xgEdge

Expected goals

Universitatea Craiova expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

SuperLiga (Romania) · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

Universitatea Craiova's attacking and defensive expected goals in SuperLiga (Romania) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Universitatea Craiova xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
2.45 xG per match
#1/16
Attack (xG per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 2.45
#2 FCSB 2.18
#3 FC Dinamo București 2.17
#4 CFR 1907 Cluj 1.99
#5 FC Botoșani 1.99
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.98
#7 UTA Arad 1.87
#8 FC Rapid București 1.79
#9 FC Farul Constanța 1.63
#10 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.61
#11 FC Voluntari 1.53
#12 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1.34
#13 SC Oțelul Galați 1.33
#14 Sepsi OSK 1.19
#15 FC Argeș Pitești 1.18
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.74
League avg
1.69
Total
22.03 9 matches
Defence
1.11 xGA per match
#1/16
Defence (xGA per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 1.11
#2 FC Rapid București 1.12
#3 FC Dinamo București 1.15
#4 FC Argeș Pitești 1.21
#5 UTA Arad 1.24
#6 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.49
#7 FC Farul Constanța 1.68
#8 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.70
#9 FCSB 1.70
#10 Sepsi OSK 1.73
#11 SC Oțelul Galați 1.78
#12 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 1.95
#13 CFR 1907 Cluj 2.04
#14 FC Botoșani 2.10
#15 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 2.38
#16 FC Voluntari 2.61
League avg
1.69
Total
9.97 9 matches
xG difference
+1.34 xGD per match
#1/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova +1.34
#2 FC Dinamo București +1.02
#3 FC Rapid București +0.67
#4 UTA Arad +0.63
#5 FCSB +0.48
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj +0.28
#7 FC Corvinul Hunedoara +0.11
#8 FC Argeș Pitești -0.03
#9 CFR 1907 Cluj -0.05
#10 FC Farul Constanța -0.05
#11 FC Botoșani -0.11
#12 SC Oțelul Galați -0.45
#13 Sepsi OSK -0.54
#14 FC Petrolul Ploieşti -1.04
#15 FC Voluntari -1.08
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc -1.22
League avg
0.00
Total
+12.06 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
2.03 xPts per match
#2/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 FC Dinamo București 2.04
#2 Universitatea Craiova 2.03
#3 FC Rapid București 1.78
#4 UTA Arad 1.78
#5 FCSB 1.59
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj 1.55
#7 FC Farul Constanța 1.45
#8 CFR 1907 Cluj 1.43
#9 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.39
#10 FC Argeș Pitești 1.37
#11 FC Botoșani 1.34
#12 Sepsi OSK 1.10
#13 SC Oțelul Galați 1.09
#14 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 1.06
#15 FC Voluntari 0.81
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.55
League avg
1.40
Total
18.27 vs 20 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 9 of 10 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Universitatea Craiova's underlying numbers are league-leading. They rank #1 for xG difference at +1.34 per match, driven by the league's highest shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 20 goals are 2.03 below 22.03 xG, while 17 points are 1.27 below 18.27 xPts — both over the 9 matches with xG. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
20 22.03 -2.03 scored 2.03 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
9 9.97 -0.97 conceded 0.97 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
17 18.27 -1.27 1.27 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Universitatea Craiova are 2.03 goals below their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at -5.77, against FC Rapid București on Mon 31/08.

Goals
20
xG
22.03
Gap
-2.03
Sat 25/07 Sat 01/08 Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 23/08 Mon 31/08 Mon 07/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 -0.08 -0.22 -3.59 -3.24 -4.82 -5.77 -3.82 -3.89 -2.03 -0.08 -0.14 -3.37 +0.35 -1.58 -0.95 +1.95 -0.07 +1.86 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Universitatea Craiova: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 25/07 FC Dinamo București 1 1.08 -0.08 -0.08
Sat 01/08 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 4 4.14 -0.14 -0.22
Sun 09/08 FC Argeș Pitești 0 3.37 -3.37 -3.59
Sun 16/08 SC Oțelul Galați 1 0.65 +0.35 -3.24
Sun 23/08 FC Voluntari 3 4.58 -1.58 -4.82
Mon 31/08 FC Rapid București 1 1.95 -0.95 -5.77
Mon 07/09 FC Universitatea Cluj 4 2.05 +1.95 -3.82
Sun 13/09 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1 1.07 -0.07 -3.89
Sat 19/09 FCSB 5 3.14 +1.86 -2.03

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Universitatea Craiova xG trend

Current form +1.29 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 7 of 9 matches. The worst was against FC Dinamo București on Sat 25/07 (-1.99).

npxG · last 6
2.24
npxGA · last 6
0.96
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 -1.99 Sat 25/07 +3.89 Sat 01/08 +2.45 Sun 09/08 -0.95 Sun 16/08 +3.71 Sun 23/08 +0.56 Mon 31/08 +1.39 Mon 07/09 +0.47 Sun 13/09 +2.53 Sat 19/09 +1.34 season avg
Universitatea Craiova: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 25/07 FC Dinamo București 1.08 3.07 -1.99 -1.99
Sat 01/08 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 4.14 0.25 +3.89 +0.95
Sun 09/08 FC Argeș Pitești 3.37 0.92 +2.45 +1.45
Sun 16/08 SC Oțelul Galați 0.65 1.60 -0.95 +0.85
Sun 23/08 FC Voluntari 4.58 0.87 +3.71 +1.42
Mon 31/08 FC Rapid București 1.95 1.39 +0.56 +1.28
Mon 07/09 FC Universitatea Cluj 2.05 0.66 +1.39 +1.29
Sun 13/09 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 1.07 0.60 +0.47 +1.19
Sat 19/09 FCSB 3.14 0.61 +2.53 +1.34

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 2.45 npxG and 1.11 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 4 hardest of 16 in SuperLiga (Romania)
+0.04 xG vs league average
Over 10 league matches
Last 5
tied number 4 hardest of 16 in SuperLiga (Romania)
+0.08 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.04 xG vs league average · over 10 matches · number 4 hardest of 16

  1. FCSB Home +0.29
  2. FC Corvinul Hunedoara Away +0.06
  3. FC Universitatea Cluj Home +0.20
  4. FC Rapid București Away +0.35
  5. FC Voluntari Home −0.52
  6. SC Oțelul Galați Away −0.20
  7. FC Argeș Pitești Home −0.15
  8. FC Petrolul Ploieşti Home −0.46
  9. FC Dinamo București Away +0.64
  10. UTA Arad Home +0.18

Last 5

+0.08 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · tied number 4 hardest of 16

  1. FCSB Home +0.29
  2. FC Corvinul Hunedoara Away +0.06
  3. FC Universitatea Cluj Home +0.20
  4. FC Rapid București Away +0.35
  5. FC Voluntari Home −0.52

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Universitatea Craiova shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. Universitatea Craiova take 19.2 shots a match (league 14.5) at 0.13 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #1 in SuperLiga (Romania) for volume and #4 for quality. 66% of their shots come from inside the box (league 60%).

Attack

Shot volume
19.2 shots per match
#1/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Universitatea Craiova 19.2
#2 FC Dinamo București 17.7
#3 UTA Arad 17.4
#4 FCSB 17.2
#5 FC Rapid București 17.1
#6 FC Universitatea Cluj 15.2
#7 CFR 1907 Cluj 15.0
#8 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 14.8
#9 FC Farul Constanța 14.6
#10 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 13.2
#11 FC Argeș Pitești 13.1
#12 FC Botoșani 13.1
#13 FC Voluntari 12.9
#14 SC Oțelul Galați 12.7
#15 Sepsi OSK 11.3
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 8.3
League avg
14.5
Total
173 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.13 npxG per shot
#4/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC Botoșani 0.15
#2 CFR 1907 Cluj 0.13
#3 FC Universitatea Cluj 0.13
#4 Universitatea Craiova 0.13
#5 FCSB 0.13
#6 FC Dinamo București 0.12
#7 FC Voluntari 0.12
#8 FC Farul Constanța 0.11
#9 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 0.11
#10 UTA Arad 0.11
#11 Sepsi OSK 0.11
#12 SC Oțelul Galați 0.11
#13 FC Rapid București 0.10
#14 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 0.10
#15 FC Argeș Pitești 0.09
#16 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
22.03 npxG from 173 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
10.7 shots per match
#2/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC Dinamo București 10.4
#2 Universitatea Craiova 10.7
#3 UTA Arad 11.0
#4 FC Argeș Pitești 11.5
#5 FC Rapid București 12.8
#6 FC Farul Constanța 13.6
#7 CFR 1907 Cluj 14.3
#8 FC Universitatea Cluj 14.6
#9 FCSB 14.6
#10 SC Oțelul Galați 15.8
#11 FC Botoșani 15.9
#12 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 16.3
#13 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 16.6
#14 Sepsi OSK 16.9
#15 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 18.4
#16 FC Voluntari 18.8
League avg
14.5
Total
96 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#4/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across SuperLiga (Romania), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 FC Rapid București 0.09
#2 FC Corvinul Hunedoara 0.09
#3 Sepsi OSK 0.10
#4 Universitatea Craiova 0.10
#5 FC Argeș Pitești 0.11
#6 FC Dinamo București 0.11
#7 SC Oțelul Galați 0.11
#8 UTA Arad 0.11
#9 FCSB 0.12
#10 FC Universitatea Cluj 0.12
#11 FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc 0.12
#12 FC Farul Constanța 0.12
#13 FC Petrolul Ploieşti 0.13
#14 FC Botoșani 0.13
#15 FC Voluntari 0.14
#16 CFR 1907 Cluj 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
9.97 npxGA from 96 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

66% inside the box

League avg 60%

From 115 of 173 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

56% allowed inside the box

League avg 60%

From 54 of 96 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Universitatea Craiova home and away xG

Universitatea Craiova per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 6 5 with xG 4
xG / match 3.46 1.19
xGA / match 0.66 1.67
xGD / match +2.79 -0.48
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 2.76 1.12

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Universitatea Craiova match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
10 9 with xG
xG / match
2.45
xGA / match
1.11
xGD / match
+1.34
Points
20 of 30
  1. Sat 19/09 FCSB H xG 3.14 xGA 0.61 xGD +2.53
  2. Sun 13/09 FC Corvinul Hunedoara A xG 1.07 xGA 0.60 xGD +0.47
  3. Mon 07/09 FC Universitatea Cluj H xG 2.05 xGA 0.66 xGD +1.39
  4. Mon 31/08 FC Rapid București A xG 1.95 xGA 1.39 xGD +0.56
  5. Sun 23/08 FC Voluntari H xG 4.58 xGA 0.87 xGD +3.71
  6. Sun 16/08 SC Oțelul Galați A xG 0.65 xGA 1.60 xGD -0.95
  7. Sun 09/08 FC Argeș Pitești H Against the chances xG 3.37 xGA 0.92 xGD +2.45
  8. Sat 01/08 FC Petrolul Ploieşti H Best underlying xG 4.14 xGA 0.25 xGD +3.89
  9. Sat 25/07 FC Dinamo București A Weakest underlying xG 1.08 xGA 3.07 xGD -1.99
  10. Sat 18/07 UTA Arad H

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.58. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Universitatea Craiova in SuperLiga (Romania)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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