Saturday, 17/10/2026 at 15:00
13d 13h to kick-offSC Oțelul Galați – FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc
Model updated 4 October, 00:30 Odds not yet available
What the model expects
- SC Oțelul Galați
- 58%
- Draw
- 26%
- FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc
- 16%
| SC Oțelul Galați | Draw | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc | |
|---|---|---|---|
| Fair odds | 1.71 | 3.87 | 6.32 |
- Total goals
- 2.82
- Over 2.5 goals
- 55%
- Both teams to score
- 58%
Both teams have the full 20-match model window available.
Model vs market
Market odds are not available for this match yet.
Why the model leans SC Oțelul Galați
58% SC Oțelul Galați to win
- Attack
- 13th vs 13th
- SC Oțelul Galați attack v FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc defence
- Defence
- 11th vs 16th
- SC Oțelul Galați defence v FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc attack
- Recent xG form
- -0.57 vs -1.10
- xGD per match, last 6
- Projected goals
- 1.87 – 0.95
- SC Oțelul Galați v FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc
Team comparison
Season to date, per match, with each club's placing in the competition. The last row is the last 6 matches.
| Reading | SC Oțelul Galați | FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc |
|---|---|---|
| xG / match | (better) 1.33 · 13th | 0.74 · 16th |
| xGA / match | (better) 1.78 · 11th | 1.95 · 12th |
| xGD / match | (better) -0.45 · 12th | -1.22 · 16th |
| xPts / match | (better) 1.09 · 13th | 0.55 · 16th |
| Last 6 xGD / match | (better) -0.57 | -1.10 |
The scorelines behind the model's numbers
No exact score is especially likely. The 3 most probable scorelines account for 35% of the model's distribution.
- SC Oțelul Galați clean sheet
- 35%
- SC Oțelul Galați 2+ goals
- 58%
- Under 2.5 goals
- 45%
- Both teams to score: no
- 42%
Most likely scorelines
- 1:1
- 13.2%
- 2:1
- 11.8%
- 2:0
- 10.4%
Check your bookmaker's price
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How value is calculated
Value is probability × odds − 1 — it pays on average and over the long run, not necessarily in this match. The model knows nothing of absences, motivation or the schedule.
Nothing you type is remembered.
Model details
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- Fit window
- the last 20 matches, recency weighted (a match 107 days old counts half)
- SC Oțelul Galați sample
- 20 matches
- FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc sample
- 20 matches
- Home xG sample · SC Oțelul Galați
- 6 matches
- Away xG sample · FK Csíkszereda Miercurea Ciuc
- 5 matches
- Computed
- Sunday, 04/10/2026 at 00:30
Limitations
The model reads expected goals and nothing else. It does not know the lineups, who is injured or suspended, what either side has to play for, the weather, or how congested the schedule around this match is.