Liga Portugal

Liga Portugal results 2026/2027

Every Liga Portugal match played this season, newest first, with the xG each side created and the home, draw and away probabilities the model held before kickoff.

xG reading

All Went with the xG Went against the xG

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Model record

Most likely outcome landed in 12 of 29 matches (41%). The probabilities implied about 14 (47%). Brier score 0.62 (reference 0.67; lower is better). How the model works →

Home
Draw
Away

What happened Most likely outcome Upset

Sunday, 20/09/2026

2 matches

19:00

Santa Clara 0

Sporting Braga 0

xG 1.04 – 0.50 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
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16:30

Vitória SC 1

Moreirense 1

xG 1.07 – 0.52 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

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Saturday, 19/09/2026

1 match

21:30

Sporting 2

FC Arouca 2

xG 1.28 – 2.08 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

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Monday, 14/09/2026

1 match

19:45

Rio Ave 3

CF Estrela Amadora 3

xG 1.23 – 1.87 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

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Sunday, 13/09/2026

1 match

21:30

Famalicão 1

Sporting 1

xG 0.35 – 2.28 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

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Saturday, 12/09/2026

1 match

16:30

CD Nacional 1

FC Alverca 3

xG 2.20 – 1.16 Lower-xG side won

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
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Sunday, 06/09/2026

2 matches

21:30

Gil Vicente 0

Académico Viseu FC 1

xG 1.88 – 0.33 Lower-xG side won

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
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19:00

Vitória SC 0

Casa Pia 0

xG 2.48 – 0.21 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

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Saturday, 05/09/2026

1 match

16:30

CF Estrela Amadora 2

Famalicão 2

xG 0.94 – 1.80 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
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Saturday, 29/08/2026

1 match

16:30

FC Alverca 1

Santa Clara 1

xG 0.41 – 1.41 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
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Saturday, 22/08/2026

1 match

16:30

Marítimo 2

Académico Viseu FC 2

xG 1.28 – 1.84 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
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Sunday, 09/08/2026

2 matches

21:30

Benfica 2

Académico Viseu FC 2

xG 3.11 – 1.18 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
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21:30

Moreirense 2

Sporting Braga 2

xG 0.21 – 1.50 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
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Saturday, 08/08/2026

2 matches

21:30

CF Estrela Amadora 2

Sporting 2

xG 1.01 – 2.63 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
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19:00

Vitória SC 0

FC Arouca 1

xG 2.22 – 0.49 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
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xG is a model estimate of the chances each side created. "Went with the xG" means the side with more xG won; "Went against the xG" means the side with less xG won or the match was drawn across a gap of at least 0.5. The probabilities are the ones the model published before kickoff, rounded so the three add to 100; the outline marks what happened.