Czech First League

Czech First League results 2026/2027

Every Czech First League match played this season, newest first, with the xG each side created and the home, draw and away probabilities the model held before kickoff.

xG reading

All Went with the xG Went against the xG

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Model record

Most likely outcome landed in 15 of 26 matches (58%). The probabilities implied about 12 (45%). Brier score 0.57 (reference 0.63; lower is better). How the model works →

Home
Draw
Away

What happened Most likely outcome Upset

Sunday, 20/09/2026

1 match

15:00

FK Jablonec 1

FC Zlín 1

xG 1.16 – 0.39 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

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Saturday, 19/09/2026

2 matches

18:00

1. FC Slovácko 2

Baník Ostrava 2

xG 1.77 – 2.57 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

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15:00

Mladá Boleslav 2

FC Zbrojovka Brno 0

xG 1.03 – 2.49 Lower-xG side won

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
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Sunday, 13/09/2026

2 matches

15:00

Viktoria Plzeň 2

SK Sigma Olomouc 3

xG 2.25 – 0.60 Lower-xG side won

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated least likely landed
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15:00

FC Zlín 1

FC Hradec Králové 2

xG 1.54 – 0.96 Lower-xG side won

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Wednesday, 09/09/2026

1 match

19:00

FC Hradec Králové 0

Viktoria Plzeň 0

xG 0.92 – 0.21 Draw with an xG gap

Pre-match probabilities

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Sunday, 06/09/2026

1 match

15:00

FK Jablonec 1

FC Slovan Liberec 2

xG 2.47 – 0.32 Lower-xG side won

Pre-match probabilities

The outcome the model rated most likely landed
→

Wednesday, 02/09/2026

1 match

20:00

Bohemians Praha 1905 1

FK Jablonec 1

xG 1.75 – 1.15 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
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Sunday, 30/08/2026

2 matches

20:00

AC Sparta Praha 0

SK Slavia Praha 3

xG 2.34 – 1.83 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
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17:00

Viktoria Plzeň 1

1. FC Slovácko 1

xG 1.28 – 0.41 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
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Saturday, 29/08/2026

1 match

17:00

FK Pardubice 1

SK Líšeň 2

xG 1.81 – 0.80 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
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Saturday, 22/08/2026

2 matches

20:00

SK Slavia Praha 2

Bohemians Praha 1905 2

xG 2.74 – 0.81 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
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17:00

Mladá Boleslav 2

1. FC Slovácko 1

xG 1.16 – 2.18 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
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Sunday, 16/08/2026

1 match

20:00

FC Slovan Liberec 1

SK Slavia Praha 1

xG 1.48 – 0.67 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
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Saturday, 15/08/2026

1 match

17:00

FK Pardubice 1

Mladá Boleslav 1

xG 1.37 – 0.75 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
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Sunday, 09/08/2026

1 match

20:00

SK Líšeň 1

SK Sigma Olomouc 2

xG 1.40 – 0.83 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
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Saturday, 08/08/2026

1 match

17:00

FK Teplice 5

Viktoria Plzeň 5

xG 1.47 – 2.49 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
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Sunday, 02/08/2026

2 matches

20:00

FK Pardubice 0

FK Jablonec 2

xG 2.75 – 0.61 Lower-xG side won

No pre-match probabilities
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15:00

SK Sigma Olomouc 2

Mladá Boleslav 2

xG 2.48 – 1.17 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→

Saturday, 01/08/2026

1 match

17:00

1. FC Slovácko 1

SK Líšeň 1

xG 0.53 – 1.42 Draw with an xG gap

No pre-match probabilities
→

xG is a model estimate of the chances each side created. "Went with the xG" means the side with more xG won; "Went against the xG" means the side with less xG won or the match was drawn across a gap of at least 0.5. The probabilities are the ones the model published before kickoff, rounded so the three add to 100; the outline marks what happened.