xgEdge

Monday, 18/05/2026 at 21:00

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Match report · Premier League

Arsenal 1:0 Burnley

Arsenal Home 1.29 xG · 13 shots
Burnley Away 0.19 xG · 5 shots
10 The scoreline reflected the chances

Goals

  1. 37' Kai Havertz Arsenal · 0.21 xG chance 1–0

The shots behind it

Arsenal Burnley
Shots
13
5
On target
3
0
Inside the box
9
2
xG per shot
0.08
0.04
Open play xG
0.68
0.19
Set-piece xG
0.35
0.02
Penalties
—
—
Shot-level xG may differ from the published match total

The provider publishes the match total separately from its shot-by-shot values. Those values are rounded to two decimals and, leaving out penalties and own goals, add up to its non-penalty xG: 1.03 for Arsenal and 0.21 for Burnley.

Shot map

Both teams shown attacking the same goal for comparison.

Arsenal · Kai Havertz · 37' · Goal · 4 m · 0.21 xG Arsenal · Eberechi Eze · 54' · No goal · 10 m · 0.17 xG Arsenal · Martin Ødegaard · 37' · No goal · 14 m · 0.16 xG Arsenal · Eberechi Eze · 55' · No goal · 8 m · 0.15 xG Arsenal · Kai Havertz · 14' · No goal · 10 m · 0.10 xG Burnley · Hannibal Mejbri · 27' · No goal · 9 m · 0.09 xG Arsenal · Leandro Trossard · 15' · No goal · 21 m · 0.05 xG Burnley · Loum Tchaouna · 11' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Arsenal · Bukayo Saka · 13' · No goal · 13 m · 0.04 xG Arsenal · Bukayo Saka · 44' · No goal · 19 m · 0.04 xG Burnley · Hannibal Mejbri · 57' · No goal · 25 m · 0.04 xG Arsenal · Leandro Trossard · 88' · No goal · 15 m · 0.04 xG Arsenal · Eberechi Eze · 29' · No goal · 19 m · 0.03 xG Arsenal · Kai Havertz · 31' · No goal · 7 m · 0.03 xG Burnley · Florentino Luís · 3' · No goal · 19 m · 0.02 xG Burnley · Jaidon Anthony · 51' · No goal · 25 m · 0.02 xG Arsenal · Bukayo Saka · 60' · No goal · 3 m · 0.01 xG Arsenal · Gabriel Magalhães · 11' · No goal · 22 m · 0.00 xG

All shots

18 shots · 1.24 xG

Hover, focus or tap a shot to read it.

  • Arsenal
  • Burnley
  • Filled = goal
  • Dot area = xG (the smallest chances drawn at a minimum size)

Recent form

Last 6 · xG per match
Arsenal

1.91 xG created 1.02 xGA

  • W 2.59 created, 1.05 conceded against Everton
  • L 2.32 created, 1.19 conceded against Bournemouth
  • L 1.62 created, 1.36 conceded against Manchester City
  • W 0.49 created, 1.00 conceded against Newcastle United
  • W 3.23 created, 0.37 conceded against Fulham
  • W 1.18 created, 1.15 conceded against West Ham United
Burnley

0.91 xG created 2.13 xGA

  • L 1.24 created, 3.23 conceded against Fulham
  • L 0.88 created, 1.93 conceded against Brighton & Hove Albion
  • L 0.36 created, 1.19 conceded against Nottingham Forest
  • L 0.63 created, 3.36 conceded against Manchester City
  • L 0.57 created, 1.64 conceded against Leeds United
  • D 1.79 created, 1.44 conceded against Aston Villa

xG created xG conceded (xGA) W / D / L: the match result

Head to head

Arsenal: 1 won · 0 drawn · 0 lost

Model details

Show

The model never priced this match before kick-off, so there is no projection to read the result against.

Limitations

The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.