xgEdge

Expected goals

IFK Göteborg expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Allsvenskan · after 18 matches · updated 1 Oct

IFK Göteborg's attacking and defensive expected goals in Allsvenskan 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

IFK Göteborg xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.95 xG per match
#5/16
Attack (xG per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.66
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.30
#3 IK Sirius 2.13
#4 Malmö FF 2.04
#5 IFK Göteborg 1.95
#6 BK Häcken 1.84
#7 GAIS 1.75
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.65
#9 Västerås SK 1.64
#10 Mjällby AIF 1.59
#11 AIK 1.57
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 1.45
#13 Kalmar FF 1.31
#14 Örgryte IS 1.26
#15 Degerfors IF 1.26
#16 Halmstads BK 1.10
League avg
1.71
Total
35.13 18 matches
Defence
1.63 xGA per match
#8/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Hammarby IF 1.11
#2 Djurgårdens IF 1.15
#3 IK Sirius 1.34
#4 GAIS 1.34
#5 BK Häcken 1.38
#6 Malmö FF 1.50
#7 IF Elfsborg 1.51
#8 IFK Göteborg 1.63
#9 Kalmar FF 1.74
#10 Degerfors IF 1.76
#11 IF Brommapojkarna 1.80
#12 Västerås SK 1.91
#13 Mjällby AIF 2.07
#14 Örgryte IS 2.26
#15 AIK 2.29
#16 Halmstads BK 2.41
League avg
1.71
Total
29.28 18 matches
xG difference
+0.32 xGD per match
#7/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Hammarby IF +1.54
#2 Djurgårdens IF +1.16
#3 IK Sirius +0.79
#4 Malmö FF +0.54
#5 BK Häcken +0.46
#6 GAIS +0.41
#7 IFK Göteborg +0.32
#8 IF Elfsborg +0.15
#9 Västerås SK -0.27
#10 IF Brommapojkarna -0.35
#11 Kalmar FF -0.43
#12 Mjällby AIF -0.48
#13 Degerfors IF -0.51
#14 AIK -0.72
#15 Örgryte IS -0.99
#16 Halmstads BK -1.31
League avg
0.00
Total
+5.85 18 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.60 xPts per match
#7/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.24
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.05
#3 IK Sirius 1.84
#4 BK Häcken 1.70
#5 Malmö FF 1.67
#6 GAIS 1.61
#7 IFK Göteborg 1.60
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.49
#9 IF Brommapojkarna 1.23
#10 Kalmar FF 1.21
#11 Västerås SK 1.21
#12 Degerfors IF 1.09
#13 Mjällby AIF 1.08
#14 AIK 1.00
#15 Örgryte IS 0.87
#16 Halmstads BK 0.61
League avg
1.40
Total
28.87 vs 32 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 18 of 22 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

IFK Göteborg's underlying numbers sit close to the Allsvenskan average. They rank #7 for xG difference at +0.32 per match, driven by elite shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 25 goals are 10.13 below 35.13 xG, while 27 points are 1.87 below 28.87 xPts — both over the 18 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
25 35.13 -10.13 scored 10.13 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
36 29.28 +6.72 conceded 6.72 more than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
27 28.87 -1.87 1.87 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

IFK Göteborg are 10.13 goals below their xG after 18 matches.

Goals
25
xG
35.13
Gap
-10.13
Sat 11/04 Sat 18/04 Sun 26/04 Mon 04/05 Sat 09/05 Tue 19/05 Mon 25/05 Sun 31/05 Sun 05/07 Sun 12/07 Fri 17/07 Sun 26/07 Sun 02/08 Sun 09/08 Sun 16/08 Sun 30/08 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -11 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 +1 -2.13 -3.29 -2.08 -3.28 -4.61 -3.91 -5.15 -1.67 -2.47 -4.28 -6.08 -6.93 -7.14 -6.85 -7.98 -8.99 -8.75 -10.13 -2.13 -1.16 +1.21 -1.20 -1.33 +0.70 -1.24 +3.48 -0.80 -1.81 -1.80 -0.85 -0.21 +0.29 -1.13 -1.01 +0.24 -1.38 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
IFK Göteborg: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 11/04 BK Häcken 0 2.13 -2.13 -2.13
Sat 18/04 Halmstads BK 1 2.16 -1.16 -3.29
Sun 26/04 GAIS 2 0.79 +1.21 -2.08
Mon 04/05 Djurgårdens IF 0 1.20 -1.20 -3.28
Sat 09/05 Hammarby IF 0 1.33 -1.33 -4.61
Tue 19/05 Örgryte IS 3 2.30 +0.70 -3.91
Mon 25/05 Mjällby AIF 1 2.24 -1.24 -5.15
Sun 31/05 Västerås SK 5 1.52 +3.48 -1.67
Sun 05/07 AIK 1 1.80 -0.80 -2.47
Sun 12/07 Malmö FF 0 1.81 -1.81 -4.28
Fri 17/07 IF Brommapojkarna 2 3.80 -1.80 -6.08
Sun 26/07 IK Sirius 1 1.85 -0.85 -6.93
Sun 02/08 Degerfors IF 2 2.21 -0.21 -7.14
Sun 09/08 Kalmar FF 3 2.71 +0.29 -6.85
Sun 16/08 Degerfors IF 0 1.13 -1.13 -7.98
Sun 30/08 Örgryte IS 1 2.01 -1.01 -8.99
Sat 12/09 Halmstads BK 2 1.76 +0.24 -8.75
Sat 19/09 IF Brommapojkarna 1 2.38 -1.38 -10.13

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

IFK Göteborg xG trend

Current form +0.66 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 10 of 18 matches. The worst was against Västerås SK on Sun 31/05 (-1.90).

npxG · last 6
2.03
npxGA · last 6
1.37
-2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +0.49 Sat 11/04 +1.82 Sat 18/04 -0.06 Sun 26/04 -1.27 Mon 04/05 -0.43 Sat 09/05 +1.61 Tue 19/05 -0.08 Mon 25/05 -1.90 Sun 31/05 +1.01 Sun 05/07 -1.49 Sun 12/07 +3.31 Fri 17/07 -1.12 Sun 26/07 +0.29 Sun 02/08 +1.72 Sun 09/08 -0.56 Sun 16/08 +1.03 Sun 30/08 +0.34 Sat 12/09 +1.14 Sat 19/09 +0.33 season avg
IFK Göteborg: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 11/04 BK Häcken 2.13 1.64 +0.49 +0.49
Sat 18/04 Halmstads BK 2.16 0.34 +1.82 +1.16
Sun 26/04 GAIS 0.79 0.85 -0.06 +0.75
Mon 04/05 Djurgårdens IF 1.20 2.47 -1.27 +0.24
Sat 09/05 Hammarby IF 1.33 1.76 -0.43 +0.11
Tue 19/05 Örgryte IS 2.30 0.69 +1.61 +0.36
Mon 25/05 Mjällby AIF 2.24 2.32 -0.08 +0.30
Sun 31/05 Västerås SK 1.52 3.42 -1.90 +0.02
Sun 05/07 AIK 1.80 0.79 +1.01 +0.13
Sun 12/07 Malmö FF 1.81 3.30 -1.49 -0.03
Fri 17/07 IF Brommapojkarna 3.80 0.49 +3.31 +0.27
Sun 26/07 IK Sirius 1.85 2.97 -1.12 +0.16
Sun 02/08 Degerfors IF 2.21 1.92 +0.29 +0.17
Sun 09/08 Kalmar FF 2.71 0.99 +1.72 +0.28
Sun 16/08 Degerfors IF 1.13 1.69 -0.56 +0.22
Sun 30/08 Örgryte IS 2.01 0.98 +1.03 +0.27
Sat 12/09 Halmstads BK 1.76 1.42 +0.34 +0.28
Sat 19/09 IF Brommapojkarna 2.38 1.24 +1.14 +0.33

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.95 npxG and 1.63 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 15 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
−0.12 xG vs league average
Over 22 league matches
Last 5
number 16 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
−0.41 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.12 xG vs league average · over 22 matches · tied number 15 hardest of 16

  1. IF Brommapojkarna Away −0.32
  2. Halmstads BK Home −0.78
  3. Mjällby AIF Away −0.36
  4. Örgryte IS Home −0.67
  5. IF Elfsborg Home +0.10
  6. Degerfors IF Away −0.27
  7. Kalmar FF Home −0.15
  8. Degerfors IF Home −0.27
  9. IK Sirius Away +0.19
  10. IF Brommapojkarna Home −0.32
  11. Malmö FF Away +0.42
  12. AIK Home −0.44
  13. Västerås SK Away −0.18
  14. Mjällby AIF Home −0.36
  15. Örgryte IS Away −0.67
  16. Hammarby IF Home +1.29
  17. Djurgårdens IF Away +0.46
  18. GAIS Home +0.23
  19. Kalmar FF Away −0.15
  20. Halmstads BK Away −0.78
  21. BK Häcken Home +0.26
  22. IF Elfsborg Away +0.10

Last 5

−0.41 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 16 hardest of 16

  1. IF Brommapojkarna Away −0.32
  2. Halmstads BK Home −0.78
  3. Mjällby AIF Away −0.36
  4. Örgryte IS Home −0.67
  5. IF Elfsborg Home +0.10

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

IFK Göteborg shots and chance quality

High volume, average quality. IFK Göteborg take 17.1 shots a match (league 13.9) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #2 in Allsvenskan for volume and #13 for quality. 66% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
17.1 shots per match
#2/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 21.9
#2 IFK Göteborg 17.1
#3 Djurgårdens IF 15.7
#4 Malmö FF 14.9
#5 IK Sirius 14.9
#6 GAIS 14.5
#7 BK Häcken 14.2
#8 Kalmar FF 13.4
#9 Mjällby AIF 13.0
#10 AIK 12.9
#11 IF Elfsborg 12.8
#12 Halmstads BK 12.5
#13 Västerås SK 12.1
#14 IF Brommapojkarna 11.7
#15 Degerfors IF 11.1
#16 Örgryte IS 10.5
League avg
13.9
Total
308 shots from 18 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#13/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Djurgårdens IF 0.15
#2 IK Sirius 0.14
#3 Malmö FF 0.14
#4 Västerås SK 0.14
#5 IF Elfsborg 0.13
#6 BK Häcken 0.13
#7 IF Brommapojkarna 0.12
#8 Mjällby AIF 0.12
#9 AIK 0.12
#10 Hammarby IF 0.12
#11 GAIS 0.12
#12 Örgryte IS 0.12
#13 IFK Göteborg 0.11
#14 Degerfors IF 0.11
#15 Kalmar FF 0.10
#16 Halmstads BK 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
35.13 npxG from 308 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
12.4 shots per match
#4/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 8.6
#2 Djurgårdens IF 10.9
#3 BK Häcken 11.5
#4 IFK Göteborg 12.4
#5 GAIS 12.4
#6 IF Elfsborg 12.5
#7 Malmö FF 12.9
#8 IK Sirius 13.8
#9 Degerfors IF 13.9
#10 Kalmar FF 14.3
#11 Västerås SK 14.8
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 15.7
#13 Mjällby AIF 16.2
#14 AIK 16.5
#15 Halmstads BK 17.5
#16 Örgryte IS 17.9
League avg
13.9
Total
223 shots allowed from 18 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.13 npxGA per shot
#14/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 IK Sirius 0.10
#2 Djurgårdens IF 0.11
#3 GAIS 0.11
#4 IF Brommapojkarna 0.11
#5 Malmö FF 0.12
#6 BK Häcken 0.12
#7 IF Elfsborg 0.12
#8 Kalmar FF 0.12
#9 Örgryte IS 0.13
#10 Degerfors IF 0.13
#11 Mjällby AIF 0.13
#12 Hammarby IF 0.13
#13 Västerås SK 0.13
#14 IFK Göteborg 0.13
#15 Halmstads BK 0.14
#16 AIK 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
29.28 npxGA from 223 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

66% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 204 of 308 shots over 18 matches

Shots allowed, location

62% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 138 of 223 shots allowed over 18 matches

How the shot figures are made →

IFK Göteborg home and away xG

IFK Göteborg per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 11 10 with xG 11 8 with xG
xG / match 2.08 1.79
xGA / match 1.32 2.02
xGD / match +0.76 -0.22
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.83 1.32

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every IFK Göteborg match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 10

Matches
10 8 with xG
xG / match
2.23
xGA / match
1.46
xGD / match
+0.77
Points
22 of 30
  1. Sat 19/09 IF Brommapojkarna A xG 2.38 xGA 1.24 xGD +1.14
  2. Sat 12/09 Halmstads BK H xG 1.76 xGA 1.42 xGD +0.34
  3. Mon 07/09 Mjällby AIF A
  4. Sun 30/08 Örgryte IS H xG 2.01 xGA 0.98 xGD +1.03
  5. Sun 23/08 IF Elfsborg H
  6. Sun 16/08 Degerfors IF A xG 1.13 xGA 1.69 xGD -0.56
  7. Sun 09/08 Kalmar FF H xG 2.71 xGA 0.99 xGD +1.72
  8. Sun 02/08 Degerfors IF H xG 2.21 xGA 1.92 xGD +0.29
  9. Sun 26/07 IK Sirius A Weakest underlying xG 1.85 xGA 2.97 xGD -1.12
  10. Fri 17/07 IF Brommapojkarna H Best underlying xG 3.80 xGA 0.49 xGD +3.31

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.80. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

IFK Göteborg in Allsvenskan

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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