrze | 1.05 |
| #3 | Wisła Kraków | 1.10 |
| #4 | Zagłębie Lubin | 1.22 |
| #5 | Legia Warszawa | 1.27 |
| #6 | Pogoń Szczecin | 1.38 |
| #7 | Cracovia | 1.43 |
| #8 | MKS Korona Kielce | 1.48 |
| #9 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 1.52 |
| #10 | Motor Lublin | 1.53 |
| #11 | Wieczysta Kraków | 1.60 |
| #12 | Wisła Płock | 1.63 |
| #13 | Widzew Łódź | 1.67 |
| #14 | Śląsk Wrocław | 1.73 |
| #15 | Piast Gliwice | 1.87 |
| #16 | GKS Katowice | 2.00 |
| #17 | Radomiak Radom | 2.05 |
| #18 | Raków Częstochowa | 2.36 |
- League avg
- 1.54
- Total
- 12.80 8 matches
| Rank | Club | xGD per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Lech Poznań | +1.18 |
| #2 | Wisła Kraków | +0.89 |
| #3 | Górnik Zabrze | +0.53 |
| #4 | Legia Warszawa | +0.43 |
| #5 | Zagłębie Lubin | +0.13 |
| #6 | Cracovia | +0.10 |
| #7 | Pogoń Szczecin | +0.10 |
| #8 | Jagiellonia Białystok | -0.03 |
| #9 | Wieczysta Kraków | -0.04 |
| #10 | MKS Korona Kielce | -0.07 |
| #11 | Widzew Łódź | -0.10 |
| #12 | Wisła Płock | -0.11 |
| #13 | Motor Lublin | -0.14 |
| #14 | GKS Katowice | -0.23 |
| #15 | Śląsk Wrocław | -0.34 |
| #16 | Radomiak Radom | -0.64 |
| #17 | Piast Gliwice | -0.65 |
| #18 | Raków Częstochowa | -0.94 |
- League avg
- 0.00
- Total
- -0.28 8 matches
| Rank | Club | xPts per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Lech Poznań | 2.07 |
| #2 | Wisła Kraków | 1.97 |
| #3 | Górnik Zabrze | 1.79 |
| #4 | Legia Warszawa | 1.66 |
| #5 | Pogoń Szczecin | 1.48 |
| #6 | Zagłębie Lubin | 1.47 |
| #7 | Cracovia | 1.42 |
| #8 | Wieczysta Kraków | 1.33 |
| #9 | GKS Katowice | 1.30 |
| #10 | Wisła Płock | 1.30 |
| #11 | Widzew Łódź | 1.29 |
| #12 | MKS Korona Kielce | 1.27 |
| #13 | Motor Lublin | 1.26 |
| #14 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 1.23 |
| #15 | Śląsk Wrocław | 1.20 |
| #16 | Radomiak Radom | 0.99 |
| #17 | Piast Gliwice | 0.96 |
| #18 | Raków Częstochowa | 0.93 |
- League avg
- 1.38
- Total
- 10.65 vs 5 actual pts
Early-season figures: after 8 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.
What the xG says
Wieczysta Kraków's underlying numbers sit close to the Ekstraklasa average. They rank #9 for xG difference at -0.04 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 11 goals are 1.52 below 12.52 xG, while 5 points are 5.65 below 10.65 xPts. After only 8 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.
Actual vs expected
Select a row to chart it across the season.
Goals minus xG, match by match
Wieczysta Kraków are 1.52 goals below their xG after 8 matches.
- Goals
- 11
- xG
- 12.52
- Gap
- -1.52
- This match
- Match gap
- Running gap
| Date | Opponent | Goals | xG | Match gap | Running gap |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 24/07 | Radomiak Radom | 1 | 2.00 | -1.00 | -1.00 |
| Sat 01/08 | Lech Poznań | 1 | 0.99 | +0.01 | -0.99 |
| Sat 15/08 | Piast Gliwice | 4 | 1.68 | +2.32 | +1.33 |
| Fri 21/08 | Cracovia | 2 | 1.98 | +0.02 | +1.35 |
| Sat 29/08 | Wisła Kraków | 0 | 1.38 | -1.38 | -0.03 |
| Mon 07/09 | Zagłębie Lubin | 1 | 1.02 | -0.02 | -0.05 |
| Sun 13/09 | Pogoń Szczecin | 0 | 1.20 | -1.20 | -1.25 |
| Fri 18/09 | Widzew Łódź | 2 | 2.27 | -0.27 | -1.52 |
Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →
Wieczysta Kraków xG trend
Current form -0.11 npxGD per match
The last 6 matches with xG.
Out-created the opponent in 3 of 8 matches. The worst was against Cracovia on Fri 21/08 (-0.89).
- npxG · last 6
- 1.48
- npxGA · last 6
- 1.60
- npxG
- npxGA
- npxGD
- Avg so far
| Date | Opponent | npxG | npxGA | npxGD | Avg so far |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Fri 24/07 | Radomiak Radom | 2.00 | 1.71 | +0.29 | +0.29 |
| Sat 01/08 | Lech Poznań | 0.99 | 1.63 | -0.64 | -0.17 |
| Sat 15/08 | Piast Gliwice | 1.81 | 1.18 | +0.63 | +0.09 |
| Fri 21/08 | Cracovia | 1.19 | 2.08 | -0.89 | -0.15 |
| Sat 29/08 | Wisła Kraków | 1.39 | 1.64 | -0.25 | -0.17 |
| Mon 07/09 | Zagłębie Lubin | 1.03 | 1.47 | -0.44 | -0.22 |
| Sun 13/09 | Pogoń Szczecin | 1.20 | 1.97 | -0.77 | -0.30 |
| Fri 18/09 | Widzew Łódź | 2.27 | 1.24 | +1.03 | -0.13 |
Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.48 npxG and 1.62 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.
Strength of schedule
- Season so far
- tied number 2 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
- +0.06 xG vs league average
- Over 8 league matches
- Last 5
- tied number 6 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
- +0.04 xG vs league average
- Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures
Season so far
+0.06 xG vs league average · over 8 matches · tied number 2 hardest of 18
- Widzew Łódź Away −0.10
- Pogoń Szczecin Away −0.10
- Zagłębie Lubin Home −0.15
- Wisła Kraków Away +0.40
- Cracovia Away +0.15
- Piast Gliwice Away −0.09
- Lech Poznań Home +0.65
- Radomiak Radom Away −0.29
Last 5
+0.04 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 6 hardest of 18
- Widzew Łódź Away −0.10
- Pogoń Szczecin Away −0.10
- Zagłębie Lubin Home −0.15
- Wisła Kraków Away +0.40
- Cracovia Away +0.15
Wieczysta Kraków shots and chance quality
Average volume, average quality. Wieczysta Kraków take 14.5 shots a match (league 14.9) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #11 in Ekstraklasa for volume and #6 for quality. 59% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 15% of their npxG (league 27%).
Attack
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Wisła Kraków | 19.1 |
| #2 | Lech Poznań | 18.9 |
| #3 | GKS Katowice | 16.8 |
| #4 | Legia Warszawa | 15.4 |
| #5 | Widzew Łódź | 15.3 |
| =6 | Cracovia | 15.1 |
| =6 | Raków Częstochowa | 15.1 |
| #8 | Wisła Płock | 14.9 |
| =9 | Motor Lublin | 14.7 |
| =9 | Radomiak Radom | 14.7 |
| #11 | Wieczysta Kraków | 14.5 |
| #12 | Piast Gliwice | 14.0 |
| #13 | MKS Korona Kielce | 13.7 |
| #14 | Pogoń Szczecin | 13.5 |
| #15 | Górnik Zabrze | 13.4 |
| #16 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 13.4 |
| #17 | Zagłębie Lubin | 13.3 |
| #18 | Śląsk Wrocław | 12.0 |
- League avg
- 14.9
- Total
- 116 shots from 8 matches
| Rank | Club | npxG per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Lech Poznań | 0.11 |
| #2 | Pogoń Szczecin | 0.11 |
| #3 | Wisła Płock | 0.11 |
| #4 | Śląsk Wrocław | 0.10 |
| #5 | Legia Warszawa | 0.10 |
| #6 | Wieczysta Kraków | 0.10 |
| #7 | Zagłębie Lubin | 0.10 |
| #8 | Górnik Zabrze | 0.10 |
| #9 | Widzew Łódź | 0.10 |
| #10 | Cracovia | 0.10 |
| #11 | Motor Lublin | 0.10 |
| #12 | Wisła Kraków | 0.10 |
| #13 | GKS Katowice | 0.09 |
| #14 | MKS Korona Kielce | 0.09 |
| #15 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 0.09 |
| #16 | Radomiak Radom | 0.08 |
| #17 | Raków Częstochowa | 0.08 |
| #18 | Piast Gliwice | 0.08 |
- League avg
- 0.10
- Total
- 11.88 npxG from 116 shots
Defence
| Rank | Club | shots per match |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Lech Poznań | 11.1 |
| #2 | Górnik Zabrze | 11.4 |
| #3 | Wisła Kraków | 12.0 |
| #4 | Legia Warszawa | 12.7 |
| #5 | Motor Lublin | 13.9 |
| #6 | MKS Korona Kielce | 14.0 |
| #7 | Wisła Płock | 14.4 |
| #8 | Widzew Łódź | 14.9 |
| #9 | Cracovia | 15.1 |
| #10 | Raków Częstochowa | 15.3 |
| #11 | Zagłębie Lubin | 15.8 |
| =12 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 16.1 |
| =12 | Pogoń Szczecin | 16.1 |
| #14 | Śląsk Wrocław | 16.2 |
| #15 | GKS Katowice | 16.9 |
| #16 | Wieczysta Kraków | 17.0 |
| #17 | Piast Gliwice | 17.2 |
| #18 | Radomiak Radom | 17.6 |
- League avg
- 14.9
- Total
- 136 shots allowed from 8 matches
| Rank | Club | npxGA per shot |
|---|---|---|
| #1 | Zagłębie Lubin | 0.06 |
| #2 | Cracovia | 0.07 |
| #3 | Lech Poznań | 0.08 |
| #4 | Jagiellonia Białystok | 0.08 |
| #5 | Górnik Zabrze | 0.08 |
| #6 | Wisła Kraków | 0.09 |
| #7 | Pogoń Szczecin | 0.09 |
| #8 | Legia Warszawa | 0.09 |
| #9 | Wieczysta Kraków | 0.10 |
| #10 | Wisła Płock | 0.10 |
| #11 | Motor Lublin | 0.10 |
| #12 | Piast Gliwice | 0.10 |
| #13 | MKS Korona Kielce | 0.10 |
| #14 | GKS Katowice | 0.11 |
| #15 | Radomiak Radom | 0.11 |
| #16 | Śląsk Wrocław | 0.11 |
| #17 | Widzew Łódź | 0.12 |
| #18 | Raków Częstochowa | 0.14 |
- League avg
- 0.10
- Total
- 12.92 npxGA from 136 shots
Shot profile
59% inside the box
League avg 64%
From 68 of 116 shots over 8 matches
Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.
63% allowed inside the box
League avg 64%
From 86 of 136 shots allowed over 8 matches
Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.
85% open play · 15% set pieces
League avg 27% set pieces
From 1.8 of 11.8 npxG over 8 matches
Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.
66% open play · 34% set pieces
League avg 27% set pieces
From 4.3 of 12.8 npxG allowed over 8 matches
Early-season figure: after 8 matches, the share can move quickly.
Wieczysta Kraków home and away xG
| Measure | Home only 2 matches with xG | Away |
|---|---|---|
| Matches | 2 | 6 |
| xG / match | 1.01 | 1.75 |
| xGA / match | 1.58 | 1.61 |
| xGD / match | -0.58 | +0.15 |
| xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → | 0.89 | 1.48 |
Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.
Every Wieczysta Kraków match by xG
This season
- Matches
- 8
- xG / match
- 1.57
- xGA / match
- 1.60
- xGD / match
- -0.03
- Points
- 5 of 24
- Fri 18/09 Widzew Łódź A Best underlying xG 2.27 xGA 1.14 xGD +1.13 xPts 2.18
- Sun 13/09 Pogoń Szczecin A Weakest underlying xG 1.20 xGA 1.95 xGD -0.75 xPts 0.83
- Mon 07/09 Zagłębie Lubin H xG 1.02 xGA 1.47 xGD -0.45 xPts 0.97
- Sat 29/08 Wisła Kraków A xG 1.38 xGA 1.64 xGD -0.26 xPts 1.16
- Fri 21/08 Cracovia A xG 1.98 P xGA 2.08 xGD -0.10 xPts 1.31
- Sat 15/08 Piast Gliwice A xG 1.68 xGA 1.16 xGD +0.52 xPts 1.78
- Sat 01/08 Lech Poznań H xG 0.99 xGA 1.69 xGD -0.70 xPts 0.81
- Fri 24/07 Radomiak Radom A xG 2.00 xGA 1.67 xGD +0.33 xPts 1.61
Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.
Wieczysta Kraków in Ekstraklasa
Attack
- xG / match #7 of 18
- Shots / match #11 of 18
- Chance quality #6 of 18
- Home xG #18 of 18
- Away xG #1 of 18
Defence
- xGA / match #11 of 18
- Shots allowed #16 of 18
- Chance quality allowed #9 of 18
About the data
- xG data
- Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
- Derived metrics
- xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
- Model metrics
- xPts is produced by our probability model.