xgEdge

Expected goals

Örgryte IS expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Allsvenskan · after 19 matches · updated 1 Oct

Örgryte IS's attacking and defensive expected goals in Allsvenskan 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Örgryte IS xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.26 xG per match
#14/16
Attack (xG per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.66
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.30
#3 IK Sirius 2.13
#4 Malmö FF 2.04
#5 IFK Göteborg 1.95
#6 BK Häcken 1.84
#7 GAIS 1.75
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.65
#9 Västerås SK 1.64
#10 Mjällby AIF 1.59
#11 AIK 1.57
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 1.45
#13 Kalmar FF 1.31
#14 Örgryte IS 1.26
#15 Degerfors IF 1.26
#16 Halmstads BK 1.10
League avg
1.71
Total
23.99 19 matches
Defence
2.26 xGA per match
#14/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Hammarby IF 1.11
#2 Djurgårdens IF 1.15
#3 IK Sirius 1.34
#4 GAIS 1.34
#5 BK Häcken 1.38
#6 Malmö FF 1.50
#7 IF Elfsborg 1.51
#8 IFK Göteborg 1.63
#9 Kalmar FF 1.74
#10 Degerfors IF 1.76
#11 IF Brommapojkarna 1.80
#12 Västerås SK 1.91
#13 Mjällby AIF 2.07
#14 Örgryte IS 2.26
#15 AIK 2.29
#16 Halmstads BK 2.41
League avg
1.71
Total
42.86 19 matches
xG difference
-0.99 xGD per match
#15/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Hammarby IF +1.54
#2 Djurgårdens IF +1.16
#3 IK Sirius +0.79
#4 Malmö FF +0.54
#5 BK Häcken +0.46
#6 GAIS +0.41
#7 IFK Göteborg +0.32
#8 IF Elfsborg +0.15
#9 Västerås SK -0.27
#10 IF Brommapojkarna -0.35
#11 Kalmar FF -0.43
#12 Mjällby AIF -0.48
#13 Degerfors IF -0.51
#14 AIK -0.72
#15 Örgryte IS -0.99
#16 Halmstads BK -1.31
League avg
0.00
Total
-18.87 19 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.87 xPts per match
#15/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.24
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.05
#3 IK Sirius 1.84
#4 BK Häcken 1.70
#5 Malmö FF 1.67
#6 GAIS 1.61
#7 IFK Göteborg 1.60
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.49
#9 IF Brommapojkarna 1.23
#10 Kalmar FF 1.21
#11 Västerås SK 1.21
#12 Degerfors IF 1.09
#13 Mjällby AIF 1.08
#14 AIK 1.00
#15 Örgryte IS 0.87
#16 Halmstads BK 0.61
League avg
1.40
Total
16.62 vs 15 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 19 of 22 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Örgryte IS's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Allsvenskan. They rank #15 for xG difference at -0.99 per match, from the league's lowest shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 24 goals are 0.01 above 23.99 xG, while 14 points are 2.62 below 16.62 xPts — both over the 19 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
24 23.99 +0.01 scored 0.01 more than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
43 42.86 +0.14 conceded 0.14 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
14 16.62 -2.62 2.62 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Örgryte IS are 0.01 goals above their xG after 19 matches. The gap was widest at +2.91, against BK Häcken on Sat 11/07.

Goals
24
xG
23.99
Gap
+0.01
Sat 11/04 Sat 18/04 Wed 22/04 Mon 27/04 Sun 03/05 Mon 11/05 Tue 19/05 Fri 29/05 Sat 11/07 Mon 20/07 Fri 24/07 Sun 02/08 Sat 08/08 Sun 16/08 Sat 22/08 Sun 30/08 Sun 06/09 Sun 13/09 Sat 19/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.92 +0.46 +0.03 -0.86 -1.20 -1.62 -0.31 +0.39 +2.91 +2.14 +1.22 +1.86 +2.47 +2.18 +1.09 +0.11 +0.50 +0.19 +0.01 +0.92 -0.46 -0.43 -0.89 -0.34 -0.42 +1.31 +0.70 +2.52 -0.77 -0.92 +0.64 +0.61 -0.29 -1.09 -0.98 +0.39 -0.31 -0.18 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Örgryte IS: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 11/04 Mjällby AIF 2 1.08 +0.92 +0.92
Sat 18/04 Hammarby IF 1 1.46 -0.46 +0.46
Wed 22/04 IF Brommapojkarna 1 1.43 -0.43 +0.03
Mon 27/04 Degerfors IF 1 1.89 -0.89 -0.86
Sun 03/05 GAIS 0 0.34 -0.34 -1.20
Mon 11/05 IK Sirius 0 0.42 -0.42 -1.62
Tue 19/05 IFK Göteborg 2 0.69 +1.31 -0.31
Fri 29/05 IF Elfsborg 2 1.30 +0.70 +0.39
Sat 11/07 BK Häcken 4 1.48 +2.52 +2.91
Mon 20/07 Djurgårdens IF 0 0.77 -0.77 +2.14
Fri 24/07 Västerås SK 0 0.92 -0.92 +1.22
Sun 02/08 AIK 3 2.36 +0.64 +1.86
Sat 08/08 AIK 3 2.39 +0.61 +2.47
Sun 16/08 IF Brommapojkarna 1 1.29 -0.29 +2.18
Sat 22/08 Halmstads BK 1 2.09 -1.09 +1.09
Sun 30/08 IFK Göteborg 0 0.98 -0.98 +0.11
Sun 06/09 Hammarby IF 1 0.61 +0.39 +0.50
Sun 13/09 Malmö FF 1 1.31 -0.31 +0.19
Sat 19/09 IK Sirius 1 1.18 -0.18 +0.01

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Örgryte IS xG trend

Current form -1.51 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 5 of 19 matches. The worst was against Hammarby IF on Sun 06/09 (-3.43).

npxG · last 6
1.24
npxGA · last 6
2.75
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.73 Sat 11/04 -2.90 Sat 18/04 -0.04 Wed 22/04 +1.22 Mon 27/04 -2.44 Sun 03/05 -1.84 Mon 11/05 -1.61 Tue 19/05 -0.33 Fri 29/05 -0.30 Sat 11/07 +0.04 Mon 20/07 -2.32 Fri 24/07 +1.01 Sun 02/08 +0.43 Sat 08/08 -2.11 Sun 16/08 -0.58 Sat 22/08 -1.03 Sun 30/08 -3.43 Sun 06/09 -1.93 Sun 13/09 +0.02 Sat 19/09 -0.99 season avg
Örgryte IS: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 11/04 Mjällby AIF 1.08 1.81 -0.73 -0.73
Sat 18/04 Hammarby IF 1.46 4.36 -2.90 -1.82
Wed 22/04 IF Brommapojkarna 1.43 1.47 -0.04 -1.22
Mon 27/04 Degerfors IF 1.89 0.67 +1.22 -0.61
Sun 03/05 GAIS 0.34 2.78 -2.44 -0.98
Mon 11/05 IK Sirius 0.42 2.26 -1.84 -1.12
Tue 19/05 IFK Göteborg 0.69 2.30 -1.61 -1.19
Fri 29/05 IF Elfsborg 1.30 1.63 -0.33 -1.08
Sat 11/07 BK Häcken 1.48 1.78 -0.30 -1.00
Mon 20/07 Djurgårdens IF 0.77 0.73 +0.04 -0.89
Fri 24/07 Västerås SK 0.92 3.24 -2.32 -1.02
Sun 02/08 AIK 2.36 1.35 +1.01 -0.85
Sat 08/08 AIK 2.39 1.96 +0.43 -0.75
Sun 16/08 IF Brommapojkarna 1.29 3.40 -2.11 -0.85
Sat 22/08 Halmstads BK 2.09 2.67 -0.58 -0.83
Sun 30/08 IFK Göteborg 0.98 2.01 -1.03 -0.85
Sun 06/09 Hammarby IF 0.61 4.04 -3.43 -1.00
Sun 13/09 Malmö FF 1.31 3.24 -1.93 -1.05
Sat 19/09 IK Sirius 1.18 1.16 +0.02 -0.99

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.26 npxG and 2.26 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 2 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
+0.06 xG vs league average
Over 22 league matches
Last 5
number 3 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
+0.26 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.06 xG vs league average · over 22 matches · tied number 2 hardest of 16

  1. IK Sirius Home +0.19
  2. Malmö FF Away +0.42
  3. Hammarby IF Home +1.29
  4. IFK Göteborg Away +0.20
  5. Halmstads BK Home −0.78
  6. IF Brommapojkarna Away −0.32
  7. AIK Home −0.44
  8. AIK Away −0.44
  9. Västerås SK Away −0.18
  10. Djurgårdens IF Home +0.46
  11. BK Häcken Home +0.26
  12. Kalmar FF Away −0.15
  13. IF Elfsborg Home +0.10
  14. Halmstads BK Away −0.78
  15. IFK Göteborg Home +0.20
  16. IK Sirius Away +0.19
  17. GAIS Away +0.23
  18. Degerfors IF Home −0.27
  19. IF Brommapojkarna Home −0.32
  20. Hammarby IF Away +1.29
  21. Mjällby AIF Away −0.36
  22. Malmö FF Home +0.42

Last 5

+0.26 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 3 hardest of 16

  1. IK Sirius Home +0.19
  2. Malmö FF Away +0.42
  3. Hammarby IF Home +1.29
  4. IFK Göteborg Away +0.20
  5. Halmstads BK Home −0.78

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Örgryte IS shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Örgryte IS take 10.5 shots a match (league 13.9) at 0.12 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #16 in Allsvenskan for volume and #12 for quality. 70% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
10.5 shots per match
#16/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 21.9
#2 IFK Göteborg 17.1
#3 Djurgårdens IF 15.7
#4 Malmö FF 14.9
#5 IK Sirius 14.9
#6 GAIS 14.5
#7 BK Häcken 14.2
#8 Kalmar FF 13.4
#9 Mjällby AIF 13.0
#10 AIK 12.9
#11 IF Elfsborg 12.8
#12 Halmstads BK 12.5
#13 Västerås SK 12.1
#14 IF Brommapojkarna 11.7
#15 Degerfors IF 11.1
#16 Örgryte IS 10.5
League avg
13.9
Total
200 shots from 19 matches
Chance quality
0.12 npxG per shot
#12/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Djurgårdens IF 0.15
#2 IK Sirius 0.14
#3 Malmö FF 0.14
#4 Västerås SK 0.14
#5 IF Elfsborg 0.13
#6 BK Häcken 0.13
#7 IF Brommapojkarna 0.12
#8 Mjällby AIF 0.12
#9 AIK 0.12
#10 Hammarby IF 0.12
#11 GAIS 0.12
#12 Örgryte IS 0.12
#13 IFK Göteborg 0.11
#14 Degerfors IF 0.11
#15 Kalmar FF 0.10
#16 Halmstads BK 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
23.99 npxG from 200 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
17.9 shots per match
#16/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 8.6
#2 Djurgårdens IF 10.9
#3 BK Häcken 11.5
#4 IFK Göteborg 12.4
#5 GAIS 12.4
#6 IF Elfsborg 12.5
#7 Malmö FF 12.9
#8 IK Sirius 13.8
#9 Degerfors IF 13.9
#10 Kalmar FF 14.3
#11 Västerås SK 14.8
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 15.7
#13 Mjällby AIF 16.2
#14 AIK 16.5
#15 Halmstads BK 17.5
#16 Örgryte IS 17.9
League avg
13.9
Total
341 shots allowed from 19 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.13 npxGA per shot
#9/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 IK Sirius 0.10
#2 Djurgårdens IF 0.11
#3 GAIS 0.11
#4 IF Brommapojkarna 0.11
#5 Malmö FF 0.12
#6 BK Häcken 0.12
#7 IF Elfsborg 0.12
#8 Kalmar FF 0.12
#9 Örgryte IS 0.13
#10 Degerfors IF 0.13
#11 Mjällby AIF 0.13
#12 Hammarby IF 0.13
#13 Västerås SK 0.13
#14 IFK Göteborg 0.13
#15 Halmstads BK 0.14
#16 AIK 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
42.86 npxGA from 341 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

70% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 139 of 200 shots over 19 matches

Shots allowed, location

69% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 234 of 341 shots allowed over 19 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Örgryte IS home and away xG

Örgryte IS per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 11 10 with xG 11 9 with xG
xG / match 1.38 1.13
xGA / match 1.84 2.72
xGD / match -0.46 -1.59
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.17 0.55

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Örgryte IS match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
22 19 with xG
xG / match
1.26
xGA / match
2.26
xGD / match
-0.99
Points
15 of 66
  1. Sat 19/09 IK Sirius H xG 1.18 xGA 1.16 xGD +0.02
  2. Sun 13/09 Malmö FF A xG 1.31 xGA 3.24 xGD -1.93
  3. Sun 06/09 Hammarby IF H Weakest underlying xG 0.61 xGA 4.04 xGD -3.43
  4. Sun 30/08 IFK Göteborg A xG 0.98 xGA 2.01 xGD -1.03
  5. Sat 22/08 Halmstads BK H xG 2.09 xGA 2.67 xGD -0.58
  6. Sun 16/08 IF Brommapojkarna A xG 1.29 xGA 3.40 xGD -2.11
  7. Sat 08/08 AIK H xG 2.39 xGA 1.96 xGD +0.43
  8. Sun 02/08 AIK A xG 2.36 xGA 1.35 xGD +1.01
  9. Fri 24/07 Västerås SK A xG 0.92 xGA 3.24 xGD -2.32
  10. Mon 20/07 Djurgårdens IF H xG 0.77 xGA 0.73 xGD +0.04
  11. Sat 11/07 BK Häcken H xG 1.48 xGA 1.78 xGD -0.30
  12. Sun 05/07 Kalmar FF A
  13. Fri 29/05 IF Elfsborg H xG 1.30 xGA 1.63 xGD -0.33
  14. Sat 23/05 Halmstads BK A
  15. Tue 19/05 IFK Göteborg H xG 0.69 xGA 2.30 xGD -1.61
  16. Mon 11/05 IK Sirius A xG 0.42 xGA 2.26 xGD -1.84
  17. Sun 03/05 GAIS A xG 0.34 xGA 2.78 xGD -2.44
  18. Mon 27/04 Degerfors IF H Best underlying xG 1.89 xGA 0.67 xGD +1.22
  19. Wed 22/04 IF Brommapojkarna H xG 1.43 xGA 1.47 xGD -0.04
  20. Sat 18/04 Hammarby IF A xG 1.46 xGA 4.36 xGD -2.90
  21. Sat 11/04 Mjällby AIF A xG 1.08 xGA 1.81 xGD -0.73
  22. Sun 05/04 Malmö FF H

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.36. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Örgryte IS in Allsvenskan

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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