xgEdge

Expected goals

IFK Mariehamn expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Veikkausliiga · after 23 matches · updated 1 Oct

IFK Mariehamn's attacking and defensive expected goals in Veikkausliiga 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

IFK Mariehamn xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.10 xG per match
#12/12
Attack (xG per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 KuPS 1.96
#2 FC Lahti 1.80
#3 Inter Turku 1.78
#4 HJK 1.77
#5 Ilves 1.72
#6 SJK 1.71
#7 IF Gnistan 1.61
#8 VPS 1.56
#9 TPS 1.50
#10 FF Jaro 1.21
#11 AC Oulu 1.20
#12 IFK Mariehamn 1.10
League avg
1.57
Total
25.20 23 matches
Defence
2.50 xGA per match
#12/12
Defence (xGA per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Inter Turku 0.93
#2 KuPS 1.26
#3 HJK 1.32
#4 FC Lahti 1.42
#5 IF Gnistan 1.43
#6 VPS 1.44
#7 AC Oulu 1.58
#8 TPS 1.58
#9 SJK 1.67
#10 FF Jaro 1.71
#11 Ilves 1.94
#12 IFK Mariehamn 2.50
League avg
1.57
Total
57.55 23 matches
xG difference
-1.41 xGD per match
#12/12
xG difference (xGD per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Inter Turku +0.86
#2 KuPS +0.70
#3 HJK +0.45
#4 FC Lahti +0.38
#5 IF Gnistan +0.18
#6 VPS +0.12
#7 SJK +0.04
#8 TPS -0.08
#9 Ilves -0.21
#10 AC Oulu -0.37
#11 FF Jaro -0.50
#12 IFK Mariehamn -1.41
League avg
0.00
Total
-32.35 23 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
0.69 xPts per match
#12/12
Expected points (xPts per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Inter Turku 1.96
#2 KuPS 1.78
#3 HJK 1.74
#4 FC Lahti 1.51
#5 IF Gnistan 1.43
#6 SJK 1.42
#7 VPS 1.36
#8 Ilves 1.35
#9 TPS 1.32
#10 AC Oulu 1.13
#11 FF Jaro 1.05
#12 IFK Mariehamn 0.69
League avg
1.39
Total
15.98 vs 17 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 23 of 25 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

IFK Mariehamn's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Veikkausliiga. They rank #12 for xG difference at -1.41 per match, from the league's lowest shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 20 goals are 5.20 below 25.20 xG, while 17 points are 1.02 above 15.98 xPts — both over the 23 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG Includes 1.76 xG from penalties
20 25.20 -5.20 scored 5.20 fewer than xG outside normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
43 57.55 -14.55 conceded 14.55 fewer than xGA outside normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
17 15.98 +1.02 1.02 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

IFK Mariehamn are 5.20 goals below their xG after 23 matches. The gap was widest at -8.52, against SJK on Sat 15/08.

Goals
20
xG
25.20
Gap
-5.20
Sat 04/04 Fri 10/04 Sat 18/04 Sat 25/04 Sat 02/05 Sun 10/05 Sat 16/05 Sat 13/06 Thu 18/06 Tue 23/06 Sat 27/06 Sat 04/07 Sat 11/07 Mon 20/07 Sat 25/07 Sat 01/08 Sun 09/08 Sat 15/08 Sun 23/08 Mon 31/08 Tue 08/09 Sat 12/09 Fri 18/09 -9 -7 -5 -3 -1 +1 +0.34 -0.06 -0.36 -0.52 -0.88 -0.91 -0.56 -1.57 -2.71 -3.65 -3.70 -4.07 -2.67 -3.08 -4.63 -6.71 -8.24 -8.52 -5.99 -5.14 -5.29 -5.24 -5.20 +0.34 -0.40 -0.30 -0.16 -0.36 -0.03 +0.35 -1.01 -1.14 -0.94 -0.05 -0.37 +1.40 -0.41 -1.55 -2.08 -1.53 -0.28 +2.53 +0.85 -0.15 +0.05 +0.04 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
IFK Mariehamn: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 04/04 TPS 1 0.66 +0.34 +0.34
Fri 10/04 SJK 0 0.40 -0.40 -0.06
Sat 18/04 Ilves 2 2.30 -0.30 -0.36
Sat 25/04 Inter Turku 0 0.16 -0.16 -0.52
Sat 02/05 VPS 0 0.36 -0.36 -0.88
Sun 10/05 FC Lahti 1 1.03 -0.03 -0.91
Sat 16/05 KuPS 1 0.65 +0.35 -0.56
Sat 13/06 IF Gnistan 0 1.01 -1.01 -1.57
Thu 18/06 AC Oulu 1 2.14 -1.14 -2.71
Tue 23/06 HJK 0 0.94 -0.94 -3.65
Sat 27/06 Inter Turku 0 0.05 -0.05 -3.70
Sat 04/07 VPS 0 0.37 -0.37 -4.07
Sat 11/07 IF Gnistan 2 0.60 +1.40 -2.67
Mon 20/07 FC Lahti 0 0.41 -0.41 -3.08
Sat 25/07 AC Oulu 1 2.55 -1.55 -4.63
Sat 01/08 TPS 0 2.08 -2.08 -6.71
Sun 09/08 Ilves 0 1.53 -1.53 -8.24
Sat 15/08 SJK 2 2.28 -0.28 -8.52
Sun 23/08 KuPS 4 1.47 +2.53 -5.99
Mon 31/08 FF Jaro 2 1.15 +0.85 -5.14
Tue 08/09 FC Lahti 1 1.15 -0.15 -5.29
Sat 12/09 TPS 1 0.95 +0.05 -5.24
Fri 18/09 SJK 1 0.96 +0.04 -5.20

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking → Compare with every club in Europe →

IFK Mariehamn xG trend

Current form -0.51 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 3 of 23 matches. The worst was against Inter Turku on Sat 27/06 (-3.49).

npxG · last 6
1.33
npxGA · last 6
1.84
-4 -3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 -0.45 Sat 04/04 -1.29 Fri 10/04 +1.24 Sat 18/04 -2.16 Sat 25/04 -3.02 Sat 02/05 -1.72 Sun 10/05 -1.90 Sat 16/05 -2.97 Sat 13/06 -0.76 Thu 18/06 -2.79 Tue 23/06 -3.49 Sat 27/06 -3.37 Sat 04/07 -3.18 Sat 11/07 -2.19 Mon 20/07 -0.16 Sat 25/07 -0.11 Sat 01/08 +0.25 Sun 09/08 +1.43 Sat 15/08 -0.50 Sun 23/08 -1.07 Mon 31/08 -0.92 Tue 08/09 -1.08 Sat 12/09 -0.92 Fri 18/09 -1.35 season avg
IFK Mariehamn: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 04/04 TPS 0.66 1.11 -0.45 -0.45
Fri 10/04 SJK 0.40 1.69 -1.29 -0.87
Sat 18/04 Ilves 2.30 1.06 +1.24 -0.17
Sat 25/04 Inter Turku 0.16 2.32 -2.16 -0.66
Sat 02/05 VPS 0.35 3.37 -3.02 -1.14
Sun 10/05 FC Lahti 0.27 1.99 -1.72 -1.23
Sat 16/05 KuPS 0.65 2.55 -1.90 -1.33
Sat 13/06 IF Gnistan 1.01 3.98 -2.97 -1.53
Thu 18/06 AC Oulu 2.14 2.90 -0.76 -1.45
Tue 23/06 HJK 0.94 3.73 -2.79 -1.58
Sat 27/06 Inter Turku 0.05 3.54 -3.49 -1.76
Sat 04/07 VPS 0.37 3.74 -3.37 -1.89
Sat 11/07 IF Gnistan 0.60 3.78 -3.18 -1.99
Mon 20/07 FC Lahti 0.41 2.60 -2.19 -2.00
Sat 25/07 AC Oulu 1.79 1.95 -0.16 -1.88
Sat 01/08 TPS 1.85 1.96 -0.11 -1.77
Sun 09/08 Ilves 1.53 1.28 +0.25 -1.65
Sat 15/08 SJK 2.28 0.85 +1.43 -1.48
Sun 23/08 KuPS 1.47 1.97 -0.50 -1.43
Mon 31/08 FF Jaro 1.15 2.22 -1.07 -1.41
Tue 08/09 FC Lahti 1.15 2.07 -0.92 -1.39
Sat 12/09 TPS 0.95 2.03 -1.08 -1.37
Fri 18/09 SJK 0.96 1.88 -0.92 -1.35

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.02 npxG and 2.37 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
number 1 hardest of 12 in Veikkausliiga
+0.07 xG vs league average
Over 25 league matches
Last 5
number 6 hardest of 12 in Veikkausliiga
+0.06 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.07 xG vs league average · over 25 matches · number 1 hardest of 12

  1. SJK Away +0.02
  2. TPS Home −0.08
  3. FC Lahti Away +0.22
  4. FF Jaro Home −0.38
  5. KuPS Away +0.50
  6. SJK Home +0.02
  7. Ilves Away −0.22
  8. TPS Away −0.08
  9. AC Oulu Home −0.28
  10. FC Lahti Home +0.22
  11. IF Gnistan Away +0.06
  12. VPS Away +0.10
  13. Inter Turku Home +0.53
  14. HJK Home +0.27
  15. AC Oulu Away −0.28
  16. IF Gnistan Home +0.06
  17. HJK Away +0.27
  18. FF Jaro Away −0.38
  19. KuPS Home +0.50
  20. FC Lahti Away +0.22
  21. VPS Home +0.10
  22. Inter Turku Away +0.53
  23. Ilves Home −0.22
  24. SJK Away +0.02
  25. TPS Home −0.08

Last 5

+0.06 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 6 hardest of 12

  1. SJK Away +0.02
  2. TPS Home −0.08
  3. FC Lahti Away +0.22
  4. FF Jaro Home −0.38
  5. KuPS Away +0.50

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

IFK Mariehamn shots and chance quality

Low volume, average quality. IFK Mariehamn take 8.9 shots a match (league 12.0) at 0.11 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #12 in Veikkausliiga for volume and #9 for quality. 54% of their shots come from inside the box (league 61%).

Attack

Shot volume
8.9 shots per match
#12/12
Shot volume (shots per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 KuPS 15.2
#2 FC Lahti 13.3
#3 Inter Turku 13.1
#4 TPS 13.0
#5 HJK 12.6
#6 SJK 12.4
#7 IF Gnistan 11.8
#8 FF Jaro 11.6
#9 Ilves 11.5
#10 VPS 11.0
#11 AC Oulu 10.2
#12 IFK Mariehamn 8.9
League avg
12.0
Total
205 shots from 23 matches
Chance quality
0.11 npxG per shot
#9/12
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 SJK 0.14
#2 HJK 0.14
#3 KuPS 0.13
#4 VPS 0.13
#5 Ilves 0.13
#6 Inter Turku 0.13
#7 IF Gnistan 0.13
#8 FC Lahti 0.13
#9 IFK Mariehamn 0.11
#10 TPS 0.11
#11 AC Oulu 0.10
#12 FF Jaro 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
23.44 npxG from 205 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
16.3 shots per match
#12/12
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Inter Turku 8.5
#2 KuPS 9.7
#3 FC Lahti 9.8
#4 VPS 11.4
#5 AC Oulu 11.4
#6 SJK 11.7
#7 HJK 12.0
#8 TPS 12.6
#9 IF Gnistan 12.9
#10 FF Jaro 13.6
#11 Ilves 13.9
#12 IFK Mariehamn 16.3
League avg
12.0
Total
376 shots allowed from 23 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.15 npxGA per shot
#12/12
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Veikkausliiga, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 Inter Turku 0.10
#2 IF Gnistan 0.10
#3 HJK 0.11
#4 TPS 0.11
#5 VPS 0.11
#6 KuPS 0.12
#7 FF Jaro 0.12
#8 AC Oulu 0.13
#9 Ilves 0.13
#10 FC Lahti 0.13
#11 SJK 0.14
#12 IFK Mariehamn 0.15
League avg
0.12
Total
54.57 npxGA from 376 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

54% inside the box

League avg 61%

From 111 of 205 shots over 23 matches

Shots allowed, location

70% allowed inside the box

League avg 61%

From 264 of 376 shots allowed over 23 matches

How the shot figures are made →

IFK Mariehamn home and away xG

IFK Mariehamn per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 12 13 11 with xG
xG / match 1.11 1.08
xGA / match 2.56 2.44
xGD / match -1.45 -1.36
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 0.73 0.66

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every IFK Mariehamn match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
25 23 with xG
xG / match
1.10
xGA / match
2.50
xGD / match
-1.41
Points
17 of 75
  1. Fri 18/09 SJK A xG 0.96 xGA 1.88 xGD -0.92
  2. Sat 12/09 TPS H Against the chances xG 0.95 xGA 2.03 xGD -1.08
  3. Tue 08/09 FC Lahti A xG 1.15 xGA 2.06 xGD -0.91
  4. Mon 31/08 FF Jaro H Against the chances xG 1.15 xGA 2.22 xGD -1.07
  5. Sun 23/08 KuPS A xG 1.47 xGA 1.97 xGD -0.50
  6. Sat 15/08 SJK H Best underlying xG 2.28 xGA 0.85 xGD +1.43
  7. Sun 09/08 Ilves A xG 1.53 xGA 2.04 P xGD -0.51
  8. Sat 01/08 TPS A xG 2.08 xGA 1.73 xGD +0.35
  9. Sat 25/07 AC Oulu H xG 2.55 P xGA 2.72 P xGD -0.17
  10. Mon 20/07 FC Lahti H xG 0.41 xGA 3.36 P xGD -2.95
  11. Sat 11/07 IF Gnistan A Weakest underlying xG 0.60 xGA 4.54 P xGD -3.94
  12. Sat 04/07 VPS A xG 0.37 xGA 3.74 xGD -3.37
  13. Sat 27/06 Inter Turku H xG 0.05 xGA 3.53 xGD -3.48
  14. Tue 23/06 HJK H xG 0.94 xGA 3.73 xGD -2.79
  15. Thu 18/06 AC Oulu A xG 2.14 xGA 2.90 xGD -0.76
  16. Sat 13/06 IF Gnistan H xG 1.01 xGA 3.98 xGD -2.97
  17. Sat 30/05 HJK A
  18. Sat 23/05 FF Jaro A
  19. Sat 16/05 KuPS H xG 0.65 xGA 2.55 xGD -1.90
  20. Sun 10/05 FC Lahti A xG 1.03 P xGA 1.99 xGD -0.96
  21. Sat 02/05 VPS H xG 0.36 xGA 3.54 xGD -3.18
  22. Sat 25/04 Inter Turku A xG 0.16 xGA 2.34 xGD -2.18
  23. Sat 18/04 Ilves H xG 2.30 xGA 1.06 xGD +1.24
  24. Fri 10/04 SJK A xG 0.40 xGA 1.69 xGD -1.29
  25. Sat 04/04 TPS H xG 0.66 xGA 1.10 xGD -0.44

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.54. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

IFK Mariehamn in Veikkausliiga

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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