Ukrainian Premier League

Ukrainian Premier League results 2026/2027

Every Ukrainian Premier League match played this season, newest first, with the xG each side created and the home, draw and away probabilities the model held before kickoff.

xG reading

All Went with the xG Went against the xG

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Model record

Most likely outcome landed in 13 of 20 matches (65%). The probabilities implied about 10 (48%). Brier score 0.54 (reference 0.68; lower is better). How the model works →

Home
Draw
Away

What happened Most likely outcome Upset

Sunday, 20/09/2026

1 match

14:30

Karpaty Lviv 1

Veres Rivne 1

xG 0.62 – 1.31 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

→

Sunday, 13/09/2026

1 match

17:00

Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1

Zoria Luhansk 1

xG 2.31 – 0.70 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→

Sunday, 06/09/2026

1 match

12:00

Dynamo Kyiv 0

LNZ Cherkasy 0

xG 1.76 – 0.49 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Saturday, 05/09/2026

1 match

12:00

FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 2

Kolos Kovalivka 2

xG 0.83 – 2.47 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→

Monday, 31/08/2026

1 match

17:00

Bukovyna Chernivtsi 3

Dynamo Kyiv 0

xG 1.42 – 2.62 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
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Sunday, 30/08/2026

1 match

12:15

Chornomorets Odesa 1

FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0

xG 1.01 – 1.84 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
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Saturday, 29/08/2026

1 match

14:30

FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 1

Karpaty Lviv 1

xG 0.37 – 1.42 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
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Monday, 17/08/2026

1 match

17:00

Polissya Zhytomyr 1

Zoria Luhansk 2

xG 1.87 – 0.83 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
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Sunday, 16/08/2026

1 match

14:30

Metalist 1925 0

Shakhtar Donetsk 1

xG 1.51 – 0.88 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
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Saturday, 15/08/2026

1 match

17:00

Karpaty Lviv 3

Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0

xG 1.96 – 2.83 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
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Friday, 14/08/2026

1 match

17:00

FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0

Veres Rivne 0

xG 2.05 – 0.68 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
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Saturday, 08/08/2026

1 match

17:00

Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0

Obolon Kyiv 0

xG 3.27 – 0.04 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
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Monday, 03/08/2026

1 match

14:30

Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0

LNZ Cherkasy 0

xG 0.22 – 3.49 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→

xG is a model estimate of the chances each side created. "Went with the xG" means the side with more xG won; "Went against the xG" means the side with less xG won or the match was drawn across a gap of at least 0.5. The probabilities are the ones the model published before kickoff, rounded so the three add to 100; the outline marks what happened.