xgEdge

Expected goals

Panetolikos expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Super League Greece · after 5 matches · updated 1 Oct

Panetolikos's attacking and defensive expected goals in Super League Greece 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Panetolikos xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
0.89 xG per match
#12/14
Attack (xG per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Panathinaikos 2.13
#2 AEK Athens 2.02
#3 PAOK 1.85
#4 Olympiacos FC 1.81
#5 Aris Thessaloniki 1.52
#6 AE Kifisia 1.33
#7 PS Kalamata 1.26
#8 Asteras Aktor 1.04
#9 OFI Crete 1.04
#10 NPS Volos 0.93
#11 Atromitos Athens 0.91
#12 Panetolikos 0.89
#13 APO Levadiakos 0.62
#14 Iraklis 1908 0.57
League avg
1.27
Total
4.46 5 matches
Defence
1.59 xGA per match
#13/14
Defence (xGA per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Olympiacos FC 0.56
#2 AE Kifisia 0.70
#3 Panathinaikos 0.81
#4 AEK Athens 0.95
#5 OFI Crete 1.18
#6 PAOK 1.20
#7 Asteras Aktor 1.24
#8 APO Levadiakos 1.41
#9 Iraklis 1908 1.45
#10 Atromitos Athens 1.53
#11 NPS Volos 1.53
#12 PS Kalamata 1.57
#13 Panetolikos 1.59
#14 Aris Thessaloniki 1.81
League avg
1.27
Total
7.95 5 matches
xG difference
-0.70 xGD per match
#12/14
xG difference (xGD per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Panathinaikos +1.31
#2 Olympiacos FC +1.25
#3 AEK Athens +1.07
#4 PAOK +0.65
#5 AE Kifisia +0.63
#6 OFI Crete -0.14
#7 Asteras Aktor -0.20
#8 Aris Thessaloniki -0.28
#9 PS Kalamata -0.31
#10 NPS Volos -0.60
#11 Atromitos Athens -0.62
#12 Panetolikos -0.70
#13 APO Levadiakos -0.79
#14 Iraklis 1908 -0.88
League avg
0.00
Total
-3.49 5 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.02 xPts per match
#11/14
Expected points (xPts per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Olympiacos FC 2.25
#2 Panathinaikos 2.17
#3 AEK Athens 1.96
#4 AE Kifisia 1.92
#5 PAOK 1.88
#6 Aris Thessaloniki 1.39
#7 Asteras Aktor 1.22
#8 OFI Crete 1.22
#9 PS Kalamata 1.20
#10 Atromitos Athens 1.02
#11 Panetolikos 1.02
#12 NPS Volos 0.94
#13 APO Levadiakos 0.71
#14 Iraklis 1908 0.65
League avg
1.38
Total
5.09 vs 9 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 5 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Panetolikos's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Super League Greece. They rank #12 for xG difference at -0.70 per match, built on the league's best chance quality rather than low shot volume. Their 8 goals are 3.54 above 4.46 xG, while 9 points are 3.91 above 5.09 xPts. After only 5 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
8 4.46 +3.54 scored 3.54 more than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
7 7.95 -0.95 conceded 0.95 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
9 5.09 +3.91 3.91 points above xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Panetolikos are 3.54 goals above their xG after 5 matches.

Goals
8
xG
4.46
Gap
+3.54
Sun 23/08 Sat 29/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Sun 20/09 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +2.50 +2.04 +2.77 +2.66 +3.54 +2.50 -0.46 +0.73 -0.11 +0.88 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Panetolikos: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sun 23/08 Asteras Aktor 3 0.50 +2.50 +2.50
Sat 29/08 PS Kalamata 2 2.46 -0.46 +2.04
Sun 06/09 APO Levadiakos 2 1.27 +0.73 +2.77
Sun 13/09 Panathinaikos 0 0.11 -0.11 +2.66
Sun 20/09 PAOK 1 0.12 +0.88 +3.54

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Panetolikos xG trend

Current form -0.53 npxGD per match

All 5 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 2 of 5 matches. The worst was against Panathinaikos on Sun 13/09 (-2.07).

npxG · last 5
0.90
npxGA · last 5
1.43
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.69 Sun 23/08 +1.47 Sat 29/08 +0.59 Sun 06/09 -2.07 Sun 13/09 -1.96 Sun 20/09 -0.53 season avg
Panetolikos: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sun 23/08 Asteras Aktor 0.50 1.19 -0.69 -0.69
Sat 29/08 PS Kalamata 2.49 1.02 +1.47 +0.39
Sun 06/09 APO Levadiakos 1.28 0.69 +0.59 +0.46
Sun 13/09 Panathinaikos 0.11 2.18 -2.07 -0.17
Sun 20/09 PAOK 0.12 2.08 -1.96 -0.53

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 0.90 npxG and 1.43 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 9 hardest of 14 in Super League Greece
0.00 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

0.00 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 9 hardest of 14

  1. PAOK Home +0.22
  2. Panathinaikos Away +0.39
  3. APO Levadiakos Away −0.21
  4. PS Kalamata Home −0.21
  5. Asteras Aktor Home −0.20

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Panetolikos shots and chance quality

Low volume, high quality. Panetolikos take 8.8 shots a match (league 12.5) at 0.13 npxG a shot (league 0.09), #13 in Super League Greece for volume and #1 for quality. 78% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 28% of their npxG (league 23%).

Attack

Shot volume
8.8 shots per match
#13/14
Shot volume (shots per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Olympiacos FC 19.2
#2 Panathinaikos 18.0
#3 AEK Athens 17.2
#4 Aris Thessaloniki 16.2
#5 PAOK 12.2
=6 Asteras Aktor 11.6
=6 Atromitos Athens 11.6
=6 PS Kalamata 11.6
#9 AE Kifisia 11.5
#10 NPS Volos 11.2
#11 OFI Crete 10.8
#12 APO Levadiakos 9.2
#13 Panetolikos 8.8
#14 Iraklis 1908 7.8
League avg
12.5
Total
35 shots from 4 matches
Chance quality
0.13 npxG per shot
#1/14
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Panetolikos 0.13
#2 PAOK 0.13
#3 PS Kalamata 0.11
#4 AEK Athens 0.11
#5 AE Kifisia 0.10
#6 Panathinaikos 0.09
#7 OFI Crete 0.08
#8 NPS Volos 0.08
#9 Olympiacos FC 0.08
#10 Asteras Aktor 0.08
#11 Aris Thessaloniki 0.08
#12 Atromitos Athens 0.07
#13 Iraklis 1908 0.07
#14 APO Levadiakos 0.07
League avg
0.09
Total
4.39 npxG from 35 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
14.5 shots per match
#12/14
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 AE Kifisia 8.3
#2 Panathinaikos 8.7
#3 Olympiacos FC 9.0
#4 AEK Athens 10.6
#5 Aris Thessaloniki 11.4
#6 NPS Volos 12.4
#7 Asteras Aktor 12.6
#8 APO Levadiakos 13.0
#9 PAOK 13.2
#10 Atromitos Athens 13.6
#11 OFI Crete 14.0
#12 Panetolikos 14.5
#13 PS Kalamata 14.8
#14 Iraklis 1908 17.6
League avg
12.5
Total
58 shots allowed from 4 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.09 npxGA per shot
#6/14
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Super League Greece, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Olympiacos FC 0.06
#2 OFI Crete 0.07
#3 Iraklis 1908 0.07
#4 PAOK 0.07
#5 AE Kifisia 0.09
#6 Panetolikos 0.09
#7 NPS Volos 0.09
#8 Atromitos Athens 0.09
#9 AEK Athens 0.09
#10 PS Kalamata 0.10
#11 Asteras Aktor 0.10
#12 APO Levadiakos 0.10
#13 Panathinaikos 0.13
#14 Aris Thessaloniki 0.15
League avg
0.09
Total
4.98 npxGA from 58 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

78% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 28 of 36 shots over 4 matches

Early-season figure: after 4 matches, the share can move quickly.

Covers 4 of 5 matches with xG.

Shots allowed, location

55% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 32 of 58 shots allowed over 4 matches

Early-season figure: after 4 matches, the share can move quickly.

Covers 4 of 5 matches with xG.

Where the npxG comes from

72% open play · 28% set pieces

League avg 23% set pieces

From 1.3 of 4.5 npxG over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

72% open play · 28% set pieces

League avg 23% set pieces

From 2.0 of 7.2 npxG allowed over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shot counts cover 4 of 5 matches.

How the shot figures are made →

Panetolikos home and away xG

Panetolikos per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away only 2 matches with xG
Matches 3 2
xG / match 1.03 0.69
xGA / match 1.43 1.83
xGD / match -0.40 -1.14
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.06 0.96

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Panetolikos match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
5
xG / match
0.89
xGA / match
1.59
xGD / match
-0.70
Points
9 of 15
  1. Sun 20/09 PAOK H xG 0.12 xGA 2.08 xGD -1.96
  2. Sun 13/09 Panathinaikos A Weakest underlying xG 0.11 xGA 2.97 P xGD -2.86
  3. Sun 06/09 APO Levadiakos A xG 1.27 xGA 0.69 xGD +0.58
  4. Sat 29/08 PS Kalamata H Best underlying xG 2.46 xGA 1.02 xGD +1.44
  5. Sun 23/08 Asteras Aktor H xG 0.50 xGA 1.19 xGD -0.69

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Panetolikos in Super League Greece

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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