xgEdge

Expected goals

Sligo Rovers expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Premier Division (Ireland) · after 32 matches · updated 4 Oct

Sligo Rovers's attacking and defensive expected goals in Premier Division (Ireland) 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Sligo Rovers xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.03 xG per match
#10/10
Attack (xG per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.78
#2 Bohemian FC 1.64
#3 Dundalk FC 1.57
#4 Shamrock Rovers 1.41
#5 Shelbourne 1.40
#6 Waterford FC 1.40
#7 Galway United 1.35
#8 Derry City 1.18
#9 Drogheda United 1.16
#10 Sligo Rovers 1.03
League avg
1.39
Total
32.98 32 matches
Defence
1.88 xGA per match
#10/10
Defence (xGA per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.93
#2 Bohemian FC 1.10
#3 Shamrock Rovers 1.14
#4 Derry City 1.18
#5 Shelbourne 1.20
#6 Galway United 1.51
#7 Dundalk FC 1.58
#8 Drogheda United 1.60
#9 Waterford FC 1.77
#10 Sligo Rovers 1.88
League avg
1.39
Total
60.05 32 matches
xG difference
-0.85 xGD per match
#10/10
xG difference (xGD per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic +0.85
#2 Bohemian FC +0.54
#3 Shamrock Rovers +0.27
#4 Shelbourne +0.20
#5 Derry City +0.01
#6 Dundalk FC -0.01
#7 Galway United -0.16
#8 Waterford FC -0.38
#9 Drogheda United -0.44
#10 Sligo Rovers -0.85
League avg
0.00
Total
-27.07 32 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.87 xPts per match
#10/10
Expected points (xPts per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.87
#2 Bohemian FC 1.75
#3 Shamrock Rovers 1.58
#4 Shelbourne 1.48
#5 Derry City 1.37
#6 Dundalk FC 1.35
#7 Galway United 1.28
#8 Waterford FC 1.17
#9 Drogheda United 1.10
#10 Sligo Rovers 0.87
League avg
1.38
Total
27.78 vs 23 actual pts

What the xG says

Sligo Rovers's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Premier Division (Ireland). They rank #10 for xG difference at -0.85 per match, from the league's lowest shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 24 goals are 8.98 below 32.98 xG, while 23 points are 4.78 below 27.78 xPts.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
24 32.98 -8.98 scored 8.98 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
54 60.05 -6.05 conceded 6.05 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
23 27.78 -4.78 4.78 points below xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Sligo Rovers are 8.98 goals below their xG after 32 matches.

Goals
24
xG
32.98
Gap
-8.98
Fri 06/02 Sat 14/02 Fri 20/02 Fri 27/02 Sat 07/03 Fri 13/03 Mon 16/03 Sat 21/03 Fri 03/04 Mon 06/04 Fri 10/04 Sat 18/04 Sat 25/04 Fri 01/05 Mon 04/05 Fri 08/05 Sat 16/05 Fri 22/05 Fri 29/05 Fri 12/06 Fri 19/06 Sat 27/06 Fri 03/07 Sat 11/07 Sat 25/07 Fri 31/07 Fri 07/08 Fri 21/08 Fri 28/08 Fri 11/09 Mon 14/09 Sat 19/09 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 +1 +0.77 +0.65 -0.24 -0.65 -0.28 -1.49 -2.07 -3.15 -2.44 -2.85 -2.40 -3.92 -4.77 -5.11 -5.25 -5.58 -6.65 -5.85 -5.26 -5.66 -6.51 -6.32 -6.44 -6.11 -5.80 -6.15 -6.38 -7.04 -7.19 -8.41 -8.38 -8.98 +0.77 -0.12 -0.89 -0.41 +0.37 -1.21 -0.58 -1.08 +0.71 -0.41 +0.45 -1.52 -0.85 -0.34 -0.14 -0.33 -1.07 +0.80 +0.59 -0.40 -0.85 +0.19 -0.12 +0.33 +0.31 -0.35 -0.23 -0.66 -0.15 -1.22 +0.03 -0.60 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Sligo Rovers: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Fri 06/02 Derry City 1 0.23 +0.77 +0.77
Sat 14/02 Bohemian FC 0 0.12 -0.12 +0.65
Fri 20/02 Waterford FC 0 0.89 -0.89 -0.24
Fri 27/02 Galway United 0 0.41 -0.41 -0.65
Sat 07/03 Drogheda United 2 1.63 +0.37 -0.28
Fri 13/03 Shamrock Rovers 0 1.21 -1.21 -1.49
Mon 16/03 Dundalk FC 0 0.58 -0.58 -2.07
Sat 21/03 Shelbourne 0 1.08 -1.08 -3.15
Fri 03/04 St. Patrick's Athletic 1 0.29 +0.71 -2.44
Mon 06/04 Derry City 0 0.41 -0.41 -2.85
Fri 10/04 Bohemian FC 2 1.55 +0.45 -2.40
Sat 18/04 Waterford FC 2 3.52 -1.52 -3.92
Sat 25/04 Dundalk FC 2 2.85 -0.85 -4.77
Fri 01/05 Drogheda United 0 0.34 -0.34 -5.11
Mon 04/05 St. Patrick's Athletic 1 1.14 -0.14 -5.25
Fri 08/05 Shelbourne 0 0.33 -0.33 -5.58
Sat 16/05 Galway United 1 2.07 -1.07 -6.65
Fri 22/05 Shamrock Rovers 2 1.20 +0.80 -5.85
Fri 29/05 Bohemian FC 1 0.41 +0.59 -5.26
Fri 12/06 Waterford FC 0 0.40 -0.40 -5.66
Fri 19/06 St. Patrick's Athletic 0 0.85 -0.85 -6.51
Sat 27/06 Shelbourne 2 1.81 +0.19 -6.32
Fri 03/07 Shamrock Rovers 1 1.12 -0.12 -6.44
Sat 11/07 Galway United 2 1.67 +0.33 -6.11
Sat 25/07 Drogheda United 2 1.69 +0.31 -5.80
Fri 31/07 Dundalk FC 1 1.35 -0.35 -6.15
Fri 07/08 Derry City 0 0.23 -0.23 -6.38
Fri 21/08 Waterford FC 0 0.66 -0.66 -7.04
Fri 28/08 Bohemian FC 0 0.15 -0.15 -7.19
Fri 11/09 Drogheda United 0 1.22 -1.22 -8.41
Mon 14/09 Galway United 1 0.97 +0.03 -8.38
Sat 19/09 St. Patrick's Athletic 0 0.60 -0.60 -8.98

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

Sligo Rovers xG trend

Current form -1.19 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 8 of 32 matches. The worst was against St. Patrick's Athletic on Fri 03/04 (-3.58).

npxG · last 6
0.64
npxGA · last 6
1.83
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 -2.10 Fri 06/02 -2.98 Sat 14/02 -1.79 Fri 20/02 -1.61 Fri 27/02 -0.37 Sat 07/03 -0.34 Fri 13/03 -0.73 Mon 16/03 +0.39 Sat 21/03 -3.58 Fri 03/04 +0.03 Mon 06/04 -0.26 Fri 10/04 +2.34 Sat 18/04 +0.72 Sat 25/04 -1.37 Fri 01/05 +0.27 Mon 04/05 -1.51 Fri 08/05 +0.50 Sat 16/05 -0.28 Fri 22/05 -1.51 Fri 29/05 -2.72 Fri 12/06 -2.88 Fri 19/06 +0.69 Sat 27/06 -0.50 Fri 03/07 -0.61 Sat 11/07 +0.66 Sat 25/07 -0.39 Fri 31/07 -1.45 Fri 07/08 -0.93 Fri 21/08 -1.33 Fri 28/08 -0.20 Fri 11/09 -1.45 Mon 14/09 -1.78 Sat 19/09 -0.85 season avg
Sligo Rovers: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Fri 06/02 Derry City 0.23 2.33 -2.10 -2.10
Sat 14/02 Bohemian FC 0.12 3.10 -2.98 -2.54
Fri 20/02 Waterford FC 0.89 2.68 -1.79 -2.29
Fri 27/02 Galway United 0.41 2.02 -1.61 -2.12
Sat 07/03 Drogheda United 1.63 2.00 -0.37 -1.77
Fri 13/03 Shamrock Rovers 1.21 1.55 -0.34 -1.53
Mon 16/03 Dundalk FC 0.58 1.31 -0.73 -1.42
Sat 21/03 Shelbourne 1.08 0.69 +0.39 -1.19
Fri 03/04 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.29 3.87 -3.58 -1.46
Mon 06/04 Derry City 0.41 0.38 +0.03 -1.31
Fri 10/04 Bohemian FC 1.55 1.81 -0.26 -1.21
Sat 18/04 Waterford FC 3.52 1.18 +2.34 -0.92
Sat 25/04 Dundalk FC 2.85 2.13 +0.72 -0.79
Fri 01/05 Drogheda United 0.34 1.71 -1.37 -0.83
Mon 04/05 St. Patrick's Athletic 1.14 0.87 +0.27 -0.76
Fri 08/05 Shelbourne 0.33 1.84 -1.51 -0.81
Sat 16/05 Galway United 2.07 1.57 +0.50 -0.73
Fri 22/05 Shamrock Rovers 1.20 1.48 -0.28 -0.70
Fri 29/05 Bohemian FC 0.41 1.92 -1.51 -0.75
Fri 12/06 Waterford FC 0.40 3.12 -2.72 -0.85
Fri 19/06 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.85 3.73 -2.88 -0.94
Sat 27/06 Shelbourne 1.81 1.12 +0.69 -0.87
Fri 03/07 Shamrock Rovers 1.12 1.62 -0.50 -0.85
Sat 11/07 Galway United 1.67 2.28 -0.61 -0.84
Sat 25/07 Drogheda United 1.69 1.03 +0.66 -0.78
Fri 31/07 Dundalk FC 1.35 1.74 -0.39 -0.77
Fri 07/08 Derry City 0.23 1.68 -1.45 -0.79
Fri 21/08 Waterford FC 0.66 1.59 -0.93 -0.80
Fri 28/08 Bohemian FC 0.15 1.48 -1.33 -0.82
Fri 11/09 Drogheda United 1.22 1.42 -0.20 -0.79
Mon 14/09 Galway United 0.97 2.42 -1.45 -0.82
Sat 19/09 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.60 2.38 -1.78 -0.85

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.03 npxG and 1.88 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 1 hardest of 10 in Premier Division (Ireland)
+0.08 xG vs league average
Over 32 league matches
Last 5
number 4 hardest of 10 in Premier Division (Ireland)
+0.08 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.08 xG vs league average · over 32 matches · number 1 hardest of 10

  1. St. Patrick's Athletic Home +0.56
  2. Galway United Home −0.33
  3. Drogheda United Away −0.36
  4. Bohemian FC Away +0.45
  5. Waterford FC Home +0.09
  6. Derry City Away +0.14
  7. Dundalk FC Away −0.04
  8. Drogheda United Home −0.36
  9. Galway United Away −0.33
  10. Shamrock Rovers Home +0.20
  11. Shelbourne Home +0.06
  12. St. Patrick's Athletic Away +0.56
  13. Waterford FC Away +0.09
  14. Bohemian FC Home +0.45
  15. Shamrock Rovers Away +0.20
  16. Galway United Home −0.33
  17. Shelbourne Away +0.06
  18. St. Patrick's Athletic Home +0.56
  19. Drogheda United Away −0.36
  20. Dundalk FC Home −0.04
  21. Waterford FC Home +0.09
  22. Bohemian FC Away +0.45
  23. Derry City Home +0.14
  24. St. Patrick's Athletic Away +0.56
  25. Shelbourne Home +0.06
  26. Dundalk FC Away −0.04
  27. Shamrock Rovers Home +0.20
  28. Drogheda United Home −0.36
  29. Galway United Away −0.33
  30. Waterford FC Away +0.09
  31. Bohemian FC Home +0.45
  32. Derry City Away +0.14

Last 5

+0.08 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 4 hardest of 10

  1. St. Patrick's Athletic Home +0.56
  2. Galway United Home −0.33
  3. Drogheda United Away −0.36
  4. Bohemian FC Away +0.45
  5. Waterford FC Home +0.09

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Sligo Rovers shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. Sligo Rovers take 9.7 shots a match (league 13.8) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #10 in Premier Division (Ireland) for volume and #2 for quality. 62% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
9.7 shots per match
#10/10
Shot volume (shots per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 17.3
#2 Bohemian FC 16.5
#3 Dundalk FC 16.1
#4 Shelbourne 14.1
#5 Shamrock Rovers 13.8
#6 Derry City 13.7
#7 Waterford FC 13.4
#8 Galway United 12.2
#9 Drogheda United 10.9
#10 Sligo Rovers 9.7
League avg
13.8
Total
309 shots from 32 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#2/10
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Galway United 0.11
#2 Sligo Rovers 0.11
#3 Drogheda United 0.11
#4 Waterford FC 0.10
#5 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.10
#6 Shamrock Rovers 0.10
#7 Bohemian FC 0.10
#8 Shelbourne 0.10
#9 Dundalk FC 0.10
#10 Derry City 0.09
League avg
0.10
Total
32.98 npxG from 309 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
19.3 shots per match
#10/10
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Bohemian FC 10.0
#2 St. Patrick's Athletic 10.3
#3 Shamrock Rovers 11.0
#4 Derry City 11.2
#5 Shelbourne 12.2
#6 Dundalk FC 13.9
#7 Drogheda United 15.4
#8 Galway United 16.4
#9 Waterford FC 17.6
#10 Sligo Rovers 19.3
League avg
13.8
Total
619 shots allowed from 32 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.10 npxGA per shot
#3/10
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Premier Division (Ireland), best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 St. Patrick's Athletic 0.09
#2 Galway United 0.09
#3 Sligo Rovers 0.10
#4 Shelbourne 0.10
#5 Waterford FC 0.10
#6 Shamrock Rovers 0.10
#7 Drogheda United 0.10
#8 Derry City 0.11
#9 Bohemian FC 0.11
#10 Dundalk FC 0.11
League avg
0.10
Total
60.05 npxGA from 619 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

62% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 192 of 309 shots over 32 matches

Shots allowed, location

66% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 409 of 619 shots allowed over 32 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Sligo Rovers home and away xG

Sligo Rovers per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 16 16
xG / match 1.33 0.73
xGA / match 1.60 2.16
xGD / match -0.27 -1.43
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.21 0.52

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Sligo Rovers match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

Last 10

Matches
10
xG / match
0.97
xGA / match
1.76
xGD / match
-0.80
Points
3 of 30
  1. Sat 19/09 St. Patrick's Athletic H Weakest underlying xG 0.60 xGA 2.38 xGD -1.78
  2. Mon 14/09 Galway United H xG 0.97 xGA 2.42 xGD -1.45
  3. Fri 11/09 Drogheda United A xG 1.22 xGA 1.42 xGD -0.20
  4. Fri 28/08 Bohemian FC A xG 0.15 xGA 1.48 xGD -1.33
  5. Fri 21/08 Waterford FC H xG 0.66 xGA 1.59 xGD -0.93
  6. Fri 07/08 Derry City A xG 0.23 xGA 1.68 xGD -1.45
  7. Fri 31/07 Dundalk FC A xG 1.35 xGA 1.74 xGD -0.39
  8. Sat 25/07 Drogheda United H Best underlying xG 1.69 xGA 1.03 xGD +0.66
  9. Sat 11/07 Galway United A xG 1.67 xGA 2.28 xGD -0.61
  10. Fri 03/07 Shamrock Rovers H xG 1.12 xGA 1.62 xGD -0.50

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.00. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Sligo Rovers in Premier Division (Ireland)

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

Mind if we count your visit?

We use Google Analytics only to see how many people visit and which pages they read. It loads after you allow it — no ads, no tracking across other sites. What we collect