xgEdge

Expected goals

HamKam expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Eliteserien · after 21 matches · updated 1 Oct

HamKam's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eliteserien 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

HamKam xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.14 xG per match
#14/16
Attack (xG per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.31
#2 Viking FK 2.09
#3 Molde FK 1.83
#4 Tromsø IL 1.60
#5 SK Brann 1.58
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.56
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.56
#8 Vålerenga IF 1.55
#9 Sarpsborg 08 1.51
#10 Aalesunds FK 1.40
#11 IK Start 1.36
#12 Fredrikstad FK 1.20
#13 Sandefjord Fotball 1.18
#14 HamKam 1.14
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.09
#16 Kristiansund BK 0.97
League avg
1.50
Total
23.99 21 matches
Defence
1.66 xGA per match
#12/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.90
#2 Viking FK 1.16
#3 Molde FK 1.17
#4 Tromsø IL 1.23
#5 Sarpsborg 08 1.40
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.42
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#8 SK Brann 1.53
#9 Sandefjord Fotball 1.59
#10 IK Start 1.61
#11 Vålerenga IF 1.63
#12 HamKam 1.66
#13 Fredrikstad FK 1.67
#14 Kristiansund BK 1.72
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.78
#16 Aalesunds FK 1.98
League avg
1.50
Total
34.84 21 matches
xG difference
-0.52 xGD per match
#13/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt +1.41
#2 Viking FK +0.93
#3 Molde FK +0.66
#4 Tromsø IL +0.37
#5 Rosenborg BK +0.14
#6 Sarpsborg 08 +0.11
#7 Lillestrøm SK +0.10
#8 SK Brann +0.05
#9 Vålerenga IF -0.08
#10 IK Start -0.25
#11 Sandefjord Fotball -0.41
#12 Fredrikstad FK -0.47
#13 HamKam -0.52
#14 Aalesunds FK -0.58
#15 KFUM Oslo -0.69
#16 Kristiansund BK -0.75
League avg
0.00
Total
-10.85 21 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.05 xPts per match
#13/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.24
#2 Viking FK 1.97
#3 Molde FK 1.80
#4 Tromsø IL 1.68
#5 Rosenborg BK 1.52
#6 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#7 Sarpsborg 08 1.45
#8 SK Brann 1.40
#9 Vålerenga IF 1.33
#10 IK Start 1.19
#11 Fredrikstad FK 1.10
#12 Sandefjord Fotball 1.09
#13 HamKam 1.05
#14 Aalesunds FK 1.04
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.95
#16 KFUM Oslo 0.94
League avg
1.39
Total
22.14 vs 23 actual pts

What the xG says

HamKam's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Eliteserien. They rank #13 for xG difference at -0.52 per match, from the league's lowest shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 29 goals are 5.01 above 23.99 xG, while 23 points are 0.86 above 22.14 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 2.78 xG from penalties
29 23.99 +5.01 scored 5.01 more than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
44 34.84 +9.16 conceded 9.16 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
23 22.14 +0.86 0.86 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

HamKam are 5.01 goals above their xG after 21 matches.

Goals
29
xG
23.99
Gap
+5.01
Sat 14/03 Mon 06/04 Sun 12/04 Sun 19/04 Sun 26/04 Sun 03/05 Fri 08/05 Sat 16/05 Mon 25/05 Fri 29/05 Sun 12/07 Sat 18/07 Wed 22/07 Sun 26/07 Fri 31/07 Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 30/08 Sat 05/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 +6 +1.02 +0.11 +0.21 +1.59 +2.43 +2.64 +3.06 +2.44 +3.15 +3.06 +3.36 +3.56 +3.37 +2.34 +3.94 +3.35 +3.11 +4.40 +3.92 +3.36 +5.01 +1.02 -0.91 +0.10 +1.38 +0.84 +0.21 +0.42 -0.62 +0.71 -0.09 +0.30 +0.20 -0.19 -1.03 +1.60 -0.59 -0.24 +1.29 -0.48 -0.56 +1.65 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
HamKam: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 14/03 Viking FK 2 0.98 +1.02 +1.02
Mon 06/04 SK Brann 1 1.91 -0.91 +0.11
Sun 12/04 Molde FK 1 0.90 +0.10 +0.21
Sun 19/04 KFUM Oslo 4 2.62 +1.38 +1.59
Sun 26/04 IK Start 2 1.16 +0.84 +2.43
Sun 03/05 Kristiansund BK 1 0.79 +0.21 +2.64
Fri 08/05 Vålerenga IF 1 0.58 +0.42 +3.06
Sat 16/05 Fredrikstad FK 1 1.62 -0.62 +2.44
Mon 25/05 Lillestrøm SK 2 1.29 +0.71 +3.15
Fri 29/05 Aalesunds FK 2 2.09 -0.09 +3.06
Sun 12/07 Sandefjord Fotball 2 1.70 +0.30 +3.36
Sat 18/07 Tromsø IL 1 0.80 +0.20 +3.56
Wed 22/07 Bodø/Glimt 0 0.19 -0.19 +3.37
Sun 26/07 Sarpsborg 08 0 1.03 -1.03 +2.34
Fri 31/07 Vålerenga IF 3 1.40 +1.60 +3.94
Sun 09/08 Aalesunds FK 1 1.59 -0.59 +3.35
Sun 16/08 SK Brann 0 0.24 -0.24 +3.11
Sun 30/08 Kristiansund BK 2 0.71 +1.29 +4.40
Sat 05/09 Rosenborg BK 0 0.48 -0.48 +3.92
Sun 13/09 Molde FK 1 1.56 -0.56 +3.36
Sun 20/09 Tromsø IL 2 0.35 +1.65 +5.01

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

HamKam xG trend

Current form -0.99 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 4 of 21 matches. The worst was against Bodø/Glimt on Wed 22/07 (-2.15).

npxG · last 6
0.88
npxGA · last 6
1.87
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.42 Sat 14/03 -1.38 Mon 06/04 -0.83 Sun 12/04 +0.34 Sun 19/04 +0.40 Sun 26/04 -0.36 Sun 03/05 -0.88 Fri 08/05 -0.13 Sat 16/05 -0.30 Mon 25/05 -0.39 Fri 29/05 -0.45 Sun 12/07 -1.05 Sat 18/07 -2.15 Wed 22/07 -0.99 Sun 26/07 +0.58 Fri 31/07 +1.20 Sun 09/08 -1.91 Sun 16/08 -0.42 Sun 30/08 -2.03 Sat 05/09 -1.13 Sun 13/09 -1.67 Sun 20/09 -0.67 season avg
HamKam: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 14/03 Viking FK 1.00 1.42 -0.42 -0.42
Mon 06/04 SK Brann 1.91 3.29 -1.38 -0.90
Sun 12/04 Molde FK 1.01 1.84 -0.83 -0.88
Sun 19/04 KFUM Oslo 1.11 0.77 +0.34 -0.57
Sun 26/04 IK Start 1.17 0.77 +0.40 -0.38
Sun 03/05 Kristiansund BK 0.79 1.15 -0.36 -0.38
Fri 08/05 Vålerenga IF 0.65 1.53 -0.88 -0.45
Sat 16/05 Fredrikstad FK 0.95 1.08 -0.13 -0.41
Mon 25/05 Lillestrøm SK 1.29 1.59 -0.30 -0.40
Fri 29/05 Aalesunds FK 2.12 2.51 -0.39 -0.39
Sun 12/07 Sandefjord Fotball 0.95 1.40 -0.45 -0.40
Sat 18/07 Tromsø IL 0.85 1.90 -1.05 -0.45
Wed 22/07 Bodø/Glimt 0.30 2.45 -2.15 -0.58
Sun 26/07 Sarpsborg 08 0.61 1.60 -0.99 -0.61
Fri 31/07 Vålerenga IF 1.25 0.67 +0.58 -0.53
Sun 09/08 Aalesunds FK 1.83 0.63 +1.20 -0.43
Sun 16/08 SK Brann 0.22 2.13 -1.91 -0.51
Sun 30/08 Kristiansund BK 0.71 1.13 -0.42 -0.51
Sat 05/09 Rosenborg BK 0.48 2.51 -2.03 -0.59
Sun 13/09 Molde FK 1.56 2.69 -1.13 -0.61
Sun 20/09 Tromsø IL 0.45 2.12 -1.67 -0.67

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.01 npxG and 1.68 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 2 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 21 league matches
Last 5
number 6 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
+0.04 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.03 xG vs league average · over 21 matches · tied number 2 hardest of 16

  1. Tromsø IL Away +0.08
  2. Molde FK Home +0.35
  3. Rosenborg BK Away +0.14
  4. Kristiansund BK Home −0.36
  5. SK Brann Away 0.00
  6. Aalesunds FK Home −0.12
  7. Vålerenga IF Away +0.11
  8. Sarpsborg 08 Away +0.08
  9. Bodø/Glimt Away +0.79
  10. Tromsø IL Home +0.08
  11. Sandefjord Fotball Away −0.13
  12. Aalesunds FK Away −0.12
  13. Lillestrøm SK Home −0.10
  14. Fredrikstad FK Away −0.20
  15. Vålerenga IF Home +0.11
  16. Kristiansund BK Away −0.36
  17. IK Start Home +0.04
  18. KFUM Oslo Home −0.52
  19. Molde FK Away +0.35
  20. SK Brann Home 0.00
  21. Viking FK Home +0.35

Last 5

+0.04 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 6 hardest of 16

  1. Tromsø IL Away +0.08
  2. Molde FK Home +0.35
  3. Rosenborg BK Away +0.14
  4. Kristiansund BK Home −0.36
  5. SK Brann Away 0.00

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

HamKam shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. HamKam take 10.4 shots a match (league 13.8) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #16 in Eliteserien for volume and #9 for quality. 76% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 27% of their npxG (league 24%).

Attack

Shot volume
10.4 shots per match
#16/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 17.7
=2 Viking FK 16.2
=2 Vålerenga IF 16.2
#4 Aalesunds FK 15.6
#5 Molde FK 15.4
#6 Sandefjord Fotball 14.5
#7 SK Brann 14.1
#8 IK Start 14.0
#9 Rosenborg BK 13.6
#10 Tromsø IL 13.5
#11 Sarpsborg 08 13.3
#12 Lillestrøm SK 12.5
#13 Kristiansund BK 12.5
#14 Fredrikstad FK 11.3
#15 KFUM Oslo 10.5
#16 HamKam 10.4
League avg
13.8
Total
218 shots from 21 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#9/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#2 Tromsø IL 0.11
#3 Viking FK 0.11
#4 Molde FK 0.11
#5 Lillestrøm SK 0.10
#6 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#7 Sarpsborg 08 0.10
#8 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#9 HamKam 0.10
#10 SK Brann 0.10
#11 KFUM Oslo 0.09
#12 IK Start 0.09
#13 Vålerenga IF 0.09
#14 Aalesunds FK 0.09
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.08
#16 Sandefjord Fotball 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
21.21 npxG from 218 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
16.4 shots per match
#15/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 8.3
#2 Tromsø IL 11.2
#3 Molde FK 12.0
#4 Viking FK 13.0
#5 Sarpsborg 08 13.1
#6 Rosenborg BK 13.3
#7 Lillestrøm SK 13.9
#8 SK Brann 14.4
#9 IK Start 14.4
#10 KFUM Oslo 14.7
#11 Vålerenga IF 14.8
#12 Fredrikstad FK 15.0
=13 Kristiansund BK 15.0
=13 Sandefjord Fotball 15.0
#15 HamKam 16.4
#16 Aalesunds FK 16.9
League avg
13.8
Total
344 shots allowed from 21 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#10/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Viking FK 0.08
#2 Sandefjord Fotball 0.09
#3 Lillestrøm SK 0.09
#4 Sarpsborg 08 0.09
#5 Molde FK 0.09
#6 IK Start 0.10
#7 SK Brann 0.10
#8 Vålerenga IF 0.10
#9 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#10 HamKam 0.10
#11 Kristiansund BK 0.10
#12 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#13 Tromsø IL 0.10
#14 KFUM Oslo 0.10
#15 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#16 Aalesunds FK 0.11
League avg
0.10
Total
35.18 npxGA from 344 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

76% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 166 of 219 shots over 21 matches

Shots allowed, location

67% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 229 of 344 shots allowed over 21 matches

Where the npxG comes from

73% open play · 27% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 5.7 of 21.3 npxG over 21 matches

Where the npxG allowed comes from

81% open play · 19% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 6.7 of 34.9 npxG allowed over 21 matches

How the shot figures are made →

HamKam home and away xG

HamKam per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 10 11
xG / match 1.32 0.98
xGA / match 1.59 1.72
xGD / match -0.27 -0.74
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.19 0.93

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every HamKam match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
21
xG / match
1.14
xGA / match
1.66
xGD / match
-0.52
Points
23 of 63
  1. Sun 20/09 Tromsø IL A xG 0.35 xGA 2.12 xGD -1.77
  2. Sun 13/09 Molde FK H xG 1.56 xGA 2.92 xGD -1.36
  3. Sat 05/09 Rosenborg BK A xG 0.48 xGA 2.49 xGD -2.01
  4. Sun 30/08 Kristiansund BK H xG 0.71 xGA 1.13 xGD -0.42
  5. Sun 16/08 SK Brann A xG 0.24 xGA 2.38 xGD -2.14
  6. Sun 09/08 Aalesunds FK H xG 1.59 xGA 0.63 xGD +0.96
  7. Fri 31/07 Vålerenga IF A xG 1.40 xGA 0.69 xGD +0.71
  8. Sun 26/07 Sarpsborg 08 A xG 1.03 xGA 1.69 xGD -0.66
  9. Wed 22/07 Bodø/Glimt A Weakest underlying xG 0.19 xGA 2.50 xGD -2.31
  10. Sat 18/07 Tromsø IL H xG 0.80 xGA 1.90 xGD -1.10
  11. Sun 12/07 Sandefjord Fotball A xG 1.70 P xGA 0.83 xGD +0.87
  12. Fri 29/05 Aalesunds FK A xG 2.09 xGA 2.40 xGD -0.31
  13. Mon 25/05 Lillestrøm SK H xG 1.29 xGA 1.59 xGD -0.30
  14. Sat 16/05 Fredrikstad FK A xG 1.62 P xGA 1.03 xGD +0.59
  15. Fri 08/05 Vålerenga IF H xG 0.58 xGA 1.53 xGD -0.95
  16. Sun 03/05 Kristiansund BK A xG 0.79 xGA 1.11 xGD -0.32
  17. Sun 26/04 IK Start H xG 1.16 xGA 0.77 xGD +0.39
  18. Sun 19/04 KFUM Oslo H Best underlying xG 2.62 P xGA 0.77 xGD +1.85
  19. Sun 12/04 Molde FK A xG 0.90 xGA 1.73 xGD -0.83
  20. Mon 06/04 SK Brann H xG 1.91 xGA 3.21 xGD -1.30
  21. Sat 14/03 Viking FK H xG 0.98 xGA 1.42 xGD -0.44

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.21. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

HamKam in Eliteserien

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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