xgEdge

Expected goals

Vålerenga IF expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Eliteserien · after 21 matches · updated 1 Oct

Vålerenga IF's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eliteserien 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Vålerenga IF xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.55 xG per match
#8/16
Attack (xG per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.31
#2 Viking FK 2.09
#3 Molde FK 1.83
#4 Tromsø IL 1.60
#5 SK Brann 1.58
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.56
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.56
#8 Vålerenga IF 1.55
#9 Sarpsborg 08 1.51
#10 Aalesunds FK 1.40
#11 IK Start 1.36
#12 Fredrikstad FK 1.20
#13 Sandefjord Fotball 1.18
#14 HamKam 1.14
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.09
#16 Kristiansund BK 0.97
League avg
1.50
Total
32.51 21 matches
Defence
1.63 xGA per match
#11/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.90
#2 Viking FK 1.16
#3 Molde FK 1.17
#4 Tromsø IL 1.23
#5 Sarpsborg 08 1.40
#6 Rosenborg BK 1.42
#7 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#8 SK Brann 1.53
#9 Sandefjord Fotball 1.59
#10 IK Start 1.61
#11 Vålerenga IF 1.63
#12 HamKam 1.66
#13 Fredrikstad FK 1.67
#14 Kristiansund BK 1.72
#15 KFUM Oslo 1.78
#16 Aalesunds FK 1.98
League avg
1.50
Total
34.19 21 matches
xG difference
-0.08 xGD per match
#9/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt +1.41
#2 Viking FK +0.93
#3 Molde FK +0.66
#4 Tromsø IL +0.37
#5 Rosenborg BK +0.14
#6 Sarpsborg 08 +0.11
#7 Lillestrøm SK +0.10
#8 SK Brann +0.05
#9 Vålerenga IF -0.08
#10 IK Start -0.25
#11 Sandefjord Fotball -0.41
#12 Fredrikstad FK -0.47
#13 HamKam -0.52
#14 Aalesunds FK -0.58
#15 KFUM Oslo -0.69
#16 Kristiansund BK -0.75
League avg
0.00
Total
-1.68 21 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.33 xPts per match
#9/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 2.24
#2 Viking FK 1.97
#3 Molde FK 1.80
#4 Tromsø IL 1.68
#5 Rosenborg BK 1.52
#6 Lillestrøm SK 1.46
#7 Sarpsborg 08 1.45
#8 SK Brann 1.40
#9 Vålerenga IF 1.33
#10 IK Start 1.19
#11 Fredrikstad FK 1.10
#12 Sandefjord Fotball 1.09
#13 HamKam 1.05
#14 Aalesunds FK 1.04
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.95
#16 KFUM Oslo 0.94
League avg
1.39
Total
27.97 vs 23 actual pts

What the xG says

Vålerenga IF's underlying numbers sit close to the Eliteserien average. They rank #9 for xG difference at -0.08 per match, built on elite shot volume rather than low chance quality. Their 34 goals are 1.49 above 32.51 xG, while 23 points are 4.97 below 27.97 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 2.49 xG from penalties
34 32.51 +1.49 scored 1.49 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
43 34.19 +8.81 conceded 8.81 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
23 27.97 -4.97 4.97 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Vålerenga IF are 1.49 goals above their xG after 21 matches. The gap was widest at +3.61, against Sarpsborg 08 on Sun 06/09.

Goals
34
xG
32.51
Gap
+1.49
Sun 15/03 Sun 22/03 Mon 06/04 Sun 12/04 Sun 19/04 Sun 26/04 Sun 03/05 Fri 08/05 Sat 16/05 Mon 25/05 Fri 29/05 Sat 11/07 Thu 16/07 Sun 26/07 Fri 31/07 Sat 08/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 30/08 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Sun 20/09 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 -0.17 +1.07 +0.50 -0.17 -1.26 -1.64 -0.84 -2.37 -1.45 -2.54 -2.47 -3.24 +0.18 +0.84 +0.15 -0.15 +1.72 +2.90 +3.61 +2.04 +1.49 -0.17 +1.24 -0.57 -0.67 -1.09 -0.38 +0.80 -1.53 +0.92 -1.09 +0.07 -0.77 +3.42 +0.66 -0.69 -0.30 +1.87 +1.18 +0.71 -1.57 -0.55 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Vålerenga IF: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 15/03 Sandefjord Fotball 1 1.17 -0.17 -0.17
Sun 22/03 Rosenborg BK 2 0.76 +1.24 +1.07
Mon 06/04 Viking FK 0 0.57 -0.57 +0.50
Sun 12/04 Fredrikstad FK 1 1.67 -0.67 -0.17
Sun 19/04 Lillestrøm SK 0 1.09 -1.09 -1.26
Sun 26/04 Molde FK 1 1.38 -0.38 -1.64
Sun 03/05 KFUM Oslo 2 1.20 +0.80 -0.84
Fri 08/05 HamKam 0 1.53 -1.53 -2.37
Sat 16/05 Sarpsborg 08 3 2.08 +0.92 -1.45
Mon 25/05 IK Start 0 1.09 -1.09 -2.54
Fri 29/05 Kristiansund BK 3 2.93 +0.07 -2.47
Sat 11/07 Tromsø IL 0 0.77 -0.77 -3.24
Thu 16/07 Aalesunds FK 6 2.58 +3.42 +0.18
Sun 26/07 SK Brann 3 2.34 +0.66 +0.84
Fri 31/07 HamKam 0 0.69 -0.69 +0.15
Sat 08/08 Bodø/Glimt 1 1.30 -0.30 -0.15
Sun 16/08 Aalesunds FK 5 3.13 +1.87 +1.72
Sun 30/08 Molde FK 3 1.82 +1.18 +2.90
Sun 06/09 Sarpsborg 08 2 1.29 +0.71 +3.61
Sat 12/09 Lillestrøm SK 0 1.57 -1.57 +2.04
Sun 20/09 Fredrikstad FK 1 1.55 -0.55 +1.49

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Vålerenga IF xG trend

Current form +0.20 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 9 of 21 matches. The worst was against Molde FK on Sun 26/04 (-2.21).

npxG · last 6
1.60
npxGA · last 6
1.40
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.17 Sun 15/03 -0.25 Sun 22/03 -2.15 Mon 06/04 -0.04 Sun 12/04 -0.07 Sun 19/04 -2.21 Sun 26/04 -0.02 Sun 03/05 +0.88 Fri 08/05 +0.26 Sat 16/05 +0.16 Mon 25/05 +1.60 Fri 29/05 -0.61 Sat 11/07 +0.67 Thu 16/07 -0.05 Sun 26/07 -0.58 Fri 31/07 -0.72 Sat 08/08 +1.02 Sun 16/08 -0.03 Sun 30/08 -0.83 Sun 06/09 +0.89 Sat 12/09 +0.84 Sun 20/09 -0.05 season avg
Vålerenga IF: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 15/03 Sandefjord Fotball 1.17 1.00 +0.17 +0.17
Sun 22/03 Rosenborg BK 0.77 1.02 -0.25 -0.04
Mon 06/04 Viking FK 0.57 2.72 -2.15 -0.74
Sun 12/04 Fredrikstad FK 1.66 1.70 -0.04 -0.57
Sun 19/04 Lillestrøm SK 1.07 1.14 -0.07 -0.47
Sun 26/04 Molde FK 1.38 3.59 -2.21 -0.76
Sun 03/05 KFUM Oslo 1.30 1.32 -0.02 -0.65
Fri 08/05 HamKam 1.53 0.65 +0.88 -0.46
Sat 16/05 Sarpsborg 08 1.98 1.72 +0.26 -0.38
Mon 25/05 IK Start 1.12 0.96 +0.16 -0.33
Fri 29/05 Kristiansund BK 2.72 1.12 +1.60 -0.15
Sat 11/07 Tromsø IL 0.78 1.39 -0.61 -0.19
Thu 16/07 Aalesunds FK 2.18 1.51 +0.67 -0.12
Sun 26/07 SK Brann 1.54 1.59 -0.05 -0.12
Fri 31/07 HamKam 0.67 1.25 -0.58 -0.15
Sat 08/08 Bodø/Glimt 1.19 1.91 -0.72 -0.19
Sun 16/08 Aalesunds FK 2.34 1.32 +1.02 -0.11
Sun 30/08 Molde FK 1.70 1.73 -0.03 -0.11
Sun 06/09 Sarpsborg 08 1.21 2.04 -0.83 -0.15
Sat 12/09 Lillestrøm SK 1.59 0.70 +0.89 -0.10
Sun 20/09 Fredrikstad FK 1.55 0.71 +0.84 -0.05

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.43 npxG and 1.48 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 12 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
−0.03 xG vs league average
Over 21 league matches
Last 5
number 8 hardest of 16 in Eliteserien
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.03 xG vs league average · over 21 matches · number 12 hardest of 16

  1. Fredrikstad FK Home −0.20
  2. Lillestrøm SK Away −0.10
  3. Sarpsborg 08 Away +0.08
  4. Molde FK Home +0.35
  5. Aalesunds FK Away −0.12
  6. Bodø/Glimt Home +0.79
  7. HamKam Home −0.51
  8. SK Brann Away 0.00
  9. Aalesunds FK Home −0.12
  10. Tromsø IL Away +0.08
  11. Kristiansund BK Home −0.36
  12. IK Start Away +0.04
  13. Sarpsborg 08 Home +0.08
  14. HamKam Away −0.51
  15. KFUM Oslo Home −0.52
  16. Molde FK Away +0.35
  17. Lillestrøm SK Home −0.10
  18. Fredrikstad FK Away −0.20
  19. Viking FK Home +0.35
  20. Rosenborg BK Away +0.14
  21. Sandefjord Fotball Home −0.13

Last 5

0.00 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 8 hardest of 16

  1. Fredrikstad FK Home −0.20
  2. Lillestrøm SK Away −0.10
  3. Sarpsborg 08 Away +0.08
  4. Molde FK Home +0.35
  5. Aalesunds FK Away −0.12

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Vålerenga IF shots and chance quality

High volume, low quality. Vålerenga IF take 16.2 shots a match (league 13.8) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.10), =2 in Eliteserien for volume and #13 for quality. 66% of their shots come from inside the box (league 69%), and set pieces produce 25% of their npxG (league 24%).

Attack

Shot volume
16.2 shots per match
=2/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 17.7
=2 Viking FK 16.2
=2 Vålerenga IF 16.2
#4 Aalesunds FK 15.6
#5 Molde FK 15.4
#6 Sandefjord Fotball 14.5
#7 SK Brann 14.1
#8 IK Start 14.0
#9 Rosenborg BK 13.6
#10 Tromsø IL 13.5
#11 Sarpsborg 08 13.3
#12 Lillestrøm SK 12.5
#13 Kristiansund BK 12.5
#14 Fredrikstad FK 11.3
#15 KFUM Oslo 10.5
#16 HamKam 10.4
League avg
13.8
Total
341 shots from 21 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#13/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#2 Tromsø IL 0.11
#3 Viking FK 0.11
#4 Molde FK 0.11
#5 Lillestrøm SK 0.10
#6 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#7 Sarpsborg 08 0.10
#8 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#9 HamKam 0.10
#10 SK Brann 0.10
#11 KFUM Oslo 0.09
#12 IK Start 0.09
#13 Vålerenga IF 0.09
#14 Aalesunds FK 0.09
#15 Kristiansund BK 0.08
#16 Sandefjord Fotball 0.07
League avg
0.10
Total
30.02 npxG from 341 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.8 shots per match
#11/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bodø/Glimt 8.3
#2 Tromsø IL 11.2
#3 Molde FK 12.0
#4 Viking FK 13.0
#5 Sarpsborg 08 13.1
#6 Rosenborg BK 13.3
#7 Lillestrøm SK 13.9
#8 SK Brann 14.4
#9 IK Start 14.4
#10 KFUM Oslo 14.7
#11 Vålerenga IF 14.8
#12 Fredrikstad FK 15.0
=13 Kristiansund BK 15.0
=13 Sandefjord Fotball 15.0
#15 HamKam 16.4
#16 Aalesunds FK 16.9
League avg
13.8
Total
311 shots allowed from 21 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#8/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Eliteserien, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Viking FK 0.08
#2 Sandefjord Fotball 0.09
#3 Lillestrøm SK 0.09
#4 Sarpsborg 08 0.09
#5 Molde FK 0.09
#6 IK Start 0.10
#7 SK Brann 0.10
#8 Vålerenga IF 0.10
#9 Fredrikstad FK 0.10
#10 HamKam 0.10
#11 Kristiansund BK 0.10
#12 Rosenborg BK 0.10
#13 Tromsø IL 0.10
#14 KFUM Oslo 0.10
#15 Bodø/Glimt 0.11
#16 Aalesunds FK 0.11
League avg
0.10
Total
31.09 npxGA from 311 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

66% inside the box

League avg 69%

From 224 of 341 shots over 21 matches

Shots allowed, location

70% allowed inside the box

League avg 69%

From 219 of 311 shots allowed over 21 matches

Where the npxG comes from

75% open play · 25% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 7.4 of 29.8 npxG over 21 matches

Where the npxG allowed comes from

77% open play · 23% set pieces

League avg 24% set pieces

From 7.0 of 31.0 npxG allowed over 21 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Vålerenga IF home and away xG

Vålerenga IF per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 11 10
xG / match 1.54 1.55
xGA / match 1.57 1.69
xGD / match -0.03 -0.14
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.34 1.33

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Vålerenga IF match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
21
xG / match
1.55
xGA / match
1.63
xGD / match
-0.08
Points
23 of 63
  1. Sun 20/09 Fredrikstad FK H xG 1.55 xGA 0.71 xGD +0.84
  2. Sat 12/09 Lillestrøm SK A xG 1.57 xGA 0.70 xGD +0.87
  3. Sun 06/09 Sarpsborg 08 A xG 1.29 xGA 2.04 xGD -0.75
  4. Sun 30/08 Molde FK H xG 1.82 xGA 1.73 xGD +0.09
  5. Sun 16/08 Aalesunds FK A xG 3.13 P xGA 2.08 P xGD +1.05
  6. Sat 08/08 Bodø/Glimt H xG 1.30 xGA 1.89 xGD -0.59
  7. Fri 31/07 HamKam H xG 0.69 xGA 1.40 xGD -0.71
  8. Sun 26/07 SK Brann A xG 2.34 P xGA 2.37 P xGD -0.03
  9. Thu 16/07 Aalesunds FK H xG 2.58 xGA 1.51 xGD +1.07
  10. Sat 11/07 Tromsø IL A xG 0.77 xGA 1.95 P xGD -1.18
  11. Fri 29/05 Kristiansund BK H Best underlying xG 2.93 xGA 0.92 xGD +2.01
  12. Mon 25/05 IK Start A xG 1.09 xGA 0.97 xGD +0.12
  13. Sat 16/05 Sarpsborg 08 H xG 2.08 xGA 1.72 xGD +0.36
  14. Fri 08/05 HamKam A xG 1.53 xGA 0.58 xGD +0.95
  15. Sun 03/05 KFUM Oslo H xG 1.20 xGA 1.32 xGD -0.12
  16. Sun 26/04 Molde FK A Weakest underlying xG 1.38 xGA 3.59 xGD -2.21
  17. Sun 19/04 Lillestrøm SK H xG 1.09 xGA 1.71 P xGD -0.62
  18. Sun 12/04 Fredrikstad FK A xG 1.67 xGA 1.58 xGD +0.09
  19. Mon 06/04 Viking FK H xG 0.57 xGA 2.62 xGD -2.05
  20. Sun 22/03 Rosenborg BK A xG 0.76 xGA 1.02 xGD -0.26
  21. Sun 15/03 Sandefjord Fotball H xG 1.17 xGA 1.78 P xGD -0.61

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.59. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Vålerenga IF in Eliteserien

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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