Saturday, 31/10/2026 at 17:00
27d 12h to kick-offNK Slaven Belupo – NK Istra 1961
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Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | NK Slaven Belupo | NK Istra 1961 |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | 0.93 · 8th | (better) 1.44 · 5th |
| xGA / match | 1.68 · 8th | (better) 1.26 · 5th |
| xGD / match | -0.76 · 8th | (better) +0.19 · 6th |
| xPts / match | 0.93 · 8th | (better) 1.45 · 6th |
| Last 6 xGD / match | -0.39 | (better) +0.18 |
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How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
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Model details
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- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- NK Slaven Belupo sample
- 20 matches
- NK Istra 1961 sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · NK Slaven Belupo
- 3 matches
- Away xG sample · NK Istra 1961
- 3 matches
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.