xgEdge

Expected goals

Zagłębie Lubin expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Ekstraklasa · after 9 matches · updated 1 Oct

Zagłębie Lubin's attacking and defensive expected goals in Ekstraklasa 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Zagłębie Lubin xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.35 xG per match
#17/18
Attack (xG per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.99
#3 GKS Katowice 1.77
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.71
#5 Górnik Zabrze 1.58
#6 Widzew Łódź 1.57
#7 Wieczysta Kraków 1.57
#8 Cracovia 1.53
#9 Wisła Płock 1.52
#10 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.50
#11 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#12 Raków Częstochowa 1.42
#13 Radomiak Radom 1.41
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 1.40
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.40
#16 Motor Lublin 1.39
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 1.35
#18 Piast Gliwice 1.22
League avg
1.54
Total
12.18 9 matches
Defence
1.22 xGA per match
#4/18
Defence (xGA per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Lech Poznań 0.89
#2 Górnik Zabrze 1.05
#3 Wisła Kraków 1.10
#4 Zagłębie Lubin 1.22
#5 Legia Warszawa 1.27
#6 Pogoń Szczecin 1.38
#7 Cracovia 1.43
#8 MKS Korona Kielce 1.48
#9 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.52
#10 Motor Lublin 1.53
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 1.60
#12 Wisła Płock 1.63
#13 Widzew Łódź 1.67
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 1.73
#15 Piast Gliwice 1.87
#16 GKS Katowice 2.00
#17 Radomiak Radom 2.05
#18 Raków Częstochowa 2.36
League avg
1.54
Total
10.97 9 matches
xG difference
+0.13 xGD per match
#5/18
xG difference (xGD per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Lech Poznań +1.18
#2 Wisła Kraków +0.89
#3 Górnik Zabrze +0.53
#4 Legia Warszawa +0.43
#5 Zagłębie Lubin +0.13
#6 Cracovia +0.10
#7 Pogoń Szczecin +0.10
#8 Jagiellonia Białystok -0.03
#9 Wieczysta Kraków -0.04
#10 MKS Korona Kielce -0.07
#11 Widzew Łódź -0.10
#12 Wisła Płock -0.11
#13 Motor Lublin -0.14
#14 GKS Katowice -0.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław -0.34
#16 Radomiak Radom -0.64
#17 Piast Gliwice -0.65
#18 Raków Częstochowa -0.94
League avg
0.00
Total
+1.21 9 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.47 xPts per match
#6/18
Expected points (xPts per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Lech Poznań 2.07
#2 Wisła Kraków 1.97
#3 Górnik Zabrze 1.79
#4 Legia Warszawa 1.66
#5 Pogoń Szczecin 1.48
#6 Zagłębie Lubin 1.47
#7 Cracovia 1.42
#8 Wieczysta Kraków 1.33
#9 GKS Katowice 1.30
#10 Wisła Płock 1.30
#11 Widzew Łódź 1.29
#12 MKS Korona Kielce 1.27
#13 Motor Lublin 1.26
#14 Jagiellonia Białystok 1.23
#15 Śląsk Wrocław 1.20
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.99
#17 Piast Gliwice 0.96
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.93
League avg
1.38
Total
13.20 vs 15 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 9 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Zagłębie Lubin's underlying numbers are among the best in Ekstraklasa. They rank #5 for xG difference at +0.13 per match, from low shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 11 goals are 1.18 below 12.18 xG, while 15 points are 1.80 above 13.20 xPts. After only 9 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
11 12.18 -1.18 scored 1.18 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
10 10.97 -0.97 conceded 0.97 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
15 13.20 +1.80 1.80 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Zagłębie Lubin are 1.18 goals below their xG after 9 matches. The gap was widest at -1.74, against GKS Katowice on Sat 12/09.

Goals
11
xG
12.18
Gap
-1.18
Mon 27/07 Sun 02/08 Sat 15/08 Sun 23/08 Sat 29/08 Mon 07/09 Sat 12/09 Tue 15/09 Sun 20/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +0.91 +0.88 +1.99 +0.72 -0.65 -1.12 -1.74 -0.12 -1.18 +0.91 -0.03 +1.11 -1.27 -1.37 -0.47 -0.62 +1.62 -1.06 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Zagłębie Lubin: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Mon 27/07 Piast Gliwice 2 1.09 +0.91 +0.91
Sun 02/08 Legia Warszawa 1 1.03 -0.03 +0.88
Sat 15/08 Śląsk Wrocław 2 0.89 +1.11 +1.99
Sun 23/08 Radomiak Radom 0 1.27 -1.27 +0.72
Sat 29/08 Pogoń Szczecin 0 1.37 -1.37 -0.65
Mon 07/09 Wieczysta Kraków 1 1.47 -0.47 -1.12
Sat 12/09 GKS Katowice 2 2.62 -0.62 -1.74
Tue 15/09 Raków Częstochowa 3 1.38 +1.62 -0.12
Sun 20/09 Wisła Płock 0 1.06 -1.06 -1.18

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Zagłębie Lubin xG trend

Current form +0.60 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 5 of 9 matches. The worst was against Legia Warszawa on Sun 02/08 (-0.67).

npxG · last 6
1.52
npxGA · last 6
0.91
-1 0 +1 +2 +3 +0.34 Mon 27/07 -0.67 Sun 02/08 -0.18 Sat 15/08 +0.51 Sun 23/08 +0.73 Sat 29/08 +0.44 Mon 07/09 +2.08 Sat 12/09 -0.01 Tue 15/09 -0.12 Sun 20/09 +0.35 season avg
Zagłębie Lubin: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Mon 27/07 Piast Gliwice 1.09 0.75 +0.34 +0.34
Sun 02/08 Legia Warszawa 1.03 1.70 -0.67 -0.17
Sat 15/08 Śląsk Wrocław 0.89 1.07 -0.18 -0.17
Sun 23/08 Radomiak Radom 1.29 0.78 +0.51 +0.00
Sat 29/08 Pogoń Szczecin 1.27 0.54 +0.73 +0.15
Mon 07/09 Wieczysta Kraków 1.47 1.03 +0.44 +0.19
Sat 12/09 GKS Katowice 2.62 0.54 +2.08 +0.46
Tue 15/09 Raków Częstochowa 1.38 1.39 -0.01 +0.40
Sun 20/09 Wisła Płock 1.06 1.18 -0.12 +0.35

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.34 npxG and 1.00 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 17 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
−0.09 xG vs league average
Over 9 league matches
Last 5
number 14 hardest of 18 in Ekstraklasa
−0.06 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

−0.09 xG vs league average · over 9 matches · number 17 hardest of 18

  1. Wisła Płock Home +0.01
  2. Raków Częstochowa Away −0.23
  3. GKS Katowice Home −0.04
  4. Wieczysta Kraków Away +0.03
  5. Pogoń Szczecin Home −0.10
  6. Radomiak Radom Away −0.29
  7. Śląsk Wrocław Home −0.29
  8. Legia Warszawa Away +0.14
  9. Piast Gliwice Home −0.09

Last 5

−0.06 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 14 hardest of 18

  1. Wisła Płock Home +0.01
  2. Raków Częstochowa Away −0.23
  3. GKS Katowice Home −0.04
  4. Wieczysta Kraków Away +0.03
  5. Pogoń Szczecin Home −0.10

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Zagłębie Lubin shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Zagłębie Lubin take 13.3 shots a match (league 14.9) at 0.10 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #17 in Ekstraklasa for volume and #7 for quality. 63% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 43% of their npxG (league 27%).

Attack

Shot volume
13.3 shots per match
#17/18
Shot volume (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Wisła Kraków 19.1
#2 Lech Poznań 18.9
#3 GKS Katowice 16.8
#4 Legia Warszawa 15.4
#5 Widzew Łódź 15.3
=6 Cracovia 15.1
=6 Raków Częstochowa 15.1
#8 Wisła Płock 14.9
=9 Motor Lublin 14.7
=9 Radomiak Radom 14.7
#11 Wieczysta Kraków 14.5
#12 Piast Gliwice 14.0
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 13.7
#14 Pogoń Szczecin 13.5
#15 Górnik Zabrze 13.4
#16 Jagiellonia Białystok 13.4
#17 Zagłębie Lubin 13.3
#18 Śląsk Wrocław 12.0
League avg
14.9
Total
120 shots from 9 matches
Chance quality
0.10 npxG per shot
#7/18
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Lech Poznań 0.11
#2 Pogoń Szczecin 0.11
#3 Wisła Płock 0.11
#4 Śląsk Wrocław 0.10
#5 Legia Warszawa 0.10
#6 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#7 Zagłębie Lubin 0.10
#8 Górnik Zabrze 0.10
#9 Widzew Łódź 0.10
#10 Cracovia 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Wisła Kraków 0.10
#13 GKS Katowice 0.09
#14 MKS Korona Kielce 0.09
#15 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.09
#16 Radomiak Radom 0.08
#17 Raków Częstochowa 0.08
#18 Piast Gliwice 0.08
League avg
0.10
Total
12.10 npxG from 120 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
15.8 shots per match
#11/18
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Lech Poznań 11.1
#2 Górnik Zabrze 11.4
#3 Wisła Kraków 12.0
#4 Legia Warszawa 12.7
#5 Motor Lublin 13.9
#6 MKS Korona Kielce 14.0
#7 Wisła Płock 14.4
#8 Widzew Łódź 14.9
#9 Cracovia 15.1
#10 Raków Częstochowa 15.3
#11 Zagłębie Lubin 15.8
=12 Jagiellonia Białystok 16.1
=12 Pogoń Szczecin 16.1
#14 Śląsk Wrocław 16.2
#15 GKS Katowice 16.9
#16 Wieczysta Kraków 17.0
#17 Piast Gliwice 17.2
#18 Radomiak Radom 17.6
League avg
14.9
Total
142 shots allowed from 9 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.06 npxGA per shot
#1/18
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Ekstraklasa, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Zagłębie Lubin 0.06
#2 Cracovia 0.07
#3 Lech Poznań 0.08
#4 Jagiellonia Białystok 0.08
#5 Górnik Zabrze 0.08
#6 Wisła Kraków 0.09
#7 Pogoń Szczecin 0.09
#8 Legia Warszawa 0.09
#9 Wieczysta Kraków 0.10
#10 Wisła Płock 0.10
#11 Motor Lublin 0.10
#12 Piast Gliwice 0.10
#13 MKS Korona Kielce 0.10
#14 GKS Katowice 0.11
#15 Radomiak Radom 0.11
#16 Śląsk Wrocław 0.11
#17 Widzew Łódź 0.12
#18 Raków Częstochowa 0.14
League avg
0.10
Total
8.98 npxGA from 142 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

63% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 76 of 120 shots over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

57% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 81 of 142 shots allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

57% open play · 43% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 5.2 of 12.1 npxG over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

73% open play · 27% set pieces

League avg 27% set pieces

From 2.5 of 8.9 npxG allowed over 9 matches

Early-season figure: after 9 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Zagłębie Lubin home and away xG

Zagłębie Lubin per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 5 4
xG / match 1.41 1.29
xGA / match 1.06 1.42
xGD / match +0.35 -0.13
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.60 1.30

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Zagłębie Lubin match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
9
xG / match
1.35
xGA / match
1.22
xGD / match
+0.13
Points
15 of 27
  1. Sun 20/09 Wisła Płock H xG 1.06 xGA 1.17 xGD -0.11
  2. Tue 15/09 Raków Częstochowa A Weakest underlying xG 1.38 xGA 2.17 P xGD -0.79
  3. Sat 12/09 GKS Katowice H Best underlying xG 2.62 xGA 1.30 P xGD +1.32
  4. Mon 07/09 Wieczysta Kraków A xG 1.47 xGA 1.02 xGD +0.45
  5. Sat 29/08 Pogoń Szczecin H xG 1.37 xGA 0.82 xGD +0.55
  6. Sun 23/08 Radomiak Radom A xG 1.27 xGA 0.78 xGD +0.49
  7. Sat 15/08 Śląsk Wrocław H xG 0.89 xGA 1.26 xGD -0.37
  8. Sun 02/08 Legia Warszawa A xG 1.03 xGA 1.70 xGD -0.67
  9. Mon 27/07 Piast Gliwice H xG 1.09 xGA 0.75 xGD +0.34

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Zagłębie Lubin in Ekstraklasa

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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