xgEdge

Expected goals

AS Trenčín expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Niké Liga (Slovakia) · after 7 matches · updated 1 Oct

AS Trenčín's attacking and defensive expected goals in Niké Liga (Slovakia) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

AS Trenčín xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.72 xG per match
#6/12
Attack (xG per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 2.57
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2.40
#3 DAC 1904 2.10
#4 MŠK Žilina 1.88
#5 MFK Ružomberok 1.78
#6 AS Trenčín 1.72
#7 FC Košice 1.69
#8 KFC Komárno 1.66
#9 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 1.61
#10 MFK Skalica 1.28
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 1.11
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.97
League avg
1.72
Total
12.06 7 matches
Defence
2.23 xGA per match
#11/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 0.96
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 1.12
#3 KFC Komárno 1.32
#4 DAC 1904 1.38
#5 MŠK Žilina 1.44
#6 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 1.84
#7 MFK Ružomberok 1.84
#8 MFK Skalica 1.98
#9 Dukla Banská Bystrica 2.09
#10 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 2.16
#11 AS Trenčín 2.23
#12 FC Košice 2.48
League avg
1.72
Total
15.58 7 matches
xG difference
-0.50 xGD per match
#7/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava +1.61
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava +1.28
#3 DAC 1904 +0.73
#4 MŠK Žilina +0.45
#5 KFC Komárno +0.34
#6 MFK Ružomberok -0.06
#7 AS Trenčín -0.50
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová -0.54
#9 MFK Skalica -0.71
#10 MFK Zemplín Michalovce -0.73
#11 FC Košice -0.79
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica -1.11
League avg
0.00
Total
-3.52 7 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.09 xPts per match
#9/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 2.25
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 2.08
#3 DAC 1904 1.91
#4 MŠK Žilina 1.64
#5 KFC Komárno 1.59
#6 MFK Ružomberok 1.38
#7 FC Košice 1.16
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 1.11
#9 AS Trenčín 1.09
#10 MFK Skalica 0.98
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 0.97
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.79
League avg
1.41
Total
7.66 vs 5 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 7 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

Expected goals here are summed over 7 of 8 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

AS Trenčín's underlying numbers sit close to the Niké Liga (Slovakia) average. They rank #7 for xG difference at -0.50 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 7 goals are 5.06 below 12.06 xG, while 4 points are 3.66 below 7.66 xPts — both over the 7 matches with xG. After only 7 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
7 12.06 -5.06 scored 5.06 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
17 15.58 +1.42 conceded 1.42 more than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
4 7.66 -3.66 3.66 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

AS Trenčín are 5.06 goals below their xG after 7 matches. The gap was widest at -5.40, against DAC 1904 on Sat 12/09.

Goals
7
xG
12.06
Gap
-5.06
Sat 25/07 Sat 15/08 Sun 23/08 Sat 29/08 Sat 05/09 Sat 12/09 Sat 19/09 -6 -5 -4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +0.39 -0.41 -1.85 -2.63 -3.98 -5.40 -5.06 +0.39 -0.80 -1.44 -0.78 -1.35 -1.42 +0.34 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
AS Trenčín: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 25/07 KFC Komárno 1 0.61 +0.39 +0.39
Sat 15/08 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 1 1.80 -0.80 -0.41
Sun 23/08 FC Spartak Trnava 0 1.44 -1.44 -1.85
Sat 29/08 MFK Ružomberok 2 2.78 -0.78 -2.63
Sat 05/09 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 1 2.35 -1.35 -3.98
Sat 12/09 DAC 1904 1 2.42 -1.42 -5.40
Sat 19/09 MŠK Žilina 1 0.66 +0.34 -5.06

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

AS Trenčín xG trend

Current form -0.26 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 2 of 7 matches. The worst was against MŠK Žilina on Sat 19/09 (-2.03).

npxG · last 6
1.91
npxGA · last 6
2.17
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 -1.98 Sat 25/07 -0.36 Sat 15/08 -0.38 Sun 23/08 +0.91 Sat 29/08 +0.39 Sat 05/09 -0.07 Sat 12/09 -2.03 Sat 19/09 -0.50 season avg
AS Trenčín: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 25/07 KFC Komárno 0.61 2.59 -1.98 -1.98
Sat 15/08 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 1.80 2.16 -0.36 -1.17
Sun 23/08 FC Spartak Trnava 1.44 1.82 -0.38 -0.91
Sat 29/08 MFK Ružomberok 2.78 1.87 +0.91 -0.45
Sat 05/09 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 2.35 1.96 +0.39 -0.28
Sat 12/09 DAC 1904 2.42 2.49 -0.07 -0.25
Sat 19/09 MŠK Žilina 0.66 2.69 -2.03 -0.50

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.72 npxG and 2.23 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 1 hardest of 12 in Niké Liga (Slovakia)
+0.07 xG vs league average
Over 8 league matches
Last 5
number 2 hardest of 12 in Niké Liga (Slovakia)
+0.14 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.07 xG vs league average · over 8 matches · tied number 1 hardest of 12

  1. MŠK Žilina Away +0.16
  2. DAC 1904 Home +0.51
  3. MFK Zemplín Michalovce Away −0.30
  4. MFK Ružomberok Home −0.22
  5. FC Spartak Trnava Home +0.53
  6. FK Železiarne Podbrezová Away 0.00
  7. FC Košice Away −0.14
  8. KFC Komárno Home −0.01

Last 5

+0.14 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 2 hardest of 12

  1. MŠK Žilina Away +0.16
  2. DAC 1904 Home +0.51
  3. MFK Zemplín Michalovce Away −0.30
  4. MFK Ružomberok Home −0.22
  5. FC Spartak Trnava Home +0.53

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

AS Trenčín shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. AS Trenčín take 13.4 shots a match (league 14.1) at 0.13 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #7 in Niké Liga (Slovakia) for volume and #5 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 65%).

Attack

Shot volume
13.4 shots per match
#7/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
=1 DAC 1904 17.6
=1 MŠK Žilina 17.6
#3 FC Spartak Trnava 17.5
#4 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 16.9
#5 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 15.0
#6 MFK Ružomberok 14.2
#7 AS Trenčín 13.4
#8 MFK Skalica 12.2
#9 FC Košice 12.0
#10 KFC Komárno 11.9
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 11.3
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 11.2
League avg
14.1
Total
94 shots from 7 matches
Chance quality
0.13 npxG per shot
#5/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 0.15
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 0.14
#3 FC Košice 0.14
#4 KFC Komárno 0.14
#5 AS Trenčín 0.13
#6 MFK Ružomberok 0.13
#7 DAC 1904 0.12
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 0.11
#9 MŠK Žilina 0.11
#10 MFK Skalica 0.11
#11 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 0.10
#12 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
12.06 npxG from 94 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
16.6 shots per match
#11/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 FC Spartak Trnava 9.5
#2 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 10.9
#3 DAC 1904 12.8
#4 MFK Ružomberok 13.2
#5 MŠK Žilina 13.6
#6 FC Košice 14.0
#7 Dukla Banská Bystrica 14.5
#8 KFC Komárno 14.7
#9 MFK Skalica 15.5
#10 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 16.3
#11 AS Trenčín 16.6
#12 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 16.8
League avg
14.1
Total
116 shots allowed from 7 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.13 npxGA per shot
#9/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Niké Liga (Slovakia), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 KFC Komárno 0.09
#2 FC Spartak Trnava 0.10
#3 ŠK Slovan Bratislava 0.10
#4 MŠK Žilina 0.11
#5 DAC 1904 0.11
#6 MFK Zemplín Michalovce 0.11
#7 MFK Skalica 0.13
#8 FK Železiarne Podbrezová 0.13
#9 AS Trenčín 0.13
#10 MFK Ružomberok 0.14
#11 Dukla Banská Bystrica 0.14
#12 FC Košice 0.18
League avg
0.12
Total
15.58 npxGA from 116 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

68% inside the box

League avg 65%

From 64 of 94 shots over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

70% allowed inside the box

League avg 65%

From 81 of 116 shots allowed over 7 matches

Early-season figure: after 7 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

AS Trenčín home and away xG

AS Trenčín per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 4 4 3 with xG
xG / match 1.81 1.60
xGA / match 2.19 2.27
xGD / match -0.38 -0.67
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.16 1.00

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every AS Trenčín match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
8 7 with xG
xG / match
1.72
xGA / match
2.23
xGD / match
-0.50
Points
5 of 24
  1. Sat 19/09 MŠK Žilina A Weakest underlying xG 0.66 xGA 2.69 xGD -2.03
  2. Sat 12/09 DAC 1904 H xG 2.42 xGA 2.49 xGD -0.07
  3. Sat 05/09 MFK Zemplín Michalovce A xG 2.35 xGA 1.96 xGD +0.39
  4. Sat 29/08 MFK Ružomberok H Best underlying xG 2.78 xGA 1.87 xGD +0.91
  5. Sun 23/08 FC Spartak Trnava H xG 1.44 xGA 1.82 xGD -0.38
  6. Sat 15/08 FK Železiarne Podbrezová A xG 1.80 xGA 2.16 xGD -0.36
  7. Sat 01/08 FC Košice A
  8. Sat 25/07 KFC Komárno H xG 0.61 xGA 2.59 xGD -1.98

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

AS Trenčín in Niké Liga (Slovakia)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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