xgEdge

Expected goals

FC Twente expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Eredivisie · after 7 matches · updated 4 Oct

FC Twente's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eredivisie 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FC Twente xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
2.28 xG per match
#5/18
Attack (xG per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 PSV Eindhoven 2.87
#2 Feyenoord 2.76
#3 AFC Ajax 2.65
#4 AZ Alkmaar 2.55
#5 FC Twente 2.28
#6 Go Ahead Eagles 1.91
#7 Sparta Rotterdam 1.64
#8 NEC Nijmegen 1.60
#9 FC Groningen 1.54
#10 FC Utrecht 1.41
#11 SC Cambuur 1.35
#12 Excelsior 1.35
#13 Willem II Tilburg 1.29
#14 SC Heerenveen 1.26
#15 SC Telstar 1.09
#16 Fortuna Sittard 0.97
#17 PEC Zwolle 0.94
#18 ADO Den Haag 0.90
League avg
1.69
Total
15.95 7 matches
Defence
0.75 xGA per match
#1/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Twente 0.75
#2 Feyenoord 0.80
#3 AZ Alkmaar 0.95
#4 AFC Ajax 1.25
#5 SC Heerenveen 1.36
#6 PSV Eindhoven 1.37
#7 Excelsior 1.44
#8 Go Ahead Eagles 1.63
#9 ADO Den Haag 1.90
#10 NEC Nijmegen 1.92
#11 FC Groningen 1.93
#12 SC Cambuur 2.04
#13 SC Telstar 2.05
#14 PEC Zwolle 2.06
#15 Sparta Rotterdam 2.10
#16 FC Utrecht 2.11
#17 Willem II Tilburg 2.28
#18 Fortuna Sittard 2.42
League avg
1.69
Total
5.23 7 matches
xG difference
+1.53 xGD per match
#3/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Feyenoord +1.96
#2 AZ Alkmaar +1.60
#3 FC Twente +1.53
#4 PSV Eindhoven +1.51
#5 AFC Ajax +1.40
#6 Go Ahead Eagles +0.28
#7 Excelsior -0.09
#8 SC Heerenveen -0.10
#9 NEC Nijmegen -0.32
#10 FC Groningen -0.39
#11 Sparta Rotterdam -0.46
#12 SC Cambuur -0.68
#13 FC Utrecht -0.70
#14 SC Telstar -0.96
#15 Willem II Tilburg -0.99
#16 ADO Den Haag -1.00
#17 PEC Zwolle -1.12
#18 Fortuna Sittard -1.46
League avg
0.00
Total
+10.72 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
2.43 xPts per match
#2/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Feyenoord 2.49
#2 FC Twente 2.43
#3 AZ Alkmaar 2.30
#4 AFC Ajax 2.20
#5 PSV Eindhoven 2.18
#6 Go Ahead Eagles 1.59
#7 Excelsior 1.31
#8 FC Groningen 1.28
#9 SC Heerenveen 1.28
#10 NEC Nijmegen 1.18
#11 Sparta Rotterdam 1.15
#12 FC Utrecht 1.14
#13 SC Cambuur 0.91
#14 ADO Den Haag 0.85
#15 SC Telstar 0.79
#16 Willem II Tilburg 0.79
#17 PEC Zwolle 0.73
#18 Fortuna Sittard 0.72
League avg
1.41
Total
16.99 vs 16 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

FC Twente's underlying numbers are among the best in Eredivisie. They rank #3 for xG difference at +1.53 per match, built on elite shot volume rather than low chance quality. Their 15 goals are 0.95 below 15.95 xG, while 16 points are 0.99 below 16.99 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.79 xG from penalties
15 15.95 -0.95 scored 0.95 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
7 5.23 +1.77 conceded 1.77 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
16 16.99 -0.99 0.99 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FC Twente are 0.95 goals below their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at -1.55, against ADO Den Haag on Sat 12/09.

Goals
15
xG
15.95
Gap
-0.95
Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 30/08 Sun 06/09 Wed 09/09 Sat 12/09 Sun 20/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -1.41 -1.03 +1.21 +0.91 -0.74 -1.55 -0.95 -1.41 +0.38 +2.24 -0.30 -1.65 -0.81 +0.60 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FC Twente: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 09/08 SC Heerenveen 0 1.41 -1.41 -1.41
Sun 16/08 PEC Zwolle 3 2.62 +0.38 -1.03
Sun 30/08 SC Cambuur 4 1.76 +2.24 +1.21
Sun 06/09 FC Groningen 2 2.30 -0.30 +0.91
Wed 09/09 SC Telstar 1 2.65 -1.65 -0.74
Sat 12/09 ADO Den Haag 2 2.81 -0.81 -1.55
Sun 20/09 PSV Eindhoven 3 2.40 +0.60 -0.95

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

FC Twente xG trend

Current form +1.38 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 7 of 7 matches.

npxG · last 6
2.07
npxGA · last 6
0.69
-1 0 +1 +2 +1.34 Sun 09/08 +1.53 Sun 16/08 +1.29 Sun 30/08 +0.88 Sun 06/09 +1.56 Wed 09/09 +1.48 Sat 12/09 +1.55 Sun 20/09 +1.38 season avg
FC Twente: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 09/08 SC Heerenveen 1.73 0.39 +1.34 +1.34
Sun 16/08 PEC Zwolle 2.21 0.68 +1.53 +1.44
Sun 30/08 SC Cambuur 1.76 0.47 +1.29 +1.39
Sun 06/09 FC Groningen 2.32 1.44 +0.88 +1.26
Wed 09/09 SC Telstar 1.76 0.20 +1.56 +1.32
Sat 12/09 ADO Den Haag 2.02 0.54 +1.48 +1.35
Sun 20/09 PSV Eindhoven 2.36 0.81 +1.55 +1.38

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.02 npxG and 0.65 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 14 hardest of 18 in Eredivisie
−0.14 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 14 hardest of 18 in Eredivisie
−0.06 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.14 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · number 14 hardest of 18

  1. PSV Eindhoven Home +0.84
  2. ADO Den Haag Home −0.29
  3. SC Telstar Home −0.51
  4. FC Groningen Away −0.04
  5. SC Cambuur Away −0.29
  6. PEC Zwolle Home −0.54
  7. SC Heerenveen Away −0.17

Last 5

−0.06 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 14 hardest of 18

  1. PSV Eindhoven Home +0.84
  2. ADO Den Haag Home −0.29
  3. SC Telstar Home −0.51
  4. FC Groningen Away −0.04
  5. SC Cambuur Away −0.29

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FC Twente shots and chance quality

High volume, low quality. FC Twente take 21.6 shots a match (league 15.0) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.11), #3 in Eredivisie for volume and #14 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 66%), and set pieces produce 21% of their npxG (league 18%).

Attack

Shot volume
21.6 shots per match
#3/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 AFC Ajax 24.7
#2 Feyenoord 22.3
#3 FC Twente 21.6
#4 PSV Eindhoven 21.0
#5 AZ Alkmaar 19.4
#6 SC Heerenveen 16.0
=7 Go Ahead Eagles 15.1
=7 NEC Nijmegen 15.1
#9 FC Groningen 15.0
#10 Sparta Rotterdam 13.1
=11 ADO Den Haag 11.9
=11 SC Cambuur 11.9
=11 Willem II Tilburg 11.9
#14 Excelsior 11.3
#15 FC Utrecht 10.9
#16 PEC Zwolle 10.6
#17 Fortuna Sittard 10.1
#18 SC Telstar 7.9
League avg
15.0
Total
151 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#14/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 AZ Alkmaar 0.13
#2 Go Ahead Eagles 0.13
#3 PSV Eindhoven 0.13
#4 Sparta Rotterdam 0.12
#5 Excelsior 0.12
#6 FC Utrecht 0.12
#7 Feyenoord 0.12
#8 SC Cambuur 0.11
#9 Willem II Tilburg 0.11
#10 AFC Ajax 0.11
#11 SC Telstar 0.10
#12 NEC Nijmegen 0.10
#13 FC Groningen 0.10
#14 FC Twente 0.09
#15 Fortuna Sittard 0.09
#16 PEC Zwolle 0.09
#17 SC Heerenveen 0.08
#18 ADO Den Haag 0.08
League avg
0.11
Total
14.16 npxG from 151 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
10.0 shots per match
#4/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 AZ Alkmaar 8.1
=2 AFC Ajax 9.6
=2 Feyenoord 9.6
#4 FC Twente 10.0
#5 PSV Eindhoven 10.1
#6 NEC Nijmegen 11.6
#7 FC Groningen 15.1
=8 SC Cambuur 15.9
=8 SC Heerenveen 15.9
=10 ADO Den Haag 16.1
=10 Excelsior 16.1
#12 Go Ahead Eagles 16.6
#13 SC Telstar 17.9
#14 Sparta Rotterdam 18.0
#15 FC Utrecht 18.6
#16 Willem II Tilburg 19.9
#17 Fortuna Sittard 20.3
#18 PEC Zwolle 20.4
League avg
15.0
Total
70 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.06 npxGA per shot
#1/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Twente 0.06
#2 Feyenoord 0.08
#3 Excelsior 0.09
#4 SC Heerenveen 0.09
#5 Go Ahead Eagles 0.09
#6 PEC Zwolle 0.10
#7 FC Utrecht 0.10
#8 SC Telstar 0.11
#9 ADO Den Haag 0.11
#10 SC Cambuur 0.11
#11 Willem II Tilburg 0.11
#12 Fortuna Sittard 0.12
#13 Sparta Rotterdam 0.12
#14 AZ Alkmaar 0.12
#15 FC Groningen 0.12
#16 AFC Ajax 0.13
#17 PSV Eindhoven 0.13
#18 NEC Nijmegen 0.17
League avg
0.11
Total
4.53 npxGA from 70 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

68% inside the box

League avg 66%

From 103 of 151 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

60% allowed inside the box

League avg 66%

From 42 of 70 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

79% open play · 21% set pieces

League avg 18% set pieces

From 3.0 of 14.1 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

83% open play · 17% set pieces

League avg 18% set pieces

From 0.8 of 4.5 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

FC Twente home and away xG

FC Twente per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 2.62 1.82
xGA / match 0.72 0.78
xGD / match +1.90 +1.04
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.59 2.22

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FC Twente match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
2.28
xGA / match
0.75
xGD / match
+1.53
Points
16 of 21
  1. Sun 20/09 PSV Eindhoven H xG 2.40 xGA 1.02 xGD +1.38
  2. Sat 12/09 ADO Den Haag H Best underlying xG 2.81 P xGA 0.54 xGD +2.27
  3. Wed 09/09 SC Telstar H xG 2.65 P xGA 0.52 xGD +2.13
  4. Sun 06/09 FC Groningen A Weakest underlying xG 2.30 xGA 1.48 xGD +0.82
  5. Sun 30/08 SC Cambuur A xG 1.76 xGA 0.47 xGD +1.29
  6. Sun 16/08 PEC Zwolle H xG 2.62 xGA 0.80 xGD +1.82
  7. Sun 09/08 SC Heerenveen A Against the chances xG 1.41 xGA 0.40 xGD +1.01

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FC Twente in Eredivisie

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

Mind if we count your visit?

We use Google Analytics only to see how many people visit and which pages they read. It loads after you allow it — no ads, no tracking across other sites. What we collect