Sunderland xG 2026/2027: expected goals, xGA & xPts per match

Sunderland xG and xGA per match

Attack

1.90 xG per match

Attack (xG per match) across Premier League, best first
Rank	Club	xG per match
#1	Brighton & Hove Albion	2.31
#2	Manchester City	2.10
#3	Brentford	1.96
#4	Manchester United	1.93
#5	Sunderland	1.90
#6	Arsenal	1.70
#7	Liverpool	1.67
#8	Fulham	1.56
#9	Leeds United	1.56
#10	Ipswich Town	1.53
#11	Chelsea	1.47
#12	Everton	1.46
#13	Nottingham Forest	1.45
#14	Bournemouth	1.34
#15	Crystal Palace	1.25
#16	Hull City	1.10
#17	Newcastle United	1.07
#18	Tottenham Hotspur	1.00
#19	Coventry City	0.97
#20	Aston Villa	0.91

League avg: 1.51
Total: 9.49 5 matches

Defence

1.75 xGA per match

#14/20

Defence (xGA per match) across Premier League, best first
Rank	Club	xGA per match
#1	Arsenal	0.81
#2	Nottingham Forest	0.95
#3	Liverpool	1.22
#4	Brentford	1.26
#5	Leeds United	1.27
#6	Everton	1.39
#7	Bournemouth	1.39
#8	Manchester United	1.40
#9	Manchester City	1.45
#10	Hull City	1.48
#11	Tottenham Hotspur	1.56
#12	Coventry City	1.73
#13	Brighton & Hove Albion	1.74
#14	Sunderland	1.75
#15	Ipswich Town	1.75
#16	Fulham	1.77
#17	Chelsea	1.78
#18	Newcastle United	1.83
#19	Aston Villa	1.84
#20	Crystal Palace	1.89

League avg: 1.51
Total: 8.73 5 matches

xG difference

+0.15 xGD per match

#9/20

xG difference (xGD per match) across Premier League, best first
Rank	Club	xGD per match
#1	Arsenal	+0.89
#2	Brentford	+0.70
#3	Manchester City	+0.65
#4	Brighton & Hove Albion	+0.57
#5	Manchester United	+0.53
#6	Nottingham Forest	+0.50
#7	Liverpool	+0.45
#8	Leeds United	+0.29
#9	Sunderland	+0.15
#10	Everton	+0.08
#11	Bournemouth	-0.05
#12	Fulham	-0.21
#13	Ipswich Town	-0.22
#14	Chelsea	-0.31
#15	Hull City	-0.37
#16	Tottenham Hotspur	-0.56
#17	Crystal Palace	-0.64
#18	Coventry City	-0.75
#19	Newcastle United	-0.76
#20	Aston Villa	-0.94

League avg: 0.00
Total: +0.76 5 matches

Expected points Model

1.47 xPts per match

#9/20

Expected points (xPts per match) across Premier League, best first
Rank	Club	xPts per match
#1	Arsenal	2.07
#2	Manchester City	1.87
#3	Nottingham Forest	1.72
#4	Liverpool	1.69
#5	Brentford	1.66
#6	Brighton & Hove Albion	1.62
#7	Manchester United	1.60
#8	Leeds United	1.55
#9	Sunderland	1.47
#10	Everton	1.45
#11	Ipswich Town	1.41
#12	Bournemouth	1.39
#13	Tottenham Hotspur	1.17
#14	Fulham	1.17
#15	Chelsea	1.16
#16	Hull City	1.09
#17	Crystal Palace	0.95
#18	Aston Villa	0.90
#19	Coventry City	0.87
#20	Newcastle United	0.82

League avg: 1.38
Total: 7.35 vs 4 actual pts

Early-season figures: after 5 matches, per-match rates can move quickly.

What the xG says

Sunderland's underlying numbers sit close to the Premier League average. They rank #9 for xG difference at +0.15 per match, built on elite chance quality rather than about average shot volume. Their 6 goals are 3.49 below 9.49 xG, while 4 points are 3.35 below 7.35 xPts. After only 5 matches, those gaps should still be read cautiously.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected

Goals vs xG Includes 0.64 xG from penalties

6 9.49 -3.49 scored 3.49 fewer than xG outside normal variance

Goals conceded vs xGA

10 8.73 +1.27 conceded 1.27 more than xGA within normal variance

Points vs xPts Model

4 7.35 -3.35 3.35 points below xPts outside normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Sunderland are 3.49 goals below their xG after 5 matches.

Goals: 6
xG: 9.49
Gap: -3.49

Sunderland: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date	Opponent	Goals	xG	Match gap	Running gap
Sat 22/08	Ipswich Town	1	0.66	+0.34	+0.34
Sun 30/08	Fulham	1	1.75	-0.75	-0.41
Sat 05/09	Brentford	1	1.71	-0.71	-1.12
Sat 12/09	Arsenal	0	1.80	-1.80	-2.92
Sun 20/09	Manchester City	3	3.57	-0.57	-3.49

Conceded minus xGA, match by match

Sunderland have conceded 1.27 more than their xGA after 5 matches.

Conceded: 10
xGA: 8.73
Gap: +1.27

Sunderland: Goals conceded vs xGA, the gap after every match with xG
Date	Opponent	Conceded	xGA	Match gap	Running gap
Sat 22/08	Ipswich Town	2	1.80	+0.20	+0.20
Sun 30/08	Fulham	0	1.02	-1.02	-0.82
Sat 05/09	Brentford	1	1.21	-0.21	-1.03
Sat 12/09	Arsenal	2	1.88	+0.12	-0.91
Sun 20/09	Manchester City	5	2.82	+2.18	+1.27

Points minus xPts, match by match

Sunderland are 3.35 points below their xPts after 5 matches.

Points: 4
xPts: 7.35
Gap: -3.35

Sunderland: Points vs xPts, the gap after every match with xG
Date	Opponent	Points	xPts	Match gap	Running gap
Sat 22/08	Ipswich Town	0	0.49	-0.49	-0.49
Sun 30/08	Fulham	3	1.95	+1.05	+0.56
Sat 05/09	Brentford	1	1.76	-0.76	-0.20
Sat 12/09	Arsenal	0	1.33	-1.33	-1.53
Sun 20/09	Manchester City	0	1.82	-1.82	-3.35

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Sunderland xG trend

Current form +0.20 npxGD per match

All 5 matches with xG so far — the window fills at 6.

Out-created the opponent in 2 of 5 matches. The worst was against Ipswich Town on Sat 22/08 (-0.98).

npxG · last 5: 1.77
npxGA · last 5: 1.57

Sunderland: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date	Opponent	npxG	npxGA	npxGD	Avg so far
Sat 22/08	Ipswich Town	0.76	1.74	-0.98	-0.98
Sun 30/08	Fulham	1.75	0.94	+0.81	-0.08
Sat 05/09	Brentford	1.15	1.25	-0.10	-0.09
Sat 12/09	Arsenal	0.85	1.18	-0.33	-0.15
Sun 20/09	Manchester City	4.34	2.72	+1.62	+0.20

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.77 npxG and 1.57 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far: number 2 hardest of 20 in Premier League; +0.13 xG vs league average; Over 5 league matches

Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.13 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 2 hardest of 20

Manchester City Away +0.34
Arsenal Home +0.43
Brentford Away +0.01
Fulham Home −0.02
Ipswich Town Away −0.14

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Sunderland shots and chance quality

Average volume, high quality. Sunderland take 13.2 shots a match (league 13.9) at 0.13 npxG a shot (league 0.10), #12 in Premier League for volume and #2 for quality. 68% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%), and set pieces produce 27% of their npxG (league 25%).

Attack

Shot volume

13.2 shots per match

#12/20

Shot volume (shots per match) across Premier League, best first
Rank	Club	shots per match
#1	Manchester United	22.6
#2	Brighton & Hove Albion	19.0
#3	Nottingham Forest	16.4
#4	Brentford	16.2
#5	Everton	16.0
#6	Liverpool	15.2
=7	Chelsea	14.4
=7	Fulham	14.4
#9	Tottenham Hotspur	14.2
=10	Bournemouth	13.6
=10	Manchester City	13.6
#12	Sunderland	13.2
#13	Arsenal	13.0
=14	Hull City	12.2
=14	Leeds United	12.2
#16	Ipswich Town	11.6
#17	Crystal Palace	10.6
=18	Coventry City	10.2
=18	Newcastle United	10.2
#20	Aston Villa	9.6

League avg: 13.9
Total: 66 shots from 5 matches

Chance quality

0.13 npxG per shot

#2/20

Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Premier League, best first
Rank	Club	npxG per shot
#1	Manchester City	0.14
#2	Sunderland	0.13
#3	Leeds United	0.13
#4	Ipswich Town	0.13
#5	Arsenal	0.12
#6	Crystal Palace	0.12
#7	Brentford	0.12
#8	Brighton & Hove Albion	0.11
#9	Fulham	0.11
#10	Bournemouth	0.11
#11	Coventry City	0.10
#12	Chelsea	0.10
#13	Everton	0.09
#14	Aston Villa	0.09
#15	Liverpool	0.09
#16	Hull City	0.09
#17	Newcastle United	0.08
#18	Manchester United	0.08
#19	Nottingham Forest	0.07
#20	Tottenham Hotspur	0.07

League avg: 0.10
Total: 8.85 npxG from 66 shots

Defence

Shots allowed

12.0 shots per match

#8/20

Shots allowed (shots per match) across Premier League, best first
Rank	Club	shots per match
#1	Nottingham Forest	10.4
=2	Arsenal	10.6
=2	Manchester United	10.6
#4	Bournemouth	10.8
=5	Brighton & Hove Albion	11.6
=5	Liverpool	11.6
#7	Manchester City	11.8
#8	Sunderland	12.0
#9	Brentford	13.4
=10	Everton	13.8
=10	Hull City	13.8
#12	Chelsea	14.4
#13	Leeds United	14.6
#14	Tottenham Hotspur	15.2
#15	Aston Villa	16.2
#16	Fulham	16.6
#17	Crystal Palace	16.8
#18	Ipswich Town	17.2
#19	Coventry City	17.4
#20	Newcastle United	19.6

League avg: 13.9
Total: 60 shots allowed from 5 matches

Chance quality allowed

0.13 npxGA per shot

#16/20

Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Premier League, best first
Rank	Club	npxGA per shot
#1	Arsenal	0.06
#2	Leeds United	0.08
#3	Newcastle United	0.08
#4	Coventry City	0.08
#5	Liverpool	0.09
#6	Brentford	0.09
#7	Tottenham Hotspur	0.09
#8	Hull City	0.09
#9	Fulham	0.10
#10	Everton	0.10
#11	Nottingham Forest	0.10
#12	Ipswich Town	0.10
#13	Crystal Palace	0.10
#14	Aston Villa	0.11
#15	Bournemouth	0.13
#16	Sunderland	0.13
#17	Manchester United	0.13
#18	Chelsea	0.13
#19	Manchester City	0.14
#20	Brighton & Hove Albion	0.16

League avg: 0.10
Total: 7.83 npxGA from 60 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

68% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 45 of 66 shots over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Shots allowed, location

70% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 42 of 60 shots allowed over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG comes from

73% open play · 27% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 2.4 of 8.8 npxG over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

Where the npxG allowed comes from

80% open play · 20% set pieces

League avg 25% set pieces

From 1.6 of 7.8 npxG allowed over 5 matches

Early-season figure: after 5 matches, the share can move quickly.

How the shot figures are made →

Sunderland home and away xG

Sunderland per-match figures at home and away
Measure	Home only 2 matches with xG	Away
Matches	2	3
xG / match	1.78	1.98
xGA / match	1.45	1.94
xGD / match	+0.32	+0.04
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →	1.64	1.36

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Sunderland match by xG

Window

Season Last 10 Last 5

Venue

All Home Away

Sort

Date xGD

This season

Matches: 5
xG / match: 1.90
xGA / match: 1.75
xGD / match: +0.15
Points: 4 of 15

Date Opponent Score xG Chances xGA xGD xPts Model

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 3.57. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Sunderland in Premier League

Attack

xG / match #5 of 20
Shots / match #12 of 20
Chance quality #2 of 20
Home xG #12 of 20
Away xG #1 of 20

Defence

xGA / match #14 of 20
Shots allowed #8 of 20
Chance quality allowed #16 of 20

Overall

About the data

xG data: Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics: xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics: xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

Sunderland expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Sunderland xG and xGA per match

What the xG says

Actual vs expected

Goals minus xG, match by match

Conceded minus xGA, match by match

Points minus xPts, match by match

Sunderland xG trend

Strength of schedule

Sunderland shots and chance quality

Attack

Defence

Shot profile

Sunderland home and away xG

Every Sunderland match by xG

Sunderland in Premier League

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data