xgEdge

Expected goals

Galway United expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Premier Division (Ireland) · after 32 matches · updated 4 Oct

Galway United's attacking and defensive expected goals in Premier Division (Ireland) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Galway United xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.35 xG per match
#7/10
Attack (xG per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.78
#2 Bohemian FC 1.64
#3 Dundalk FC 1.57
#4 Shamrock Rovers 1.41
#5 Shelbourne 1.40
#6 Waterford FC 1.40
#7 Galway United 1.35
#8 Derry City 1.18
#9 Drogheda United 1.16
#10 Sligo Rovers 1.03
League avg
1.39
Total
43.16 32 matches
Defence
1.51 xGA per match
#6/10
Defence (xGA per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.93
#2 Bohemian FC 1.10
#3 Shamrock Rovers 1.14
#4 Derry City 1.18
#5 Shelbourne 1.20
#6 Galway United 1.51
#7 Dundalk FC 1.58
#8 Drogheda United 1.60
#9 Waterford FC 1.77
#10 Sligo Rovers 1.88
League avg
1.39
Total
48.25 32 matches
xG difference
-0.16 xGD per match
#7/10
xG difference (xGD per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic +0.85
#2 Bohemian FC +0.54
#3 Shamrock Rovers +0.27
#4 Shelbourne +0.20
#5 Derry City +0.01
#6 Dundalk FC -0.01
#7 Galway United -0.16
#8 Waterford FC -0.38
#9 Drogheda United -0.44
#10 Sligo Rovers -0.85
League avg
0.00
Total
-5.09 32 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.28 xPts per match
#7/10
Expected points (xPts per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.87
#2 Bohemian FC 1.75
#3 Shamrock Rovers 1.58
#4 Shelbourne 1.48
#5 Derry City 1.37
#6 Dundalk FC 1.35
#7 Galway United 1.28
#8 Waterford FC 1.17
#9 Drogheda United 1.10
#10 Sligo Rovers 0.87
League avg
1.38
Total
40.99 vs 38 actual pts

What the xG says

Galway United's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Premier Division (Ireland). They rank #7 for xG difference at -0.16 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 42 goals are 1.16 below 43.16 xG, while 38 points are 2.99 below 40.99 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
42 43.16 -1.16 scored 1.16 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
48 48.25 -0.25 conceded 0.25 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
38 40.99 -2.99 2.99 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Galway United are 1.16 goals below their xG after 32 matches. The gap was widest at -4.82, against Bohemian FC on Fri 13/03.

Goals
42
xG
43.16
Gap
-1.16
Fri 06/02 Fri 20/02 Fri 27/02 Mon 02/03 Fri 06/03 Fri 13/03 Mon 16/03 Fri 20/03 Fri 03/04 Mon 06/04 Fri 17/04 Fri 24/04 Fri 01/05 Mon 04/05 Fri 08/05 Sat 16/05 Fri 22/05 Fri 29/05 Fri 12/06 Fri 19/06 Fri 26/06 Fri 03/07 Sat 11/07 Sat 25/07 Sun 02/08 Fri 07/08 Fri 21/08 Fri 28/08 Fri 11/09 Mon 14/09 Fri 18/09 Fri 25/09 -5 -3 -1 +1 +3 -2.90 -2.38 -3.40 -3.69 -2.99 -4.82 -3.01 -3.34 -2.93 -0.76 -0.58 -0.98 +0.39 +0.77 +0.34 +2.77 +3.09 +2.30 +1.20 +1.45 +0.05 -0.43 +0.29 -0.98 -0.22 -2.40 -1.19 -0.73 -0.57 +0.01 -0.60 -1.16 -2.90 +0.52 -1.02 -0.29 +0.70 -1.83 +1.81 -0.33 +0.41 +2.17 +0.18 -0.40 +1.37 +0.38 -0.43 +2.43 +0.32 -0.79 -1.10 +0.25 -1.40 -0.48 +0.72 -1.27 +0.76 -2.18 +1.21 +0.46 +0.16 +0.58 -0.61 -0.56 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Galway United: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 06/02 Drogheda United 0 2.90 -2.90 -2.90
Fri 20/02 Shelbourne 1 0.48 +0.52 -2.38
Fri 27/02 Sligo Rovers 1 2.02 -1.02 -3.40
Mon 02/03 St. Patrick's Athletic 0 0.29 -0.29 -3.69
Fri 06/03 Dundalk FC 2 1.30 +0.70 -2.99
Fri 13/03 Bohemian FC 0 1.83 -1.83 -4.82
Mon 16/03 Waterford FC 4 2.19 +1.81 -3.01
Fri 20/03 Shamrock Rovers 0 0.33 -0.33 -3.34
Fri 03/04 Derry City 2 1.59 +0.41 -2.93
Mon 06/04 Drogheda United 3 0.83 +2.17 -0.76
Fri 17/04 Dundalk FC 1 0.82 +0.18 -0.58
Fri 24/04 Waterford FC 1 1.40 -0.40 -0.98
Fri 01/05 St. Patrick's Athletic 2 0.63 +1.37 +0.39
Mon 04/05 Derry City 1 0.62 +0.38 +0.77
Fri 08/05 Shamrock Rovers 1 1.43 -0.43 +0.34
Sat 16/05 Sligo Rovers 4 1.57 +2.43 +2.77
Fri 22/05 Bohemian FC 2 1.68 +0.32 +3.09
Fri 29/05 Shelbourne 1 1.79 -0.79 +2.30
Fri 12/06 Dundalk FC 0 1.10 -1.10 +1.20
Fri 19/06 Derry City 2 1.75 +0.25 +1.45
Fri 26/06 Shamrock Rovers 1 2.40 -1.40 +0.05
Fri 03/07 St. Patrick's Athletic 0 0.48 -0.48 -0.43
Sat 11/07 Sligo Rovers 3 2.28 +0.72 +0.29
Sat 25/07 Waterford FC 0 1.27 -1.27 -0.98
Sun 02/08 Bohemian FC 1 0.24 +0.76 -0.22
Fri 07/08 Drogheda United 0 2.18 -2.18 -2.40
Fri 21/08 Dundalk FC 2 0.79 +1.21 -1.19
Fri 28/08 Shelbourne 1 0.54 +0.46 -0.73
Fri 11/09 Bohemian FC 2 1.84 +0.16 -0.57
Mon 14/09 Sligo Rovers 3 2.42 +0.58 +0.01
Fri 18/09 Derry City 0 0.61 -0.61 -0.60
Fri 25/09 Shelbourne 1 1.56 -0.56 -1.16

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Galway United xG trend

Current form -0.30 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 14 of 32 matches. The worst was against Dundalk FC on Fri 17/04 (-2.67).

npxG · last 6
1.29
npxGA · last 6
1.59
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +2.22 Fri 06/02 -1.79 Fri 20/02 +1.61 Fri 27/02 -0.82 Mon 02/03 +0.39 Fri 06/03 +1.27 Fri 13/03 +0.23 Mon 16/03 -0.39 Fri 20/03 +0.49 Fri 03/04 -0.81 Mon 06/04 -2.67 Fri 17/04 +0.67 Fri 24/04 -0.59 Fri 01/05 -0.47 Mon 04/05 +0.28 Fri 08/05 -0.50 Sat 16/05 -0.54 Fri 22/05 -1.04 Fri 29/05 -0.30 Fri 12/06 +0.28 Fri 19/06 -0.09 Fri 26/06 -1.58 Fri 03/07 +0.61 Sat 11/07 +0.65 Sat 25/07 -1.99 Sun 02/08 +1.58 Fri 07/08 -1.42 Fri 21/08 -1.72 Fri 28/08 -0.93 Fri 11/09 +1.45 Mon 14/09 -0.13 Fri 18/09 +0.96 Fri 25/09 -0.16 season avg
Galway United: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 06/02 Drogheda United 2.90 0.68 +2.22 +2.22
Fri 20/02 Shelbourne 0.48 2.27 -1.79 +0.21
Fri 27/02 Sligo Rovers 2.02 0.41 +1.61 +0.68
Mon 02/03 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.29 1.11 -0.82 +0.30
Fri 06/03 Dundalk FC 1.30 0.91 +0.39 +0.32
Fri 13/03 Bohemian FC 1.83 0.56 +1.27 +0.48
Mon 16/03 Waterford FC 2.19 1.96 +0.23 +0.44
Fri 20/03 Shamrock Rovers 0.33 0.72 -0.39 +0.34
Fri 03/04 Derry City 1.59 1.10 +0.49 +0.36
Mon 06/04 Drogheda United 0.83 1.64 -0.81 +0.24
Fri 17/04 Dundalk FC 0.82 3.49 -2.67 -0.02
Fri 24/04 Waterford FC 1.40 0.73 +0.67 +0.03
Fri 01/05 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.63 1.22 -0.59 -0.01
Mon 04/05 Derry City 0.62 1.09 -0.47 -0.05
Fri 08/05 Shamrock Rovers 1.43 1.15 +0.28 -0.03
Sat 16/05 Sligo Rovers 1.57 2.07 -0.50 -0.05
Fri 22/05 Bohemian FC 1.68 2.22 -0.54 -0.08
Fri 29/05 Shelbourne 1.79 2.83 -1.04 -0.14
Fri 12/06 Dundalk FC 1.10 1.40 -0.30 -0.15
Fri 19/06 Derry City 1.75 1.47 +0.28 -0.12
Fri 26/06 Shamrock Rovers 2.40 2.49 -0.09 -0.12
Fri 03/07 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.48 2.06 -1.58 -0.19
Sat 11/07 Sligo Rovers 2.28 1.67 +0.61 -0.15
Sat 25/07 Waterford FC 1.27 0.62 +0.65 -0.12
Sun 02/08 Bohemian FC 0.24 2.23 -1.99 -0.20
Fri 07/08 Drogheda United 2.18 0.60 +1.58 -0.13
Fri 21/08 Dundalk FC 0.79 2.21 -1.42 -0.17
Fri 28/08 Shelbourne 0.54 2.26 -1.72 -0.23
Fri 11/09 Bohemian FC 1.84 2.77 -0.93 -0.25
Mon 14/09 Sligo Rovers 2.42 0.97 +1.45 -0.20
Fri 18/09 Derry City 0.61 0.74 -0.13 -0.20
Fri 25/09 Shelbourne 1.56 0.60 +0.96 -0.16

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.35 npxG and 1.51 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 3 hardest of 10 in Premier Division (Ireland)
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 32 league matches
Last 5
number 7 hardest of 10 in Premier Division (Ireland)
−0.01 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.03 xG vs league average · over 32 matches · number 3 hardest of 10

  1. Shelbourne Home +0.06
  2. Derry City Away +0.14
  3. Sligo Rovers Away −0.76
  4. Bohemian FC Home +0.45
  5. Shelbourne Home +0.06
  6. Dundalk FC Away −0.04
  7. Drogheda United Home −0.36
  8. Bohemian FC Away +0.45
  9. Waterford FC Home +0.09
  10. Sligo Rovers Home −0.76
  11. St. Patrick's Athletic Away +0.56
  12. Shamrock Rovers Away +0.20
  13. Derry City Home +0.14
  14. Dundalk FC Home −0.04
  15. Shelbourne Away +0.06
  16. Bohemian FC Home +0.45
  17. Sligo Rovers Away −0.76
  18. Shamrock Rovers Home +0.20
  19. Derry City Away +0.14
  20. St. Patrick's Athletic Home +0.56
  21. Waterford FC Away +0.09
  22. Dundalk FC Away −0.04
  23. Drogheda United Away −0.36
  24. Derry City Home +0.14
  25. Shamrock Rovers Away +0.20
  26. Waterford FC Home +0.09
  27. Bohemian FC Away +0.45
  28. Dundalk FC Home −0.04
  29. St. Patrick's Athletic Away +0.56
  30. Sligo Rovers Home −0.76
  31. Shelbourne Away +0.06
  32. Drogheda United Home −0.36

Last 5

−0.01 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 7 hardest of 10

  1. Shelbourne Home +0.06
  2. Derry City Away +0.14
  3. Sligo Rovers Away −0.76
  4. Bohemian FC Home +0.45
  5. Shelbourne Home +0.06

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Galway United shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Galway United take 12.2 shots a match (league 13.8) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #8 in Premier Division (Ireland) for volume and #1 for quality. 69% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
12.2 shots per match
#8/10
Shot volume (shots per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 17.3
#2 Bohemian FC 16.5
#3 Dundalk FC 16.1
#4 Shelbourne 14.1
#5 Shamrock Rovers 13.8
#6 Derry City 13.7
#7 Waterford FC 13.4
#8 Galway United 12.2
#9 Drogheda United 10.9
#10 Sligo Rovers 9.7
League avg
13.8
Total
389 shots from 32 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#1/10
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Galway United 0.11
#2 Sligo Rovers 0.11
#3 Drogheda United 0.11
#4 Waterford FC 0.10
#5 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.10
#6 Shamrock Rovers 0.10
#7 Bohemian FC 0.10
#8 Shelbourne 0.10
#9 Dundalk FC 0.10
#10 Derry City 0.09
League avg
0.10
Total
43.16 npxG from 389 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
16.4 shots per match
#8/10
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bohemian FC 10.0
#2 St. Patrick's Athletic 10.3
#3 Shamrock Rovers 11.0
#4 Derry City 11.2
#5 Shelbourne 12.2
#6 Dundalk FC 13.9
#7 Drogheda United 15.4
#8 Galway United 16.4
#9 Waterford FC 17.6
#10 Sligo Rovers 19.3
League avg
13.8
Total
526 shots allowed from 32 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#2/10
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.09
#2 Galway United 0.09
#3 Sligo Rovers 0.10
#4 Shelbourne 0.10
#5 Waterford FC 0.10
#6 Shamrock Rovers 0.10
#7 Drogheda United 0.10
#8 Derry City 0.11
#9 Bohemian FC 0.11
#10 Dundalk FC 0.11
League avg
0.10
Total
48.25 npxGA from 526 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

69% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 267 of 389 shots over 32 matches

Shots allowed, location

61% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 321 of 526 shots allowed over 32 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Galway United home and away xG

Galway United per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 16 16
xG / match 1.64 1.06
xGA / match 1.32 1.70
xGD / match +0.33 -0.64
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.62 0.95

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Galway United match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 10

Matches
10
xG / match
1.37
xGA / match
1.47
xGD / match
-0.09
Points
14 of 30
  1. Fri 25/09 Shelbourne H xG 1.56 xGA 0.60 xGD +0.96
  2. Fri 18/09 Derry City A xG 0.61 xGA 0.74 xGD -0.13
  3. Mon 14/09 Sligo Rovers A xG 2.42 xGA 0.97 xGD +1.45
  4. Fri 11/09 Bohemian FC H xG 1.84 xGA 2.77 xGD -0.93
  5. Fri 28/08 Shelbourne H xG 0.54 xGA 2.26 xGD -1.72
  6. Fri 21/08 Dundalk FC A Against the chances xG 0.79 xGA 2.21 xGD -1.42
  7. Fri 07/08 Drogheda United H Best underlying xG 2.18 xGA 0.60 xGD +1.58
  8. Sun 02/08 Bohemian FC A Weakest underlying xG 0.24 xGA 2.23 xGD -1.99
  9. Sat 25/07 Waterford FC H xG 1.27 xGA 0.62 xGD +0.65
  10. Sat 11/07 Sligo Rovers H xG 2.28 xGA 1.67 xGD +0.61

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Galway United in Premier Division (Ireland)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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