Saturday, 24/10/2026 at 14:00
20d 14h to kick-offSK Slavia Praha – Mladá Boleslav
Model updated 3 October, 21:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- SK Slavia Praha
- 76%
- Draw
- 16%
- Mladá Boleslav
- 8%
| SK Slavia Praha | Draw | Mladá Boleslav | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 1.32 | 6.11 | 12.84 |
- Total goals
- 3.60
- Over 2.5 goals
- 72%
- Both teams to score
- 60%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model leans SK Slavia Praha
76% SK Slavia Praha to win
- Attack
- 1st vs 16th
- SK Slavia Praha attack v Mladá Boleslav defence
- Defence
- 1st vs 7th
- SK Slavia Praha defence v Mladá Boleslav attack
- Recent xG form
- +0.90 vs -0.70
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 2.69 – 0.91
- SK Slavia Praha v Mladá Boleslav
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | SK Slavia Praha | Mladá Boleslav |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | (better) 2.38 · 1st | 1.45 · 4th |
| xGA / match | (better) 1.02 · 3rd | 2.06 · 16th |
| xGD / match | (better) +1.36 · 1st | -0.62 · 15th |
| xPts / match | (better) 2.11 · 1st | 1.03 · 13th |
| Last 6 xGD / match | (better) +0.90 | -0.70 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 29% of the model's distribution.
- SK Slavia Praha clean sheet
- 37%
- SK Slavia Praha 2+ goals
- 77%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 28%
- Both teams to score: no
- 40%
Most likely scorelines
- 2:1
- 10.3%
- 3:1
- 9.6%
- 2:0
- 9.6%
Check your bookmaker's price
Enter a bookmaker's price to compare it with the model's fair odds.
How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
Model details
Show
Hide
- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- SK Slavia Praha sample
- 20 matches
- Mladá Boleslav sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · SK Slavia Praha
- 5 matches
- Away xG sample · Mladá Boleslav
- 4 matches
- Computed
- Saturday, 03/10/2026 at 21:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.