Ukrainian Premier League

Ukrainian Premier League results 2026/2027

Every Ukrainian Premier League match played this season, newest first, with the xG each side created and the home, draw and away probabilities the model held before kickoff.

xG reading

All Went with the xG Went against the xG

Model record

Most likely outcome landed in 13 of 20 matches (65%). The probabilities implied about 10 (48%). Brier score 0.54 (reference 0.68; lower is better). How the model works →

Home
Draw
Away

What happened Most likely outcome Upset

Sunday, 20/09/2026

3 matches

17:00

Shakhtar Donetsk 3

LNZ Cherkasy 0

xG 2.74 – 0.73 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
14:30

Karpaty Lviv 1

Veres Rivne 1

xG 0.62 – 1.31 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

→
12:00

Kudrivka 2

Kolos Kovalivka 3

xG 1.11 – 1.96 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Saturday, 19/09/2026

3 matches

17:00

FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0

FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 2

xG 1.36 – 1.46 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
14:30

Zoria Luhansk 0

Dynamo Kyiv 2

xG 0.68 – 1.01 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
12:00

Metalist 1925 2

Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0

xG 3.04 – 0.82 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Friday, 18/09/2026

2 matches

14:30

Polissya Zhytomyr 1

FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0

xG 2.12 – 0.44 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
12:00

Chornomorets Odesa 1

Obolon Kyiv 1

Pre-match probabilities

→

Monday, 14/09/2026

2 matches

17:00

Shakhtar Donetsk 2

Chornomorets Odesa 0

xG 1.90 – 0.46 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
14:30

Dynamo Kyiv 3

FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0

xG 1.05 – 1.04 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Sunday, 13/09/2026

3 matches

17:00

Bukovyna Chernivtsi 1

Zoria Luhansk 1

xG 2.31 – 0.70 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
14:30

Polissya Zhytomyr 1

FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0

xG 1.55 – 0.23 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
02:00

FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv

Polissya Zhytomyr
Void
→

Saturday, 12/09/2026

3 matches

17:00

Veres Rivne

Kudrivka
Void
→
14:20

FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih

Metalist 1925
Void
→
12:00

LNZ Cherkasy 3

Obolon Kyiv 1

xG 4.19 – 0.42 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Friday, 11/09/2026

1 match

12:00

Kolos Kovalivka 0

Karpaty Lviv 2

xG 1.13 – 2.39 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Sunday, 06/09/2026

3 matches

17:00

FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0

Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0

xG 2.19 – 2.18 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
14:30

Veres Rivne 1

Zoria Luhansk 1

xG 0.87 – 1.08 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

→
12:00

Dynamo Kyiv 0

LNZ Cherkasy 0

xG 1.76 – 0.49 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Saturday, 05/09/2026

3 matches

17:00

Karpaty Lviv 1

Shakhtar Donetsk 2

xG 2.05 – 1.58 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
12:00

FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 2

Kolos Kovalivka 2

xG 0.83 – 2.47 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
→
12:00

Metalist 1925

Obolon Kyiv
Void
→

Friday, 04/09/2026

2 matches

17:00

Polissya Zhytomyr 5

Kudrivka 1

xG 5.21 – 1.06 Followed the xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→
12:00

Chornomorets Odesa 0

FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0

xG 0.46 – 0.34 Level on xG

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Monday, 31/08/2026

2 matches

17:00

Bukovyna Chernivtsi 3

Dynamo Kyiv 0

xG 1.42 – 2.62 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→
12:00

Zoria Luhansk 0

Metalist 1925 3

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 30/08/2026

2 matches

14:30

LNZ Cherkasy 0

Veres Rivne 1

No pre-match probabilities
→
12:15

Chornomorets Odesa 1

FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 0

xG 1.01 – 1.84 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 29/08/2026

3 matches

17:00

Shakhtar Donetsk 0

Polissya Zhytomyr 2

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:30

FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 1

Karpaty Lviv 1

xG 0.37 – 1.42 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
12:00

Kudrivka 0

FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 3

xG 0.97 – 2.41 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Friday, 28/08/2026

1 match

14:30

Kolos Kovalivka 0

Obolon Kyiv 0

No pre-match probabilities
→

Monday, 17/08/2026

1 match

17:00

Polissya Zhytomyr 1

Zoria Luhansk 2

xG 1.87 – 0.83 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 16/08/2026

3 matches

17:00

Dynamo Kyiv 2

Kolos Kovalivka 1

xG 1.64 – 0.37 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:30

Metalist 1925 0

Shakhtar Donetsk 1

xG 1.51 – 0.88 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→
12:00

LNZ Cherkasy 2

Chornomorets Odesa 0

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 15/08/2026

3 matches

17:00

Karpaty Lviv 3

Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0

xG 1.96 – 2.83 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:30

Kudrivka 0

Obolon Kyiv 0

xG 1.03 – 1.48 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
12:00

FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 1

FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 1

No pre-match probabilities
→

Friday, 14/08/2026

1 match

17:00

FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0

Veres Rivne 0

xG 2.05 – 0.68 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→

Monday, 10/08/2026

2 matches

17:00

Karpaty Lviv 3

LNZ Cherkasy 0

xG 1.16 – 1.60 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:30

Polissya Zhytomyr 3

Metalist 1925 1

xG 1.26 – 1.32 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

Sunday, 09/08/2026

3 matches

17:00

Veres Rivne 1

Dynamo Kyiv 2

xG 1.63 – 2.77 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
14:30

FC Epicentr Dunaivtsi 0

Shakhtar Donetsk 2

xG 0.47 – 1.39 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
12:00

Zoria Luhansk 1

FC Kryvbas Kryvyi Rih 3

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 08/08/2026

3 matches

17:00

Bukovyna Chernivtsi 0

Obolon Kyiv 0

xG 3.27 – 0.04 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→
16:40

FC Livyi Bereh Kyiv 0

Kudrivka 0

xG 1.16 – 0.67 Level on xG

No pre-match probabilities
→
12:00

Chornomorets Odesa

Kolos Kovalivka
Void
→

Monday, 03/08/2026

1 match

17:00

Shakhtar Donetsk 5

Kudrivka 1

xG 2.80 – 0.29 Followed the xG

No pre-match probabilities
→

xG is a model estimate of the chances each side created. "Went with the xG" means the side with more xG won; "Went against the xG" means the side with less xG won or the match was drawn across a gap of at least 0.5. The probabilities are the ones the model published before kickoff, rounded so the three add to 100; the outline marks what happened.