xgEdge

Expected goals

FF Jaro expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Veikkausliiga · after 23 matches · updated 1 Oct

FF Jaro's attacking and defensive expected goals in Veikkausliiga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

FF Jaro xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.21 xG per match
#10/12
Attack (xG per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 KuPS 1.96
#2 FC Lahti 1.80
#3 Inter Turku 1.78
#4 HJK 1.77
#5 Ilves 1.72
#6 SJK 1.71
#7 IF Gnistan 1.61
#8 VPS 1.56
#9 TPS 1.50
#10 FF Jaro 1.21
#11 AC Oulu 1.20
#12 IFK Mariehamn 1.10
League avg
1.57
Total
27.93 23 matches
Defence
1.71 xGA per match
#10/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Inter Turku 0.93
#2 KuPS 1.26
#3 HJK 1.32
#4 FC Lahti 1.42
#5 IF Gnistan 1.43
#6 VPS 1.44
#7 AC Oulu 1.58
#8 TPS 1.58
#9 SJK 1.67
#10 FF Jaro 1.71
#11 Ilves 1.94
#12 IFK Mariehamn 2.50
League avg
1.57
Total
39.33 23 matches
xG difference
-0.50 xGD per match
#11/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Inter Turku +0.86
#2 KuPS +0.70
#3 HJK +0.45
#4 FC Lahti +0.38
#5 IF Gnistan +0.18
#6 VPS +0.12
#7 SJK +0.04
#8 TPS -0.08
#9 Ilves -0.21
#10 AC Oulu -0.37
#11 FF Jaro -0.50
#12 IFK Mariehamn -1.41
League avg
0.00
Total
-11.40 23 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.05 xPts per match
#11/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Inter Turku 1.96
#2 KuPS 1.78
#3 HJK 1.74
#4 FC Lahti 1.51
#5 IF Gnistan 1.43
#6 SJK 1.42
#7 VPS 1.36
#8 Ilves 1.35
#9 TPS 1.32
#10 AC Oulu 1.13
#11 FF Jaro 1.05
#12 IFK Mariehamn 0.69
League avg
1.39
Total
24.24 vs 17 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 23 of 25 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

FF Jaro's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Veikkausliiga. They rank #11 for xG difference at -0.50 per match, from about average shot volume at the league's lowest chance quality. Their 16 goals are 11.93 below 27.93 xG, while 13 points are 11.24 below 24.24 xPts — both over the 23 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 3.80 xG from penalties
16 27.93 -11.93 scored 11.93 fewer than xG far outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
47 39.33 +7.67 conceded 7.67 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
13 24.24 -11.24 11.24 points below xPts far outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

FF Jaro are 11.93 goals below their xG after 23 matches.

Goals
16
xG
27.93
Gap
-11.93
Sat 04/04 Fri 10/04 Sat 18/04 Fri 24/04 Sat 02/05 Sat 09/05 Sat 16/05 Wed 20/05 Sun 31/05 Sat 13/06 Wed 17/06 Tue 23/06 Sat 27/06 Sat 04/07 Sun 19/07 Fri 24/07 Sat 01/08 Sat 08/08 Sun 16/08 Sat 22/08 Mon 31/08 Tue 08/09 Fri 18/09 -12 -10 -8 -6 -4 -2 0 -0.93 -2.76 -2.92 -3.23 -2.78 -3.84 -4.58 -4.88 -5.53 -5.37 -6.20 -5.50 -5.03 -4.15 -4.80 -4.41 -4.83 -6.80 -7.71 -8.64 -10.86 -11.44 -11.93 -0.93 -1.83 -0.16 -0.31 +0.45 -1.06 -0.74 -0.30 -0.65 +0.16 -0.83 +0.70 +0.47 +0.88 -0.65 +0.39 -0.42 -1.97 -0.91 -0.93 -2.22 -0.58 -0.49 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
FF Jaro: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 04/04 FC Lahti 0 0.93 -0.93 -0.93
Fri 10/04 VPS 0 1.83 -1.83 -2.76
Sat 18/04 KuPS 1 1.16 -0.16 -2.92
Fri 24/04 SJK 1 1.31 -0.31 -3.23
Sat 02/05 TPS 2 1.55 +0.45 -2.78
Sat 09/05 Inter Turku 0 1.06 -1.06 -3.84
Sat 16/05 IF Gnistan 0 0.74 -0.74 -4.58
Wed 20/05 KuPS 0 0.30 -0.30 -4.88
Sun 31/05 AC Oulu 1 1.65 -0.65 -5.53
Sat 13/06 HJK 2 1.84 +0.16 -5.37
Wed 17/06 Ilves 0 0.83 -0.83 -6.20
Tue 23/06 IF Gnistan 1 0.30 +0.70 -5.50
Sat 27/06 TPS 2 1.53 +0.47 -5.03
Sat 04/07 Ilves 2 1.12 +0.88 -4.15
Sun 19/07 Inter Turku 0 0.65 -0.65 -4.80
Fri 24/07 SJK 2 1.61 +0.39 -4.41
Sat 01/08 FC Lahti 0 0.42 -0.42 -4.83
Sat 08/08 VPS 1 2.97 -1.97 -6.80
Sun 16/08 HJK 0 0.91 -0.91 -7.71
Sat 22/08 AC Oulu 0 0.93 -0.93 -8.64
Mon 31/08 IFK Mariehamn 0 2.22 -2.22 -10.86
Tue 08/09 Ilves 0 0.58 -0.58 -11.44
Fri 18/09 FC Lahti 1 1.49 -0.49 -11.93

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

FF Jaro xG trend

Current form +0.05 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 6 of 23 matches. The worst was against Ilves on Sat 04/07 (-2.91).

npxG · last 6
1.52
npxGA · last 6
1.47
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.35 Sat 04/04 +0.91 Fri 10/04 -0.38 Sat 18/04 -0.31 Fri 24/04 -0.80 Sat 02/05 -1.53 Sat 09/05 -0.63 Sat 16/05 -1.17 Wed 20/05 +0.16 Sun 31/05 -0.09 Sat 13/06 -1.84 Wed 17/06 -1.01 Tue 23/06 -2.20 Sat 27/06 -2.91 Sat 04/07 -0.97 Sun 19/07 -0.58 Fri 24/07 -1.47 Sat 01/08 +1.46 Sat 08/08 -0.96 Sun 16/08 +0.25 Sat 22/08 +1.07 Mon 31/08 -1.27 Tue 08/09 -0.25 Fri 18/09 -0.62 season avg
FF Jaro: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 04/04 FC Lahti 0.93 0.58 +0.35 +0.35
Fri 10/04 VPS 1.83 0.92 +0.91 +0.63
Sat 18/04 KuPS 0.40 0.78 -0.38 +0.29
Fri 24/04 SJK 1.31 1.62 -0.31 +0.14
Sat 02/05 TPS 0.79 1.59 -0.80 -0.05
Sat 09/05 Inter Turku 1.06 2.59 -1.53 -0.29
Sat 16/05 IF Gnistan 0.74 1.37 -0.63 -0.34
Wed 20/05 KuPS 0.30 1.47 -1.17 -0.44
Sun 31/05 AC Oulu 0.89 0.73 +0.16 -0.38
Sat 13/06 HJK 1.84 1.93 -0.09 -0.35
Wed 17/06 Ilves 0.83 2.67 -1.84 -0.48
Tue 23/06 IF Gnistan 0.30 1.31 -1.01 -0.53
Sat 27/06 TPS 0.77 2.97 -2.20 -0.66
Sat 04/07 Ilves 1.12 4.03 -2.91 -0.82
Sun 19/07 Inter Turku 0.65 1.62 -0.97 -0.83
Fri 24/07 SJK 0.85 1.43 -0.58 -0.81
Sat 01/08 FC Lahti 0.42 1.89 -1.47 -0.85
Sat 08/08 VPS 2.97 1.51 +1.46 -0.72
Sun 16/08 HJK 0.91 1.87 -0.96 -0.74
Sat 22/08 AC Oulu 0.93 0.68 +0.25 -0.69
Mon 31/08 IFK Mariehamn 2.22 1.15 +1.07 -0.60
Tue 08/09 Ilves 0.58 1.85 -1.27 -0.63
Fri 18/09 FC Lahti 1.49 1.74 -0.25 -0.62

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.05 npxG and 1.67 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 3 hardest of 12 in Veikkausliiga
+0.03 xG vs league average
Over 25 league matches
Last 5
number 10 hardest of 12 in Veikkausliiga
−0.20 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.03 xG vs league average · over 25 matches · number 3 hardest of 12

  1. FC Lahti Away +0.22
  2. SJK Home +0.02
  3. Ilves Away −0.22
  4. IFK Mariehamn Away −0.75
  5. AC Oulu Home −0.28
  6. HJK Away +0.27
  7. VPS Home +0.10
  8. FC Lahti Away +0.22
  9. SJK Home +0.02
  10. Inter Turku Home +0.53
  11. Ilves Home −0.22
  12. TPS Away −0.08
  13. IF Gnistan Home +0.06
  14. Ilves Away −0.22
  15. HJK Home +0.27
  16. AC Oulu Away −0.28
  17. IFK Mariehamn Home −0.75
  18. KuPS Away +0.50
  19. IF Gnistan Away +0.06
  20. Inter Turku Away +0.53
  21. TPS Home −0.08
  22. SJK Away +0.02
  23. KuPS Home +0.50
  24. VPS Away +0.10
  25. FC Lahti Home +0.22

Last 5

−0.20 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 10 hardest of 12

  1. FC Lahti Away +0.22
  2. SJK Home +0.02
  3. Ilves Away −0.22
  4. IFK Mariehamn Away −0.75
  5. AC Oulu Home −0.28

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

FF Jaro shots and chance quality

Average volume, low quality. FF Jaro take 11.6 shots a match (league 12.0) at 0.09 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #8 in Veikkausliiga for volume and #12 for quality. 50% of their shots come from inside the box (league 61%).

Attack

Shot volume
11.6 shots per match
#8/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 KuPS 15.2
#2 FC Lahti 13.3
#3 Inter Turku 13.1
#4 TPS 13.0
#5 HJK 12.6
#6 SJK 12.4
#7 IF Gnistan 11.8
#8 FF Jaro 11.6
#9 Ilves 11.5
#10 VPS 11.0
#11 AC Oulu 10.2
#12 IFK Mariehamn 8.9
League avg
12.0
Total
266 shots from 23 matches
Chance quality
0.09 npxG per shot
#12/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SJK 0.14
#2 HJK 0.14
#3 KuPS 0.13
#4 VPS 0.13
#5 Ilves 0.13
#6 Inter Turku 0.13
#7 IF Gnistan 0.13
#8 FC Lahti 0.13
#9 IFK Mariehamn 0.11
#10 TPS 0.11
#11 AC Oulu 0.10
#12 FF Jaro 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
24.13 npxG from 266 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
13.6 shots per match
#10/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Inter Turku 8.5
#2 KuPS 9.7
#3 FC Lahti 9.8
#4 VPS 11.4
#5 AC Oulu 11.4
#6 SJK 11.7
#7 HJK 12.0
#8 TPS 12.6
#9 IF Gnistan 12.9
#10 FF Jaro 13.6
#11 Ilves 13.9
#12 IFK Mariehamn 16.3
League avg
12.0
Total
313 shots allowed from 23 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.12 npxGA per shot
#7/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Inter Turku 0.10
#2 IF Gnistan 0.10
#3 HJK 0.11
#4 TPS 0.11
#5 VPS 0.11
#6 KuPS 0.12
#7 FF Jaro 0.12
#8 AC Oulu 0.13
#9 Ilves 0.13
#10 FC Lahti 0.13
#11 SJK 0.14
#12 IFK Mariehamn 0.15
League avg
0.12
Total
38.30 npxGA from 313 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

50% inside the box

League avg 61%

From 134 of 266 shots over 23 matches

Shots allowed, location

65% allowed inside the box

League avg 61%

From 203 of 313 shots allowed over 23 matches

How the shot figures are made →

FF Jaro home and away xG

FF Jaro per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 12 10 with xG 13
xG / match 1.31 1.14
xGA / match 1.59 1.80
xGD / match -0.29 -0.66
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.22 0.92

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every FF Jaro match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 10

Matches
10 9 with xG
xG / match
1.31
xGA / match
1.58
xGD / match
-0.27
Points
6 of 30
  1. Fri 18/09 FC Lahti A xG 1.49 xGA 1.74 xGD -0.25
  2. Sat 12/09 SJK H
  3. Tue 08/09 Ilves A xG 0.58 xGA 1.85 xGD -1.27
  4. Mon 31/08 IFK Mariehamn A Against the chances xG 2.22 xGA 1.15 xGD +1.07
  5. Sat 22/08 AC Oulu H xG 0.93 xGA 0.68 xGD +0.25
  6. Sun 16/08 HJK A xG 0.91 xGA 1.87 xGD -0.96
  7. Sat 08/08 VPS H xG 2.97 xGA 1.98 xGD +0.99
  8. Sat 01/08 FC Lahti A Weakest underlying xG 0.42 xGA 1.89 xGD -1.47
  9. Fri 24/07 SJK H xG 1.61 P xGA 1.42 xGD +0.19
  10. Sun 19/07 Inter Turku H xG 0.65 xGA 1.62 xGD -0.97

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

FF Jaro in Veikkausliiga

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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