xgEdge

Expected goals

Mjällby AIF expected goals (xG) 2026/2027

Allsvenskan · after 16 matches · updated 1 Oct

Mjällby AIF's attacking and defensive expected goals in Allsvenskan 2026/2027, compared with the results they produced and with the rest of the competition.

Mjällby AIF xG and xGA per match

Every match ↓
Attack
1.59 xG per match
#10/16
Attack (xG per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xG per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.66
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.30
#3 IK Sirius 2.13
#4 Malmö FF 2.04
#5 IFK Göteborg 1.95
#6 BK Häcken 1.84
#7 GAIS 1.75
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.65
#9 Västerås SK 1.64
#10 Mjällby AIF 1.59
#11 AIK 1.57
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 1.45
#13 Kalmar FF 1.31
#14 Örgryte IS 1.26
#15 Degerfors IF 1.26
#16 Halmstads BK 1.10
League avg
1.71
Total
25.41 16 matches
Defence
2.07 xGA per match
#13/16
Defence (xGA per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGA per match
#1 Hammarby IF 1.11
#2 Djurgårdens IF 1.15
#3 IK Sirius 1.34
#4 GAIS 1.34
#5 BK Häcken 1.38
#6 Malmö FF 1.50
#7 IF Elfsborg 1.51
#8 IFK Göteborg 1.63
#9 Kalmar FF 1.74
#10 Degerfors IF 1.76
#11 IF Brommapojkarna 1.80
#12 Västerås SK 1.91
#13 Mjällby AIF 2.07
#14 Örgryte IS 2.26
#15 AIK 2.29
#16 Halmstads BK 2.41
League avg
1.71
Total
33.08 16 matches
xG difference
-0.48 xGD per match
#12/16
xG difference (xGD per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xGD per match
#1 Hammarby IF +1.54
#2 Djurgårdens IF +1.16
#3 IK Sirius +0.79
#4 Malmö FF +0.54
#5 BK Häcken +0.46
#6 GAIS +0.41
#7 IFK Göteborg +0.32
#8 IF Elfsborg +0.15
#9 Västerås SK -0.27
#10 IF Brommapojkarna -0.35
#11 Kalmar FF -0.43
#12 Mjällby AIF -0.48
#13 Degerfors IF -0.51
#14 AIK -0.72
#15 Örgryte IS -0.99
#16 Halmstads BK -1.31
League avg
0.00
Total
-7.67 16 matches
Expected points Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
1.08 xPts per match
#13/16
Expected points (xPts per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club xPts per match
#1 Hammarby IF 2.24
#2 Djurgårdens IF 2.05
#3 IK Sirius 1.84
#4 BK Häcken 1.70
#5 Malmö FF 1.67
#6 GAIS 1.61
#7 IFK Göteborg 1.60
#8 IF Elfsborg 1.49
#9 IF Brommapojkarna 1.23
#10 Kalmar FF 1.21
#11 Västerås SK 1.21
#12 Degerfors IF 1.09
#13 Mjällby AIF 1.08
#14 AIK 1.00
#15 Örgryte IS 0.87
#16 Halmstads BK 0.61
League avg
1.40
Total
17.23 vs 22 actual pts

Expected goals here are summed over 16 of 22 matches — the rest were played with no xG figure published for them, so the margins compare two different lengths of season.

What the xG says

Mjällby AIF's underlying numbers are among the weakest in Allsvenskan. They rank #12 for xG difference at -0.48 per match, from about average shot volume at about average chance quality. Their 25 goals are 0.41 below 25.41 xG, while 19 points are 1.77 above 17.23 xPts — both over the 16 matches with xG.

Actual vs expected

Measure Actual Expected Difference Reading
Goals vs xG
25 25.41 -0.41 scored 0.41 fewer than xG within normal variance
Goals conceded vs xGA
28 33.08 -5.08 conceded 5.08 fewer than xGA within normal variance
Points vs xPts Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works →
19 17.23 +1.77 1.77 points above xPts within normal variance

Select a row to chart it across the season.

Goals minus xG, match by match

Mjällby AIF are 0.41 goals below their xG after 16 matches. The gap was widest at -1.81, against Örgryte IS on Sat 11/04.

Goals
25
xG
25.41
Gap
-0.41
Sat 11/04 Sat 18/04 Mon 27/04 Sun 03/05 Sat 09/05 Sun 17/05 Mon 25/05 Fri 03/07 Sat 11/07 Sat 25/07 Sat 08/08 Sat 15/08 Mon 31/08 Fri 11/09 Wed 16/09 Sun 20/09 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +5 -1.81 +0.51 +0.99 +2.18 +4.36 +3.19 +1.87 +4.77 +0.99 +1.50 -0.37 +2.12 +1.95 +1.93 +0.79 -0.41 -1.81 +2.32 +0.48 +1.19 +2.18 -1.17 -1.32 +2.90 -3.78 +0.51 -1.87 +2.49 -0.17 -0.02 -1.14 -1.20 Running gap goals − xG Each match goals − xG
Mjällby AIF: Goals vs xG, the gap after every match with xG
Date Opponent Goals xG Match gap Running gap
Sat 11/04 Örgryte IS 0 1.81 -1.81 -1.81
Sat 18/04 IF Brommapojkarna 3 0.68 +2.32 +0.51
Mon 27/04 Halmstads BK 2 1.52 +0.48 +0.99
Sun 03/05 Malmö FF 3 1.81 +1.19 +2.18
Sat 09/05 Degerfors IF 4 1.82 +2.18 +4.36
Sun 17/05 BK Häcken 0 1.17 -1.17 +3.19
Mon 25/05 IFK Göteborg 1 2.32 -1.32 +1.87
Fri 03/07 IK Sirius 4 1.10 +2.90 +4.77
Sat 11/07 AIK 1 4.78 -3.78 +0.99
Sat 25/07 Kalmar FF 1 0.49 +0.51 +1.50
Sat 08/08 IF Elfsborg 0 1.87 -1.87 -0.37
Sat 15/08 IK Sirius 4 1.51 +2.49 +2.12
Mon 31/08 Djurgårdens IF 0 0.17 -0.17 +1.95
Fri 11/09 BK Häcken 1 1.02 -0.02 +1.93
Wed 16/09 AIK 1 2.14 -1.14 +0.79
Sun 20/09 GAIS 0 1.20 -1.20 -0.41

Goals vs xG ranking → Expected points ranking →

Mjällby AIF xG trend

Current form -1.22 npxGD per match

The last 6 matches with xG.

Out-created the opponent in 5 of 16 matches. The worst was against Djurgårdens IF on Mon 31/08 (-2.83).

npxG · last 6
1.32
npxGA · last 6
2.54
-3 -2 -1 0 +1 +2 +3 +4 +0.73 Sat 11/04 -1.12 Sat 18/04 +0.49 Mon 27/04 -1.28 Sun 03/05 +0.46 Sat 09/05 -0.70 Sun 17/05 +0.08 Mon 25/05 -2.33 Fri 03/07 +3.50 Sat 11/07 -0.19 Sat 25/07 -1.60 Sat 08/08 -1.05 Sat 15/08 -2.83 Mon 31/08 -0.68 Fri 11/09 -1.01 Wed 16/09 -0.14 Sun 20/09 -0.48 season avg
Mjällby AIF: non-penalty xG, xGA and their difference in each match, with the season's average so far
Date Opponent npxG npxGA npxGD Avg so far
Sat 11/04 Örgryte IS 1.81 1.08 +0.73 +0.73
Sat 18/04 IF Brommapojkarna 0.68 1.80 -1.12 -0.19
Mon 27/04 Halmstads BK 1.52 1.03 +0.49 +0.03
Sun 03/05 Malmö FF 1.81 3.09 -1.28 -0.29
Sat 09/05 Degerfors IF 1.82 1.36 +0.46 -0.14
Sun 17/05 BK Häcken 1.17 1.87 -0.70 -0.24
Mon 25/05 IFK Göteborg 2.32 2.24 +0.08 -0.19
Fri 03/07 IK Sirius 1.10 3.43 -2.33 -0.46
Sat 11/07 AIK 4.78 1.28 +3.50 -0.02
Sat 25/07 Kalmar FF 0.49 0.68 -0.19 -0.04
Sat 08/08 IF Elfsborg 1.87 3.47 -1.60 -0.18
Sat 15/08 IK Sirius 1.51 2.56 -1.05 -0.25
Mon 31/08 Djurgårdens IF 0.17 3.00 -2.83 -0.45
Fri 11/09 BK Häcken 1.02 1.70 -0.68 -0.47
Wed 16/09 AIK 2.14 3.15 -1.01 -0.50
Sun 20/09 GAIS 1.20 1.34 -0.14 -0.48

Each bar is one match's non-penalty xG minus the non-penalty xG against; the line is that difference averaged over the season up to each match, and it finishes on the dashed season average — 1.59 npxG and 2.07 npxGA per match. Current form is the same difference over the last 6 matches with xG.

Form ranking →

Strength of schedule

Season so far
tied number 2 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
+0.06 xG vs league average
Over 22 league matches
Last 5
number 4 hardest of 16 in Allsvenskan
+0.14 xG vs league average
Over 5 league matches
Opponents behind the figures

Season so far

+0.06 xG vs league average · over 22 matches · tied number 2 hardest of 16

  1. GAIS Home +0.23
  2. AIK Away −0.44
  3. BK Häcken Away +0.26
  4. IFK Göteborg Home +0.20
  5. Djurgårdens IF Home +0.46
  6. Djurgårdens IF Away +0.46
  7. IK Sirius Home +0.19
  8. IF Elfsborg Home +0.10
  9. Kalmar FF Away −0.15
  10. Västerås SK Home −0.18
  11. AIK Home −0.44
  12. IK Sirius Away +0.19
  13. IFK Göteborg Away +0.20
  14. IF Elfsborg Away +0.10
  15. BK Häcken Home +0.26
  16. Degerfors IF Away −0.27
  17. Malmö FF Away +0.42
  18. Halmstads BK Home −0.78
  19. GAIS Away +0.23
  20. IF Brommapojkarna Home −0.32
  21. Örgryte IS Home −0.67
  22. Hammarby IF Away +1.29

Last 5

+0.14 xG vs league average · over 5 matches · number 4 hardest of 16

  1. GAIS Home +0.23
  2. AIK Away −0.44
  3. BK Häcken Away +0.26
  4. IFK Göteborg Home +0.20
  5. Djurgårdens IF Home +0.46

League schedule strength → How this is calculated →

Mjällby AIF shots and chance quality

Average volume, average quality. Mjällby AIF take 13.0 shots a match (league 13.9) at 0.12 npxG a shot (league 0.12), #9 in Allsvenskan for volume and #8 for quality. 64% of their shots come from inside the box (league 64%).

Attack

Shot volume
13.0 shots per match
#9/16
Shot volume (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 21.9
#2 IFK Göteborg 17.1
#3 Djurgårdens IF 15.7
#4 Malmö FF 14.9
#5 IK Sirius 14.9
#6 GAIS 14.5
#7 BK Häcken 14.2
#8 Kalmar FF 13.4
#9 Mjällby AIF 13.0
#10 AIK 12.9
#11 IF Elfsborg 12.8
#12 Halmstads BK 12.5
#13 Västerås SK 12.1
#14 IF Brommapojkarna 11.7
#15 Degerfors IF 11.1
#16 Örgryte IS 10.5
League avg
13.9
Total
208 shots from 16 matches
Chance quality
0.12 npxG per shot
#8/16
Chance quality (npxG per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxG per shot
#1 Djurgårdens IF 0.15
#2 IK Sirius 0.14
#3 Malmö FF 0.14
#4 Västerås SK 0.14
#5 IF Elfsborg 0.13
#6 BK Häcken 0.13
#7 IF Brommapojkarna 0.12
#8 Mjällby AIF 0.12
#9 AIK 0.12
#10 Hammarby IF 0.12
#11 GAIS 0.12
#12 Örgryte IS 0.12
#13 IFK Göteborg 0.11
#14 Degerfors IF 0.11
#15 Kalmar FF 0.10
#16 Halmstads BK 0.09
League avg
0.12
Total
25.41 npxG from 208 shots

Defence

Shots allowed
16.2 shots per match
#13/16
Shots allowed (shots per match) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club shots per match
#1 Hammarby IF 8.6
#2 Djurgårdens IF 10.9
#3 BK Häcken 11.5
#4 IFK Göteborg 12.4
#5 GAIS 12.4
#6 IF Elfsborg 12.5
#7 Malmö FF 12.9
#8 IK Sirius 13.8
#9 Degerfors IF 13.9
#10 Kalmar FF 14.3
#11 Västerås SK 14.8
#12 IF Brommapojkarna 15.7
#13 Mjällby AIF 16.2
#14 AIK 16.5
#15 Halmstads BK 17.5
#16 Örgryte IS 17.9
League avg
13.9
Total
259 shots allowed from 16 matches
Chance quality allowed
0.13 npxGA per shot
#11/16
Chance quality allowed (npxGA per shot) across Allsvenskan, best first
Rank Club npxGA per shot
#1 IK Sirius 0.10
#2 Djurgårdens IF 0.11
#3 GAIS 0.11
#4 IF Brommapojkarna 0.11
#5 Malmö FF 0.12
#6 BK Häcken 0.12
#7 IF Elfsborg 0.12
#8 Kalmar FF 0.12
#9 Örgryte IS 0.13
#10 Degerfors IF 0.13
#11 Mjällby AIF 0.13
#12 Hammarby IF 0.13
#13 Västerås SK 0.13
#14 IFK Göteborg 0.13
#15 Halmstads BK 0.14
#16 AIK 0.14
League avg
0.12
Total
33.08 npxGA from 259 shots

Shot profile

Shot location

64% inside the box

League avg 64%

From 133 of 208 shots over 16 matches

Shots allowed, location

66% allowed inside the box

League avg 64%

From 170 of 259 shots allowed over 16 matches

How the shot figures are made →

Mjällby AIF home and away xG

Mjällby AIF per-match figures at home and away
Measure Home Away
Matches 11 8 with xG 11 8 with xG
xG / match 1.82 1.36
xGA / match 1.80 2.33
xGD / match +0.01 -0.97
xPts / match Model — Model output — computed from each match's xG, not a result. How xPts works → 1.30 0.85

Every figure divides by that half's matches with xG. A half with fewer than 3 matches with xG is muted.

Every Mjällby AIF match by xG

Window
Season Last 10 Last 5
Venue
All Home Away

This season

Matches
22 16 with xG
xG / match
1.59
xGA / match
2.07
xGD / match
-0.48
Points
22 of 66
  1. Sun 20/09 GAIS H xG 1.20 xGA 1.34 xGD -0.14
  2. Wed 16/09 AIK A xG 2.14 xGA 3.15 xGD -1.01
  3. Fri 11/09 BK Häcken A xG 1.02 xGA 1.70 xGD -0.68
  4. Mon 07/09 IFK Göteborg H
  5. Thu 03/09 Djurgårdens IF H
  6. Mon 31/08 Djurgårdens IF A Weakest underlying xG 0.17 xGA 3.00 xGD -2.83
  7. Sat 15/08 IK Sirius H Against the chances xG 1.51 xGA 2.56 xGD -1.05
  8. Sat 08/08 IF Elfsborg H xG 1.87 xGA 3.47 xGD -1.60
  9. Sat 25/07 Kalmar FF A xG 0.49 xGA 0.68 xGD -0.19
  10. Fri 17/07 Västerås SK H
  11. Sat 11/07 AIK H Against the chances xG 4.78 xGA 1.28 xGD +3.50
  12. Fri 03/07 IK Sirius A xG 1.10 xGA 3.43 xGD -2.33
  13. Mon 25/05 IFK Göteborg A xG 2.32 xGA 2.24 xGD +0.08
  14. Thu 21/05 IF Elfsborg A
  15. Sun 17/05 BK Häcken H xG 1.17 xGA 1.87 xGD -0.70
  16. Sat 09/05 Degerfors IF A xG 1.82 xGA 1.36 xGD +0.46
  17. Sun 03/05 Malmö FF A Against the chances xG 1.81 xGA 3.09 xGD -1.28
  18. Mon 27/04 Halmstads BK H xG 1.52 xGA 1.03 xGD +0.49
  19. Thu 23/04 GAIS A
  20. Sat 18/04 IF Brommapojkarna H Against the chances xG 0.68 xGA 1.80 xGD -1.12
  21. Sat 11/04 Örgryte IS H xG 1.81 xGA 1.08 xGD +0.73
  22. Sat 04/04 Hammarby IF A

Newest first. The dot is xG and the ring is xGA, on one scale from 0 to 4.78. Best and weakest underlying mark the highest and lowest xGD once 5 matches have xG. Against the chances marks a win with xGD of −1.00 or lower, or a loss with +1.00 or higher. P marks a side with at least 0.50 xG from penalties.

Every result, all competitions →

Mjällby AIF in Allsvenskan

Attack

Defence

Overall

About the data

xG data
Provided by TheStatsAPI, and stored as published.
Derived metrics
xGD, per-match rates, rankings and rolling averages are calculated from the match data.
Model metrics
xPts is produced by our probability model.

Learn how our xG analytics work →

How the model works →

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