xgEdge

Expected goals

Bohemian FC expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Premier Division (Ireland) · after 31 matches · updated 6 Oct

Bohemian FC's attacking and defensive expected goals in Premier Division (Ireland) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Bohemian FC xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.64 xG per match
#2/10
Attack (xG per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.78
#2 Bohemian FC 1.64
#3 Dundalk FC 1.57
#4 Shamrock Rovers 1.41
#5 Shelbourne 1.40
#6 Waterford FC 1.40
#7 Galway United 1.35
#8 Derry City 1.18
#9 Drogheda United 1.16
#10 Sligo Rovers 1.03
League avg
1.39
Total
50.96 31 matches
Defence
1.10 xGA per match
#2/10
Defence (xGA per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.93
#2 Bohemian FC 1.10
#3 Shamrock Rovers 1.14
#4 Derry City 1.18
#5 Shelbourne 1.20
#6 Galway United 1.51
#7 Dundalk FC 1.58
#8 Drogheda United 1.60
#9 Waterford FC 1.77
#10 Sligo Rovers 1.88
League avg
1.39
Total
34.25 31 matches
xG difference
+0.54 xGD per match
#2/10
xG difference (xGD per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic +0.85
#2 Bohemian FC +0.54
#3 Shamrock Rovers +0.27
#4 Shelbourne +0.20
#5 Derry City +0.01
#6 Dundalk FC -0.01
#7 Galway United -0.16
#8 Waterford FC -0.38
#9 Drogheda United -0.44
#10 Sligo Rovers -0.85
League avg
0.00
Total
+16.71 31 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.75 xPts per match
#2/10
Expected points (xPts per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.87
#2 Bohemian FC 1.75
#3 Shamrock Rovers 1.58
#4 Shelbourne 1.48
#5 Derry City 1.37
#6 Dundalk FC 1.35
#7 Galway United 1.28
#8 Waterford FC 1.17
#9 Drogheda United 1.10
#10 Sligo Rovers 0.87
League avg
1.38
Total
54.32 vs 59 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 31 of 32 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Bohemian FC's underlying numbers are among the best in Premier Division (Ireland). They rank #2 for xG difference at +0.54 per match, driven by elite shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 54 goals are 3.04 above 50.96 xG, while 56 points are 1.68 above 54.32 xPts — both over the 31 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
54 50.96 +3.04 scored 3.04 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
37 34.25 +2.75 conceded 2.75 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
56 54.32 +1.68 1.68 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Bohemian FC are 3.04 goals above their xG after 31 matches.

Goals
54
xG
50.96
Gap
+3.04
Sun 08/02 Sat 14/02 Fri 20/02 Fri 27/02 Fri 06/03 Fri 13/03 Mon 16/03 Fri 20/03 Fri 03/04 Mon 06/04 Fri 10/04 Fri 17/04 Fri 24/04 Fri 01/05 Mon 04/05 Fri 15/05 Fri 22/05 Mon 25/05 Fri 29/05 Fri 12/06 Fri 19/06 Mon 22/06 Fri 26/06 Fri 03/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Fri 21/08 Fri 28/08 Fri 11/09 Fri 18/09 Fri 02/10 -6 -4 -2 0 +2 +4 -0.73 +0.17 -0.06 +1.13 +0.24 +0.68 +0.17 +0.37 -1.20 -2.82 -3.63 -5.13 -5.04 -4.63 -3.55 -3.70 -1.92 -3.28 -2.20 -2.01 -2.01 -0.26 -0.40 -0.18 -1.41 -1.45 +1.23 +2.75 +2.98 +2.97 +3.04 -0.73 +0.90 -0.23 +1.19 -0.89 +0.44 -0.51 +0.20 -1.57 -1.62 -0.81 -1.50 +0.09 +0.41 +1.08 -0.15 +1.78 -1.36 +1.08 +0.19 +0.00 +1.75 -0.14 +0.22 -1.23 -0.04 +2.68 +1.52 +0.23 -0.01 +0.07 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Bohemian FC: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 08/02 St. Patrick's Athletic 0 0.73 -0.73 -0.73
Sat 14/02 Sligo Rovers 4 3.10 +0.90 +0.17
Fri 20/02 Derry City 1 1.23 -0.23 -0.06
Fri 27/02 Shamrock Rovers 3 1.81 +1.19 +1.13
Fri 06/03 Waterford FC 1 1.89 -0.89 +0.24
Fri 13/03 Galway United 1 0.56 +0.44 +0.68
Mon 16/03 Shelbourne 0 0.51 -0.51 +0.17
Fri 20/03 Dundalk FC 1 0.80 +0.20 +0.37
Fri 03/04 Drogheda United 0 1.57 -1.57 -1.20
Mon 06/04 Waterford FC 1 2.62 -1.62 -2.82
Fri 10/04 Sligo Rovers 1 1.81 -0.81 -3.63
Fri 17/04 Shamrock Rovers 1 2.50 -1.50 -5.13
Fri 24/04 St. Patrick's Athletic 1 0.91 +0.09 -5.04
Fri 01/05 Derry City 1 0.59 +0.41 -4.63
Mon 04/05 Shelbourne 2 0.92 +1.08 -3.55
Fri 15/05 Drogheda United 2 2.15 -0.15 -3.70
Fri 22/05 Galway United 4 2.22 +1.78 -1.92
Mon 25/05 Shamrock Rovers 1 2.36 -1.36 -3.28
Fri 29/05 Sligo Rovers 3 1.92 +1.08 -2.20
Fri 12/06 Derry City 1 0.81 +0.19 -2.01
Fri 19/06 Dundalk FC 1 1.00 +0.00 -2.01
Mon 22/06 Shelbourne 3 1.25 +1.75 -0.26
Fri 26/06 St. Patrick's Athletic 2 2.14 -0.14 -0.40
Fri 03/07 Drogheda United 2 1.78 +0.22 -0.18
Sun 02/08 Galway United 1 2.23 -1.23 -1.41
Sun 09/08 Waterford FC 1 1.04 -0.04 -1.45
Fri 21/08 Derry City 5 2.32 +2.68 +1.23
Fri 28/08 Sligo Rovers 3 1.48 +1.52 +2.75
Fri 11/09 Galway United 3 2.77 +0.23 +2.98
Fri 18/09 Drogheda United 2 2.01 -0.01 +2.97
Fri 02/10 Dundalk FC 2 1.93 +0.07 +3.04

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Bohemian FC xG trend

Current form +0.74 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 23 of 31 matches. The worst was against Derry City on Fri 12/06 (-2.42).

npxG · last 6
1.93
npxGA · last 6
1.18
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.42 Sun 08/02 +2.98 Sat 14/02 +0.18 Fri 20/02 +1.24 Fri 27/02 +1.12 Fri 06/03 -1.27 Fri 13/03 +0.10 Mon 16/03 -0.80 Fri 20/03 -0.26 Fri 03/04 +2.35 Mon 06/04 +0.26 Fri 10/04 +1.06 Fri 17/04 -0.47 Fri 24/04 +0.12 Fri 01/05 -0.28 Mon 04/05 +1.28 Fri 15/05 +0.54 Fri 22/05 +1.02 Mon 25/05 +1.51 Fri 29/05 -2.42 Fri 12/06 +0.22 Fri 19/06 +0.87 Mon 22/06 +1.00 Fri 26/06 -0.50 Fri 03/07 +1.99 Sun 02/08 -0.62 Sun 09/08 +0.93 Fri 21/08 +1.33 Fri 28/08 +0.93 Fri 11/09 +1.15 Fri 18/09 +0.73 Fri 02/10 +0.54 season avg
Bohemian FC: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 08/02 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.73 0.31 +0.42 +0.42
Sat 14/02 Sligo Rovers 3.10 0.12 +2.98 +1.70
Fri 20/02 Derry City 1.23 1.05 +0.18 +1.19
Fri 27/02 Shamrock Rovers 1.81 0.57 +1.24 +1.21
Fri 06/03 Waterford FC 1.89 0.77 +1.12 +1.19
Fri 13/03 Galway United 0.56 1.83 -1.27 +0.78
Mon 16/03 Shelbourne 0.51 0.41 +0.10 +0.68
Fri 20/03 Dundalk FC 0.80 1.60 -0.80 +0.50
Fri 03/04 Drogheda United 1.57 1.83 -0.26 +0.41
Mon 06/04 Waterford FC 2.62 0.27 +2.35 +0.61
Fri 10/04 Sligo Rovers 1.81 1.55 +0.26 +0.57
Fri 17/04 Shamrock Rovers 2.50 1.44 +1.06 +0.62
Fri 24/04 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.91 1.38 -0.47 +0.53
Fri 01/05 Derry City 0.59 0.47 +0.12 +0.50
Mon 04/05 Shelbourne 0.92 1.20 -0.28 +0.45
Fri 15/05 Drogheda United 2.15 0.87 +1.28 +0.50
Fri 22/05 Galway United 2.22 1.68 +0.54 +0.50
Mon 25/05 Shamrock Rovers 2.36 1.34 +1.02 +0.53
Fri 29/05 Sligo Rovers 1.92 0.41 +1.51 +0.58
Fri 12/06 Derry City 0.81 3.23 -2.42 +0.43
Fri 19/06 Dundalk FC 1.00 0.78 +0.22 +0.42
Mon 22/06 Shelbourne 1.25 0.38 +0.87 +0.44
Fri 26/06 St. Patrick's Athletic 2.14 1.14 +1.00 +0.47
Fri 03/07 Drogheda United 1.78 2.28 -0.50 +0.43
Sun 02/08 Galway United 2.23 0.24 +1.99 +0.49
Sun 09/08 Waterford FC 1.04 1.66 -0.62 +0.45
Fri 21/08 Derry City 2.32 1.39 +0.93 +0.47
Fri 28/08 Sligo Rovers 1.48 0.15 +1.33 +0.50
Fri 11/09 Galway United 2.77 1.84 +0.93 +0.51
Fri 18/09 Drogheda United 2.01 0.86 +1.15 +0.53
Fri 02/10 Dundalk FC 1.93 1.20 +0.73 +0.54

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.64 npxG and 1.10 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 9 hardest of 10 in Premier Division (Ireland)
−0.08 xG vs league average
Over 32 league matches
Last 5
number 10 hardest of 10 in Premier Division (Ireland)
−0.27 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.08 xG vs league average · over 32 matches · tied number 9 hardest of 10

  1. Dundalk FC Away −0.04
  2. Drogheda United Home −0.36
  3. Galway United Away −0.33
  4. Sligo Rovers Home −0.76
  5. Derry City Home +0.14
  6. Waterford FC Away +0.09
  7. Galway United Home −0.33
  8. Drogheda United Away −0.36
  9. St. Patrick's Athletic Home +0.56
  10. Shelbourne Away +0.06
  11. Dundalk FC Home −0.04
  12. Derry City Away +0.14
  13. Sligo Rovers Away −0.76
  14. Shamrock Rovers Home +0.20
  15. Galway United Away −0.33
  16. Drogheda United Home −0.36
  17. Dundalk FC Away −0.04
  18. Shelbourne Home +0.06
  19. Derry City Home +0.14
  20. St. Patrick's Athletic Away +0.56
  21. Shamrock Rovers Away +0.20
  22. Sligo Rovers Home −0.76
  23. Waterford FC Home +0.09
  24. Drogheda United Away −0.36
  25. Dundalk FC Home −0.04
  26. Shelbourne Away +0.06
  27. Galway United Home −0.33
  28. Waterford FC Away +0.09
  29. Shamrock Rovers Home +0.20
  30. Derry City Away +0.14
  31. Sligo Rovers Away −0.76
  32. St. Patrick's Athletic Home +0.56

Last 5

−0.27 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 10 hardest of 10

  1. Dundalk FC Away −0.04
  2. Drogheda United Home −0.36
  3. Galway United Away −0.33
  4. Sligo Rovers Home −0.76
  5. Derry City Home +0.14

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Bohemian FC shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. Bohemian FC take 16.5 shots a match (league 13.8) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #2 in Premier Division (Ireland) for volume and #7 for quality. 66% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
16.5 shots per match
#2/10
Shot volume (shots per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 17.3
#2 Bohemian FC 16.5
#3 Dundalk FC 16.1
#4 Shelbourne 14.1
#5 Shamrock Rovers 13.8
#6 Derry City 13.7
#7 Waterford FC 13.4
#8 Galway United 12.2
#9 Drogheda United 10.9
#10 Sligo Rovers 9.7
League avg
13.8
Total
512 shots from 31 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#7/10
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Galway United 0.11
#2 Sligo Rovers 0.11
#3 Drogheda United 0.11
#4 Waterford FC 0.10
#5 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.10
#6 Shamrock Rovers 0.10
#7 Bohemian FC 0.10
#8 Shelbourne 0.10
#9 Dundalk FC 0.10
#10 Derry City 0.09
League avg
0.10
Total
50.96 npxG from 512 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
10.0 shots per match
#1/10
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bohemian FC 10.0
#2 St. Patrick's Athletic 10.3
#3 Shamrock Rovers 11.0
#4 Derry City 11.2
#5 Shelbourne 12.2
#6 Dundalk FC 13.9
#7 Drogheda United 15.4
#8 Galway United 16.4
#9 Waterford FC 17.6
#10 Sligo Rovers 19.3
League avg
13.8
Total
310 shots allowed from 31 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.11 npxGA per shot
#9/10
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.09
#2 Galway United 0.09
#3 Sligo Rovers 0.10
#4 Shelbourne 0.10
#5 Waterford FC 0.10
#6 Shamrock Rovers 0.10
#7 Drogheda United 0.10
#8 Derry City 0.11
#9 Bohemian FC 0.11
#10 Dundalk FC 0.11
League avg
0.10
Total
34.25 npxGA from 310 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

66% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 337 of 513 shots over 31 matches

Shots allowed, location

66% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 206 of 310 shots allowed over 31 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Bohemian FC home and away xG

Bohemian FC per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 16 16 15 with xG
xG / match 1.60 1.70
xGA / match 0.91 1.31
xGD / match +0.69 +0.38
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.85 1.64

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Bohemian FC match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 10 at home

Matches
10
xG / match
1.72
xGA / match
0.84
xGD / match
+0.88
Points
18 of 30
  1. Fri 18/09 Drogheda United H xG 2.01 xGA 0.86 xGD +1.15
  2. Fri 28/08 Sligo Rovers H xG 1.48 xGA 0.15 xGD +1.33
  3. Fri 21/08 Derry City H xG 2.32 xGA 1.39 xGD +0.93
  4. Sun 02/08 Galway United H Best underlying xG 2.23 xGA 0.24 xGD +1.99
  5. Fri 26/06 St. Patrick's Athletic H xG 2.14 xGA 1.14 xGD +1.00
  6. Fri 19/06 Dundalk FC H xG 1.00 xGA 0.78 xGD +0.22
  7. Mon 25/05 Shamrock Rovers H Against the chances xG 2.36 xGA 1.34 xGD +1.02
  8. Fri 15/05 Drogheda United H xG 2.15 xGA 0.87 xGD +1.28
  9. Mon 04/05 Shelbourne H Weakest underlying xG 0.92 xGA 1.20 xGD -0.28
  10. Fri 01/05 Derry City H xG 0.59 xGA 0.47 xGD +0.12

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Bohemian FC in Premier Division (Ireland)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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