xgEdge

Expected goals

Elche expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

La Liga · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

Elche's attacking and defensive expected goals in La Liga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Elche xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.24 xG per match
#13/20
Attack (xG per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Barcelona 4.07
#2 Real Madrid 2.64
#3 Villarreal 2.38
#4 Atlético Madrid 1.72
#5 Athletic Club 1.64
#6 Real Betis 1.52
#7 Racing de Santander 1.45
#8 Levante UD 1.33
#9 Deportivo Alavés 1.28
#10 Rayo Vallecano 1.27
#11 Espanyol 1.24
#12 Osasuna 1.24
#13 Elche 1.24
#14 Real Sociedad 1.19
#15 Celta Vigo 1.01
#16 Sevilla 0.99
#17 Deportivo La Coruña 0.97
#18 Valencia 0.87
#19 Málaga 0.84
#20 Getafe 0.69
League avg
1.48
Total
8.66 7 matches
Defence
2.01 xGA per match
#18/20
Defence (xGA per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Atlético Madrid 1.02
#2 Real Madrid 1.09
#3 Barcelona 1.09
#4 Deportivo La Coruña 1.15
#5 Deportivo Alavés 1.19
#6 Villarreal 1.25
#7 Celta Vigo 1.26
#8 Getafe 1.27
#9 Sevilla 1.30
#10 Athletic Club 1.36
#11 Espanyol 1.36
#12 Osasuna 1.39
#13 Valencia 1.64
#14 Málaga 1.66
#15 Real Sociedad 1.68
#16 Rayo Vallecano 1.76
#17 Real Betis 1.86
#18 Elche 2.01
#19 Levante UD 2.08
#20 Racing de Santander 2.20
League avg
1.48
Total
14.07 7 matches
xG difference
-0.77 xGD per match
#18/20
xG difference (xGD per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Barcelona +2.99
#2 Real Madrid +1.55
#3 Villarreal +1.12
#4 Atlético Madrid +0.70
#5 Athletic Club +0.28
#6 Deportivo Alavés +0.09
#7 Espanyol -0.12
#8 Osasuna -0.15
#9 Deportivo La Coruña -0.18
#10 Celta Vigo -0.26
#11 Sevilla -0.31
#12 Real Betis -0.34
#13 Rayo Vallecano -0.50
#14 Real Sociedad -0.50
#15 Getafe -0.57
#16 Levante UD -0.75
#17 Racing de Santander -0.76
#18 Elche -0.77
#19 Valencia -0.78
#20 Málaga -0.83
League avg
0.00
Total
-5.41 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.14 xPts per match
#13/20
Expected points (xPts per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Barcelona 2.66
#2 Real Madrid 2.27
#3 Villarreal 1.92
#4 Atlético Madrid 1.86
#5 Athletic Club 1.82
#6 Deportivo Alavés 1.44
#7 Osasuna 1.36
#8 Espanyol 1.35
#9 Sevilla 1.30
#10 Celta Vigo 1.28
#11 Real Betis 1.20
#12 Real Sociedad 1.17
#13 Elche 1.14
#14 Racing de Santander 1.14
#15 Deportivo La Coruña 1.14
#16 Rayo Vallecano 1.12
#17 Levante UD 1.04
#18 Getafe 0.92
#19 Valencia 0.91
#20 Málaga 0.86
League avg
1.39
Total
8.00 vs 5 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Elche's underlying numbers are among the weakest in La Liga. They rank #18 for xG difference at -0.77 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 11 goals are 2.34 above 8.66 xG, while 5 points are 3.00 below 8.00 xPts. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 0.61 xG from penalties
11 8.66 +2.34 scored 2.34 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
17 14.07 +2.93 conceded 2.93 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
5 8.00 -3.00 3.00 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Elche are 2.34 goals above their xG after 7 matches.

Goals
11
xG
8.66
Gap
+2.34
Mon 17/08 Sun 23/08 Fri 28/08 Mon 07/09 Sat 12/09 Tue 15/09 Fri 18/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 -0.23 -0.93 +0.04 -0.43 -0.27 +0.95 +2.34 -0.23 -0.70 +0.97 -0.47 +0.16 +1.22 +1.39 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Elche: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Mon 17/08 Deportivo La Coruña 1 1.23 -0.23 -0.23
Sun 23/08 Barcelona 0 0.70 -0.70 -0.93
Fri 28/08 Racing de Santander 2 1.03 +0.97 +0.04
Mon 07/09 Real Sociedad 2 2.47 -0.47 -0.43
Sat 12/09 Athletic Club 1 0.84 +0.16 -0.27
Tue 15/09 Real Madrid 2 0.78 +1.22 +0.95
Fri 18/09 Espanyol 3 1.61 +1.39 +2.34

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Elche xG trend

Current form -1.05 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 7 matches. The worst was against Real Madrid on Tue 15/09 (-3.08).

npxG · last 6
1.10
npxGA · last 6
2.15
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +1.11 Mon 17/08 -2.63 Sun 23/08 -0.44 Fri 28/08 +1.90 Mon 07/09 -2.37 Sat 12/09 -3.08 Tue 15/09 +0.31 Fri 18/09 -0.74 season avg
Elche: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Mon 17/08 Deportivo La Coruña 1.45 0.34 +1.11 +1.11
Sun 23/08 Barcelona 0.72 3.35 -2.63 -0.76
Fri 28/08 Racing de Santander 1.06 1.50 -0.44 -0.65
Mon 07/09 Real Sociedad 2.48 0.58 +1.90 -0.01
Sat 12/09 Athletic Club 0.05 2.42 -2.37 -0.49
Tue 15/09 Real Madrid 0.85 3.93 -3.08 -0.92
Fri 18/09 Espanyol 1.44 1.13 +0.31 -0.74

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.15 npxG and 1.89 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 2 hardest of 20 in La Liga
+0.14 xG vs league average
Over 7 league matches
Last 5
number 9 hardest of 20 in La Liga
+0.05 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.14 xG vs league average · over 7 matches · tied number 2 hardest of 20

  1. Espanyol Away −0.11
  2. Real Madrid Home +0.60
  3. Athletic Club Away +0.40
  4. Real Sociedad Home −0.31
  5. Racing de Santander Away −0.33
  6. Barcelona Home +1.00
  7. Deportivo La Coruña Away −0.24

Last 5

+0.05 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 9 hardest of 20

  1. Espanyol Away −0.11
  2. Real Madrid Home +0.60
  3. Athletic Club Away +0.40
  4. Real Sociedad Home −0.31
  5. Racing de Santander Away −0.33

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Elche shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Elche take 11.3 shots a match (league 13.2) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #12 in La Liga for volume and #7 for quality. 63% of their shots come from inside the box (league 62%), and set pieces produce 18% of their npxG (league 20%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.3 shots per match
#12/20
Shot volume (shots per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Barcelona 21.4
#2 Real Madrid 18.9
#3 Real Betis 17.4
#4 Atlético Madrid 16.9
#5 Villarreal 16.0
#6 Athletic Club 15.7
#7 Espanyol 13.6
=8 Rayo Vallecano 13.4
=8 Real Sociedad 13.4
#10 Deportivo Alavés 12.4
#11 Getafe 11.7
#12 Elche 11.3
#13 Sevilla 11.0
#14 Levante UD 10.7
#15 Valencia 10.6
=16 Celta Vigo 10.3
=16 Racing de Santander 10.3
#18 Deportivo La Coruña 10.1
#19 Málaga 10.0
#20 Osasuna 9.4
League avg
13.2
Total
79 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#7/20
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Barcelona 0.16
#2 Levante UD 0.13
#3 Real Madrid 0.13
#4 Villarreal 0.13
#5 Deportivo Alavés 0.11
#6 Racing de Santander 0.10
#7 Elche 0.10
#8 Deportivo La Coruña 0.10
#9 Osasuna 0.10
#10 Rayo Vallecano 0.09
#11 Athletic Club 0.09
#12 Espanyol 0.09
#13 Real Betis 0.09
#14 Atlético Madrid 0.09
#15 Valencia 0.08
#16 Celta Vigo 0.08
#17 Real Sociedad 0.08
#18 Sevilla 0.07
#19 Málaga 0.06
#20 Getafe 0.06
League avg
0.10
Total
8.05 npxG from 79 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.3 shots per match
=15/20
Shots allowed (shots per match) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Barcelona 7.3
#2 Athletic Club 9.5
#3 Atlético Madrid 9.7
#4 Sevilla 11.3
#5 Espanyol 12.0
#6 Deportivo Alavés 12.1
#7 Celta Vigo 12.4
=8 Osasuna 12.7
=8 Real Madrid 12.7
=10 Deportivo La Coruña 12.9
=10 Villarreal 12.9
#12 Getafe 13.3
#13 Málaga 14.9
#14 Levante UD 15.2
=15 Elche 15.3
=15 Valencia 15.3
#17 Real Betis 15.7
#18 Real Sociedad 15.9
#19 Rayo Vallecano 16.6
#20 Racing de Santander 16.7
League avg
13.2
Total
107 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#19/20
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across La Liga, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Deportivo Alavés 0.07
#2 Getafe 0.07
#3 Real Madrid 0.08
#4 Atlético Madrid 0.08
#5 Rayo Vallecano 0.09
#6 Deportivo La Coruña 0.09
#7 Villarreal 0.09
#8 Celta Vigo 0.09
#9 Real Sociedad 0.10
#10 Málaga 0.10
#11 Athletic Club 0.10
#12 Valencia 0.10
#13 Racing de Santander 0.11
#14 Espanyol 0.11
#15 Sevilla 0.11
#16 Osasuna 0.11
#17 Real Betis 0.12
#18 Levante UD 0.12
#19 Elche 0.12
#20 Barcelona 0.15
League avg
0.10
Total
13.25 npxGA from 107 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

63% inside the box

League avg 62%

From 50 of 79 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

70% allowed inside the box

League avg 62%

From 75 of 107 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

82% open play · 18% set pieces

League avg 20% set pieces

From 1.4 of 7.8 npxG over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

88% open play · 12% set pieces

League avg 20% set pieces

From 1.5 of 13.0 npxG allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Elche home and away xG

Elche per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 3 4
xG / match 1.32 1.18
xGA / match 2.86 1.38
xGD / match -1.54 -0.20
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.93 1.30

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Elche match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
7
xG / match
1.24
xGA / match
2.01
xGD / match
-0.77
Points
5 of 21
  1. Fri 18/09 Espanyol A xG 1.61 xGA 1.05 xGD +0.56
  2. Tue 15/09 Real Madrid H xG 0.78 xGA 3.61 xGD -2.83
  3. Sat 12/09 Athletic Club A xG 0.84 P xGA 2.39 xGD -1.55
  4. Mon 07/09 Real Sociedad H Against the chances xG 2.47 xGA 0.58 xGD +1.89
  5. Fri 28/08 Racing de Santander A xG 1.03 xGA 1.72 xGD -0.69
  6. Sun 23/08 Barcelona H Weakest underlying xG 0.70 xGA 4.38 P xGD -3.68
  7. Mon 17/08 Deportivo La Coruña A xG 1.23 xGA 0.34 xGD +0.89

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.38. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Elche in La Liga

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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