xgEdge

Expected goals

SC Cambuur expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Eredivisie · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

SC Cambuur's attacking and defensive expected goals in Eredivisie 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

SC Cambuur xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.35 xG per match
#11/18
Attack (xG per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 PSV Eindhoven 2.87
#2 Feyenoord 2.76
#3 AFC Ajax 2.65
#4 AZ Alkmaar 2.55
#5 FC Twente 2.28
#6 Go Ahead Eagles 1.91
#7 Sparta Rotterdam 1.64
#8 NEC Nijmegen 1.60
#9 FC Groningen 1.54
#10 FC Utrecht 1.41
#11 SC Cambuur 1.35
#12 Excelsior 1.35
#13 Willem II Tilburg 1.29
#14 SC Heerenveen 1.26
#15 SC Telstar 1.09
#16 Fortuna Sittard 0.97
#17 PEC Zwolle 0.94
#18 ADO Den Haag 0.90
League avg
1.69
Total
9.48 7 matches
Defence
2.04 xGA per match
#12/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Twente 0.75
#2 Feyenoord 0.80
#3 AZ Alkmaar 0.95
#4 AFC Ajax 1.25
#5 SC Heerenveen 1.36
#6 PSV Eindhoven 1.37
#7 Excelsior 1.44
#8 Go Ahead Eagles 1.63
#9 ADO Den Haag 1.90
#10 NEC Nijmegen 1.92
#11 FC Groningen 1.93
#12 SC Cambuur 2.04
#13 SC Telstar 2.05
#14 PEC Zwolle 2.06
#15 Sparta Rotterdam 2.10
#16 FC Utrecht 2.11
#17 Willem II Tilburg 2.28
#18 Fortuna Sittard 2.42
League avg
1.69
Total
14.26 7 matches
xG difference
-0.68 xGD per match
#12/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Feyenoord +1.96
#2 AZ Alkmaar +1.60
#3 FC Twente +1.53
#4 PSV Eindhoven +1.51
#5 AFC Ajax +1.40
#6 Go Ahead Eagles +0.28
#7 Excelsior -0.09
#8 SC Heerenveen -0.10
#9 NEC Nijmegen -0.32
#10 FC Groningen -0.39
#11 Sparta Rotterdam -0.46
#12 SC Cambuur -0.68
#13 FC Utrecht -0.70
#14 SC Telstar -0.96
#15 Willem II Tilburg -0.99
#16 ADO Den Haag -1.00
#17 PEC Zwolle -1.12
#18 Fortuna Sittard -1.46
League avg
0.00
Total
-4.78 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.91 xPts per match
#13/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Feyenoord 2.49
#2 FC Twente 2.43
#3 AZ Alkmaar 2.30
#4 AFC Ajax 2.20
#5 PSV Eindhoven 2.18
#6 Go Ahead Eagles 1.59
#7 Excelsior 1.31
#8 FC Groningen 1.28
#9 SC Heerenveen 1.28
#10 NEC Nijmegen 1.18
#11 Sparta Rotterdam 1.15
#12 FC Utrecht 1.14
#13 SC Cambuur 0.91
#14 ADO Den Haag 0.85
#15 SC Telstar 0.79
#16 Willem II Tilburg 0.79
#17 PEC Zwolle 0.73
#18 Fortuna Sittard 0.72
League avg
1.41
Total
6.39 vs 5 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

SC Cambuur's underlying numbers sit close to the Eredivisie average. They rank #12 for xG difference at -0.68 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 10 goals are 0.52 above 9.48 xG, while 5 points are 1.39 below 6.39 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
10 9.48 +0.52 scored 0.52 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
19 14.26 +4.74 conceded 4.74 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
5 6.39 -1.39 1.39 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

SC Cambuur are 0.52 goals above their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
10
xG
9.48
Gap
+0.52
Fri 07/08 Sat 15/08 Sun 23/08 Sun 30/08 Sun 06/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.72 -2.23 -1.30 -0.77 +0.25 +0.13 +0.52 -0.72 -1.51 +0.93 +0.53 +1.02 -0.12 +0.39 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
SC Cambuur: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 07/08 Excelsior 0 0.72 -0.72 -0.72
Sat 15/08 Fortuna Sittard 1 2.51 -1.51 -2.23
Sun 23/08 Feyenoord 2 1.07 +0.93 -1.30
Sun 30/08 FC Twente 1 0.47 +0.53 -0.77
Sun 06/09 SC Telstar 2 0.98 +1.02 +0.25
Sat 12/09 NEC Nijmegen 3 3.12 -0.12 +0.13
Sat 19/09 ADO Den Haag 1 0.61 +0.39 +0.52

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

SC Cambuur xG trend

Current form -0.05 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 7 matches. The worst was against Excelsior on Fri 07/08 (-2.65).

npxG · last 6
1.46
npxGA · last 6
1.50
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 -2.65 Fri 07/08 +0.94 Sat 15/08 -0.99 Sun 23/08 -1.29 Sun 30/08 +0.38 Sun 06/09 +2.27 Sat 12/09 -1.60 Sat 19/09 -0.42 season avg
SC Cambuur: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 07/08 Excelsior 0.70 3.35 -2.65 -2.65
Sat 15/08 Fortuna Sittard 2.53 1.59 +0.94 -0.86
Sun 23/08 Feyenoord 1.07 2.06 -0.99 -0.90
Sun 30/08 FC Twente 0.47 1.76 -1.29 -1.00
Sun 06/09 SC Telstar 0.98 0.60 +0.38 -0.72
Sat 12/09 NEC Nijmegen 3.20 0.93 +2.27 -0.22
Sat 19/09 ADO Den Haag 0.48 2.08 -1.60 -0.42

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.35 npxG and 1.77 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 10 hardest of 18 in Eredivisie
+0.01 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
tied number 3 hardest of 18 in Eredivisie
+0.18 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.01 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · tied number 10 hardest of 18

  1. ADO Den Haag Away −0.29
  2. NEC Nijmegen Home +0.13
  3. SC Telstar Away −0.51
  4. FC Twente Home +0.71
  5. Feyenoord Home +0.87
  6. Fortuna Sittard Away −0.68
  7. Excelsior Home −0.16

Last 5

+0.18 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 3 hardest of 18

  1. ADO Den Haag Away −0.29
  2. NEC Nijmegen Home +0.13
  3. SC Telstar Away −0.51
  4. FC Twente Home +0.71
  5. Feyenoord Home +0.87

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

SC Cambuur shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. SC Cambuur take 11.9 shots a match (league 15.0) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.11), =11 in Eredivisie for volume and #8 for quality. 71% of their shots come from inside the box (league 66%), and set pieces produce 17% of their npxG (league 18%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.9 shots per match
=11/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 AFC Ajax 24.7
#2 Feyenoord 22.3
#3 FC Twente 21.6
#4 PSV Eindhoven 21.0
#5 AZ Alkmaar 19.4
#6 SC Heerenveen 16.0
=7 Go Ahead Eagles 15.1
=7 NEC Nijmegen 15.1
#9 FC Groningen 15.0
#10 Sparta Rotterdam 13.1
=11 ADO Den Haag 11.9
=11 SC Cambuur 11.9
=11 Willem II Tilburg 11.9
#14 Excelsior 11.3
#15 FC Utrecht 10.9
#16 PEC Zwolle 10.6
#17 Fortuna Sittard 10.1
#18 SC Telstar 7.9
League avg
15.0
Total
83 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#8/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 AZ Alkmaar 0.13
#2 Go Ahead Eagles 0.13
#3 PSV Eindhoven 0.13
#4 Sparta Rotterdam 0.12
#5 Excelsior 0.12
#6 FC Utrecht 0.12
#7 Feyenoord 0.12
#8 SC Cambuur 0.11
#9 Willem II Tilburg 0.11
#10 AFC Ajax 0.11
#11 SC Telstar 0.10
#12 NEC Nijmegen 0.10
#13 FC Groningen 0.10
#14 FC Twente 0.09
#15 Fortuna Sittard 0.09
#16 PEC Zwolle 0.09
#17 SC Heerenveen 0.08
#18 ADO Den Haag 0.08
League avg
0.11
Total
9.43 npxG from 83 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.9 shots per match
=8/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 AZ Alkmaar 8.1
=2 AFC Ajax 9.6
=2 Feyenoord 9.6
#4 FC Twente 10.0
#5 PSV Eindhoven 10.1
#6 NEC Nijmegen 11.6
#7 FC Groningen 15.1
=8 SC Cambuur 15.9
=8 SC Heerenveen 15.9
=10 ADO Den Haag 16.1
=10 Excelsior 16.1
#12 Go Ahead Eagles 16.6
#13 SC Telstar 17.9
#14 Sparta Rotterdam 18.0
#15 FC Utrecht 18.6
#16 Willem II Tilburg 19.9
#17 Fortuna Sittard 20.3
#18 PEC Zwolle 20.4
League avg
15.0
Total
111 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#10/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Eredivisie, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Twente 0.06
#2 Feyenoord 0.08
#3 Excelsior 0.09
#4 SC Heerenveen 0.09
#5 Go Ahead Eagles 0.09
#6 PEC Zwolle 0.10
#7 FC Utrecht 0.10
#8 SC Telstar 0.11
#9 ADO Den Haag 0.11
#10 SC Cambuur 0.11
#11 Willem II Tilburg 0.11
#12 Fortuna Sittard 0.12
#13 Sparta Rotterdam 0.12
#14 AZ Alkmaar 0.12
#15 FC Groningen 0.12
#16 AFC Ajax 0.13
#17 PSV Eindhoven 0.13
#18 NEC Nijmegen 0.17
League avg
0.11
Total
12.37 npxGA from 111 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

71% inside the box

League avg 66%

From 59 of 83 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

68% allowed inside the box

League avg 66%

From 75 of 111 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

83% open play · 17% set pieces

League avg 18% set pieces

From 1.6 of 9.5 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

75% open play · 25% set pieces

League avg 18% set pieces

From 3.0 of 12.1 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

SC Cambuur home and away xG

SC Cambuur per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 3
xG / match 1.35 1.37
xGA / match 2.03 2.04
xGD / match -0.69 -0.68
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.92 0.90

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every SC Cambuur match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
1.35
xGA / match
2.04
xGD / match
-0.68
Points
5 of 21
  1. Sat 19/09 ADO Den Haag A xG 0.61 xGA 2.10 xGD -1.49
  2. Sat 12/09 NEC Nijmegen H Best underlying xG 3.12 xGA 0.93 xGD +2.19
  3. Sun 06/09 SC Telstar A xG 0.98 xGA 2.12 P xGD -1.14
  4. Sun 30/08 FC Twente H xG 0.47 xGA 1.76 xGD -1.29
  5. Sun 23/08 Feyenoord H xG 1.07 xGA 2.57 P xGD -1.50
  6. Sat 15/08 Fortuna Sittard A xG 2.51 xGA 1.91 xGD +0.60
  7. Fri 07/08 Excelsior H Weakest underlying xG 0.72 xGA 2.87 xGD -2.15

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.12. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

SC Cambuur in Eredivisie

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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